Toby Simmons — OGILVIE

Toby SimmonsOF FCL Marlins

Age 21 S/L 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .273 / .278

PA4

HR0

K%31

BB%8

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	213	180	49	10	5	4	28	66	3	22	5	272	379	450	829	178	402	31	13	367	134	+9	+2	—	—	+5	1.6
2023	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	152	119	26	5	2	1	27	34	5	18	1	218	384	319	703	101	294	22	18	332	111	+2	+3	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	53	43	10	2	1	0	10	19	0	14	2	233	377	326	703	93	417	36	19	330	110	+1	+2	—	—	+1	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	213	190	31	6	3	2	18	97	3	22	5	163	246	258	504	95	302	46	8	227	40	-15	+2	—	—	+5	-0.8
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	152	129	19	3	1	1	17	49	5	18	1	147	272	209	481	62	218	32	11	224	38	-11	+3	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	53	47	7	1	1	0	6	28	0	14	2	149	245	213	458	64	332	53	11	202	23	-5	+2	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	213	190	31	6	3	2	18	97	3	22	5	163	246	258	504	95	312	46	8	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	213	180	49	10	5	4	28	66	3	22	5	272	379	450	829	178	402	31	13	367	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	152	129	19	3	1	1	17	49	5	18	1	147	272	209	481	62	225	32	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	152	119	26	5	2	1	27	34	5	18	1	218	384	319	703	101	294	22	18	332	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	53	47	7	1	1	0	6	28	0	14	2	149	245	213	458	64	368	53	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	53	43	10	2	1	0	10	19	0	14	2	233	377	326	703	93	417	36	19	330	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	213	190	31	6	3	2	18	97	3	22	5	163	246	258	504	95	302	46	8	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	152	129	19	3	1	1	17	49	5	18	1	147	272	209	481	62	218	32	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	53	47	7	1	1	0	6	28	0	14	2	149	245	213	458	64	332	53	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	152	129	19	3	1	1	17	49	5	18	1	147	272	209	481	62	218	32	11	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	53	47	7	1	1	0	6	28	0	14	2	149	245	213	458	64	332	53	11	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		287	25	0	256	59	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	113	101	21	4	1	1	10	34	1	4	0	208	286	297	583	89	289	30	9	268	67	-4	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	167	231	194	425	28	281	31	8	253	67	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	167	231	194	425	28	250	31	8	253	43	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	100	17	0	0	50	200	0	17	0	167	231	195	426	28	250	31	8	253	43	-25	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	535	471	79	14	6	4	51	209	9	58	8	168	262	248	510	81	286	39	10	232	43	-5	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	96	17	7	5	62	254	11	70	10	168	262	248	510	80	286	39	10	232	43	-25	+4	+0	-4	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Toby Simmons (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	195/273/278	83	287	0	1	31%	8%	59	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yonki Hernandez 2012 · A	21	41	36→40	53→55	47	189/286/258	68	278	3	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	197/263/272	75	318	4	18	36%	7%	53	-2.1	179/228/215	36	302	3	27	40%	6%	23	-1.0
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	43→44	40→45	55→50	50	207/291/305	98	286	7	16	28%	10%	72	-0.7	224/282/341	117	311	12	11	30%	7%	76	-0.4	229/272/354	124	311	15	8	31%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→38	39→50	55	45	208/278/297	89	275	6	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	201/273/331	130	270	13	18	29%	7%	71	-0.8	188/266/323	135	254	14	19	30%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2018 · A	21	40→43	41→45	54→50	38	196/250/295	99	290	8	15	34%	6%	53	-2.1	202/265/306	104	313	9	14	36%	8%	61	-1.5	196/266/304	108	307	10	14	37%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7
✕Roberto Caro 2015 · A	21	45→41	38→40	63→60	49	212/292/308	96	281	3	21	24%	9%	72	-0.7	202/272/280	78	301	2	16	31%	8%	58	-1.7	215/287/293	78	329	2	26	32%	8%	65	-0.6
✕C.J. Beatty 2010 · A	21	40	42→45	52→40	41	198/253/297	98	278	9	9	31%	7%	55	-2.0	209/270/324	115	297	9	5	31%	7%	68	-1.0	202/267/332	130	282	11	2	30%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	46→40	40→45	57→60	43	221/278/318	97	302	7	17	28%	7%	69	-0.9	212/274/310	98	290	7	22	27%	7%	65	-1.2	203/265/310	108	257	10	33	24%	7%	60	-0.9
✕Isaiah Greene 2023 · A	21	44→41	38→40	57→55	51	197/299/276	79	311	4	20	34%	12%	69	-0.9	185/268/271	86	315	6	17	39%	10%	55	-1.9	139/221/218	78	251	5	17	43%	9%	23	-1.1
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	38	40→50	50→55	42	189/249/288	99	268	7	12	31%	7%	52	-2.2	198/248/295	97	288	8	8	32%	6%	53	-2.1	179/215/276	97	256	10	2	33%	3%	32	-1.0
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Hansel Moreno 2018 · A	21	46→33	39→45	51→50	39	218/265/307	89	309	6	12	30%	6%	61	-1.5	196/241/292	96	297	9	16	35%	5%	49	-2.4	178/222/270	93	267	10	19	36%	5%	35	-2.1
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	42	-2.9	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	45	-2.7	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	25	-0.8
✕Geraldo Quintero 2023 · A	21	44→46	41→40	55→60	45	214/280/320	106	278	7	20	25%	7%	70	-0.8	213/281/300	87	282	6	26	25%	7%	66	-1.1	204/276/285	81	269	7	32	25%	8%	59	-1.1
✕Oliver Dominguez 2010 · A	21	41	40	53→45	45	201/262/294	93	269	7	12	27%	7%	57	-1.8	201/272/295	94	275	7	13	27%	9%	62	-1.4	190/268/285	94	265	7	12	29%	9%	55	-0.9
✕Jose Infante 2015 · A	21	43	37→40	50	46	197/298/275	78	287	4	13	29%	8%	69	-0.9	190/274/266	76	290	3	10	33%	8%	57	-1.8	124/216/184	60	205	0	10	35%	8%	16	-1.1
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→32	43→45	51→50	42	190/258/298	108	281	10	12	34%	8%	57	-1.8	205/269/314	109	303	11	12	34%	7%	65	-1.2	180/254/288	108	265	12	11	34%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→44	40→45	54→50	40	185/249/285	100	275	6	9	34%	7%	51	-2.2	203/274/314	111	281	9	13	29%	8%	68	-1.0	202/276/313	110	274	9	14	28%	9%	65	-1.0
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2023 · A	21	42→32	43→45	51→50	44	202/279/319	116	307	10	15	35%	9%	71	-0.8	189/252/294	105	285	10	11	35%	7%	55	-2.0	175/234/271	96	258	9	10	34%	6%	40	-1.6
✕Raul Linares 2012 · A	21	41	36→45	59→55	45	193/258/267	74	254	2	23	24%	7%	50	-2.3	202/253/287	85	274	4	14	26%	6%	52	-2.2	217/260/323	106	275	7	7	23%	5%	60	-0.5