Jacob Jenkins-CowartOF Beloit Sky Carp
Age 23 L/R 6'6" / 212 lbs A+ HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
wRC+†35
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .264 / .307
PA320
HR6
SB8
K%32
BB%7
MLB%0%
BAT: -23.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-23BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -1.60-1.6WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
2525
PWR
3030
SPD
6060
EYE
4740
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.4peak
2029

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Arb-2$0.9M
2031Arb-3$0.9M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M
2033Ext / FA-deal$0.2M
2034Ext / FA-deal$0.4M
2035Ext / FA-deal$0.6M
Totals $-2M $-23M -$21M
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$21M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 AJupiter Hammerheads 116107 15501 7471 32 .140.200.215.415 .075.233 416 .182 -2 -13 -0 +0 -1 +3 -1.1
202522 A+2 teams 327295 491622 251094 2611 .166.241.254.495 .088.251 338 .223 29 -26 +1 +0 -2 +9 -1.9
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202623 A+Beloit Sky Carp 4745 5200 1220 10 .111.130.156.286 .044.208 472 .139 -35 -7 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.6
ROS23 MLBMIA 273250 461114 19912 72 .184.247.284.531 .100.272 337 .248 48 -16 +1 +0 -2 +8 -1.0
TOT23 MLBMIA 320295 511314 201132 82 .173.230.264.495 .092.261 356 .232 35 -23 +1 +0 -2 +9 -1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202724 MLB 10%MIA 355322 651527 27973 93 .202.270.326.596 .124.262 278 .266 61 -15 +1 +0 -2 +10 -0.7
202825 MLB 25%MIA 408369 751728 321104 103 .203.274.325.599 .122.265 278 .273 67 -15 +1 +0 -2 +12 -0.5
202926 MLB 43%MIA 441398 8318210 361184 113 .209.281.339.620 .131.267 278 .277 70 -15 +1 +0 -3 +12 -0.4
203027 MLB 58%MIA 455411 8519210 371214 113 .207.279.336.615 .129.267 278 .279 71 -15 +1 +0 -3 +13 -0.4
203128 MLB 68%MIA 460415 8619210 381244 113 .207.280.335.615 .128.267 278 .278 71 -15 +1 -1 -3 +13 -0.5
203229 MLB 77%MIA 456411 8519210 381244 103 .207.280.336.616 .129.266 278 .275 69 -16 +1 -1 -3 +13 -0.7
203330 MLB 84%MIA 449405 821829 371234 103 .202.276.323.599 .121.264 278 .272 67 -17 +1 -2 -3 +13 -0.8
203431 MLBMIA 437394 791729 361224 92 .201.274.322.597 .122.263 288 .269 64 -18 +1 -3 -3 +12 -1.0
203532 MLBMIA 421379 751628 351204 82 .198.273.314.587 .116.261 298 .264 60 -19 +1 -4 -3 +12 -1.3
203633 MLBMIA 392354 681517 321143 71 .192.265.299.564 .107.259 298 .258 56 -19 +1 -4 -2 +11 -1.4
203734 MLBMIA 348314 591316 281043 71 .188.261.293.554 .105.257 308 .252 51 -19 +1 -5 -2 +10 -1.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 53384824 95221823101 427152448 13942 .197.269.315.584 .118.264 298 .264 60 -240 +11 -20 -32 +151 -13.2
/ 162G 650587 11627312 521866 175 .198.269.315.585 .118.265 298 .264 60 -29 +1 -2 -4 +18 -1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 AJupiter Hammerheads 116105 20601 9351 32 .190.261.276.537 .086.271 308 .246 47 -7 -0 +3 -0.4
202522 A+Beloit Sky Carp 223197 361211 21553 209 .183.271.269.541 .086.245 259 .251 50 -13 +0 +6 -0.6
202522 AJupiter Hammerheads 10489 22612 13251 62 .247.350.404.754 .157.317 2412 .337 116 +2 +0 +3 0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jacob Jenkins-Cowart (OGILVIE) 23 25 30 60 40 .196/.264/.307 .112.278 68 32% 7% 58 -0.6
River Town
2022 · A
23 44→38 37→40 53→50 43 .207/.282/.284 .077.293 312 28% 7% 59 -1.1 .211/.296/.319 .108.266 1015 23% 8% 75 -0.0 .206/.299/.306.100.25491521%9%71-0.2
Cam Gibson
2017 · A
23 38→41 41→45 53→55 41 .189/.248/.285 .096.268 916 32% 7% 44 -2.1 .197/.260/.311 .114.269 1017 29% 7% 56 -1.3 .193/.260/.305.112.262101929%7%52-1.2
Chris Grayson
2013 · A
23 40→36 43→45 56→50 42 .198/.257/.312 .114.266 919 29% 6% 55 -1.4 .194/.257/.292 .098.263 816 28% 7% 50 -1.7 .185/.252/.273.088.25161527%7%42-1.5
Ramiro Rodriguez
2021 · AA
23 42 40 50 50 .204/.287/.297 .093.275 818 27% 10% 64 -0.8 .198/.261/.293 .095.307 911 36% 7% 52 -1.6 .146/.208/.211.065.2387840%6%5-1.2
Jackson Cluff
2021 · A
24 40→29 42→45 51→55 40 .197/.258/.305 .108.275 1012 31% 6% 54 -1.4 .182/.252/.277 .095.281 812 36% 6% 45 -2.1 .181/.273/.314.132.266142835%10%61-0.6
Aaron Knapp
2018 · A
23 39→35 38→30 52→55 39 .186/.249/.258 .071.290 619 36% 7% 37 -2.6 .195/.273/.264 .069.298 519 33% 9% 50 -1.8 .188/.276/.247.059.28642132%11%45-1.2
Travis Swaggerty
2021 · A
23 43→45 40→45 50→55 44 .206/.271/.299 .093.295 814 31% 8% 57 -1.2 .214/.279/.329 .115.301 1018 30% 8% 69 -0.4 .209/.277/.321.112.30982032%8%62-0.4
Donta' Williams
2023 · A
24 43→32 39→40 56→55 47 .203/.285/.294 .091.294 620 30% 9% 63 -0.9 .186/.272/.271 .085.286 620 34% 9% 52 -1.6 .163/.253/.236.073.25552035%9%33-1.2
Jacob Wetzel
2023 · A
23 39→34 44→45 50 45 .197/.277/.309 .111.273 1210 31% 8% 63 -0.8 .192/.266/.304 .112.282 1013 33% 8% 57 -1.2 .182/.255/.299.117.27381634%8%48-0.9
Jake Thomas
2016 · A
23 44 39→30 49→50 47 .211/.289/.295 .084.283 78 26% 8% 65 -0.7 .207/.290/.274 .067.301 38 29% 10% 59 -1.1 .202/.298/.259.057.3021829%11%56-0.6
Michael Siani
2022 · A
23 39→44 39→45 55→60 42 .190/.257/.273 .083.272 725 31% 7% 45 -2.1 .206/.276/.312 .106.273 1030 27% 8% 63 -0.8 .207/.278/.306.099.269103326%8%60-0.8
Cole Roederer
2022 · A
22 40→33 41→45 50 44 .196/.269/.293 .097.285 812 32% 8% 56 -1.3 .202/.266/.324 .122.299 1311 35% 7% 63 -0.9 .179/.252/.298.118.265141136%8%49-1.0
Tyler Callihan
2023 · A
23 44→42 43→45 53→55 42 .215/.264/.328 .112.278 1014 26% 6% 62 -0.9 .215/.271/.331 .116.302 1120 31% 7% 66 -0.6 .215/.276/.336.121.307122632%7%66-0.3
Brian Pointer
2015 · A
23 39→41 44→45 49→50 40 .192/.266/.307 .115.289 1113 36% 7% 59 -1.1 .214/.286/.346 .132.318 1411 34% 8% 76 +0.1 .211/.286/.358.146.306161034%9%75-0.0
Brock Deatherage
2019 · A
23 51→32 40 58→60 38 .237/.285/.334 .097.354 719 34% 6% 72 -0.2 .195/.235/.291 .096.310 727 38% 4% 39 -2.5 .165/.199/.257.092.26473639%3%13-3.5
Dylan Neuse
2023 · A
24 37 39→40 49→50 44 .183/.260/.264 .081.271 814 33% 9% 45 -2.1 .205/.286/.296 .091.292 713 29% 9% 63 -0.8 .211/.301/.305.094.29351327%10%72-0.1
Caleb Roberts
2023 · AA
23 40→43 42→50 50 42 .194/.271/.297 .103.298 912 36% 8% 58 -1.2 .202/.279/.332 .130.296 1211 33% 8% 70 -0.3 .195/.272/.328.134.276131032%8%64-0.6
Cody Rogers
2012 · A
23 40→41 44→45 56→50 42 .199/.261/.319 .119.263 1115 28% 6% 59 -1.1 .201/.262/.295 .094.289 716 31% 6% 53 -1.5 .191/.252/.264.073.29241934%6%38-1.7
Jason Denham
2008 · A
22 42→43 38→40 51→55 43 .203/.259/.275 .072.276 616 28% 7% 46 -2.0 .221/.279/.314 .093.282 918 24% 7% 65 -0.7 .227/.292/.316.089.272112720%8%69-0.2
Johan Lopez
2023 · AA
23 39 44→45 51→55 40 .195/.268/.308 .113.290 1213 35% 7% 59 -1.1 .200/.270/.300 .100.307 912 35% 8% 58 -1.2 .166/.253/.240.073.27641137%10%33-0.6