Alfredo Velásquez3B
Delmarva Shorebirds
Age 21
R/R
5'11" / 153 lbs
A
HR +8%BB -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.6 · 2031
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .278 / .333
PA320
HR5
SB7
K%19
BB%5
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
20→20
SPD
60→60
EYE
31↘20
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.6peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.6 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.6 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.5 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.3 | $13M | +$11M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.0 | $10M | +$7M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +0.8 | $4M | +$0.8M |
| Totals | $12M | $73M | +$61M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL BAL Black | 181 | 164 | 39 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 7 | 14 | 3 | .238 | .302 | .329 | .631 | .091 | .259 | 10 | 4 | .271 | 66 | -7 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 95 | 90 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 1 | 7 | 0 | .167 | .211 | .244 | .455 | .078 | .219 | 26 | 4 | .200 | 11 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | 3 teams | 219 | 209 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 49 | 1 | 16 | 3 | .206 | .231 | .249 | .480 | .043 | .265 | 22 | 3 | .206 | 16 | -21 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -1.2 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | 3 teams | 330 | 318 | 70 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 49 | 1 | 18 | 6 | .220 | .239 | .261 | .500 | .041 | .256 | 15 | 2 | .218 | 25 | -28 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | BAL | 320 | 299 | 71 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 61 | 2 | 7 | 2 | .237 | .281 | .341 | .622 | .104 | .280 | 19 | 5 | .276 | 69 | -11 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | BAL | 418 | 387 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 78 | 3 | 10 | 3 | .243 | .294 | .357 | .651 | .114 | .282 | 19 | 6 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +12 | 0.5 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | BAL | 476 | 439 | 107 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 88 | 3 | 12 | 3 | .244 | .298 | .367 | .665 | .123 | .283 | 18 | 7 | .298 | 86 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | BAL | 513 | 469 | 117 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 94 | 4 | 13 | 3 | .249 | .307 | .382 | .689 | .132 | .284 | 18 | 7 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | BAL | 532 | 486 | 122 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 37 | 98 | 4 | 13 | 3 | .251 | .309 | .387 | .696 | .136 | .284 | 18 | 7 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | BAL | 542 | 494 | 123 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 99 | 4 | 13 | 3 | .249 | .309 | .383 | .692 | .134 | .285 | 18 | 7 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | BAL | 543 | 494 | 123 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 100 | 4 | 13 | 3 | .249 | .310 | .383 | .693 | .134 | .285 | 18 | 7 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +15 | 1.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 539 | 490 | 122 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 100 | 4 | 13 | 2 | .249 | .311 | .384 | .695 | .135 | .284 | 19 | 7 | .308 | 94 | -4 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +15 | 1.5 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 529 | 480 | 119 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 100 | 4 | 12 | 2 | .248 | .311 | .383 | .694 | .135 | .284 | 19 | 8 | .306 | 92 | -5 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +15 | 1.3 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 519 | 471 | 115 | 19 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 100 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .244 | .307 | .374 | .681 | .130 | .282 | 19 | 8 | .303 | 90 | -6 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +15 | 1.0 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 505 | 458 | 110 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 99 | 4 | 10 | 1 | .240 | .304 | .362 | .666 | .122 | .281 | 20 | 8 | .299 | 87 | -7 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 487 | 445 | 105 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 98 | 3 | 9 | 0 | .236 | .298 | .353 | .650 | .117 | .280 | 20 | 7 | .294 | 83 | -9 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +14 | 0.5 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 457 | 417 | 97 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 95 | 3 | 8 | 0 | .233 | .295 | .345 | .640 | .113 | .278 | 21 | 7 | .289 | 79 | -11 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +13 | 0.1 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 412 | 376 | 86 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 89 | 3 | 7 | 0 | .229 | .291 | .340 | .631 | .112 | .277 | 22 | 7 | .282 | 74 | -12 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +12 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7617 | 6986 | 1678 | 275 | 44 | 153 | 505 | 1440 | 59 | 206 | 39 | .240 | .297 | .358 | .655 | .118 | .281 | 19 | 7 | .291 | 81 | -163 | +26 | -20 | +27 | +216 | 8.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 596 | 143 | 23 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 123 | 5 | 18 | 3 | .240 | .297 | .357 | .654 | .117 | .280 | 19 | 7 | .291 | 81 | -14 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +18 | 0.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL BAL Black | 181 | 159 | 47 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 3 | .296 | .374 | .403 | .777 | .107 | .311 | 7 | 7 | .348 | 125 | +5 | +2 | — | — | +5 | 1.2 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 95 | 87 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 0 | .230 | .295 | .356 | .651 | .126 | .261 | 17 | 7 | .294 | 83 | -2 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 19 | AA | Bowie Baysox | 31 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .194 | .194 | .226 | .419 | .032 | .231 | 16 | 0 | .187 | 2 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 155 | 143 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 0 | 11 | 3 | .245 | .289 | .301 | .590 | .056 | .297 | 17 | 6 | .264 | 60 | -7 | +1 | — | — | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 33 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | .290 | .333 | .387 | .720 | .097 | .346 | 15 | 3 | .323 | 106 | +0 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 20 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 84 | 81 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .259 | .286 | .272 | .557 | .012 | .304 | 14 | 4 | .256 | 54 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | 55 | 53 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .151 | .167 | .189 | .355 | .038 | .178 | 15 | 2 | .158 | -21 | -8 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | 191 | 180 | 45 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 6 | .250 | .277 | .311 | .588 | .061 | .268 | 9 | 3 | .260 | 57 | -9 | +1 | — | — | +5 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alfredo Velásquez (OGILVIE) | 21 | 50 | 20 | 60 | 20 | .235/.278/.333 | .098 | .280 | 5 | 7 | 19% | 5% | 69 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Ramon Soto 2009 · AAA |
21 | 44 | 42→30 | 51→45 | 44 | .220/.275/.323 | .103 | .279 | 11 | 12 | 25% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.277/.301 | .068 | .286 | 5 | 8 | 19% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .272/.316/.326 | .054 | .333 | 2 | 7 | 18% | 5% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Humberto Castro 2013 · AAA |
22 | 51 | 41→40 | 53→45 | 42 | .248/.297/.346 | .097 | .308 | 9 | 13 | 22% | 5% | 80 | +0.4 | .230/.276/.307 | .077 | .279 | 6 | 8 | 19% | 4% | 61 | -1.0 | .264/.322/.324 | .060 | .311 | 3 | 5 | 15% | 5% | 80 | +0.1 |
|
✕Jasson Atondo 2017 · AAA |
21 | 47→57 | 39→30 | 49→50 | 44 | .224/.256/.309 | .085 | .252 | 6 | 12 | 14% | 4% | 52 | -1.6 | .240/.277/.321 | .081 | .280 | 6 | 11 | 16% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .310/.339/.367 | .057 | .342 | 3 | 11 | 10% | 4% | 96 | +1.2 |
|
✕Darell Hernaiz 2023 · AA |
21 | 46→56 | 42→45 | 55→50 | 41 | .228/.273/.331 | .102 | .284 | 10 | 20 | 23% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .247/.297/.349 | .102 | .297 | 9 | 14 | 19% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .252/.309/.345 | .093 | .294 | 7 | 12 | 16% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
✕Osleivis Basabe 2022 · A |
21 | 51→61 | 38→45 | 55→50 | 44 | .241/.283/.325 | .084 | .294 | 5 | 14 | 20% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .258/.302/.361 | .103 | .312 | 5 | 15 | 18% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .259/.304/.363 | .104 | .312 | 6 | 15 | 18% | 5% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Adrian Cardenas 2009 · AA |
21 | 51→57 | 40 | 53→50 | 45 | .246/.291/.339 | .092 | .297 | 7 | 13 | 20% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .259/.307/.352 | .093 | .307 | 5 | 9 | 16% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .269/.318/.358 | .090 | .312 | 5 | 8 | 15% | 6% | 90 | +0.9 |
|
✕Kelby Tomlinson 2012 · A |
22 | 49→59 | 40 | 55→60 | 44 | .234/.284/.337 | .103 | .297 | 6 | 13 | 23% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .216/.269/.274 | .058 | .292 | 2 | 21 | 25% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .274/.334/.339 | .065 | .334 | 3 | 24 | 17% | 7% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
✕Maximo Rivera 2014 · A |
21 | 45 | 40→45 | 53→60 | 43 | .219/.272/.307 | .089 | .279 | 8 | 21 | 24% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .213/.262/.283 | .070 | .295 | 4 | 11 | 27% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .198/.239/.245 | .047 | .274 | 3 | 7 | 27% | 5% | 25 | -0.9 |
|
✕Randy Romero 2021 · A |
21 | 50 | 37→40 | 59→60 | 46 | .232/.275/.308 | .075 | .266 | 3 | 22 | 14% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.248/.269 | .064 | .274 | 3 | 17 | 25% | 5% | 39 | -2.5 | .178/.217/.223 | .045 | .246 | 1 | 22 | 27% | 4% | 12 | -1.1 |
|
✕Brandon Roberts 2006 · A |
21 | 49→59 | 39→40 | 57→55 | 43 | .236/.287/.322 | .086 | .295 | 6 | 20 | 22% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .251/.298/.318 | .067 | .312 | 4 | 23 | 20% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .276/.331/.345 | .070 | .330 | 4 | 22 | 17% | 5% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕José Caballero 2018 · A |
21 | 47→45 | 39→45 | 53→70 | 39 | .223/.275/.316 | .093 | .301 | 6 | 8 | 27% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .224/.292/.329 | .105 | .281 | 8 | 18 | 22% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .229/.321/.344 | .115 | .305 | 10 | 63 | 26% | 9% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2018 · A |
21 | 48→54 | 37→50 | 53→50 | 44 | .226/.279/.302 | .075 | .289 | 5 | 15 | 23% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .240/.299/.360 | .120 | .302 | 9 | 13 | 22% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .256/.313/.394 | .138 | .313 | 12 | 16 | 21% | 7% | 95 | +1.2 |
|
✕Tyler Freeman 2021 · A |
22 | 51→56 | 38→40 | 52→55 | 44 | .242/.293/.325 | .083 | .277 | 4 | 12 | 14% | 4% | 73 | -0.1 | .256/.317/.349 | .093 | .292 | 7 | 12 | 14% | 5% | 90 | +1.0 | .266/.337/.360 | .094 | .302 | 9 | 15 | 14% | 5% | 98 | +0.8 |
|
✕Efrain Contreras 2008 · A |
21 | 47 | 44→45 | 53→55 | 45 | .232/.297/.346 | .114 | .275 | 12 | 15 | 20% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .215/.274/.310 | .095 | .277 | 8 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .185/.240/.257 | .072 | .258 | 6 | 6 | 29% | 5% | 31 | -1.1 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2014 · A |
21 | 46 | 39→45 | 49→50 | 41 | .219/.279/.316 | .097 | .283 | 4 | 11 | 23% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .207/.254/.303 | .096 | .295 | 8 | 8 | 31% | 5% | 51 | -1.7 | .197/.237/.286 | .089 | .285 | 10 | 7 | 34% | 4% | 36 | -0.8 |
|
✕Gorkys Hernández 2009 · A |
21 | 51→57 | 39→45 | 57→55 | 44 | .244/.288/.336 | .092 | .300 | 6 | 22 | 20% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | .248/.292/.325 | .077 | .338 | 4 | 17 | 26% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 | .251/.311/.366 | .115 | .310 | 11 | 16 | 22% | 7% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Orlando Arcia 2016 · AA |
21 | 53→57 | 40→50 | 53→55 | 44 | .252/.289/.357 | .105 | .294 | 6 | 18 | 16% | 5% | 79 | +0.3 | .244/.285/.354 | .110 | .298 | 10 | 17 | 21% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 | .240/.301/.397 | .156 | .268 | 20 | 3 | 19% | 8% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A |
21 | 52 | 37→40 | 58→50 | 45 | .241/.297/.320 | .079 | .307 | 3 | 18 | 22% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .226/.272/.288 | .062 | .291 | 2 | 11 | 22% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .274/.326/.342 | .068 | .345 | 3 | 10 | 20% | 5% | 88 | +0.5 |
|
✕Johan Rojas 2022 · A |
21 | 45→55 | 44→45 | 55→65 | 43 | .221/.274/.341 | .120 | .281 | 11 | 21 | 25% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .232/.276/.342 | .110 | .293 | 9 | 36 | 23% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .258/.299/.360 | .102 | .324 | 7 | 41 | 22% | 5% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Wes Rogers 2015 · A |
21 | 45→51 | 41→40 | 57→65 | 42 | .218/.272/.315 | .097 | .296 | 8 | 17 | 29% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .220/.277/.307 | .087 | .292 | 5 | 34 | 25% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .224/.282/.314 | .089 | .295 | 5 | 42 | 24% | 6% | 63 | -0.7 |