Josi Novas — OGILVIE

Josi NovasSS Columbia Fireflies

Age 22 R/R 6'4" / 180 lbs A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 118 proj PA

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .227 / .275

PA118

HR2

K%32

BB%4

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Glass	—	157	136	30	13	3	4	18	57	1	7	2	221	316	449	765	228	338	36	11	333	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	135	111	36	5	0	3	23	42	0	8	3	324	440	450	891	126	493	31	17	400	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	173	158	30	8	1	5	9	80	5	4	1	190	256	348	604	158	338	46	5	270	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	308	279	42	10	0	9	20	121	6	7	3	151	223	283	506	133	219	39	6	230	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	66	60	8	2	0	1	5	27	0	2	0	133	200	217	417	83	212	41	8	192	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Glass	—	157	141	16	6	2	2	13	69	1	7	2	113	194	227	420	113	189	44	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	135	119	25	3	0	2	15	60	0	8	3	210	299	286	584	76	387	44	11	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	173	161	15	4	0	3	6	111	5	4	1	93	151	174	325	81	248	64	3	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	308	285	27	7	0	5	14	168	6	7	3	95	154	172	326	77	182	55	5	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	66	62	6	1	0	1	3	37	0	2	0	97	138	161	300	65	190	56	5	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Glass	—	157	141	16	6	2	2	13	69	1	7	2	113	194	227	420	113	194	44	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL KC Glass	—	157	136	30	13	3	4	18	57	1	7	2	221	316	449	765	228	338	36	11	333	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	135	119	25	3	0	2	15	60	0	8	3	210	299	286	584	76	397	44	11	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	135	111	36	5	0	3	23	42	0	8	3	324	440	450	891	126	493	31	17	400	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	173	161	15	4	0	3	6	111	5	4	1	93	151	174	325	81	250	64	3	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	173	158	30	8	1	5	9	80	5	4	1	190	256	348	604	158	338	46	5	270	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	308	285	27	7	0	5	14	168	6	7	3	95	154	172	326	77	193	55	5	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	308	279	42	10	0	9	20	121	6	7	3	151	223	283	506	133	219	39	6	230	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	66	62	6	1	0	1	3	37	0	2	0	97	138	161	300	65	200	56	5	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	66	60	8	2	0	1	5	27	0	2	0	133	200	217	417	83	212	41	8	192	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL KC Glass	—	157	142	16	6	2	2	13	69	1	7	2	113	194	225	419	113	189	44	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	135	119	25	3	0	2	15	60	0	8	3	210	299	286	584	76	387	44	11	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	173	160	15	4	0	3	6	111	5	4	1	94	151	175	326	81	248	64	3	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	308	285	27	7	0	5	14	168	6	7	3	95	154	172	326	77	182	55	5	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	66	63	6	1	0	1	3	37	0	2	0	95	138	159	297	63	190	56	5	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	173	160	15	4	0	3	6	111	5	4	1	94	151	175	326	81	248	64	3	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	308	285	27	7	0	5	14	168	6	7	3	95	154	172	326	77	182	55	5	148	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	66	63	6	1	0	1	3	37	0	2	0	95	138	159	297	63	190	56	5	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	0%	261	245	44	9	1	4	11	83	3	4	1	183	229	277	506	94	256	32	4	228	40	-19	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	34%	182	169	33	7	1	3	9	57	2	3	1	188	236	291	527	103	259	31	5	237	47	-12	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	34%	63	59	10	2	0	1	3	20	1	1	0	186	234	285	519	99	257	32	5	234	47	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	63	59	10	2	0	1	3	20	1	1	0	169	222	254	476	85	237	32	5	234	14	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	609	103	21	0	10	31	206	10	10	0	169	222	253	474	84	237	32	5	234	14	-41	+2	+0	+7	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1139	1048	143	32	4	18	65	540	15	33	11	136	198	226	424	90	251	47	6	189	14	-20	+0	+0	+3	+6	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	81	18	2	10	37	308	9	19	6	135	197	222	420	87	249	47	6	189	14	-43	+0	+0	+7	+14	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josi Novas (OGILVIE)	22	20	35	45	25	181/227/275	93	256	2	2	32%	4%	40	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	39→36	40	49→55	34	191/235/284	93	286	8	9	35%	4%	45	-2.7	178/229/269	91	272	8	12	36%	5%	40	-3.1	151/206/232	81	230	8	13	37%	5%	21	-2.3
✕Maikol Escotto 2024 · A	22	35	41→45	47→50	35	179/230/275	96	276	10	12	38%	5%	42	-2.9	190/232/297	107	275	12	16	34%	4%	47	-2.5	179/219/283	104	251	14	22	34%	4%	37	-1.4
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→40	45→40	34	175/221/253	78	272	7	4	37%	5%	32	-3.6	185/240/265	80	303	8	5	39%	6%	43	-2.8	138/183/216	78	244	10	0	46%	5%	8	-1.0
✕Jairo De La Rosa 2008 · A	22	37→33	39→40	43→45	31	184/217/268	84	284	7	8	37%	4%	34	-3.5	206/242/301	95	306	9	6	34%	4%	51	-2.2	207/238/296	89	297	10	3	33%	4%	45	-1.3
✕Osiris Johnson 2023 · A	22	37	41→40	51→50	39	188/238/276	88	257	10	9	30%	6%	45	-2.7	195/242/287	92	270	10	14	30%	5%	49	-2.4	180/226/267	87	248	10	18	31%	5%	35	-1.3
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Johan Cruz 2018 · A	22	39	41→40	47→45	35	195/230/286	91	274	9	7	32%	4%	43	-2.8	198/246/281	83	279	7	5	30%	6%	49	-2.4	187/239/264	77	268	7	2	31%	6%	40	-1.4
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	37→33	37→40	47→50	31	179/219/250	71	280	4	7	37%	3%	31	-3.7	213/252/298	85	304	6	10	30%	4%	54	-2.0	216/252/305	89	320	6	14	33%	3%	54	-1.1
✕Ramon Beltre 2019 · A	22	43→28	40	49→50	38	211/245/299	87	278	7	7	27%	4%	51	-2.2	182/209/264	82	280	5	6	36%	3%	30	-3.8	150/170/225	75	235	4	6	38%	2%	3	-4.5
✕Mateo Gil 2022 · A	22	41→33	41→45	44→45	34	202/240/301	99	299	9	8	35%	4%	51	-2.3	190/233/302	112	276	11	5	34%	5%	49	-2.4	170/213/284	114	239	12	3	34%	5%	35	-1.8
✕Chuck Moorman 2016 · A	22	36	39→40	44→30	32	178/229/260	82	291	7	5	40%	5%	38	-3.2	191/228/268	77	268	5	3	30%	4%	38	-3.2	183/221/256	73	257	5	0	30%	4%	30	-1.8
✕Sebastián Rivero 2021 · A	22	40	38→40	44→40	36	196/238/274	77	274	6	5	30%	4%	44	-2.8	200/253/297	97	279	8	5	30%	5%	55	-1.9	187/239/282	95	252	8	2	28%	5%	46	-1.0
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2024 · A	21	31→24	39→45	47→60	38	161/223/240	80	247	7	10	36%	6%	31	-3.7	167/231/270	103	253	11	20	37%	7%	42	-2.9	159/229/271	111	233	12	30	36%	7%	39	-1.8
✕Kelvin Melean 2021 · A	22	41	39→40	49→45	37	199/243/282	83	281	6	9	31%	5%	47	-2.5	205/265/284	79	266	6	7	24%	6%	57	-1.8	197/261/267	70	255	5	5	23%	7%	49	-1.3
✕Helder Velazquez 2011 · A	22	38	38→40	42→45	33	187/219/263	77	268	6	8	32%	3%	34	-3.5	200/245/299	99	274	9	8	30%	4%	53	-2.1	195/241/297	103	260	11	7	29%	3%	49	-1.5
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→30	46→45	41	195/255/280	85	272	5	6	29%	6%	52	-2.2	197/255/281	84	276	6	9	29%	6%	52	-2.2	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Luis Pineda 2024 · A	22	36	41→40	40	34	181/229/268	87	286	10	4	39%	5%	39	-3.1	199/246/292	93	336	9	5	41%	6%	51	-2.3	187/241/275	88	313	8	2	41%	6%	43	-1.5
✕Dyron Campos 2023 · A	22	35	42→30	47→50	38	182/234/282	100	256	10	7	32%	6%	45	-2.7	179/233/271	92	282	8	9	38%	5%	42	-2.9	121/174/196	75	193	8	13	41%	3%	1	-1.9
✕Carlos Torres 2015 · A	22	36	37→30	44→50	40	179/226/242	63	240	5	7	27%	5%	32	-3.7	196/234/267	71	268	4	6	27%	4%	40	-3.0	194/228/257	62	261	4	4	26%	4%	32	-1.0
✕Alberto Espinosa 2009 · A	22	37	37→40	45→40	38	183/226/251	68	257	4	4	30%	5%	34	-3.5	200/253/276	76	284	3	5	29%	6%	50	-2.3	195/251/270	75	274	2	2	28%	6%	45	-1.1