Fernando PegueroSS Chesapeake Baysox
Age 21 S/R 5'9" / 145 lbs AA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION187 act + 133 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†39
AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .250 / .254
PA133
HR1
SB8
K%29
BB%7
BABIP265
ISO66
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -22.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-22BATRUN: +4.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.30.60.80.90.9+$23M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2032Arb-1$2M+0.9$2M+$1M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $5M $9M +$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL BAL Orange 171156 24310 10383 124 154219186405 32200 226 189 3
202217 ROKDSL BAL Orange 171150 31420 16263 124 207296260556 53246 159 259 57
202318 ROKDSL Orioles Orange 217196 46932 16461 2011 235296342638 107293 217 279 72
202318 ROKDSL Orioles Orange 217183 611242 29281 2011 333427475903 142381 1313 396 161
202419 ROK3 teams 221200 43521 16491 377 215276275551 60275 227 240 42
202419 ROK3 teams 221192 50621 24381 377 260346328674 68314 1711 306 92
202520 A2 teams 334301 55712 221115 313 183250233483 50277 337 216 23
202520 A2 teams 334287 59712 36795 313 206305258563 52273 2411 263 60
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 AABAL 187170 33313 14621 171 194259276536 82283 337 236 39 -13 +3 +0 +2 +5 -0.3
YTD21 AABAL 187164 37413 20491 171 226314317631 91301 2611 288 79 -4 +3 +0 +2 +5 0.6
ROS21 AABAL 2% 133122 23311 9391 81 189250254504 66270 297 237 39 -9 +1 +0 +1 +4 -0.3
ROS21 MLBBAL 2% 33 0000 010 00 274 330 233 37 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL21 AABAL 190173 33313 14631 171 191255272527 81278 337 236 39 -13 +3 +0 +2 +5 -0.3
TOT21 AABAL 320292 56624 231012 252 192256267523 75275 327 236 39 -22 +4 +0 +3 +9 -0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBBAL 35% 443404 821226 321254 242 203268287555 84275 287 256 54 -23 +4 +0 +5 +13 -0.2
202823 MLBBAL 49% 493448 941429 371345 273 210278310588 100277 278 268 63 -21 +4 +0 +5 +14 0.3
202924 MLBBAL 53% 525475 10215211 401405 283 215283324607 109279 278 275 69 -19 +4 +0 +6 +15 0.6
203025 MLBBAL 55% 540488 10616212 421435 293 217286332618 115279 268 279 71 -17 +5 +0 +6 +15 0.8
203126 MLBBAL 56% 547494 10716212 431445 293 217286330616 113279 268 280 72 -17 +5 +0 +6 +15 0.9
203227 MLBBAL 55% 547493 10716212 441455 293 217288331618 114279 278 280 72 -17 +5 +0 +6 +15 0.9
202722 MLBBAL 35% 156143 29412 11441 81 203265287551 84279 287 252 51 -9 +1 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
202823 MLBBAL 49% 241219 47715 18662 131 215280324605 110281 277 264 61 -11 +2 +0 +3 +7 0.1
202924 MLBBAL 53% 278252 55816 21743 151 218286329616 111283 278 272 66 -11 +3 +0 +3 +8 0.3
203025 MLBBAL 55% 296268 59917 23783 162 220289340629 119283 268 275 69 -10 +2 +0 +3 +8 0.4
203126 MLBBAL 56% 305275 60917 24813 162 218288335623 116283 278 277 70 -10 +2 +0 +3 +9 0.4
203227 MLBBAL 55% 301271 60917 24803 162 221292339631 118283 278 277 70 -10 +2 +0 +3 +9 0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 15801431 31046634 12142415 849 217285328613 112281 278 271 66 -61 +13 +0 +17 +45 1.4
/ 162G 650589 12719214 501746 354 216284326610 110280 278 271 66 -25 +5 +0 +7 +18 0.6
Career 41713777 7891162068 311111440 27443 209276304580 95275 277 263 59 -192 +38 +0 +45 +118 0.8
/ 162G 650589 12318311 481746 437 209275306580 97275 277 263 59 -30 +6 +0 +7 +18 0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL BAL Orange 171150 31420 16263 124 207296260556 53246 159 259 57 -8 +1 +5 -0.3
202318 ROKDSL Orioles Orange 217183 611242 29281 2011 333427475903 142381 1313 396 161 +15 -0 +6 2.1
202419 AAANorfolk Tides 1515 4000 070 00 267267267533 500 470 241 43 -1 +0 +0 -0.1
202419 ADelmarva Shorebirds 2218 8120 470 50 4445457221.268 278727 3218 538 270 +4 +1 +1 0.6
202419 ROKFCL Orioles 184159 38501 20241 327 239328289617 50270 1311 283 75 -5 +4 +5 0.4
202520 AAANorfolk Tides 8374 12301 9210 40 162253243496 81212 2511 234 38 -6 +1 +2 -0.3
202520 ADelmarva Shorebirds 251213 47411 27585 273 221322263585 42293 2311 273 67 -9 +4 +7 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Leonys Martinlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA
82,78458126243301366+10+5310.710.8
/1626641430+2.4+12.62.6pk7: 11
#3Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA
82,78013165259315337+15-15.55.9
/162664339+3.5-0.11.3pk7: 6
#4Everth Cabreralast yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA
62,05912136247316328+22-15.15.1
/162664444+7.1-0.51.6pk7: 5
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA
51,539386251310309+5+122.72.7
/162664137+2.4+5.11.2pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,5823285215281324+17+91.81.9
/1626641336+7.1+3.80.8pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Fernando Peguero (OGILVIE) 21 35 20 60 40 192/256/267 75275 425 32% 7% 39 -0.5
Adenson Chourio
2007 · A
21 47 33→30 54→60 45 219/279/265 46288 128 23% 7% 51 -1.7 239/308/284 45306 129 20% 8% 69 -0.4 243/313/2733131613421%7%64-0.4
Rodolfo Penalo
2014 · A
21 46 36→40 57→65 50 215/283/286 72264 225 19% 8% 59 -1.1 210/290/278 68276 223 22% 9% 60 -1.0 196/288/2545825913022%10%50-0.6
Reidy Mercado
2022 · A
21 42 37→30 56→60 40 198/254/268 70293 421 32% 6% 41 -2.3 185/235/238 53302 220 37% 6% 25 -3.5 163/211/1963426813137%5%1-1.3
Tyler James
2018 · A
21 44 36→30 64→65 42 204/266/281 77293 227 29% 7% 50 -1.7 220/283/294 74332 427 32% 7% 61 -1.0 230/297/2896035244533%8%61-0.4
Nelson Pierre
2009 · A
21 39 35→30 57→60 40 188/232/247 58258 224 27% 5% 26 -3.4 201/258/263 62276 225 26% 7% 41 -2.3 195/259/2293526404224%8%30-1.1
Cole Tucker
2018 · AA
22 46 39→45 56→55 44 218/272/306 88294 524 27% 7% 59 -1.1 219/277/324 105287 820 25% 7% 66 -0.6 211/274/331120275101226%8%63-0.5
Raul Linares
2012 · A
21 41 36→45 59→55 45 193/258/267 74254 223 24% 7% 43 -2.2 202/253/287 85274 414 26% 6% 46 -2.0 217/260/3231062757723%5%55-0.5
Pedro Toribio
2011 · A
21 46 35→40 57→60 47 214/275/278 64273 220 21% 7% 53 -1.5 243/278/337 94296 425 19% 4% 69 -0.4 269/292/3629332233317%3%77+0.1
Chris Garia
2014 · A
21 40→50 35→40 52→60 40 192/243/253 60262 317 27% 5% 33 -2.9 227/267/329 102307 728 27% 4% 63 -0.9 231/270/34311230883227%4%63-0.5
Roberto Caro
2016 · A
22 44→38 38→40 61→60 48 208/284/299 91280 320 25% 8% 63 -0.9 207/276/283 76320 218 33% 8% 55 -1.4 212/285/2927932822633%8%59-0.5
Nasim Nuñez
2022 · A
21 46→49 34→30 57→65 50 211/291/257 47297 232 27% 10% 56 -1.3 207/294/264 57302 341 29% 11% 59 -1.1 210/286/2685827855625%9%54-1.0
Frainyer Chavez
2019 · A
20 46→47 38→40 54→50 42 216/270/292 76297 521 28% 6% 54 -1.4 200/264/255 55278 213 27% 8% 43 -2.2 228/293/32698302111726%8%71-0.2
Estarlin De Los Santos
2008 · A
21 43→40 36→40 56→55 40 200/256/268 68285 218 29% 6% 43 -2.2 213/259/282 69300 316 28% 5% 46 -2.0 210/254/2746429521628%5%39-1.5
Sergio Garcia
2011 · AAA
20 36 39→45 55→60 38 182/232/262 80261 725 32% 6% 30 -3.1 207/253/321 114286 1325 31% 5% 56 -1.3 231/255/354123300131728%2%62-0.4
Junior Valera
2014 · A
21 47 36→40 58→60 48 218/284/296 79282 119 22% 8% 62 -0.9 228/289/317 89300 416 23% 8% 69 -0.4 245/306/3399431462322%8%78+0.1
Valerio Heredia
2007 · A
21 41 35→30 56→60 42 191/250/250 59271 229 29% 7% 35 -2.8 204/261/249 45291 126 28% 7% 40 -2.4 204/258/2231928603227%6%29-1.0
Jose Valdez
2009 · A
21 42 34→30 54→60 41 196/258/245 49263 222 25% 5% 38 -2.6 212/271/262 50294 226 26% 5% 47 -1.9 206/269/2272129803528%5%35-1.6
Derrick Robinson
2009 · A
21 45→50 35→40 59→65 41 210/255/269 59292 132 28% 6% 41 -2.3 218/257/280 62286 339 23% 5% 45 -2.1 237/289/2774030512221%7%56-0.8
Victor Soto
2010 · A
21 39 37→45 56→60 40 188/240/265 77263 322 29% 5% 35 -2.8 199/243/272 73293 314 31% 5% 37 -2.6 187/218/2375027901832%3%15-0.8
Kenny Wilson
2011 · A
21 36→46 35→40 56→60 40 170/243/223 53273 226 36% 7% 27 -3.3 191/262/262 71286 428 32% 7% 45 -2.1 195/262/2899430282235%6%49-0.7