Josi Novas — OGILVIE

Josi NovasSS Columbia Fireflies

Age 21 R/R 6'4" / 180 lbs A HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 240 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†23

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .218 / .271

PA240

HR4

SB5

K%36

BB%4

BABIP259

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Glass	—	157	143	17	6	2	3	11	81	1	7	2	119	187	252	439	133	230	52	7	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Glass	—	157	136	30	13	3	4	18	57	1	7	2	221	316	449	765	228	338	36	11	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	135	119	24	3	0	2	15	60	0	8	3	202	291	277	568	76	379	44	11	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	135	111	36	5	0	3	23	42	0	8	3	324	440	450	891	126	493	31	17	400	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	173	161	17	4	1	3	6	107	5	4	1	106	163	199	362	93	269	62	3	152	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	173	158	30	8	1	5	9	80	5	4	1	190	256	348	604	158	338	46	5	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	308	287	24	7	0	5	12	178	6	7	3	84	138	160	298	77	179	58	4	136	-38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	308	279	42	10	0	9	20	121	6	7	3	151	223	283	506	133	219	39	6	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	KC	—	62	58	6	1	0	1	3	36	0	2	0	103	148	172	320	69	227	58	5	134	-39	-10	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
YTD	21	A	KC	—	62	56	8	2	0	1	5	25	0	2	0	143	213	232	445	89	226	40	8	204	15	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
ROS	21	A	KC	0%	240	225	39	8	1	4	10	87	3	5	1	173	218	271	490	98	255	36	4	215	23	-21	+1	+0	+3	+7	-1.1
ROS	21	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		251	—	—	204	14	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	KC	—	62	59	6	1	0	1	3	36	0	2	0	102	148	169	317	68	217	58	5	134	-39	-10	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.7
TOT	21	A	KC	—	302	283	45	9	1	5	13	123	3	7	1	159	204	251	455	92	255	41	4	199	10	-31	+1	+0	+3	+9	-1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	KC	34%	355	331	60	13	1	7	17	123	4	6	1	181	230	290	520	109	259	35	5	232	35	-26	+1	+0	+4	+10	-1.1
2028	23	MLB	KC	48%	431	401	76	16	2	9	22	144	5	7	2	190	241	307	547	117	263	33	5	242	44	-27	+1	+0	+5	+12	-1.0
2029	24	MLB	KC	53%	481	446	85	18	2	10	26	157	6	8	2	191	245	307	552	117	265	33	5	249	49	-28	+1	+0	+5	+14	-0.8
2030	25	MLB	KC	55%	508	469	91	19	2	11	28	164	6	8	2	194	249	313	562	119	266	32	6	252	51	-28	+1	+0	+5	+14	-0.7
2031	26	MLB	KC	56%	523	483	93	19	2	12	29	169	6	9	2	193	247	315	562	122	266	32	6	253	52	-28	+1	+0	+6	+15	-0.7
2027	22	MLB	KC	34%	122	114	19	4	0	2	6	42	1	2	1	167	215	254	469	88	256	34	5	220	26	-10	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
2028	23	MLB	KC	48%	209	194	35	7	1	4	11	70	2	3	1	180	232	289	521	108	260	33	5	230	34	-16	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.7
2029	24	MLB	KC	53%	254	235	44	9	1	5	14	83	3	4	1	187	242	298	540	111	262	33	6	237	39	-17	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.7
2030	25	MLB	KC	55%	278	258	49	10	1	6	15	90	3	5	1	190	243	306	549	116	263	32	5	240	42	-18	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.7
2031	26	MLB	KC	56%	291	269	50	10	1	6	16	94	4	5	1	186	242	297	540	112	263	32	5	241	42	-19	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1154	1071	197	40	4	23	62	379	13	19	5	184	238	293	531	109	258	33	5	235	38	-80	+2	+0	+12	+33	-3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	111	23	2	13	35	213	7	11	3	184	237	294	531	109	258	33	5	235	38	-45	+1	+0	+7	+18	-1.9
Career	—			—	3311	3065	526	113	13	66	176	1270	42	69	19	172	227	282	508	110	263	38	5	227	32	-255	+6	+0	+35	+94	-12.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	104	22	3	13	35	249	8	14	4	173	228	284	512	111	265	38	5	227	32	-50	+1	+0	+7	+18	-2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL KC Glass	—	157	136	30	13	3	4	18	57	1	7	2	221	316	449	765	228	338	36	11	333	113	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	135	111	36	5	0	3	23	42	0	8	3	324	440	450	891	126	493	31	17	400	165	+10	+0	—	—	+4	1.4
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	173	158	30	8	1	5	9	80	5	4	1	190	256	348	604	158	338	46	5	270	65	-7	+0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2025	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	308	279	42	10	0	9	20	121	6	7	3	151	223	283	506	133	219	39	6	230	34	-23	+0	—	—	+9	-1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,456	30	24	189	238	303	+16	+9	-3.2	-1.6
	/162	664	13	11	189	238	303	+7.1	+4.1	-1.5	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josi Novas (OGILVIE)	21	20	35	45	25	159/204/251	92	255	5	7	41%	4%	10	-1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rafael Mejia 2018 · A	20	35	42→40	47→50	36	182/227/281	99	253	10	6	32%	5%	33	-2.9	211/251/341	130	301	15	8	34%	4%	60	-1.0	206/233/374	168	276	24	10	35%	2%	56	-0.3
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Edgardo Fermin 2019 · A	21	36→29	40	46→45	37	180/224/274	94	253	7	7	31%	5%	30	-3.1	191/241/287	96	308	7	10	38%	5%	41	-2.3	177/239/265	88	313	7	11	43%	6%	32	-0.9
✕Justin Twine 2016 · A	20	34→31	37→45	48→50	29	172/203/245	73	259	4	7	35%	2%	14	-4.2	185/224/259	74	292	5	8	37%	3%	27	-3.3	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/269	81	260	6	7	29%	6%	42	-2.3	199/274/280	81	291	6	6	31%	8%	55	-1.4	183/255/250	66	251	6	11	27%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2017 · A	21	32	38→40	38→45	37	162/223/241	78	240	6	4	34%	6%	23	-3.6	184/278/257	73	287	5	6	34%	10%	51	-1.7	159/289/213	54	249	4	5	32%	12%	43	-0.9
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	33	-2.9	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	36	-2.7	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	14	-1.1
✕Will Banfield 2021 · A	21	34→35	40→50	47→30	34	174/220/260	86	266	8	3	37%	5%	26	-3.4	180/221/294	114	261	12	3	35%	4%	35	-2.8	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Jetsy Extrano 2010 · A	21	39	42→40	49→45	39	195/252/299	104	266	9	7	30%	5%	50	-1.8	191/253/279	88	280	6	8	32%	6%	45	-2.1	172/234/234	62	260	4	9	33%	5%	22	-1.2
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A	20	35	37→30	48→60	34	172/222/242	69	271	5	13	37%	5%	21	-3.7	195/244/300	105	293	8	6	34%	5%	46	-2.0	181/230/321	140	251	11	3	32%	5%	41	-0.6
✕Romulo Ruiz 2010 · A	20	32	42→40	47→30	36	169/217/266	97	253	11	5	37%	6%	26	-3.4	188/252/276	88	257	6	4	27%	8%	44	-2.1	185/257/272	88	244	5	1	25%	8%	42	-1.0
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Domingo Soriano 2011 · A	21	36	38→45	43→50	32	179/218/255	75	276	5	7	36%	4%	23	-3.6	194/234/273	79	322	5	10	39%	4%	34	-2.8	179/206/255	77	297	5	17	41%	2%	15	-1.1
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	40	40→45	47→60	41	196/258/286	91	287	8	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	189/245/281	92	306	8	24	38%	6%	41	-2.3	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Alex Lavisky 2013 · A	22	36	42→40	46→30	35	185/231/286	100	277	11	3	36%	5%	37	-2.7	201/245/297	96	268	10	3	28%	5%	46	-2.0	192/236/276	85	241	10	1	24%	4%	34	-0.9
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	38	-2.6	191/272/288	97	316	8	13	39%	7%	56	-1.3	155/237/232	77	334	8	23	51%	6%	25	-1.2
✕Daniel Berg 2006 · A	21	38	37→40	44→40	40	185/251/255	69	257	5	9	29%	6%	38	-2.6	190/257/282	92	283	7	4	33%	7%	48	-1.9	189/260/279	90	281	8	2	33%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Jairo De La Rosa 2008 · A	22	37→33	39→40	43→45	31	184/217/268	84	284	7	8	37%	4%	25	-3.5	206/242/301	95	306	9	6	34%	4%	45	-2.1	207/238/297	90	298	10	3	33%	4%	38	-1.2
✕Dyron Campos 2023 · A	22	36	42→30	47→50	37	184/235/285	101	268	10	7	34%	6%	39	-2.5	176/233/263	87	293	8	9	40%	5%	33	-2.9	109/170/174	66	190	7	13	45%	4%	-19	-2.1