Samuel Capellan — OGILVIE

Samuel CapellanSS DSL Astros Orange

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 155 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj PA

wRC+46

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .251 / .283

PA59

HR1

K%36

BB%7

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	81	74	14	2	0	1	5	35	1	9	2	189	250	257	507	68	333	43	6	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	81	68	18	3	0	1	11	23	1	9	2	265	375	353	728	88	378	28	14	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	94	85	10	1	3	1	4	57	3	3	0	118	185	235	420	118	310	61	4	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	94	83	16	2	4	3	6	43	3	3	0	193	272	422	693	229	333	46	6	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	99	86	9	2	1	2	9	46	4	8	2	105	222	221	443	116	184	46	9	195	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	99	80	12	3	2	2	15	30	4	8	2	150	313	312	626	163	208	30	15	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	—	—	59	54	11	2	1	1	4	21	1	1	0	204	271	333	605	130	288	36	7	245	46	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	—	34%	115	104	20	4	1	2	8	40	2	2	0	192	263	308	571	115	290	35	7	257	55	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	—	48%	250	226	45	8	3	4	18	85	4	4	1	199	270	314	584	115	291	34	7	265	61	-11	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.1
2027	22	MLB	—	34%	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	14	1	1	0	194	275	306	581	111	290	35	8	257	55	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	—	48%	121	109	21	4	1	2	9	41	2	2	0	193	267	303	569	110	291	34	7	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	161	145	28	5	1	3	12	55	3	3	0	193	269	303	572	110	284	34	7	263	59	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	113	20	4	12	48	222	12	12	0	193	268	303	570	109	285	34	7	263	59	-30	+2	+0	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	698	629	109	19	9	11	48	284	15	27	5	173	249	285	533	111	289	41	7	235	38	-49	+3	+0	+7	+20	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	101	18	8	10	45	264	14	25	5	172	248	282	530	109	287	41	7	235	38	-45	+3	+0	+7	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	81	68	18	3	0	1	11	23	1	9	2	265	375	353	728	88	378	28	14	333	113	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	94	83	16	2	4	3	6	43	3	3	0	193	272	422	693	229	333	46	6	298	86	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	99	80	12	3	2	2	15	30	4	8	2	150	313	312	626	163	208	30	15	295	84	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	220	3	4	195	261	309	+2	+6	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	10	12	195	261	309	+7.1	+18.1	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Samuel Capellan (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	183/251/283	100	288	1	1	36%	7%	46	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Joey Rose 2019 · A	21	36	42→50	51→40	34	172/236/275	102	313	9	4	45%	7%	37	-2.6	185/238/277	92	297	7	5	38%	6%	38	-2.6	150/191/229	78	223	6	2	34%	4%	3	-1.6
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Jordyn Adams 2021 · A	21	40	40→45	47→60	41	196/258/286	91	287	8	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	189/245/281	92	306	8	24	38%	6%	41	-2.3	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	43→23	42→45	51→50	36	201/283/313	112	310	9	12	35%	5%	68	-0.5	166/239/291	125	334	15	12	52%	5%	44	-2.1	124/203/239	115	271	16	13	57%	5%	13	-1.9
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40→45	52→50	38	198/249/295	97	282	6	10	31%	5%	47	-1.9	217/274/320	103	339	9	10	36%	7%	64	-0.8	212/271/309	97	334	9	12	37%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/248/282	94	270	8	13	32%	6%	43	-2.2	195/260/276	81	313	7	10	37%	7%	47	-1.9	186/257/265	79	290	10	10	37%	7%	41	-1.1
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	39	176/249/261	85	299	6	10	40%	8%	40	-2.4	195/273/291	96	312	7	14	36%	9%	57	-1.2	139/211/213	74	271	5	19	47%	8%	9	-1.4
✕Max George 2017 · A	21	38→36	39→45	47→55	43	183/270/267	84	278	6	10	34%	8%	50	-1.7	176/256/272	96	242	8	19	29%	7%	46	-2.0	155/243/267	112	213	11	23	32%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Adam Zebrowski 2022 · A	21	44→35	39→45	49→40	38	205/266/291	86	316	5	7	35%	6%	53	-1.5	195/265/316	121	293	13	4	36%	8%	60	-1.0	184/236/312	128	274	18	2	38%	5%	44	-1.1
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Will Banfield 2021 · A	21	34→35	40→50	47→30	34	174/220/260	86	266	8	3	37%	5%	26	-3.4	180/221/294	114	261	12	3	35%	4%	35	-2.8	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→29	37→50	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	37	-2.7	181/253/315	134	327	17	16	46%	7%	56	-1.3	164/239/293	129	288	17	19	46%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Alex Murphy 2016 · A	21	42→36	41→50	50→40	39	204/256/310	107	290	8	5	32%	6%	54	-1.4	196/253/320	124	287	13	3	35%	6%	56	-1.3	185/244/310	125	269	14	1	35%	6%	46	-1.4
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	202/247/299	97	291	7	12	32%	5%	46	-2.0	194/247/296	102	282	9	6	33%	6%	46	-2.0	138/192/212	74	190	5	0	29%	5%	1	-1.2
✕Dale Burdick 2017 · A	21	38	39→45	49→50	38	178/247/265	87	298	5	7	39%	7%	40	-2.4	176/255/272	96	319	7	8	43%	9%	45	-2.1	141/235/232	91	260	8	8	44%	10%	24	-1.3
✕Pedro Gonzalez 2019 · A	21	40→28	42→45	49→50	32	188/235/300	112	316	8	10	41%	5%	42	-2.3	175/230/291	116	296	12	9	43%	6%	38	-2.6	142/203/248	106	244	13	9	46%	6%	14	-2.8