Luis FriasOF ACL Giants
Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION164 act + 109 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†47
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .268 / .282
PA109
HR1
SB5
K%32
BB%6
BABIP295
ISO81
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -18.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-18BATRUN: +2.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.6 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +7.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: -1.00-1.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.6-0.7-0.62628
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Giants Black 149134 25201 10534 197 187264224487 37296 367 215 23
202217 ROKDSL Giants Black 149128 33301 16374 197 258358305663 47352 2511 311 96
202318 ROKDSL Giants Orange 188171 401112 9617 185 234299345644 111352 325 278 71
202318 ROKDSL Giants Orange 188163 491513 17427 185 301390460850 160390 229 379 148
202419 ROKDSL Giants Orange 167149 24421 12724 135 161242235477 74303 437 211 20
202419 ROKDSL Giants Orange 167143 32631 18504 135 224327329656 105337 3011 300 87
202520 ROKDSL Giants Black 178166 35521 6582 133 211247283530 72306 333 232 36
202520 ROKDSL Giants Black 178160 46731 12412 133 287345388732 100369 237 323 105
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 ROKSF 164141 25212 14695 153 177275248523 71311 429 234 37 -12 +2 +0 -1 +5 -0.6
YTD21 ROKSF 164132 33313 23485 153 250381356737 106353 2914 335 115 +3 +2 +0 -1 +5 0.8
ROS21 ROKSF 0% 10999 20311 7352 51 201268282550 81288 326 246 47 -7 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
ROS21 MLBSF 0% 01 0000 000 00 283 230 34 +0 -0
FULL21 ROKSF 164142 25212 14695 153 176275246521 70307 429 234 37 -12 +2 +0 -1 +5 -0.6
TOT21 ROKSF 273240 45523 211047 204 187272262534 75304 388 239 41 -18 +2 +0 -2 +8 -1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBSF 34% 278254 52924 18854 82 205268303571 98289 316 260 57 -14 +1 +0 -2 +8 -0.7
202823 MLBSF 48% 371338 711326 251105 102 210274314588 104290 307 269 64 -15 +1 +0 -2 +11 -0.6
202722 MLBSF 34% 9689 18311 6291 31 202260292553 90284 306 245 45 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
202823 MLBSF 48% 180163 34613 12543 51 209275313588 104285 307 254 52 -10 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career 276253 52924 18834 82 206270304574 99287 307 251 50 -16 +1 +0 -2 +8 -0.9
/ 162G 650596 1222159 421959 195 205268302570 97287 306 251 50 -37 +2 +0 -4 +18 -2.1
Career 14401311 267471016 8747428 8625 204268291559 88302 336 250 49 -82 +7 +0 -9 +41 -4.4
/ 162G 650592 1212157 3921413 3911 204269292561 88304 336 250 49 -37 +3 +0 -4 +18 -2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Giants Black 149128 33301 16374 197 258358305663 47352 2511 311 96 -1 +1 +4 0.5
202318 ROKDSL Giants Orange 188163 491513 17427 185 301390460850 160390 229 379 148 +10 +2 +5 1.8
202419 ROKDSL Giants Orange 167143 32631 18504 135 224327329656 105337 3011 300 87 -2 +1 +5 0.3
202520 ROKDSL Giants Black 178160 46731 12412 133 287345388732 100369 237 323 105 +1 +1 +5 0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA
112,352344237273341+10+211.02.7
/162664101+3.0+5.80.3pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
2461612209265305-3+0-1.1-0.6
/162664917-4.0+0.0-1.6pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Luis Frias (OGILVIE) 21 45 25 60 25 187/272/262 75304 320 38% 8% 41 -1.0
Johnni Turbo
2010 · A
21 43→48 38→40 55 35 205/237/286 82286 415 30% 4% 38 -2.6 218/255/299 81314 517 31% 4% 49 -1.8 240/277/3046429831820%4%56-0.4
Joseph Monge
2016 · A
21 43→50 37→40 53→50 37 207/248/285 78287 416 29% 4% 43 -2.2 221/265/314 93319 714 32% 4% 59 -1.1 223/268/3169332681532%4%56-0.8
David Paisano
2009 · A
21 40→48 37→40 54→50 38 191/250/261 70273 415 30% 5% 39 -2.5 214/259/292 78298 410 28% 4% 50 -1.7 215/256/288732974828%4%43-1.8
Anderson Bohorquez
2019 · A
21 43 35→30 51→50 41 202/258/263 61274 215 26% 5% 42 -2.3 198/249/266 68274 311 27% 6% 38 -2.6 162/201/1963320801221%5%1-0.9
Mishael Deson
2022 · A
20 47 39→30 53→55 40 226/267/310 84303 717 27% 5% 57 -1.2 224/283/287 63358 511 36% 7% 59 -1.1 219/286/2483036631138%8%48-1.0
Charcer Burks
2016 · A
21 42→45 36→40 52→50 44 199/255/265 66268 417 26% 7% 41 -2.3 198/269/294 96280 815 30% 8% 56 -1.3 193/270/2919827691431%8%53-1.3
Wes Rogers
2015 · A
21 45→48 41→40 57→65 42 217/271/315 97295 918 28% 6% 61 -1.0 221/279/307 86297 534 26% 6% 62 -0.9 221/279/3078629854226%6%60-0.8
Kyle Nevin
2023 · A
21 41→38 40→45 52→50 38 198/249/295 97282 610 31% 5% 47 -1.9 217/274/320 103339 910 36% 7% 64 -0.8 212/271/3099733491237%7%57-0.7
Danny Bautista Jr.
2022 · A
21 42→50 39→40 51→50 42 200/265/292 92288 48 31% 7% 53 -1.5 223/276/306 83278 512 21% 5% 61 -1.0 226/278/3027627351318%5%58-0.9
Jose Cardona
2015 · A
21 46→48 35→40 53→50 44 214/264/276 62277 210 22% 6% 47 -1.9 223/266/313 90273 714 20% 5% 58 -1.2 225/269/3098326991420%5%56-1.0
Edwin Ventura
2018 · A
20 42 35→30 52→55 39 198/239/256 58257 39 24% 4% 31 -3.0 194/248/246 52266 216 26% 6% 33 -2.9 176/234/1982224202725%6%14-1.7
Angel Aponte
2021 · A
21 43 40→45 55 40 209/265/305 96292 717 30% 6% 56 -1.3 205/263/294 89297 720 31% 6% 53 -1.5 189/246/2728327872433%5%38-0.9
D.J. Burt
2017 · A
21 46→51 35→40 54→65 42 215/265/275 60289 321 26% 6% 47 -1.9 210/269/282 72302 425 29% 7% 52 -1.6 213/281/2857229854628%8%55-0.7
Grolmann Gonzalez
2010 · A
21 40 38→40 52→55 42 193/255/277 85272 49 29% 7% 45 -2.1 209/265/303 94303 67 31% 6% 56 -1.3 218/266/3191013077430%6%58-0.2
Dionis Hinojosa
2013 · A
22 44 36→30 54→60 41 204/267/268 64302 321 32% 6% 47 -1.9 203/255/272 69284 412 28% 6% 43 -2.2 192/240/2495725731325%5%27-0.8
L.V. Ware
2009 · A
22 43→47 39→40 56→55 35 205/251/292 88290 511 30% 4% 46 -2.0 212/257/295 83294 418 28% 4% 50 -1.7 211/258/2968529742029%3%48-1.2
Brandon Dailey
2013 · A
21 42 40→45 55 37 202/247/299 97291 712 32% 5% 46 -2.0 194/247/296 102282 96 33% 6% 46 -2.0 138/192/212741905029%5%1-1.2
Erick Brito
2023 · A
21 45→43 35→30 52→55 47 212/278/275 63281 216 24% 8% 54 -1.4 210/271/275 65269 320 22% 6% 51 -1.7 214/271/2816728032323%6%49-0.8
Jayce Easley
2021 · A
21 47→45 36→30 52→65 43 217/280/286 70322 314 32% 8% 57 -1.2 201/299/266 65287 338 28% 11% 63 -0.9 184/291/2395526334428%12%51-0.9
Victor Acosta
2017 · A
21 45→47 39→45 52→45 42 213/270/300 87292 611 28% 6% 57 -1.2 229/271/335 106270 96 18% 5% 66 -0.6 227/271/325982598516%5%61-0.5