Jacob Jenkins-CowartOF Beloit Sky Carp
Age 23 L/R 6'6" / 212 lbs A+ HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION107 act + 213 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†25
AVG/OBP/SLG.168 / .227 / .265
PA213
HR3
SB6
K%31
BB%6
BABIP234
ISO97
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -26.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-26BATRUN: +1.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -1.80-1.8WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-2.0-1.7-1.6-1.5-1.5262830
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 AJupiter Hammerheads 116107 15501 7471 32 140200215415 75233 416 182 -2
202421 AJupiter Hammerheads 116105 20601 9351 32 190261276537 86271 308 246 47
202522 A+2 teams 327295 481622 251134 2611 163238251489 88251 358 221 27
202522 A+2 teams 327286 581823 34804 2611 203296311607 108267 2410 278 71
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 A+MIA 107100 17413 4411 40 170210320530 150241 384 226 31 -8 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.5
YTD23 A+MIA 10798 22614 6301 40 224276429705 204273 286 304 91 -1 +1 +0 -1 +3 0.2
ROS23 A+MIA 0% 213196 33813 13662 62 168227265493 97228 316 218 25 -18 +0 +0 -1 +6 -1.3
ROS23 MLBMIA 0% 11 0000 000 00 225 00 208 17 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 A+MIA 108101 17413 4411 40 168208317524 149237 384 226 31 -8 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.5
TOT23 A+MIA 320296 501226 171073 102 169222284505 115237 335 221 27 -26 +1 +0 -2 +9 -1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBMIA 30% 355325 571326 231064 103 175239283522 108235 306 233 36 -25 +1 +0 -2 +10 -1.7
202825 MLBMIA 44% 408373 671527 281194 113 180244287531 107240 297 242 44 -26 +1 +0 -2 +12 -1.6
202926 MLBMIA 51% 441402 741728 311275 123 184251296547 112242 297 248 48 -26 +1 +0 -3 +12 -1.5
203027 MLBMIA 56% 455415 771729 321315 124 186252301553 116244 297 250 49 -26 +1 +0 -3 +13 -1.5
202724 MLBMIA 30% 10899 18412 7321 31 182243303546 121231 306 222 28 -9 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.6
202825 MLBMIA 44% 181165 30713 12532 51 182246291537 109236 297 231 35 -13 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.9
202926 MLBMIA 51% 224204 36814 16652 62 176243284528 108238 297 237 39 -15 +0 +0 -1 +6 -1.0
203027 MLBMIA 56% 256233 42915 18743 72 180248292540 112239 297 239 41 -17 +1 +0 -2 +7 -1.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 770702 12628414 532248 216 179245291536 111239 297 234 37 -55 +2 +0 -5 +22 -3.6
/ 162G 650593 10724312 451897 185 180247292539 111241 297 234 37 -46 +2 +0 -4 +18 -3.1
Career 23152113 371911136 15970925 8028 176242280522 105243 317 235 38 -162 +5 +0 -14 +66 -10.7
/ 162G 650593 10426310 451997 228 175242280522 105242 317 235 38 -45 +1 +0 -4 +18 -3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 AJupiter Hammerheads 116105 20601 9351 32 190261276537 86271 308 246 47 -7 -0 +3 -0.4
202522 A+Beloit Sky Carp 223197 361211 21553 209 183271269541 86245 259 251 50 -13 +0 +6 -0.6
202522 AJupiter Hammerheads 10489 22612 13251 62 247350404754 157317 2412 337 116 +2 +0 +3 0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA
112,352344237273341+10+211.02.7
/162664101+3.0+5.80.3pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
27691421183245295-5+0-2.8-1.4
/1626641218-4.0+0.0-2.4pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jacob Jenkins-Cowart (OGILVIE) 23 25 30 60 40 169/222/284 115237 610 33% 5% 27 -1.8
Aaron Knapp
2018 · A
23 40→37 37→30 52→55 41 188/256/253 65298 519 36% 8% 39 -2.5 203/282/277 74310 519 33% 10% 57 -1.2 200/289/2686830052132%11%55-0.8
Chris Grayson
2013 · A
23 39→36 42→45 56→50 41 194/256/303 109270 820 30% 7% 53 -1.5 193/258/292 99265 715 28% 7% 50 -1.7 183/250/2739124671527%7%41-1.6
Jacob Pearson
2021 · A
23 40→39 39→40 50 43 195/250/284 89269 612 29% 7% 44 -2.1 192/253/298 106269 1015 30% 7% 50 -1.8 173/239/278105242101932%7%37-1.0
Juan Montes
2018 · A
23 41 36→30 52→55 44 193/280/256 63253 419 24% 6% 52 -1.6 212/285/291 79294 612 28% 6% 63 -0.9 214/282/293792998529%4%59-0.2
Charles Iacono
2007 · A
23 44 35→30 55→60 48 205/275/261 56270 320 24% 8% 50 -1.8 203/296/264 61274 223 24% 11% 60 -1.0 178/302/2153724004022%14%50-0.6
Chris Proctor
2019 · A
22 35 37→30 53→45 40 174/226/247 72249 510 31% 6% 24 -3.5 193/238/263 70268 58 28% 6% 33 -2.9 173/221/224512514631%6%14-1.5
Taylor Lewis
2014 · A
24 37 39→45 61→55 35 181/228/275 94281 518 36% 5% 32 -3.0 201/244/290 89293 517 32% 5% 43 -2.2 208/231/2766827842626%2%29-0.8
Hilton Richardson
2011 · A
22 40→36 39→40 58→55 39 193/238/279 86268 522 29% 5% 37 -2.6 200/250/292 92299 712 34% 6% 46 -2.0 178/228/251732927440%6%22-1.1
Oliver Marmol
2009 · A
23 37 36→40 55 38 180/236/245 66252 319 29% 5% 29 -3.2 187/267/275 88285 613 34% 6% 51 -1.7 159/261/2499025851036%6%42-0.7
Alfredo Reyes
2017 · A
23 36 36→30 57→55 35 178/218/236 57272 420 35% 5% 17 -4.0 197/250/262 65326 424 38% 6% 38 -2.6 193/254/2525932642839%7%34-1.5
Rubendy Jaquez
2022 · A
23 42→40 37→40 54→55 42 201/251/275 74272 321 27% 6% 42 -2.3 208/249/293 85277 515 26% 5% 46 -2.0 197/224/2767925341623%3%25-1.1
Chris Curran
2011 · A
23 42→38 36→30 49→50 39 198/247/262 64267 313 26% 5% 37 -2.7 211/260/296 85288 613 27% 5% 51 -1.7 205/245/2888328671830%5%40-0.9
Ethan Wilson
2023 · AA
23 38 41→45 50 38 194/232/291 97253 916 28% 4% 38 -2.6 196/240/315 119260 1313 29% 5% 49 -1.8 185/231/311125242151230%5%42-1.6
Raul Siri
2018 · A
23 39 38→40 51→50 42 192/251/271 80265 611 29% 7% 42 -2.3 199/264/283 84349 59 41% 7% 51 -1.7 149/237/2388930741447%8%28-0.6
Jon Murphy
2013 · A
23 38 38→30 47→50 39 185/237/262 77264 513 31% 6% 33 -2.9 197/249/259 62309 310 35% 6% 37 -2.6 191/245/2415030521036%6%27-1.8
Jeff Gelalich
2014 · A
23 42 35→40 50→55 42 197/256/257 59281 211 29% 7% 40 -2.4 196/262/269 73320 415 37% 7% 46 -2.0 189/257/2496135831944%7%36-1.2
Cam Gibson
2017 · A
23 36→41 43→45 53→55 40 184/244/291 108267 1117 34% 7% 44 -2.1 196/257/315 119271 1117 30% 7% 56 -1.3 191/254/304113261101929%7%49-1.4
Michael Siani
2022 · A
23 37→44 39→45 55→60 42 180/250/266 86268 725 34% 8% 40 -2.4 205/275/310 105272 1030 27% 8% 62 -0.9 206/277/30599268103325%8%59-0.9
Rian Kiniry
2010 · A
23 42→47 35→30 50→55 42 199/253/253 54277 215 28% 6% 37 -2.6 210/257/279 69287 519 27% 6% 46 -2.0 201/250/2666527252227%6%36-1.6
Cameron Baranek
2018 · A
23 41 38→40 49→50 37 194/248/275 81296 410 34% 6% 41 -2.3 196/247/275 79311 612 36% 6% 40 -2.4 183/233/2547129061437%5%26-1.3