Roni Cabrera

RF Columbia Fireflies

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 175 lbs A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	AKC	89	.092/.216/.171	1	7	-25	—	.076/.170/.152
2025	20	ROKKC	156	.307/.391/.518	6	11	59	—	.190/.263/.324
2026	21	AKC	393	.233/.341/.382	9	21	52	—	.183/.268/.294
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBKC	503	.186/.261/.298	10	13	59	-1.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBKC	150	.189/.265/.305	3	4	64	-0.5

Next 2 projected WAR -1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed82

ISO59

BB%48

wOBA43

wRC+42

Chase%37

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsJase Bowen (age 22) · Miguel Hiraldo (age 22) · Johan Lopez (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .259 / .296

PA320

HR6

SB8

K%36

BB%8

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Blue	—	130	112	24	3	1	2	13	32	3	6	1	214	312	312	625	98	275	25	10	286	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	113	33	10	4	2	20	26	4	7	1	292	416	504	920	212	356	19	14	401	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	111	95	22	6	0	4	12	31	2	5	2	232	330	421	751	189	295	28	11	331	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	89	76	7	1	1	1	9	34	3	7	3	92	216	171	387	79	146	38	10	192	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	156	137	42	9	1	6	15	42	4	11	3	307	391	518	909	212	404	27	10	401	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	393	330	77	14	4	9	47	112	7	21	10	233	341	382	723	148	318	28	12	321	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	130	116	16	2	1	1	9	40	3	6	1	138	219	198	417	60	178	31	7	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	119	21	6	2	1	14	33	4	7	1	176	285	286	570	109	221	24	10	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	111	100	16	4	0	3	7	43	2	5	2	160	229	290	519	130	225	39	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	89	79	6	1	1	1	6	47	3	7	3	76	170	152	322	76	125	53	7	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	156	142	27	5	1	4	10	61	4	11	3	190	263	324	587	134	296	39	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	393	344	63	11	3	7	33	152	7	21	10	183	268	294	562	110	276	39	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	130	116	16	2	1	1	9	40	3	6	1	138	219	198	417	60	195	31	7	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	—	130	112	24	3	1	2	13	32	3	6	1	214	312	312	625	98	275	25	10	286	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	119	21	6	2	1	14	33	4	7	1	176	285	286	570	109	230	24	10	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	113	33	10	4	2	20	26	4	7	1	292	416	504	920	212	356	19	14	401	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	111	100	16	4	0	3	7	43	2	5	2	160	229	290	519	130	236	39	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	111	95	22	6	0	4	12	31	2	5	2	232	330	421	751	189	295	28	11	331	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	245	221	32	6	1	5	16	109	7	18	6	145	225	249	474	104	252	44	7	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	245	213	49	10	2	7	24	76	7	18	6	230	328	394	722	164	323	31	10	325	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	393	344	63	11	3	7	33	152	7	21	10	183	268	294	562	110	295	39	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	393	330	77	14	4	9	47	112	7	21	10	233	341	382	723	148	318	28	12	321	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	130	117	16	2	1	1	9	40	3	6	1	137	219	197	415	60	178	31	7	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	139	120	21	6	2	1	14	33	4	7	1	175	285	283	568	108	221	24	10	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	111	101	16	4	0	3	7	43	2	5	2	158	229	287	516	129	225	39	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	245	220	32	6	1	5	16	109	7	18	6	145	225	250	475	105	234	44	7	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	393	350	63	11	3	7	33	152	7	21	10	180	268	289	557	109	276	39	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	111	101	16	4	0	3	7	43	2	5	2	158	229	287	516	129	225	39	6	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	245	220	32	6	1	5	16	109	7	18	6	145	225	250	475	105	234	44	7	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	393	350	63	11	3	7	33	152	7	21	10	180	268	289	557	109	276	39	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	0%	503	451	84	16	3	10	39	179	8	13	5	186	261	298	559	113	278	36	8	255	59	-25	+1	+0	-5	+11	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	34%	436	392	75	14	3	9	34	151	7	11	4	191	267	311	578	120	280	35	8	262	64	-19	+1	+0	-5	+9	-1.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	34%	150	135	26	5	1	3	12	52	2	4	2	189	265	305	569	116	278	35	8	259	64	-6	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	150	135	26	5	1	3	12	52	2	4	2	193	268	311	580	119	284	35	8	259	49	-6	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	113	22	4	13	52	225	9	17	9	193	269	311	580	118	285	35	8	259	49	-28	+0	+0	-7	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1774	1579	276	53	12	32	138	642	35	76	27	175	256	284	541	110	266	36	8	241	49	-35	+1	+0	-8	+16	-2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	101	19	4	12	51	235	13	28	10	174	257	283	540	109	264	36	8	241	49	-30	+1	+0	-7	+14	-2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	470	9	12	188	261	304	-5	-1	-1.4	-0.7
/162	664	13	17	-7.1	-1.4	-1.9	pk7: 0
#3Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1
#4Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3
#5Howie Schultz'43-'48 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	24	15	233*	271*	383*	-30	-2	-3.6	-3.6
/162	664	9	6	-11.8	-0.7	-1.4	pk7: -4
#6Fritz Mollwitz'13-'19 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,904 PA	2.9	1,904	1	70	242*	287*	361*	-34	-8	-5.1	-5.1
/162	664	0	24	-11.8	-2.8	-1.8	pk7: -5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roni Cabrera (OGILVIE)	22	45	45	55	35	184/259/296	112	278	6	8	36%	8%	59	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→42	44→50	55	35	195/250/303	109	296	12	14	37%	5%	56	-1.9	203/253/327	124	287	14	19	33%	5%	62	-1.4	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Miguel Hiraldo 2023 · A	22	41→46	43→45	56→55	38	200/251/308	108	302	10	21	36%	6%	57	-1.8	216/263/319	103	337	10	20	37%	5%	63	-1.3	221/269/319	98	346	9	22	37%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Johan Lopez 2022 · A	22	44	44→45	56→55	44	210/292/329	119	303	11	16	32%	8%	78	-0.3	197/269/298	101	299	9	12	35%	8%	62	-1.4	173/246/259	86	259	8	12	34%	7%	43	-1.0
✕Bubba Starling 2015 · A	22	40→47	42→45	54→50	38	195/255/299	104	294	10	13	36%	6%	57	-1.8	196/243/309	113	289	11	10	34%	5%	54	-2.0	219/258/334	116	284	13	10	27%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Travis Witherspoon 2011 · A	22	42→47	43→45	57→55	34	208/247/314	106	303	11	13	35%	4%	56	-1.9	213/264/325	112	292	12	23	30%	6%	65	-1.2	208/268/334	126	273	14	25	28%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Stanley Tucker 2024 · A	22	39	41→45	53→65	36	188/242/288	100	308	9	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	187/256/270	83	274	7	23	32%	8%	50	-2.3	180/250/264	84	241	8	36	28%	8%	44	-1.3
✕Brandon Jacobs 2013 · A	22	42→46	47→50	49→50	35	209/260/341	131	307	14	15	36%	5%	68	-1.0	191/246/316	125	293	14	9	38%	5%	57	-1.8	173/230/296	124	263	15	7	39%	5%	46	-1.9
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	190/265/292	102	283	8	14	34%	8%	59	-1.6	204/267/311	107	290	7	12	30%	6%	63	-1.3	179/266/281	102	259	10	19	32%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Willy Vasquez 2024 · A	22	40→43	44→45	52→50	38	201/249/316	115	280	12	15	32%	6%	58	-1.7	205/250/302	97	304	9	15	34%	5%	55	-2.0	205/253/290	85	311	7	17	34%	5%	50	-1.0
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Stephen Wrenn 2017 · A	22	41→43	43→45	53→60	35	202/240/314	112	294	10	13	34%	4%	53	-2.1	204/257/298	94	292	7	20	31%	6%	57	-1.8	195/256/299	104	286	8	31	33%	6%	55	-1.5
✕Monte Harrison 2018 · A	22	41→45	45→50	53→60	34	201/260/324	123	319	13	15	39%	6%	65	-1.2	214/271/342	128	354	14	24	41%	6%	73	-0.6	201/270/324	123	349	15	41	43%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Michael Crouse 2013 · A	22	37→40	45→50	52→55	37	182/250/306	124	299	13	19	42%	7%	57	-1.8	199/264/316	117	311	10	18	37%	7%	63	-1.3	197/265/323	127	300	12	19	36%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Eudy Pina 2014 · A	23	38→47	44→45	52→55	40	192/259/316	124	275	10	12	33%	7%	62	-1.4	224/270/327	103	312	8	9	29%	5%	68	-1.0	233/272/321	88	320	6	8	28%	4%	64	-0.9
✕Justin Trapp 2013 · A	22	43→45	42→45	54→55	40	210/267/318	107	293	9	17	30%	6%	65	-1.2	216/269/308	92	294	8	15	28%	6%	63	-1.3	213/266/293	80	288	8	16	27%	5%	56	-1.5
✕Niko Decolati 2021 · A	23	43→46	42→45	51→55	36	211/267/313	103	297	9	13	31%	4%	64	-1.3	212/282/300	88	310	8	19	32%	7%	67	-1.1	205/288/284	80	300	7	22	31%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Julio Carreras 2022 · A	22	44→46	40→45	52→55	35	209/251/304	95	315	7	12	35%	4%	55	-1.9	215/266/316	101	317	7	16	32%	6%	64	-1.3	210/269/305	95	315	6	30	33%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Jeffrey Baez 2015 · A	21	41→46	42→50	54→60	36	202/249/311	109	299	10	19	35%	5%	57	-1.8	208/251/314	106	273	10	23	27%	5%	57	-1.8	195/248/328	132	258	16	15	30%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Charcer Burks 2017 · A	22	41→48	40	52→50	44	200/267/293	93	278	6	17	29%	7%	59	-1.6	209/281/303	94	291	7	14	28%	8%	68	-1.0	205/279/290	85	284	6	14	28%	8%	62	-1.2
✕Alerick Soularie 2022 · A	23	43	42→45	54→60	45	206/285/309	103	308	10	15	34%	9%	70	-0.8	197/279/312	115	290	12	22	34%	9%	70	-0.9	181/270/293	112	261	13	29	33%	9%	60	-0.7

Roni Cabrera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps