Luis Frias

OF ACL Giants

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	ROKDSL Giants Or…	167	.224/.327/.329	1	13	19	—	.142/.230/.196
2025	20	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	178	.288/.345/.388	1	13	28	—	.183/.230/.232
2026	21	ROKSF	185	.236/.376/.338	3	16	37	—	.164/.265/.233
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBSF	295	.194/.258/.273	3	7	51	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBSF	46	.196/.261/.283	1	1	57	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed79

BB%48

ISO42

Chase%40

Z-Con%39

wRC+35

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsL.V. Ware (age 22) · Matt Sheely (age 22) · Angel Aponte (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 96 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .256 / .271

PA96

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	149	128	33	3	0	1	16	37	4	19	7	258	358	305	663	47	352	25	11	311	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	188	163	49	15	1	3	17	42	7	18	5	301	390	460	850	160	390	22	9	379	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	167	143	32	6	3	1	18	50	4	13	5	224	327	329	656	105	337	30	11	300	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	178	160	46	7	3	1	12	41	2	13	3	287	345	388	732	100	369	23	7	323	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK	ACL Giants	—	185	148	35	4	1	3	28	52	5	16	4	236	376	338	714	101	330	28	15	328	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	149	133	22	2	0	0	11	45	4	19	7	165	250	180	430	15	241	30	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	188	169	33	9	1	1	11	51	7	18	5	195	273	278	551	83	267	27	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	167	148	21	4	2	0	13	61	4	13	5	142	230	196	426	54	232	37	8	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	178	164	30	4	2	0	8	50	2	13	3	183	230	232	462	49	244	28	4	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	185	159	26	3	1	2	17	75	5	16	4	164	265	233	498	69	254	41	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	149	133	22	2	0	0	11	45	4	19	7	165	250	180	430	15	247	30	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	149	128	33	3	0	1	16	37	4	19	7	258	358	305	663	47	352	25	11	311	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	188	169	33	9	1	1	11	51	7	18	5	195	273	278	551	83	274	27	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	188	163	49	15	1	3	17	42	7	18	5	301	390	460	850	160	390	22	9	379	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	167	148	21	4	2	0	13	61	4	13	5	142	230	196	426	54	241	37	8	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	167	143	32	6	3	1	18	50	4	13	5	224	327	329	656	105	337	30	11	300	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	178	164	30	4	2	0	8	50	2	13	3	183	230	232	462	49	254	28	4	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	178	160	46	7	3	1	12	41	2	13	3	287	345	388	732	100	369	23	7	323	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	185	159	26	3	1	2	17	75	5	16	4	164	265	233	498	69	279	41	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	—	185	148	35	4	1	3	28	52	5	16	4	236	376	338	714	101	330	28	15	328	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	149	133	22	2	0	0	11	45	4	19	7	165	250	180	430	15	241	30	7	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	188	168	33	9	1	1	11	51	7	18	5	196	273	280	552	83	267	27	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	167	148	21	4	2	0	13	61	4	13	5	142	230	196	426	54	232	37	8	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	178	166	30	4	2	0	8	50	2	13	3	181	230	229	459	48	244	28	4	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	185	161	26	3	1	2	17	75	5	16	4	161	265	230	495	68	254	41	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	167	148	21	4	2	0	13	61	4	13	5	142	230	196	426	54	232	37	8	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	178	166	30	4	2	0	8	50	2	13	3	181	230	229	459	48	244	28	4	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	—	185	161	26	3	1	2	17	75	5	16	4	161	265	230	495	68	254	41	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SF	0%	295	270	53	9	2	3	20	91	3	7	2	194	258	273	531	79	278	31	7	243	51	-17	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SF	34%	135	123	25	4	1	2	9	41	2	3	1	199	263	289	553	90	280	30	7	252	57	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	SF	34%	46	42	8	1	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	196	261	283	544	87	277	30	7	248	57	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	46	42	8	1	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	190	261	286	547	95	259	30	7	248	37	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	113	14	0	14	42	198	14	14	0	191	260	285	545	94	260	30	6	248	37	-34	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1098	985	175	29	8	6	75	353	25	84	26	178	253	242	495	64	266	32	7	223	37	-13	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	104	17	5	4	44	209	15	50	15	178	254	245	499	67	266	32	7	223	37	-36	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Giants · 185 PAwOBA .327 → .223 (−104)K% 28.1% → 40.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.11%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	40.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.14%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.975	9.15%
HBP% /PA	2.70%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	1.90%
Singles /BIP	28.12%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.994	×0.975	22.34%
Doubles /BIP	4.17%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.994	×0.975	2.91%
Triples /BIP	1.04%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.994	×0.975	0.73%
Home runs /BIP	3.12%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.975	2.38%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .327 → .223; ISO .101 → .070; BABIP .330 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Giants Black · 178 PAwOBA .322 → .209 (−113)K% 23.0% → 27.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.03%	÷1.007	×1.220	—	—	27.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.74%	÷1.075	×0.700	—	×0.975	4.28%
HBP% /PA	1.12%	—	×0.700	—	×0.975	0.77%
Singles /BIP	29.41%	÷1.014	×0.680	×1.039	×0.975	19.98%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷1.014	×0.600	×1.039	×0.975	3.53%
Triples /BIP	2.52%	÷0.974	×0.600	×1.039	×0.975	1.57%
Home runs /BIP	0.84%	÷1.022	×0.470	—	×0.975	0.38%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 103, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 101, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 18.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .322 → .209; ISO .100 → .058; BABIP .369 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Giants Orange · 167 PAwOBA .293 → .196 (−97)K% 29.9% → 36.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.94%	÷1.001	×1.220	—	—	36.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.78%	÷0.982	×0.700	—	×0.985	7.57%
HBP% /PA	2.40%	—	×0.700	—	×0.985	1.65%
Singles /BIP	23.66%	÷0.972	×0.680	×1.043	×0.985	16.99%
Doubles /BIP	6.45%	÷0.982	×0.600	×1.043	×0.985	4.05%
Triples /BIP	3.23%	÷0.971	×0.600	×1.043	×0.985	2.05%
Home runs /BIP	1.08%	÷0.914	×0.470	—	×0.985	0.54%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 94, 2B 96, 3B 94, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.

Result: wOBA .293 → .196; ISO .105 → .062; BABIP .337 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Giants Orange · 188 PAwOBA .368 → .245 (−123)K% 22.3% → 27.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.34%	÷0.997	×1.220	—	—	27.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.51%	÷1.027	×0.700	—	×0.995	5.77%
HBP% /PA	3.72%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	2.59%
Singles /BIP	24.79%	÷0.952	×0.680	×1.036	×0.995	18.25%
Doubles /BIP	12.40%	÷0.993	×0.600	×1.036	×0.995	7.72%
Triples /BIP	0.83%	÷1.150	×0.600	×1.036	×0.995	0.44%
Home runs /BIP	2.48%	÷0.949	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.22%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .368 → .245; ISO .160 → .091; BABIP .390 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Giants Black · 149 PAwOBA .305 → .207 (−99)K% 24.8% → 30.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.83%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	30.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.74%	÷0.986	×0.700	—	×1.008	7.68%
HBP% /PA	2.68%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.89%
Singles /BIP	31.87%	÷1.011	×0.680	×1.031	×1.008	22.27%
Doubles /BIP	3.30%	÷1.035	×0.600	×1.031	×1.008	1.98%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.031	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.10%	÷1.074	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.48%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 102, 2B 107, 3B 100, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .305 → .207; ISO .047 → .024; BABIP .352 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Frias (OGILVIE)	22	45	25	60	25	193/256/271	79	278	1	2	31%	7%	51	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕L.V. Ware 2009 · A	22	42→46	39→40	56→55	35	203/249/290	87	287	5	11	30%	4%	51	-2.2	209/254/292	83	288	4	18	28%	4%	54	-2.0	207/255/293	85	290	5	20	29%	3%	51	-1.5
✕Matt Sheely 2009 · A	22	45	36→30	57→50	42	213/263/286	73	287	3	14	26%	6%	55	-1.9	211/274/269	58	313	2	17	31%	7%	56	-1.9	208/274/251	43	315	1	20	31%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Angel Aponte 2022 · A	22	45	40	55	39	215/275/308	93	307	7	20	31%	6%	66	-1.1	201/254/295	94	292	8	19	32%	5%	55	-1.9	180/231/267	87	261	8	23	33%	5%	38	-1.2
✕Dalvy Rosario 2022 · A	22	41→43	38→40	54→55	42	199/261/275	77	278	6	14	29%	7%	53	-2.1	198/244/286	88	289	8	19	33%	5%	49	-2.4	188/230/270	82	277	8	22	34%	4%	38	-2.0
✕Jake Vogel 2024 · A	22	41→40	36→40	55	39	192/256/265	73	293	3	17	34%	6%	49	-2.4	185/257/258	73	290	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	138/225/185	48	226	4	22	38%	8%	19	-2.5
✕Caleb Hobson 2024 · A	22	45→42	37→40	55→60	42	202/276/275	73	329	4	13	37%	8%	59	-1.7	175/265/245	70	331	5	27	43%	10%	49	-2.4	155/254/221	67	300	5	33	45%	10%	38	-2.1
✕Errol Robinson 2017 · A	22	44→49	38→40	54→55	40	211/253/291	80	280	4	15	26%	5%	53	-2.1	221/269/306	85	301	7	16	27%	6%	63	-1.4	197/269/244	47	303	3	26	33%	8%	46	-0.9
✕Mikey Edie 2019 · A	22	48	36→30	51→50	37	219/270/286	66	325	3	15	32%	5%	59	-1.7	211/263/282	71	296	4	8	29%	4%	55	-1.9	200/250/260	60	280	3	7	28%	3%	41	-1.5
✕Maiko Loyola 2007 · A	22	44→50	38→40	52→55	40	210/253/289	79	282	5	11	27%	5%	52	-2.2	215/276/303	88	285	6	19	25%	8%	65	-1.2	207/266/291	84	275	6	21	26%	7%	56	-1.1
✕Gregory Lorenzo 2013 · A	22	43→47	38→30	54→55	37	206/257/293	87	296	4	15	31%	5%	55	-1.9	205/239/271	66	324	2	21	36%	3%	42	-2.9	197/230/251	53	314	1	23	36%	3%	31	-2.5
✕Jordan Sprinkle 2023 · A	22	44	38→30	53→65	40	211/267/288	77	293	6	16	29%	6%	58	-1.7	187/250/250	63	271	4	26	30%	7%	43	-2.8	186/252/236	50	259	3	50	27%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Anfernee Grier 2018 · A	22	44	37→40	50→55	43	210/273/284	74	296	5	16	29%	7%	59	-1.6	190/251/282	92	305	8	19	38%	7%	51	-2.2	160/222/254	94	275	9	24	43%	6%	32	-1.8
✕Aldenis Sanchez 2021 · A	22	46	36→30	51→55	42	215/264/283	68	292	3	12	27%	6%	55	-2.0	223/284/305	82	332	5	24	32%	7%	68	-1.0	203/261/275	73	313	5	30	34%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Evan Mendoza 2018 · A	22	45→52	42→30	53→50	37	223/255/334	112	293	9	10	27%	4%	63	-1.3	234/276/314	80	304	6	5	24%	5%	66	-1.1	230/273/287	57	309	4	9	26%	5%	57	-1.3
✕Jhonny Bethencourt 2019 · A	22	48	37→30	52→50	40	224/267/308	84	307	3	9	27%	5%	61	-1.5	205/252/277	72	301	4	11	31%	6%	49	-2.4	165/213/193	28	251	0	13	32%	6%	15	-1.7
✕Rehiner Cordova 2016 · A	22	44	34→30	51→40	42	208/266/256	47	291	2	7	28%	6%	50	-2.3	195/264/252	57	258	4	7	24%	8%	49	-2.4	151/236/158	7	192	0	2	19%	9%	15	-1.3
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2021 · A	22	45	39→40	52→60	40	212/268/302	90	310	6	12	32%	7%	61	-1.5	184/264/260	76	304	6	22	38%	8%	52	-2.2	142/236/201	58	237	5	33	39%	9%	27	-1.1
✕Alexis Bastardo 2016 · A	22	45	38→40	51→55	43	214/284/295	81	285	5	12	25%	6%	67	-1.1	193/241/256	63	273	4	12	29%	5%	40	-3.0	173/219/222	49	241	4	16	29%	4%	23	-1.4
✕Matt Wessinger 2013 · A	22	43→45	38→30	51→50	41	208/259/285	78	287	6	16	29%	6%	54	-2.0	203/253/272	69	270	5	12	25%	6%	49	-2.4	195/246/258	63	256	4	11	24%	5%	40	-2.4
✕Dasan Brown 2024 · A	22	42→40	39→40	52→60	39	197/268/280	84	303	7	21	35%	6%	58	-1.7	188/264/271	83	289	7	31	35%	8%	54	-2.0	172/256/247	75	267	7	41	35%	8%	43	-1.4