Fernando Peguero

SS Chesapeake Baysox
Age 22 S/R 5'9" / 145 lbs AA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2403ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202419AAA/A/ROKBAL221.260/.346/.32813745—.210/.271/.272
202520AAA/ABAL334.206/.305/.25823133—.185/.259/.235
202621AAA/AA/A+BAL343.237/.324/.35363462—.215/.277/.302
2027PROJMLE22MLBBAL4.189/.253/.2710046-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB23MLBBAL120.196/.261/.2932754-0.2
2029PROJ47% MLB24MLBBAL183.201/.267/.30831060-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.4M2034Arb-2$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed91
Max EV37
BB%28
Whiff%21
K%20
Chase%17
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 1.5, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 89%
CompsYhoswar Garcia (age 22) · Nasim Nuñez (age 23) · Luis Valdez (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†46
AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .253 / .271
PA4
HR0
K%25
BB%7
BABIP265
ISO73
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -13.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: +2.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$8M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-1$0.4M———
2034Arb-2$5M———
2035Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL BAL Orange — 171150 31420 16263 124 207296260556 53246 159 259 5 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Orioles Orange — 217183 611242 29281 2011 333427475903 142381 1313 396 59 — — — — — —
202419 AAANorfolk Tides — 1515 4000 070 00 267267267533 500 470 241 30 — — — — — —
202419 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 2218 8120 470 50 4445457221.268 278727 3218 538 175 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Orioles — 184159 38501 20241 327 239328289617 50270 1311 283 31 — — — — — —
202520 AAANorfolk Tides — 8374 12301 9210 40 162253243496 81212 2511 234 19 — — — — — —
202520 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 251213 47411 27585 273 221322263585 42293 2311 273 38 — — — — — —
202621 AAANorfolk Tides — 10292 22312 9300 50 239307359666 120333 299 298 59 — — — — — —
202621 AAChesapeake Baysox — 199176 39703 19551 232 222301312614 91300 2810 279 51 — — — — — —
202621 A+Frederick Keys — 4232 10311 991 60 3124765621.039 250409 2121 454 123 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL BAL Orange — 171155 21210 11323 124 135207161368 26166 196 176 5 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 217193 40821 19361 2011 207282285567 78241 179 255 59 — — — — — —
202419 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 1515 4000 080 00 267267267533 507 530 213 30 — — — — — —
202419 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 2219 7120 390 50 3684556321.086 263680 4114 427 175 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 184166 31401 13331 327 187250229479 42215 187 214 31 — — — — — —
202520 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 8377 12301 6260 40 156217234451 78217 317 196 19 — — — — — —
202520 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 251221 43411 19795 273 195273235509 41273 318 225 38 — — — — — —
202621 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 10295 21311 6360 50 221267305573 84334 356 256 59 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLEChesapeake Baysox — 199181 37602 14671 232 204265271536 66299 347 243 51 — — — — — —
202621 A+ MLEFrederick Keys — 4236 9211 5121 60 250357444802 194345 2912 350 123 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL BAL Orange — 171155 21210 11323 124 135207161368 26168 196 176 5 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL BAL Orange — 171150 31420 16263 124 207296260556 53246 159 259 5 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 217193 40821 19361 2011 207282285567 78247 179 255 59 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Orioles Orange — 217183 611242 29281 2011 333427475903 142381 1313 396 59 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLE3 teams — 221200 42521 16501 377 210272270542 60270 237 235 45 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAW3 teams — 221192 50621 24381 377 260346328674 68314 1711 306 45 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE2 teams — 334298 54612 251055 313 181256228484 47268 317 218 34 — — — — — —
202520 A RAW2 teams — 334287 59712 36795 313 206305258563 52273 2411 263 34 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLE3 teams — 343312 671125 251152 342 215277311588 96320 347 260 62 — — — — — —
202621 AA RAW3 teams — 343300 711326 37942 342 237324353678 117322 2711 306 62 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL BAL Orange — 171155 21210 11323 124 135207161368 26166 196 176 5 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Orioles Orange — 217195 40821 19361 2011 205282282564 77241 179 255 59 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLE3 teams — 221202 42521 16501 377 208272267539 59281 237 235 45 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE2 teams — 334301 54612 251055 313 179256226482 47259 317 218 34 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLE3 teams — 343313 671125 251152 342 214277310587 96315 347 260 62 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLE3 teams — 221202 42521 16501 377 208272267539 59281 237 235 45 — — — — — —
202520 A MLE2 teams — 334301 54612 251055 313 179256226482 47259 317 218 34 — — — — — —
202621 AA MLE3 teams — 343313 671125 251152 342 214277310587 96315 347 260 62 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEBAL 2% 453414 771425 331373 252 186250266516 80261 307 236 46 -29 +4 +0 +5 +10 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202722 MLB CTXBAL 2% 44 1000 010 00 189253271524 83265 250 240 46 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEBAL 35% 340310 601115 251002 192 193258287545 94263 297 248 54 -19 +3 +0 +4 +7 -0.5
202924 MLB MLEBAL 47% 394359 711227 301142 222 198264301565 103266 298 256 60 -19 +4 +0 +4 +9 -0.3
203025 MLB MLEBAL 52% 422384 781428 321203 232 201268310578 108267 288 262 63 -18 +4 +0 +5 +9 -0.1
203126 MLB MLEBAL 54% 435395 811429 341223 242 203271314586 111268 288 265 65 -18 +4 +0 +5 +9 0.0
203227 MLB MLEBAL 58% 437397 811429 341223 232 205273317589 112269 288 267 67 -17 +4 +0 +5 +9 0.1
203328 MLB MLEBAL 56% 432392 791428 341223 212 203271312583 109268 288 264 65 -18 +3 -1 +5 +9 -0.1
203429 MLB MLEBAL 59% 421383 781428 331202 181 201268306575 106267 298 261 62 -19 +3 -1 +5 +9 -0.3
203530 MLB MLEBAL 61% 408372 741327 311182 151 198265299564 101266 298 256 60 -20 +3 -2 +4 +9 -0.6
202823 MLB CTXBAL 35% 120109 22412 9351 71 196261293554 97267 298 252 54 -7 +1 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202924 MLB CTXBAL 47% 183166 33613 14531 101 201267308575 106270 298 260 60 -9 +2 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
203025 MLB CTXBAL 52% 219199 40714 17621 121 205271317588 112271 288 266 63 -10 +2 +0 +2 +5 -0.0
203126 MLB CTXBAL 54% 236214 44815 18662 131 207274322596 115272 288 269 65 -10 +2 +0 +3 +5 0.0
203227 MLB CTXBAL 58% 255231 48915 20712 141 208276324600 116273 288 271 67 -10 +2 +0 +3 +6 0.1
203328 MLB CTXBAL 56% 244221 46815 19692 121 206274320593 113272 288 268 65 -10 +2 -0 +3 +5 -0.1
203429 MLB CTXBAL 59% 249227 46815 19711 111 204271313585 109271 298 265 62 -11 +2 -1 +3 +5 -0.2
203530 MLB CTXBAL 61% 249227 46815 19721 91 201268306574 105269 298 260 60 -12 +1 -1 +3 +5 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 17551594 32558834 13549911 888 204271314585 110272 288 265 57 -78 +14 -3 +19 +38 -1.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650590 12021313 501854 333 203270315585 112271 288 265 57 -29 +5 -1 +7 +14 -0.4
Career— MLE — 47854342 8611442472 364134033 31142 198265292558 94267 288 252 57 -161 +29 -4 +37 +76 -2.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 11720310 491824 426 198264293557 95266 288 252 57 -30 +5 -1 +7 +14 -0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAChesapeake Baysox · 199 PAwOBA .275 → .243 (−31)K% 27.6% → 33.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.64%÷1.000×1.220——33.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.55%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0426.96%
HBP% /PA0.50%—×0.850—×1.0420.45%
Singles /BIP23.97%÷1.000×0.970×1.015×1.04224.58%
Doubles /BIP5.79%÷1.000×0.860×1.015×1.0425.26%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.950×1.015×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP2.48%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0422.02%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.

Result: wOBA .275 → .243; ISO .091 → .075; BABIP .300 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAANorfolk Tides · 102 PAwOBA .286 → .256 (−31)K% 29.4% → 35.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.41%÷1.000×1.200——35.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.84%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0505.68%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP25.81%÷1.000×0.930×1.050×1.05026.46%
Doubles /BIP4.84%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0504.43%
Triples /BIP1.61%÷1.000×0.970×1.050×1.0501.72%
Home runs /BIP3.23%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0502.37%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .286 → .256; ISO .120 → .098; BABIP .333 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Frederick Keys · 42 PAwOBA .444 → .350 (−94)K% 21.4% → 28.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.43%÷1.000×1.310——28.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.43%÷1.000×0.600—×1.01213.01%
HBP% /PA2.38%—×0.770—×1.0121.86%
Singles /BIP21.74%÷1.000×0.870—×1.01219.14%
Doubles /BIP13.04%÷1.000×0.780—×1.01210.30%
Triples /BIP4.35%÷1.000×0.850—×1.0123.74%
Home runs /BIP4.35%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0123.87%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .444 → .350; ISO .250 → .220; BABIP .409 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 251 PAwOBA .270 → .225 (−44)K% 23.1% → 31.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.11%÷0.993×1.360——31.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.76%÷1.007×0.690—×1.0157.48%
HBP% /PA1.99%—×0.780—×1.0151.58%
Singles /BIP26.45%÷0.998×0.920×0.996×1.01524.67%
Doubles /BIP2.58%÷0.898×0.830×0.996×1.0152.41%
Triples /BIP0.65%÷0.904×0.910×0.996×1.0150.66%
Home runs /BIP0.65%÷0.899×0.800—×1.0150.58%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 100, 2B 80, 3B 81, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .270 → .225; ISO .042 → .038; BABIP .293 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAANorfolk Tides · 83 PAwOBA .229 → .196 (−33)K% 25.3% → 31.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.30%÷0.967×1.200——31.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.84%÷1.063×0.690—×1.0507.39%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP15.09%÷0.959×0.930×1.050×1.05016.13%
Doubles /BIP5.66%÷0.978×0.830×1.050×1.0505.30%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×1.050×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP1.89%÷0.945×0.700—×1.0501.47%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 92, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 93, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .229 → .196; ISO .081 → .067; BABIP .212 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Orioles · 184 PAwOBA .281 → .214 (−67)K% 13.0% → 18.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.04%÷1.036×1.440——18.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.87%÷0.972×0.620—×0.9956.90%
HBP% /PA0.54%—×0.720—×0.9950.39%
Singles /BIP23.70%÷0.996×0.820×0.979×0.99519.01%
Doubles /BIP3.70%÷0.901×0.720×0.979×0.9952.88%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.016×0.720×0.979×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.74%÷0.995×0.780—×0.9950.58%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 80, 3B 103, K 107, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .281 → .214; ISO .050 → .040; BABIP .270 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 22 PAwOBA .525 → .427 (−97)K% 31.8% → 41.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.82%÷1.035×1.360——41.80%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.18%÷0.997×0.690—×1.03012.96%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP45.45%÷0.988×0.920—×1.03043.58%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.216×0.830—×1.0306.39%
Triples /BIP18.18%÷0.943×0.910—×1.03018.08%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.952×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 98, 2B 143, 3B 89, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .525 → .427; ISO .278 → .235; BABIP .727 → .680. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAANorfolk Tides · 15 PAwOBA .235 → .213 (−22)K% 46.7% → 52.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA46.67%÷1.070×1.200——52.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷0.987×0.690—×1.0500.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP50.00%÷0.962×0.930—×1.05050.75%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.006×0.830—×1.0500.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.996×0.700—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 92, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 114, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .235 → .213; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .500 → .507. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).