Jacob Jenkins-Cowart

OF Beloit Sky Carp
Age 24 L/R 6'6" / 212 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421AMIA116.190/.261/.276135—.139/.191/.204
202522A+/AMIA327.203/.296/.31132635—.169/.241/.254
202623A+MIA213.218/.284/.4159542—.172/.223/.323
2027PROJMLE24MLBMIA263.177/.236/.2784644-0.4
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBMIA42.175/.235/.2751148-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
ISO71
Speed66
Z-Con%33
wRC+26
wOBA25
K%21
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsAgustin Septimo (age 24) · Chris Grayson (age 24) · Bubba Alleyne (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA
wRC+†44
AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .234 / .276
PA100
HR2
K%30
BB%6
ISO101
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.4-0.22728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 AJupiter Hammerheads — 116105 20601 9351 32 190261276537 86271 308 246 5 — — — — — —
202522 A+Beloit Sky Carp — 223197 361211 21553 209 183271269541 86245 259 251 19 — — — — — —
202522 AJupiter Hammerheads — 10489 22612 13251 62 247350404754 157317 2412 337 69 — — — — — —
202623 A+Beloit Sky Carp — 213193 42919 16652 50 218284415699 197273 318 307 42 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 116108 15401 6461 32 139191204395 65220 405 176 5 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 223203 311011 15723 209 153222227448 74215 327 196 19 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 10493 19511 9331 62 204282312593 108295 329 270 69 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 213198 34717 11832 50 172223323546 152238 395 231 42 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 116108 15401 6461 32 139191204395 65226 405 176 5 — — — — — —
202421 A RAWJupiter Hammerheads — 116105 20601 9351 32 190261276537 86271 308 246 5 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 327296 491522 241054 2611 166238250488 84245 327 220 35 — — — — — —
202522 A+ RAW2 teams — 327286 581823 34804 2611 203296311607 108267 2410 278 35 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 213198 34717 11832 50 172223323546 152245 395 231 42 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAWBeloit Sky Carp — 213193 42919 16652 50 218284415699 197273 318 307 42 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 116108 15401 6461 32 139191204395 65220 405 176 5 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 327296 491522 241054 2611 166238250488 84240 327 220 35 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 213198 34717 11832 50 172223323546 152238 395 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 116108 15401 6461 32 139191204395 65220 405 176 5 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLE2 teams — 327296 491522 241054 2611 166238250488 84240 327 220 35 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEBeloit Sky Carp — 213198 34717 11832 50 172223323546 152238 395 231 42 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLEMIA 0% 263243 42914 16802 62 177236278514 101241 306 233 44 -18 +0 +0 -2 +6 -0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLEMIA 30% 139128 24513 9421 31 181241288529 107243 306 239 48 -9 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.6
202825 MLB CTXMIA 30% 4239 6101 3130 10 175235275510 100235 317 232 48 -3 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4239 6101 3130 10 154214256471 103200 317 232 36 -3 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650604 9215015 462010 150 152212252464 99198 317 232 36 -40 +3 +0 -4 +14 -2.7
Career— MLE — 895823 13935415 563069 3915 169230276506 107244 346 221 36 -15 +0 +0 -1 +5 -1.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650598 10125311 412227 2811 169231276507 107243 346 221 36 -42 +1 +0 -4 +14 -3.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 213 PAwOBA .301 → .231 (−70)K% 30.5% → 38.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.52%÷1.000×1.270——38.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.51%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9885.27%
HBP% /PA0.94%—×0.790—×0.9880.73%
Singles /BIP17.97%÷1.000×0.920×1.014×0.98816.56%
Doubles /BIP7.03%÷1.000×0.810×1.014×0.9885.70%
Triples /BIP0.78%÷1.000×0.850×1.014×0.9880.67%
Home runs /BIP7.03%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9885.56%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .301 → .231; ISO .197 → .145; BABIP .273 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 223 PAwOBA .247 → .196 (−51)K% 24.7% → 32.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.66%÷0.972×1.270——32.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.42%÷0.978×0.710—×0.9986.83%
HBP% /PA1.35%—×0.790—×0.9981.06%
Singles /BIP15.49%÷1.028×0.920×1.007×0.99813.93%
Doubles /BIP8.45%÷0.961×0.810×1.007×0.9987.16%
Triples /BIP0.70%÷1.000×0.850×1.007×0.9980.60%
Home runs /BIP0.70%÷1.006×0.800—×0.9980.56%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .247 → .196; ISO .086 → .068; BABIP .245 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AJupiter Hammerheads · 104 PAwOBA .332 → .270 (−62)K% 24.0% → 32.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.04%÷1.014×1.360——32.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷1.018×0.690—×0.9908.39%
HBP% /PA0.96%—×0.780—×0.9900.74%
Singles /BIP20.31%÷1.019×0.920×1.050×0.99019.07%
Doubles /BIP9.38%÷0.947×0.830×1.050×0.9908.54%
Triples /BIP1.56%÷0.900×0.910×1.050×0.9901.64%
Home runs /BIP3.12%÷1.035×0.800—×0.9902.39%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .332 → .270; ISO .157 → .130; BABIP .317 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AJupiter Hammerheads · 116 PAwOBA .242 → .176 (−67)K% 30.2% → 39.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.17%÷1.029×1.360——39.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.76%÷0.993×0.690——5.39%
HBP% /PA0.86%—×0.780——0.67%
Singles /BIP18.57%÷1.065×0.920×0.962—15.44%
Doubles /BIP8.57%÷1.032×0.830×0.962—6.63%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.960×0.910×0.962—0.00%
Home runs /BIP1.43%÷0.888×0.800——1.29%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 113, 2B 106, 3B 92, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .242 → .176; ISO .086 → .063; BABIP .271 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).