Luis Lara

CF Nashville Sounds

Age 22 S/R 5'7" / 169 lbs AAA HR +10%K +6% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

AAA40-MANFG #274ExtFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	A+MIL	489	.245/.335/.327	4	45	64	—	.224/.300/.293
2025	20	AAMIL	612	.257/.372/.343	2	44	80	—	.240/.326/.310
2026	21	MLBMIL	212	.246/.314/.325	1	3	85	0.3
2027PROJ45% MLB	22	MLBMIL	158	.245/.324/.353	3	7	95	0.5
2028PROJ67% MLB	23	MLBMIL	433	.249/.329/.364	8	20	99	1.8
2029PROJ73% MLB	24	MLBMIL	476	.251/.331/.372	10	21	102	2.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3 · Next 3 projected WAR 4.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractCONFIRMED

Control thru2032Service1.000First FA2033

2027Ext$2M2028Ext$4M2029Ext$4M2030Ext$6M2031Ext$7M2032Ext$8M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Speed73

xwOBA37

Avg EV35

Barrel%13

Form.231/.300/.310 ▼▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .248/.324/.355

CompsDalton Pompey (age 22) · Maikel Garcia (age 23) · Luis Rengifo (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.245 / .324 / .353

PA158

HR3

SB7

K%20

BB%9

BABIP294

ISO114

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$60M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 53 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT53

xAVG

560.256

POWER37

Barrel%

133.4

Avg EV

3588.0

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED61

Sprint

7328.4

DEFENSE65

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%24%▼▼26% over 91 PA (60d) · proj 19%

BB%8%▼7% over 91 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.079▼.024 over 83 AB (60d) · proj .107

HR/BB1.5%▼0.0% over 60 BBE (60d) · proj 2.3%

BABIP.300·.317 over 60 BIP (60d) · proj .298

SLASH.231/.300/.310▼▼proj .248/.324/.355

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Ext	$2M	+0.6	$3M	+$0.5M
2028	Ext	$4M	+1.8	$13M	+$10M
2029	Ext	$4M	+2.1	$14M	+$11M
2030	Ext	$6M	+2.2	$14M	+$10M
2031	Ext	$7M	+2.3	$14M	+$9M
2032	Ext	$8M	+2.2	$12M	+$8M
Totals		$30M		$70M	+$48M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	229	200	52	11	4	2	21	28	5	7	7	260	345	385	730	125	289	12	9	326	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	79	69	20	2	2	0	5	15	2	8	1	290	346	377	723	87	364	19	6	319	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	318	274	78	11	1	2	39	46	3	22	9	285	379	354	733	69	335	14	12	337	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	489	425	104	19	2	4	41	77	17	45	14	245	335	327	662	82	287	16	8	304	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	100	86	22	4	1	1	12	17	1	10	5	256	354	360	714	105	304	17	12	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	612	513	132	32	3	2	86	99	8	44	7	257	372	343	715	86	312	16	14	330	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	212	191	47	8	2	1	18	46	1	3	2	246	314	325	639	79	315	22	8	290	85	-4	-0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2026	21	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	346	287	92	10	3	9	54	48	3	24	7	321	433	470	904	150	359	14	16	404	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	212	191	47	8	2	1	18	46	1	3	2	246	314	325	639	79	315	22	8	290	82	-4	-0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	229	206	34	7	3	1	15	35	5	7	7	165	239	243	482	78	183	15	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	79	72	19	2	2	0	4	20	2	8	1	264	321	347	668	83	339	25	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	318	286	67	8	1	2	28	63	3	22	9	234	309	290	599	56	294	20	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	489	437	98	17	2	3	30	98	17	45	14	224	300	293	592	69	270	20	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	612	538	129	29	3	1	61	130	8	44	7	240	326	310	637	71	304	21	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	212	191	48	9	2	1	18	46	1	3	2	251	319	335	654	84	315	22	8	294	85	-4	-0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2026	21	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	346	304	91	9	3	7	37	57	3	24	7	299	381	418	799	118	347	16	11	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	229	206	34	7	3	1	15	35	5	7	7	165	239	243	482	78	191	15	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	229	200	52	11	4	2	21	28	5	7	7	260	345	385	730	125	289	12	9	326	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	397	359	87	10	3	2	31	83	5	30	10	242	311	304	615	61	308	21	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A RAW	2 teams	—	397	343	98	13	3	2	44	61	5	30	10	286	372	359	731	73	340	15	11	334	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	589	528	117	20	2	4	37	118	18	55	19	222	295	290	585	68	274	20	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	589	511	126	23	3	5	53	94	18	55	19	247	338	333	671	86	289	16	9	307	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	612	538	129	29	3	1	61	130	8	44	7	240	326	310	637	71	311	21	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	—	612	513	132	32	3	2	86	99	8	44	7	257	372	343	715	86	312	16	14	330	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	495	139	18	5	8	55	103	4	27	9	281	357	386	743	105	339	18	10	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	558	478	139	18	5	10	72	94	4	27	9	291	388	412	800	121	342	17	13	360	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	229	207	34	7	3	1	15	35	5	7	7	164	239	242	480	77	183	15	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	2 teams	—	397	358	87	10	3	2	31	83	5	30	10	243	311	304	616	61	303	21	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	589	529	117	20	2	4	37	118	18	55	19	221	295	289	584	68	270	20	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	612	538	129	29	3	1	61	130	8	44	7	240	326	310	637	71	304	21	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	494	139	18	5	8	55	103	4	27	9	281	357	387	744	105	335	18	10	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	589	529	117	20	2	4	37	118	18	55	19	221	295	289	584	68	270	20	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	612	538	129	29	3	1	61	130	8	44	7	240	326	310	637	71	304	21	10	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	558	494	139	18	5	8	55	103	4	27	9	281	357	387	744	105	335	18	10	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIL	45%	648	576	142	22	4	10	61	126	6	29	6	248	327	355	682	107	298	19	9	309	95	-4	+3	+6	+2	+14	1.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIL	45%	158	140	35	5	1	3	15	31	2	7	2	245	324	353	677	107	294	20	9	307	95	-1	+1	+1	+1	+3	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIL	67%	648	575	144	22	4	12	62	124	6	29	6	252	331	367	698	115	299	19	10	315	99	-1	+3	+7	+2	+14	2.6
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIL	73%	648	575	146	22	4	13	62	122	6	29	6	254	334	374	707	120	300	19	10	319	102	+1	+3	+7	+2	+14	2.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIL	77%	648	574	146	22	4	13	63	122	6	29	6	255	335	376	711	122	300	19	10	320	103	+2	+3	+7	+2	+14	2.9
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIL	78%	648	574	145	22	4	13	63	122	6	29	6	255	335	376	711	122	300	19	10	320	103	+2	+3	+7	+2	+14	2.9
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIL	77%	643	569	144	22	4	13	63	122	6	28	6	253	334	374	708	120	299	19	10	319	102	+1	+3	+7	+2	+14	2.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIL	77%	635	562	141	21	4	12	62	122	6	25	6	252	332	369	701	117	299	19	10	316	100	+0	+3	+6	+2	+14	2.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIL	75%	623	552	138	21	4	11	60	121	6	21	5	249	329	363	692	114	298	19	10	313	98	-2	+2	+5	+2	+13	2.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIL	73%	611	542	134	20	4	11	59	121	5	17	4	247	326	355	682	109	296	20	10	308	95	-4	+2	+4	+2	+13	1.8
2036	31	MLB MLE	MIL	73%	596	529	129	19	4	10	57	120	5	11	3	243	321	346	667	103	294	20	10	303	91	-6	+1	+4	+2	+13	1.3
2037	32	MLB MLE	MIL	72%	577	514	122	18	3	8	54	119	4	6	2	237	315	334	649	96	290	21	9	295	86	-10	+0	+3	+2	+13	0.8
2038	33	MLB MLE	MIL	72%	547	487	113	16	3	7	51	116	4	1	2	231	308	320	628	88	286	21	9	287	80	-13	-1	+2	+2	+12	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIL	67%	433	385	96	14	3	8	41	83	4	20	4	249	329	364	693	115	295	19	9	313	99	-0	+2	+4	+2	+9	1.8
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIL	73%	476	422	106	15	3	10	46	90	5	21	5	251	331	372	703	120	295	19	10	317	102	+1	+2	+5	+2	+10	2.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIL	77%	496	440	110	16	3	10	48	93	5	22	5	252	333	374	707	122	296	19	10	318	103	+2	+2	+5	+2	+11	2.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIL	78%	506	447	113	16	3	11	49	95	5	22	5	252	333	374	707	122	295	19	10	318	103	+2	+2	+5	+2	+11	2.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIL	77%	496	440	110	16	3	10	48	94	5	21	5	251	332	372	703	121	295	19	10	317	102	+1	+2	+5	+2	+11	2.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIL	77%	486	432	107	15	3	10	47	93	4	19	4	249	330	367	697	118	294	19	10	314	100	+0	+2	+5	+2	+11	2.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIL	75%	465	413	103	15	3	9	45	90	4	15	4	247	327	361	688	114	293	19	10	311	98	-1	+1	+4	+2	+10	1.6
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIL	73%	449	399	98	14	3	8	43	89	4	12	3	244	324	353	677	109	292	20	10	306	95	-3	+1	+3	+2	+10	1.3
2036	31	MLB CTX	MIL	73%	434	386	92	13	2	7	41	87	4	8	2	240	319	343	663	103	290	20	9	301	91	-5	+1	+3	+2	+9	1.0
2037	32	MLB CTX	MIL	72%	418	373	87	12	2	6	39	86	3	4	2	235	313	331	645	96	286	21	9	293	86	-7	+0	+2	+1	+9	0.6
2038	33	MLB CTX	MIL	72%	395	353	81	11	2	5	36	84	3	1	1	229	306	317	623	88	283	21	9	285	80	-9	-0	+1	+1	+9	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5266	4681	1150	165	32	95	501	1030	47	168	42	246	325	355	680	110	295	20	10	308	92	-24	+17	+43	+20	+114	17.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	142	20	4	12	62	127	6	21	5	246	325	356	681	111	294	20	10	308	92	-3	+2	+5	+2	+14	2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	9559	8490	2085	321	60	145	888	1868	103	404	107	246	324	349	673	103	297	20	9	303	92	-34	+26	+62	+28	+160	24.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	142	22	4	10	60	127	7	27	7	246	325	350	675	104	297	20	9	303	92	-3	+2	+5	+2	+14	2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Carlos Gómezlast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,227 PA	7.9	5,227	145	268	252	313	411	+11	+80	28.2	26.7
/162	664	18	34	+1.4	+10.2	3.6	pk7: 25
#2Mike Kreevich'31-'45 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,248 PA	7.9	5,248	45	115	262*	321*	403*	+13	+48	18.2	17.7
/162	664	6	15	+1.6	+6.1	2.3	pk7: 17
#3Corey Pattersonlast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,422 PA	6.7	4,422	116	215	254	292	403	-2	+56	15.8	16.6
/162	664	17	32	-0.3	+8.4	2.4	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.2	5,421	94	176	249	325	361	+14	+61	16.1	14.5
/162	664	11	22	+1.7	+7.4	2.0	pk7: 13
#4Gary Pettis'82-'92 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,237 PA	6.4	4,237	21	354	234*	332*	326*	+14	+45	14.6	13.8
/162	664	3	55	+2.2	+7.1	2.3	pk7: 13
#5Omar Moreno'75-'86 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,481 PA	8.3	5,481	37	487	246*	304*	367*	+13	+49	12.5	13.1
/162	664	4	59	+1.6	+6.0	1.5	pk7: 14
#6Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	4.2	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
/162	664	14	30	+2.4	+12.6	2.5	pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Lara (OGILVIE)	22	49→53	38→37	59→61	55	246/324/352	106	298	6	16	19%	9%	95	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2015 · MLB	22	53→60	42→45	62→55	47	251/313/366	115	332	7	27	25%	8%	93	+0.8	255/312/353	98	325	7	24	22%	7%	89	+0.5	259/318/352	94	328	7	25	22%	7%	89	+0.3
●Maikel Garcia 2023 · MLB	23	52→58	41→45	57→60	48	250/309/356	106	315	8	27	22%	8%	88	+0.5	254/311/364	110	310	8	26	19%	8%	92	+0.7	260/322/390	130	293	10	24	14%	8%	102	+1.4
●Luis Rengifo 2019 · AAA	22	51→58	43→55	57→55	48	244/307/365	122	298	8	25	20%	7%	91	+0.6	238/306/364	126	292	11	14	21%	8%	90	+0.6	274/324/432	159	308	18	16	17%	6%	114	+1.8
✕Victor Robles 2019 · MLB	22	52→54	44→50	56→60	44	251/318/380	129	309	9	25	21%	6%	99	+1.2	238/309/375	137	299	12	22	24%	6%	95	+0.9	282/353/387	104	351	6	51	19%	6%	113	+0.7
●Cristian Guzman 2001 · MLB	23	50→60	44→50	62→55	50	242/294/379	137	273	8	22	15%	7%	88	+0.5	269/305/404	135	303	9	20	14%	5%	98	+1.2	301/331/418	117	331	7	5	11%	4%	112	+1.6
✕Jordan Lawlar 2024 · MLB	22	47→55	47→50	59→60	47	231/310/369	138	309	14	28	28%	8%	94	+0.9	240/311/398	158	324	15	25	29%	8%	100	+1.3	247/313/444	196	333	20	28	30%	7%	109	+1.0
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2012 · AAA	22	55→64	40→45	56→60	48	265/310/361	96	301	8	26	15%	6%	90	+0.6	259/301/351	92	305	7	14	16%	6%	84	+0.2	258/301/340	82	308	5	12	17%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Luis Rivas 2002 · MLB	22	54→55	41→50	56→55	49	260/313/362	102	298	8	26	16%	6%	91	+0.7	253/300/381	128	285	10	20	15%	6%	91	+0.7	251/293/389	139	278	11	20	14%	5%	92	+0.5
✕Vidal Bruján 2021 · AA	23	52→60	41→45	60→65	49	249/307/353	105	298	7	34	19%	7%	88	+0.4	226/286/340	114	274	10	36	20%	7%	78	-0.3	228/301/339	111	280	8	25	20%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Trevor Crowe 2007 · AA	23	52→56	39→45	57→55	51	246/313/339	92	307	5	29	21%	9%	86	+0.3	255/313/358	103	310	6	23	18%	8%	91	+0.7	259/318/364	105	312	6	23	18%	7%	92	+0.6
●Andrés Giménez 2021 · MLB	22	50→59	43→50	55	41	241/298/362	121	307	10	26	24%	5%	86	+0.3	256/316/405	149	313	16	23	23%	5%	104	+1.6	260/322/413	154	311	16	25	21%	5%	109	+1.8
✕Roman Quinn 2016 · AA	23	53→57	42→45	59→65	44	253/307/356	103	328	9	34	25%	6%	88	+0.5	254/308/361	107	345	7	35	26%	7%	89	+0.5	258/314/371	113	353	6	42	27%	7%	91	+0.3
✕Alejandro Ortiz 2013 · AAA	23	52→60	42→40	58→50	45	248/303/358	110	308	9	24	22%	6%	87	+0.4	235/289/346	111	325	8	17	28%	6%	79	-0.2	279/332/373	94	377	7	11	26%	6%	100	+0.6
●Erick Aybar 2006 · AA	22	56→63	43→45	58→60	46	271/313/393	123	294	8	32	12%	4%	99	+1.3	256/293/358	102	288	7	26	13%	4%	83	+0.1	276/312/401	125	300	8	21	11%	4%	101	+1.3
✕Masyn Winn 2024 · MLB	22	47→53	46→50	59→55	46	231/290/362	131	284	12	21	23%	7%	84	+0.1	247/304/374	127	293	12	12	19%	7%	92	+0.7	248/309/365	117	296	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2023 · MLB	24	52→55	42→45	58→60	46	250/307/366	116	317	8	27	23%	7%	91	+0.6	247/311/349	102	333	7	31	25%	8%	88	+0.4	246/318/343	97	336	6	39	26%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Jose Tabata 2011 · MLB	22	59→62	41→45	55	48	282/330/383	102	323	7	25	15%	6%	103	+1.5	266/328/371	105	309	7	19	15%	8%	100	+1.3	261/330/367	105	304	6	14	15%	8%	99	+0.9
●Brice Turang 2023 · AAA	23	52→60	42→50	56→60	48	250/310/350	100	316	9	23	23%	8%	88	+0.4	250/312/358	108	309	10	31	21%	8%	91	+0.7	269/346/409	140	334	13	28	22%	10%	116	+2.7
✕Everth Cabrera 2010 · MLB	23	53→60	39→40	61→65	48	247/313/346	99	317	5	34	22%	8%	88	+0.5	241/304/328	87	315	4	37	23%	8%	80	-0.1	266/331/350	84	338	3	54	21%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Alen Hanson 2016 · AAA	23	50→53	43→50	60	42	245/281/370	125	300	9	25	22%	5%	81	-0.1	247/283/374	127	300	11	28	21%	5%	83	+0.1	253/288/390	138	302	12	30	20%	4%	87	+0.3

Luis Lara

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps