Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 11 | 0 | 20 | 88 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 12.4% | 18.5% | -6.1% | 4.4% | 5.49 | 6.83 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 11 | 0 | 20 | 88 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 18.2% | 14.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.49 | 5.44 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 15 | 0 | 30 | 145 | 33 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 15.5% | 15.5% | -0.0% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 3.76 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL Blue Jays | 15 | 0 | 30 | 145 | 33 | 18 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | 22.8% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 2.70 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 39 | 168 | 35 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.5% | 12.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 2.52 | 3.72 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 0 | 39 | 168 | 35 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 0.6% | 2.52 | 2.95 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | 21 | 0 | 34 | 154 | 27 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 13.0% | 19.2% | -6.2% | 4.2% | 5.29 | 6.75 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TOR | 21 | 0 | 22 | 91 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 4.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 56 | 245 | 47 | 34 | 8 | — | — | 19.2% | 13.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.95 | 5.84 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TOR | 21 | 0 | 22 | 95 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TOR | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 3.87 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 73 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 73 | 0 | 123 | 555 | 78 | 89 | 11 | 0% | 1.7 | 14.0% | 16.1% | -2.1% | 2.0% | 4.46 | 5.06 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 119 | 0 | 200 | 902 | 126 | 145 | 18 | 0% | 1.7 | 14.0% | 16.1% | -2.1% | 2.0% | 4.46 | 5.06 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Diego Dominguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.8% | — | 4.26 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 22 | -0.16 | — | — | — |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 93 |
| Michael Gomez R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 92 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 91 |
| Addison Russ R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 90 |
| Luke Bell R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 90 |
| Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 90 |
| Corey Copping R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.12 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .265 | 4.55 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 179 | +0.43 | 3.41 | 214 | 89 |
| David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 89 |
| Peyton Williams R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 89 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 88 |
| Tyler Bray R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .356 | 3.17 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 114 | -0.91 | 2.81 | 152 | 88 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2028 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 88 |
| Kenny Oakley R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.50 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .348 | 3.65 | 17.3% | 7.8% | 115 | +0.15 | 3.00 | 144 | 88 |
| Chris Gau R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 87 |
| Collin Kober R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.39 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .268 | 3.04 | 24.0% | 17.9% | 128 | -0.35 | 2.40 | 294 | 87 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 4.09 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 134 | +0.14 | 3.24 | 172 | 87 |
| Reilly Hovis R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.03 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% | .250 | 4.41 | 19.8% | 6.4% | 50 | +0.38 | 4.03 | 130 | 87 |
| Joey Stock R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.38 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .275 | 5.22 | 22.5% | 6.8% | 95 | +1.84 | 3.38 | 121 | 87 |
| Jacob Bodner R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.40 | 19.8% | 9.7% | 1.4% | .281 | 3.50 | 22.1% | 12.4% | 98 | +0.10 | 3.16 | 124 | 87 |
| Austin Smith R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 87 |