Diego Dominguez — OGILVIE

Diego Dominguez P Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 178 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.07

FIP5.07

K%18.5%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%5.8%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	11	0	20	88	16	13	3	0%	1.8	12.4%	18.5%	-6.1%	4.6%	5.49	6.92	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	11	0	20	88	16	13	3	0%	1.8	18.2%	14.8%	3.4%	3.4%	5.49	5.44	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	15	0	30	145	33	18	0	0%	2.0	15.5%	15.5%	-0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.76	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	15	0	30	145	33	18	0	0%	2.0	15.5%	15.5%	-0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.76	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	15	0	30	145	33	18	0	0%	2.0	22.8%	12.4%	10.3%	0.0%	5.40	2.70	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	39	168	35	17	1	0%	1.5	14.5%	12.4%	2.0%	0.6%	2.52	3.78	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	39	168	35	17	1	0%	1.5	14.5%	12.4%	2.0%	0.6%	2.52	3.78	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	39	168	35	17	1	0%	1.5	20.8%	10.1%	10.7%	0.6%	2.52	2.95	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	23	0	36	165	29	27	5	0%	1.6	13.0%	19.3%	-6.3%	3.9%	6.06	6.61	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	23	0	36	165	29	27	5	0%	1.6	13.0%	19.3%	-6.3%	3.9%	6.06	6.61	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	TOR	23	0	36	165	29	27	5	0%	1.6	17.6%	16.4%	1.2%	3.0%	6.06	5.35	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TOR	35	0	37	155	31	18	4	0%	1.0	20.1%	11.3%	8.8%	2.8%	4.85	4.75	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	TOR	17	0	18	76	15	9	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.3%	8.8%	2.8%	4.85	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	76	15	9	2	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.3%	8.8%	2.8%	4.85	4.37	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	100	22	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.3%	8.8%	2.8%	4.85	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		75	0	125	566	79	92	12	0%	1.7	14.0%	16.2%	-2.2%	2.0%	4.69	5.09	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		120	0	200	908	127	147	19	0%	1.7	14.0%	16.2%	-2.2%	2.0%	4.69	5.09	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Diego Dominguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	18.5%	12.7%	2.8%	—	4.75	20.1%	8.8%	37	-0.32	—	—	—
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	92
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	91
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	90
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	90
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	90
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	90
Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.254	3.65	16.1%	4.9%	156	-0.94	3.06	523	89
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	89
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	89
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	89
Hobie Harris R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	22	SU	4.28	18.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.239	3.36	21.2%	12.0%	144	-0.92	3.31	474	89
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	88
Jason García R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	22	SU	4.57	16.8%	12.5%	2.4%	.241	4.37	13.2%	1.2%	218	-0.20	4.16	356	88
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	88
Michael Hobbs R 2022 · 4.54 FIP	23	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.9%	2.3%	.232	4.48	20.1%	3.9%	158	-0.06	4.14	184	88
Logan Lombana R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	22	SU	4.04	16.8%	10.9%	1.8%	.316	4.02	15.4%	8.7%	97	-0.02	3.80	155	87
Davison Palermo R 2023 · 4.32 FIP	23	SU	4.32	19.0%	12.4%	2.3%	.246	5.02	18.8%	6.8%	174	+0.70	4.32	218	87
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	280	86
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	86
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	86

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	19.5%	11.8%	1.09	4.93
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99