Landry Jurecka

P ACL Padres

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	ASD	6	0	9	6.75	2.56	16.3%	7.0%	—	K 16.3% · BB 7.0% · FIP 2.61
2026	23	MIX3 levels	17	1	33	6.75	3.31	26.4%	7.4%	—	K 17.3% · BB 5.9% · FIP 3.11
2027PROJ	24	MLBSD	13	0	14	4.15	4.15	21.6%	6.9%	0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBSD	12	0	13	4.14	4.11	22.1%	7.0%	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsDanny Hrbek (age 24) · Josh Advocate (age 24) · Nolan Clenney (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.15

FIP4.15

K%21.6%

BB%6.9%

K-BB%14.7%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	6	0	9	43	7	3	0	0%	1.6	16.3%	7.0%	9.3%	0.0%	6.75	2.61	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	6	0	9	43	7	3	0	0%	1.6	16.3%	7.0%	9.3%	0.0%	6.75	2.61	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	6	0	9	43	7	3	0	0%	1.6	16.3%	7.0%	9.3%	0.0%	6.75	2.56	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	1	33	148	39	11	4	6%	2.0	17.3%	5.9%	11.4%	1.3%	6.75	3.11	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	1	33	148	39	11	4	6%	2.0	17.3%	5.9%	11.4%	1.3%	6.75	3.11	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	1	33	148	39	11	4	6%	2.0	26.4%	7.4%	18.9%	2.7%	6.75	3.31	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	SD	13	0	14	59	13	4	2	0%	1.1	21.6%	6.9%	14.7%	3.0%	4.15	4.15	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	29	0	30	128	28	9	4	0%	1.0	22.1%	7.0%	15.1%	2.9%	4.14	4.11	+0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	12	0	13	55	12	4	2	0%	1.1	22.1%	7.0%	15.1%	2.9%	4.14	4.11	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	55	12	4	2	0%	1.1	22.1%	7.0%	15.1%	2.9%	4.14	3.73	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	185	62	31	0%	1.1	22.1%	7.0%	15.1%	2.9%	4.14	3.73	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		23	1	43	191	33	12	2	4%	1.9	17.1%	6.1%	10.9%	1.0%	6.75	3.00	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	5	200	895	153	55	9	4%	1.9	17.1%	6.1%	10.9%	1.0%	6.75	3.00	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Landry Jurecka (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.15	21.6%	6.9%	3.0%	—	4.11	22.1%	15.1%	30	-0.04	—	—	—
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	87
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	86
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.35	22.4%	13.7%	185	+0.62	3.73	223	85
Breckin Williams R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	24	SU	3.65	22.6%	7.3%	2.8%	.282	2.78	23.4%	15.8%	48	-0.87	2.76	107	84
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	83
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	83
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	83
Ocean Gabonia R 2024 · 3.71 FIP	23	SU	3.71	19.7%	6.8%	2.6%	.316	2.79	18.4%	8.6%	41	-0.92	2.79	144	83
Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	24	SU	3.52	23.4%	8.2%	2.5%	.262	6.05	20.5%	11.4%	128	+2.53	3.52	207	83
Stolmy Pimentel R 2014 · 4.13 FIP	24	SU	4.13	25.7%	9.5%	3.6%	.319	4.17	14.8%	4.3%	143	+0.04	3.87	176	83
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.55	20.8%	8.6%	123	+0.76	3.77	245	82
Shay Schanaman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	21.0%	7.6%	3.7%	.292	6.05	16.4%	2.8%	90	+1.71	4.34	148	82
Carlos Frías R 2014 · 3.40 FIP	24	SU	3.40	21.2%	4.4%	2.8%	.296	4.37	13.6%	5.1%	173	+0.97	3.40	236	82
Micah Dallas R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	24	SU	4.04	18.7%	7.1%	3.0%	.273	4.34	17.8%	8.2%	104	+0.30	3.60	202	82
Justin Courtney R 2021 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	19.0%	5.9%	4.3%	.364	6.21	17.3%	5.0%	68	+1.63	4.58	108	82
Hector Noesí R 2011 · 3.73 FIP	24	SU	3.73	18.2%	7.3%	2.3%	.320	4.89	16.1%	8.4%	306	+1.16	3.73	613	82
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	82
José Cisnero R 2013 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	20.7%	8.6%	2.6%	.326	4.50	26.1%	14.4%	12	+0.64	2.26	322	81
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	81
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	81