Alfredo Velásquez

Alfredo Velásquez3B Frederick Keys

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 153 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION116 act + 16 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .188 / .188

PA16

HR0

K%19

BB%2

BABIP270

ISO53

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL BAL Black	—	181	159	47	6	4	1	13	12	7	14	3	296	374	403	777	107	311	7	7	348	122	+5	+2	—	—	+4	1.0
2023	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	95	87	20	5	0	2	7	16	1	7	0	230	295	356	651	126	261	17	7	294	85	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2024	19	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	31	31	6	1	0	0	0	5	0	1	0	194	194	226	419	32	231	16	0	187	13	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	155	143	35	6	1	0	9	27	0	11	3	245	289	301	590	56	297	17	6	264	65	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	33	31	9	1	1	0	1	5	1	4	0	290	333	387	720	97	346	15	3	323	105	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	20	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	84	81	21	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	259	286	272	557	12	304	14	4	256	59	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	55	53	8	2	0	0	1	8	0	2	0	151	167	189	355	38	178	15	2	158	-7	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2025	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	191	180	45	2	3	1	6	17	1	15	6	250	277	311	588	61	268	9	3	260	62	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	181	164	38	5	3	1	8	18	7	14	3	232	296	317	613	85	247	10	4	267	67	-7	+2	—	—	+4	-0.2
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	95	90	15	4	0	1	4	24	1	7	0	167	211	244	455	78	208	25	4	204	24	-9	+1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	19	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	31	31	5	1	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	161	161	194	355	32	211	19	0	157	-8	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	155	146	30	4	1	0	6	37	0	11	3	205	237	247	483	41	260	24	4	209	28	-13	+1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	33	31	7	1	1	0	1	7	1	4	0	226	273	323	595	97	280	21	3	236	46	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	20	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	84	82	21	1	0	0	2	14	0	1	0	256	274	268	542	12	301	17	2	235	45	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	20	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	55	53	7	2	0	0	1	11	0	2	0	132	148	170	318	38	162	20	2	132	-24	-8	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	191	183	43	2	3	1	4	24	1	15	6	235	255	295	550	60	256	13	2	236	46	-12	+1	—	—	+4	-0.8
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	181	164	38	5	3	1	8	18	7	14	3	232	296	317	613	85	252	10	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL BAL Black	—	181	159	47	6	4	1	13	12	7	14	3	296	374	403	777	107	311	7	7	348	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	95	90	15	4	0	1	4	24	1	7	0	167	211	244	455	78	215	25	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	95	87	20	5	0	2	7	16	1	7	0	230	295	356	651	126	261	17	7	294	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	219	209	41	5	1	0	6	50	1	16	3	196	222	230	452	33	255	23	3	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	3 teams	—	219	205	50	8	2	0	10	37	1	16	3	244	282	302	585	59	294	17	5	262	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	330	318	70	4	3	1	7	49	1	18	6	220	239	261	500	41	256	15	2	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	330	314	74	5	3	1	10	37	1	18	6	236	261	280	541	45	263	11	3	242	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	181	164	38	5	3	1	8	18	7	14	3	232	296	317	613	85	247	10	4	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	95	90	15	4	0	1	4	24	1	7	0	167	211	244	455	78	208	25	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	219	210	41	5	1	0	6	50	1	16	3	195	222	229	451	33	256	23	3	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	330	319	70	4	3	1	7	49	1	18	6	219	239	260	499	41	252	15	2	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	95	90	15	4	0	1	4	24	1	7	0	167	211	244	455	78	208	25	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	219	210	41	5	1	0	6	50	1	16	3	195	222	229	451	33	256	23	3	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	330	319	70	4	3	1	7	49	1	18	6	219	239	260	499	41	252	15	2	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	BAL	—	116	104	23	2	1	1	5	18	1	4	3	221	264	288	552	67	259	16	4	234	44	-8	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	BAL	—	27	25	6	2	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	240	296	320	616	80	286	15	7	281	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	BAL	—	55	49	16	1	1	1	4	3	0	4	2	327	377	449	826	122	333	5	7	355	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA RAW	BAL	—	34	28	3	0	0	0	1	7	1	0	1	107	167	107	274		143	21	3	122	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	BAL	0%	16	16	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	188	188	188	375		267	19	0	241	49	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	21	A+ MLE	BAL	—	132	120	26	2	1	1	5	21	1	4	3	217	254	275	529	58	255	16	4	235	45	-9	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BAL	35%	418	399	95	12	3	5	14	66	2	11	4	238	267	321	588	83	271	16	3	261	63	-19	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.8
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	49%	476	452	108	14	3	7	18	75	3	12	5	239	273	330	602	91	274	16	4	273	71	-16	+0	+0	+2	+10	-0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	513	483	118	15	4	9	22	82	3	13	5	244	281	348	629	104	275	16	4	281	76	-15	+1	+0	+2	+11	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	532	501	123	16	4	10	23	85	3	13	5	246	283	353	636	108	276	16	4	284	79	-14	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	542	509	126	16	4	11	24	86	4	14	5	248	287	360	646	112	276	16	4	286	79	-13	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	543	509	126	16	4	11	25	87	4	14	5	248	288	360	648	112	275	16	5	286	79	-13	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	BAL	59%	539	505	124	16	4	10	25	87	4	13	5	246	287	352	639	107	275	16	5	285	79	-14	+1	-1	+2	+12	-0.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	BAL	61%	529	496	121	16	3	10	25	86	3	12	5	244	284	349	633	105	274	16	5	282	77	-14	+0	-1	+2	+11	-0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	BAL	62%	519	486	118	15	3	10	25	86	3	11	4	243	284	348	632	105	273	17	5	280	75	-15	+1	-2	+2	+11	-0.4
2027	22	MLB CTX	BAL	35%	144	137	33	4	1	2	5	23	1	4	1	241	273	328	601	88	275	16	3	260	63	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	49%	231	219	54	7	2	4	9	37	1	6	2	247	279	352	631	105	277	16	4	273	71	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	271	256	63	8	2	5	11	43	2	7	3	246	283	352	634	105	279	16	4	280	76	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	291	274	68	9	2	6	13	46	2	7	3	248	287	361	649	113	279	16	4	284	79	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	302	283	70	9	2	6	14	48	2	8	3	247	288	357	645	110	279	16	5	285	79	-7	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	299	281	70	9	2	6	14	48	2	7	3	249	290	359	649	110	279	16	5	285	79	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	BAL	59%	317	297	74	10	2	6	15	51	2	8	3	249	290	357	647	108	278	16	5	284	79	-8	+0	-0	+1	+7	-0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	BAL	61%	321	301	74	10	2	6	15	52	2	7	3	246	286	352	638	106	278	16	5	282	77	-9	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	BAL	62%	322	302	74	10	2	6	15	53	2	7	3	245	285	351	636	106	276	16	5	279	75	-9	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2498	2350	580	76	17	47	111	401	16	61	24	247	285	354	639	107	278	16	4	281	70	-70	+3	-3	+9	+54	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	611	150	20	4	12	29	104	4	16	6	245	284	350	634	105	277	16	4	281	70	-18	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5452	5137	1226	154	39	86	226	884	39	168	55	239	276	334	610	95	272	16	4	272	70	-134	+5	-4	+17	+100	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	612	146	18	5	10	27	105	5	20	7	239	276	333	610	95	271	16	4	272	70	-19	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	2.7	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
/162	664	16	25	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
/162	664	13	4	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.8	2,500	46	61	245	280	350	+9	+2	1.0	1.1
/162	664	12	16	+2.4	+0.7	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alfredo Velásquez (OGILVIE)	21	50	20	60	20	227/251/281	55	267	1	9	16%	3%	49	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yensy Perez 2008 · A	21	48	35→30	55	41	221/283/286	64	281	1	17	21%	4%	64	-1.3	208/265/280	72	282	4	17	26%	4%	56	-1.9	161/198/202	41	226	4	33	30%	2%	10	-0.9
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2019 · A	21	50→59	37→40	49→50	39	236/269/313	77	286	3	16	19%	2%	63	-1.3	242/282/325	83	287	5	15	17%	3%	72	-0.7	248/292/343	96	290	7	16	17%	3%	76	-0.3
✕Dixon Mavares 2007 · A	21	46	35→30	51→50	44	215/285/275	60	277	1	11	22%	6%	62	-1.4	220/294/288	68	262	3	10	16%	8%	69	-0.9	223/303/283	60	253	3	11	12%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Luis Jean 2016 · A	21	50	35→30	52→55	44	233/274/291	58	277	2	21	16%	5%	60	-1.6	218/259/272	54	266	2	18	18%	4%	51	-2.3	209/248/246	37	253	0	21	17%	4%	37	-1.2
✕Alex Mercedes 2013 · A	21	48	36→40	54→55	50	222/275/291	69	250	2	17	12%	6%	61	-1.5	223/279/307	84	261	2	15	14%	6%	66	-1.1	226/284/322	96	261	1	16	13%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Isaias Velasquez 2009 · A	21	47→57	34→40	54→55	46	221/279/276	55	282	2	19	21%	6%	59	-1.6	242/292/322	80	306	2	16	20%	6%	74	-0.5	250/301/335	86	311	2	19	19%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Randy Romero 2021 · A	21	50	37→40	60	46	236/278/312	77	269	3	22	14%	5%	67	-1.1	202/245/267	65	275	3	17	26%	5%	45	-2.7	178/216/225	47	246	1	22	27%	4%	22	-1.1
✕Grenny Cumana 2017 · A	21	49	35→30	49→50	43	229/268/292	63	259	2	14	13%	3%	58	-1.7	236/269/303	67	273	4	12	15%	3%	61	-1.5	250/282/316	66	280	4	2	12%	3%	64	-0.4
✕Guillermo Granadillo 2018 · A	21	48	37→30	52→55	46	225/278/297	71	275	4	19	19%	6%	63	-1.3	216/268/275	59	285	3	14	24%	6%	55	-2.0	211/262/246	35	281	1	16	24%	5%	43	-0.8
✕Dom Abbadessa 2019 · A	21	51	36→40	51→55	40	238/284/310	72	305	3	15	22%	4%	69	-0.9	212/272/288	76	315	3	11	31%	6%	60	-1.6	145/231/201	56	253	0	9	38%	8%	23	-0.8
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	54	-2.0	206/257/291	85	297	7	10	31%	5%	55	-1.9	189/234/268	78	291	9	9	37%	3%	38	-0.8
✕Derrik Gibson 2011 · A	21	43→53	35→40	55	46	203/266/264	61	269	2	21	24%	7%	52	-2.2	208/266/265	57	284	2	17	25%	7%	52	-2.2	246/309/315	68	310	3	11	20%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Joe Munoz 2007 · A	21	48	35→30	54→55	46	219/300/279	61	282	1	22	21%	6%	70	-0.9	201/259/265	64	263	2	11	23%	5%	50	-2.3	174/218/225	51	227	2	7	23%	3%	23	-1.0
✕Noel Cuevas 2013 · A	21	45→51	39→45	55	41	216/259/307	91	271	6	19	22%	4%	59	-1.7	223/264/327	104	289	8	20	25%	4%	65	-1.2	251/284/358	107	311	8	12	22%	3%	77	-0.2
✕Calten Daal 2015 · A	21	52→54	35→30	52→50	39	243/273/302	59	313	3	11	23%	4%	62	-1.4	248/284/297	49	322	3	15	23%	4%	65	-1.2	263/291/293	30	340	1	15	22%	3%	63	-0.6
✕Allen Córdoba 2017 · A	21	53→52	36→45	55	46	248/294/323	75	292	3	17	16%	5%	75	-0.5	222/276/311	89	289	7	13	24%	6%	66	-1.1	236/299/336	100	294	8	22	21%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Evan Crawford 2010 · A	21	45→55	36→40	57→55	39	212/259/279	67	305	3	16	30%	6%	52	-2.2	233/276/316	83	328	3	18	28%	4%	67	-1.1	241/284/326	85	338	3	21	28%	4%	68	-0.9
✕Nick Liles 2010 · A	23	47→57	35→30	55→50	41	219/255/285	65	264	2	16	18%	4%	52	-2.2	257/292/321	64	306	1	13	16%	4%	73	-0.6	266/302/324	58	316	1	12	15%	4%	76	-0.3
✕Eric Farris 2008 · A	22	51→58	36→40	53→60	45	240/276/313	73	275	3	16	14%	4%	66	-1.1	253/284/328	75	289	5	28	14%	4%	72	-0.7	258/289/332	73	291	5	35	13%	3%	72	-0.5
✕Alex Yarbrough 2013 · AA	21	49→56	37→45	56→45	43	229/259/318	89	262	3	11	14%	4%	61	-1.5	242/269/345	103	314	7	7	24%	3%	71	-0.8	236/263/331	95	316	6	5	27%	3%	64	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps