Dennys Riera

SS DSL Giants Black

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 165 lbs ROK HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	144	.200/.314/.292	0	3	9	—	.130/.236/.187
2026	21	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	221	.309/.411/.442	4	8	55	—	.198/.299/.267
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBSF	331	.212/.280/.297	3	5	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBSF	85	.213/.281/.305	1	1	69	-0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBSF	158	.216/.284/.315	2	3	73	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%87

K%80

Whiff%74

wOBA67

wRC+66

ISO58

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDru Baker (age 22) · Nick Allen (age 22) · Jose Cordova (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 190 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .277 / .295

PA190

HR2

K%26

BB%6

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Giants Orange	—	118	104	16	5	1	2	9	32	3	1	0	154	241	279	520	125	194	27	8	237	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	218	188	39	10	0	3	18	44	7	4	1	207	300	309	609	101	247	20	8	277	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	107	86	21	6	0	1	14	24	6	2	2	244	387	349	736	105	323	22	13	342	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	144	120	24	5	3	0	8	30	12	3	1	200	314	292	606	92	255	21	6	279	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	221	181	56	12	0	4	17	34	15	8	2	309	411	442	853	133	347	15	8	375	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	118	106	10	3	1	1	7	39	3	1	0	94	172	170	342	75	118	33	6	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	218	193	25	6	0	1	13	53	7	4	1	130	211	176	387	47	158	24	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	107	90	12	3	0	0	10	30	6	2	2	133	264	167	431	33	202	28	9	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	144	123	16	3	2	0	5	36	12	3	1	130	236	187	423	57	156	25	3	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	221	187	37	7	0	2	12	42	15	8	2	198	299	267	566	70	218	19	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	118	106	10	3	1	1	7	39	3	1	0	94	172	170	342	75	132	33	6	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	—	118	104	16	5	1	2	9	32	3	1	0	154	241	279	520	125	194	27	8	237	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	218	193	25	6	0	1	13	53	7	4	1	130	211	176	387	47	167	24	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	218	188	39	10	0	3	18	44	7	4	1	207	300	309	609	101	247	20	8	277	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	107	90	12	3	0	0	10	30	6	2	2	133	264	167	431	33	197	28	9	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	107	86	21	6	0	1	14	24	6	2	2	244	387	349	736	105	323	22	13	342	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	144	123	16	3	2	0	5	36	12	3	1	130	236	187	423	57	176	25	3	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	144	120	24	5	3	0	8	30	12	3	1	200	314	292	606	92	255	21	6	279	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	221	187	37	7	0	2	12	42	15	8	2	198	299	267	566	70	233	19	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	221	181	56	12	0	4	17	34	15	8	2	309	411	442	853	133	347	15	8	375	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	—	118	107	10	3	1	1	7	39	3	1	0	93	172	168	341	75	118	33	6	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	218	196	25	6	0	1	13	53	7	4	1	128	211	173	385	46	158	24	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	107	90	12	3	0	0	10	30	6	2	2	133	264	167	431	33	202	28	9	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	144	126	16	3	2	0	5	36	12	3	1	127	236	183	418	56	156	25	3	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	221	192	37	7	0	2	12	42	15	8	2	193	299	260	559	68	218	19	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	107	90	12	3	0	0	10	30	6	2	2	133	264	167	431	33	202	28	9	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	144	126	16	3	2	0	5	36	12	3	1	127	236	183	418	56	156	25	3	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	221	192	37	7	0	2	12	42	15	8	2	193	299	260	559	68	218	19	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	SF	0%	331	299	64	12	2	3	21	87	8	5	2	212	280	297	577	85	284	26	6	264	64	-14	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SF	34%	246	223	49	9	2	3	16	64	5	4	1	216	284	311	595	95	286	26	7	271	69	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	SF	46%	342	310	67	12	2	5	22	88	7	6	2	219	288	322	610	102	287	26	6	276	73	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	SF	52%	399	361	79	14	3	6	27	102	8	7	2	222	290	330	620	108	287	26	7	280	76	-11	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	SF	54%	435	394	87	16	3	7	29	110	9	8	3	223	292	335	627	112	287	25	7	283	78	-11	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	SF	54%	450	407	91	17	3	8	31	114	9	8	3	223	292	336	629	113	287	25	7	284	78	-12	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	SF	54%	456	413	92	17	3	8	31	116	9	8	3	222	291	332	623	111	287	25	7	282	77	-13	+0	-1	+5	+10	0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	SF	53%	453	410	90	16	3	7	31	117	9	7	3	219	288	326	614	107	286	26	7	278	74	-14	+0	-1	+5	+10	-0.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	SF	57%	446	405	88	16	3	7	30	117	8	6	3	217	285	319	604	102	284	26	7	274	71	-15	+0	-2	+5	+10	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	SF	34%	85	78	17	3	1	1	5	22	2	1	0	213	281	305	586	92	282	26	6	267	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	SF	46%	158	144	31	6	1	2	10	41	3	3	1	216	284	315	599	99	283	26	6	272	73	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	SF	52%	206	186	41	8	1	3	14	53	4	4	1	218	287	322	609	104	284	26	7	276	76	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	SF	54%	236	213	48	9	2	4	16	60	5	4	1	219	288	327	616	108	284	25	7	279	78	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	SF	54%	244	220	49	9	2	4	17	62	5	5	2	220	289	328	617	109	284	25	7	279	78	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	SF	54%	247	223	49	9	2	4	17	63	5	4	2	218	287	324	611	106	283	26	7	277	77	-7	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	SF	53%	241	218	47	9	1	4	16	62	5	4	2	216	285	319	603	103	282	26	7	274	74	-7	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	SF	57%	254	230	49	9	1	4	17	66	5	4	2	213	281	312	593	99	281	26	7	270	71	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1671	1512	331	62	11	26	112	429	34	29	11	219	288	326	614	107	287	26	7	275	64	-49	+1	-2	+18	+36	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	128	24	4	10	44	167	13	11	4	218	287	323	610	105	285	26	7	275	64	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4225	3794	780	146	26	57	276	1078	111	75	27	206	279	303	582	97	268	26	7	263	64	-104	+3	-4	+37	+74	0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	120	22	4	9	42	166	17	12	4	205	278	303	581	98	268	26	6	263	64	-20	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#4Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.8	1,860	29	32	221	286	326	+20	+15	1.6	1.6
/162	664	10	11	+7.1	+5.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dennys Riera (OGILVIE)	22	52→57	32→37	48→53	43	210/277/295	85	284	2	3	26%	6%	64	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	38→40	56→60	41	213/265/295	82	297	4	14	29%	6%	59	-1.7	241/298/346	105	336	10	30	29%	7%	83	+0.1	250/304/340	90	346	8	39	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Nick Allen 2021 · A	22	46→56	38→40	52→50	44	219/270/303	84	277	4	14	22%	6%	62	-1.4	232/283/326	94	288	8	14	21%	6%	72	-0.7	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Jose Cordova 2022 · A	22	48	37→40	52→50	41	224/281/299	74	304	3	14	26%	5%	65	-1.2	209/261/278	69	306	3	8	31%	5%	53	-2.1	237/299/326	89	314	5	11	24%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Isaias Velasquez 2010 · A	22	50→58	38→40	53→55	43	235/282/323	88	298	3	12	22%	5%	71	-0.8	246/297/332	86	306	3	19	19%	6%	78	-0.3	259/315/343	83	320	2	24	18%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Carter Burgess 2015 · A	22	47	38→40	52→50	42	224/272/304	80	293	5	9	25%	5%	63	-1.3	214/259/289	75	282	4	6	24%	5%	55	-2.0	201/235/254	52	255	3	2	21%	4%	34	-0.9
✕Miguel Villarroel 2024 · A	22	46→53	38→40	53→55	42	222/268/302	80	280	6	15	22%	5%	61	-1.5	226/263/302	76	326	5	24	30%	4%	59	-1.7	229/267/301	72	337	4	28	32%	4%	57	-0.9
✕Levi Michael 2013 · A	22	44→54	36→45	52→55	48	204/281/269	64	271	3	6	24%	8%	59	-1.6	220/292/303	83	289	5	16	24%	8%	72	-0.7	227/300/319	93	295	5	22	23%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Tim Kennelly 2009 · A	22	48→52	38→40	50→40	42	224/278/311	87	312	5	6	28%	6%	67	-1.1	234/291/331	97	293	6	6	21%	6%	77	-0.3	232/290/328	96	286	5	5	20%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Juan Fernandez 2021 · A	22	44→54	39→40	46→50	43	211/268/295	84	273	6	6	24%	6%	60	-1.6	234/293/327	93	296	9	9	23%	6%	77	-0.3	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Michael Curialle 2023 · A	22	45→51	39→40	51→45	40	213/285/299	86	305	6	10	30%	6%	68	-1.0	207/283/300	93	322	6	7	35%	7%	68	-1.0	196/273/286	90	311	6	7	36%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Walter Rasquin 2018 · A	22	47	37→30	49→50	43	225/273/297	73	290	5	9	24%	6%	61	-1.5	198/247/285	87	272	7	12	28%	5%	50	-2.3	125/168/187	62	169	6	10	30%	3%	-5	-2.8
✕Ross Wilson 2011 · A	22	46→47	37→40	51→45	45	216/279/294	78	277	4	6	22%	6%	64	-1.3	209/278/290	81	276	4	7	24%	7%	63	-1.3	198/271/273	75	264	4	6	25%	7%	55	-1.3
✕Dakota Harris 2024 · A	22	44→52	40→45	52→55	38	209/272/303	94	305	7	11	32%	6%	64	-1.3	230/277/334	104	296	11	15	25%	5%	73	-0.6	231/281/335	104	291	12	21	24%	5%	71	-0.5
✕José Alvarez 2022 · A	22	46	36→40	51→50	39	214/263/283	69	308	3	9	30%	6%	55	-2.0	230/280/293	63	327	3	10	29%	6%	63	-1.3	237/288/286	49	330	2	10	27%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Breland Almadova 2013 · A	22	48→51	36→40	51→55	43	224/271/301	77	286	3	9	22%	5%	62	-1.4	219/273/305	86	307	6	14	29%	6%	64	-1.3	219/276/304	85	305	6	18	29%	6%	61	-1.2
✕Matthew Batten 2018 · A	23	43→53	38→40	51→55	41	206/258/292	86	290	5	6	30%	6%	55	-1.9	225/281/308	83	326	6	12	30%	7%	68	-1.0	221/295/311	89	305	9	27	28%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Raul Navarro 2014 · A	22	46→56	34→40	50	43	215/264/267	52	282	2	11	24%	6%	51	-2.2	235/284/307	72	308	4	11	24%	6%	68	-1.0	243/292/312	70	316	4	12	23%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Keith Grieshaber 2017 · A	22	48	35→40	51→55	39	222/265/288	66	294	2	11	24%	4%	57	-1.8	233/295/321	88	294	5	17	21%	6%	76	-0.4	246/315/341	95	301	6	26	19%	6%	85	+0.1
✕Ofilio Castro 2007 · A	23	47→56	38→40	50→45	47	225/281/308	83	278	5	7	21%	7%	68	-1.0	247/292/321	74	297	4	5	17%	6%	74	-0.5	261/304/330	69	310	3	3	16%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Chesny Young 2015 · A	22	51→61	38→30	50	38	239/273/327	89	329	5	8	28%	4%	68	-1.0	271/320/338	67	321	3	12	15%	6%	88	+0.4	273/324/332	59	321	2	11	15%	6%	85	+0.2

Dennys Riera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps