Nolan Beltran

SS Clearwater Threshers

Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 160 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	APHI	131	.183/.266/.261	1	0	22	—	.168/.227/.244
2026	21	APHI	405	.272/.388/.382	5	7	81	—	.235/.325/.323
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBPHI	505	.201/.284/.296	7	8	67	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBPHI	153	.207/.290/.316	3	2	72	-0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBPHI	226	.211/.294/.327	4	3	76	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%88

Whiff%83

Z-Con%73

BB%65

Max EV59

Chase%58

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%

CompsRodrigo Orozco (age 22) · Javi Vaz (age 22) · Brandon Trinkwon (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .282 / .294

PA320

HR4

SB5

K%19

BB%9

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 63 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT63

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	187	146	33	7	0	0	31	18	4	5	3	226	374	274	648	48	254	10	17	305	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	128	111	33	5	2	1	15	22	0	3	4	297	381	405	786	108	356	17	12	350	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	113	94	22	4	0	3	17	22	2	2	2	234	363	372	735	138	275	19	15	339	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	115	21	4	1	1	13	18	0	0	0	183	266	261	526	78	206	14	10	240	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	405	335	91	22	0	5	56	55	8	7	1	272	388	382	770	110	308	14	14	349	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	187	156	26	5	0	0	22	23	4	5	3	167	286	199	484	32	182	12	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	128	116	21	3	1	0	10	26	0	3	4	181	246	224	470	43	223	20	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	113	100	16	3	0	2	11	30	2	2	2	160	257	250	507	90	207	27	10	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	119	20	4	1	1	9	23	0	0	0	168	227	244	470	76	185	18	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	405	353	83	19	0	4	39	75	8	7	1	235	325	323	648	88	275	19	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	187	156	26	5	0	0	22	23	4	5	3	167	286	199	484	32	193	12	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	187	146	33	7	0	0	31	18	4	5	3	226	374	274	648	48	254	10	17	305	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	128	116	21	3	1	0	10	26	0	3	4	181	246	224	470	43	228	20	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	128	111	33	5	2	1	15	22	0	3	4	297	381	405	786	108	356	17	12	350	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	113	100	16	3	0	2	11	30	2	2	2	160	257	250	507	90	206	27	10	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	113	94	22	4	0	3	17	22	2	2	2	234	363	372	735	138	275	19	15	339	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	119	20	4	1	1	9	23	0	0	0	168	227	244	470	76	198	18	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	115	21	4	1	1	13	18	0	0	0	183	266	261	526	78	206	14	10	240	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	405	353	83	19	0	4	39	75	8	7	1	235	325	323	648	88	284	19	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	405	335	91	22	0	5	56	55	8	7	1	272	388	382	770	110	308	14	14	349	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	187	159	26	5	0	0	22	23	4	5	3	164	286	195	481	31	182	12	12	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	128	117	21	3	1	0	10	26	0	3	4	179	246	222	468	43	223	20	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	113	99	16	3	0	2	11	30	2	2	2	162	257	253	509	91	207	27	10	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	121	20	4	1	1	9	23	0	0	0	165	227	240	466	74	185	18	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	405	355	83	19	0	4	39	75	8	7	1	234	325	321	646	87	275	19	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	113	99	16	3	0	2	11	30	2	2	2	162	257	253	509	91	207	27	10	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	131	121	20	4	1	1	9	23	0	0	0	165	227	240	466	74	185	18	7	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	405	355	83	19	0	4	39	75	8	7	1	234	325	321	646	87	275	19	10	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	505	448	91	19	2	7	46	98	6	8	2	201	284	296	581	96	239	19	9	267	67	-20	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	445	396	82	17	2	7	41	86	5	7	2	206	289	312	601	106	242	19	9	275	72	-15	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	PHI	46%	490	436	92	19	2	9	45	94	6	8	2	210	293	323	616	113	246	19	9	280	76	-14	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	518	459	98	20	2	10	48	100	6	8	2	212	295	330	625	117	248	19	9	284	78	-13	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	532	472	101	20	2	11	49	104	6	8	2	214	296	333	630	119	250	20	9	286	80	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	536	476	103	21	2	11	49	106	6	7	2	215	297	335	631	120	251	20	9	286	80	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	534	474	100	20	2	10	49	107	6	6	2	213	295	330	625	117	251	20	9	284	78	-14	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	526	467	99	20	2	10	48	107	6	4	1	211	292	324	617	114	250	20	9	281	76	-15	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	517	460	96	19	2	9	47	107	5	2	1	208	289	317	606	109	249	21	9	276	73	-17	+0	-2	+6	+11	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	153	136	29	6	1	3	14	30	2	2	1	207	290	316	606	109	242	20	9	277	72	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	PHI	46%	226	200	42	8	1	4	21	44	3	3	1	211	294	327	622	116	246	19	9	283	76	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	268	238	51	10	1	6	25	52	3	4	1	214	296	335	631	121	248	19	9	286	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	288	256	55	11	1	6	27	56	3	4	1	215	298	338	636	123	250	19	9	288	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	291	259	56	11	1	6	27	58	3	4	1	216	298	340	638	124	252	20	9	289	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	290	258	55	11	1	6	27	58	3	3	1	214	296	335	632	121	251	20	9	286	78	-7	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	279	248	53	10	1	6	26	57	3	2	1	212	294	329	623	117	250	20	9	283	76	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	271	241	51	10	1	5	25	56	3	1	1	209	290	322	612	112	249	21	9	278	73	-9	-0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2066	1836	392	77	8	42	192	411	23	23	8	214	296	333	629	119	252	20	9	284	72	-57	+1	-2	+22	+45	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	123	24	3	13	60	129	7	7	3	213	295	332	627	119	251	20	9	284	72	-18	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5382	4768	994	202	19	88	496	1050	64	72	25	208	292	314	606	106	247	20	9	275	72	-126	+5	-4	+47	+96	1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	120	24	2	11	60	127	8	9	3	208	292	314	607	106	247	20	9	275	72	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.6	2,386	44	29	211	290	324	+26	+15	2.5	2.5
/162	664	12	8	+7.1	+4.2	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nolan Beltran (OGILVIE)	22	58→63	34→39	45→50	58	199/282/294	95	239	4	5	19%	9%	67	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rodrigo Orozco 2017 · A	22	46→56	39→40	47→50	49	220/278/305	85	266	6	9	19%	7%	65	-1.2	239/295/314	75	308	3	12	21%	7%	74	-0.6	242/300/314	72	309	2	15	21%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Javi Vaz 2023 · A	22	46→50	40	47→55	52	219/293/316	97	267	6	10	20%	9%	75	-0.5	227/301/321	94	255	7	18	14%	9%	78	-0.3	224/300/308	85	249	7	20	12%	9%	73	-0.6
✕Brandon Trinkwon 2015 · A	23	46→51	40	49→50	52	218/282/313	95	246	7	10	14%	8%	70	-0.9	227/292/306	79	273	7	8	18%	8%	72	-0.7	229/295/298	69	276	6	7	18%	8%	68	-0.8
✕Miles Mastrobuoni 2018 · A	22	46→56	37→45	49→60	48	220/278/292	73	277	5	13	22%	8%	63	-1.4	239/298/310	71	316	4	12	24%	8%	74	-0.5	253/317/360	108	325	8	21	23%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Rob Brantly 2011 · A	22	47→57	38→50	45→30	51	223/292/303	80	262	5	6	16%	8%	71	-0.8	242/284/343	101	284	8	3	17%	5%	77	-0.3	235/298/334	99	273	9	1	17%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Andrew Aplin 2014 · A	23	46→56	42→40	52→55	53	222/289/333	111	253	9	14	16%	9%	77	-0.3	235/308/317	82	287	6	22	18%	10%	80	-0.1	233/308/303	70	291	5	27	20%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Darwin Barney 2008 · A	22	49→57	40	50	45	231/276/329	98	268	6	9	16%	5%	70	-0.8	244/284/323	79	291	4	8	17%	5%	72	-0.7	259/296/338	79	290	4	9	12%	4%	79	-0.2
✕Zack Granite 2015 · A	22	49→59	35→40	48→60	47	226/273/286	59	268	2	11	16%	6%	58	-1.7	250/299/321	71	294	3	24	15%	6%	76	-0.4	266/314/342	76	305	3	30	13%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Alejo Lopez 2018 · A	22	47→57	38→40	51→55	49	223/281/306	83	255	5	11	15%	6%	67	-1.1	238/289/305	67	296	3	8	19%	5%	70	-0.9	269/335/357	88	309	5	12	14%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Darius Hill 2021 · A	23	44→54	41→40	47→45	46	214/259/312	97	247	8	8	17%	6%	60	-1.6	254/292/346	92	310	7	6	20%	5%	80	-0.2	264/304/358	94	319	6	5	18%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Jake Peter 2015 · A	22	51→57	39→45	51→50	45	242/286/337	94	284	4	5	16%	5%	76	-0.4	240/287/323	83	312	5	11	23%	6%	73	-0.6	239/291/333	94	326	9	8	28%	6%	74	-0.4
✕LuJames Groover 2024 · A	22	47→55	40→45	47→40	48	225/287/324	99	261	7	8	16%	6%	74	-0.5	243/309/357	114	287	11	6	18%	8%	90	+0.6	250/320/355	105	298	10	4	18%	8%	92	+0.5
✕Dan Robinson 2019 · A	22	51	38→40	51→50	51	240/301/329	89	282	4	10	16%	8%	80	-0.2	211/279/287	76	278	4	7	23%	8%	63	-1.4	191/267/255	64	255	2	5	24%	9%	47	-1.6
✕Yohendrick Pinango 2024 · A	22	45→54	41→50	50	43	218/262/310	92	269	8	11	22%	5%	61	-1.5	220/284/340	120	279	12	9	24%	8%	77	-0.3	223/292/355	132	284	14	7	25%	8%	81	-0.0
✕L.T. Tolbert 2019 · A	23	45→53	37→40	45→40	48	211/267/285	75	256	4	6	19%	7%	57	-1.8	237/283/319	82	290	6	5	19%	5%	70	-0.8	253/295/329	76	303	6	3	18%	4%	76	-0.3
✕Colin Walsh 2012 · A	22	43→52	41→45	50	53	207/286/311	104	254	8	9	21%	10%	71	-0.8	233/303/355	122	292	11	7	23%	9%	87	+0.4	214/321/331	117	302	10	7	29%	13%	87	+0.3
✕Leon Landry 2012 · A	22	47→54	39→45	52→55	43	223/263/317	94	266	5	15	18%	5%	62	-1.4	227/258/335	108	270	7	19	18%	4%	64	-1.3	231/257/339	108	270	7	23	17%	3%	62	-1.1
✕Jacob Gonzalez 2024 · A	22	44→45	38→45	46→50	51	208/290/285	76	270	6	6	24%	9%	67	-1.1	218/275/329	111	256	11	12	19%	6%	71	-0.8	220/279/347	127	253	14	13	19%	6%	75	-0.4
✕Brad McElroy 2009 · A	23	44→54	38→40	54→55	49	209/283/293	84	262	5	10	21%	8%	65	-1.2	221/290/317	96	293	6	18	25%	8%	74	-0.6	229/296/327	98	299	6	23	24%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Spencer Nivens 2024 · A	22	41→49	41→45	48→50	52	199/280/294	96	255	8	14	24%	10%	65	-1.2	208/277/334	126	276	13	11	28%	9%	73	-0.6	211/281/333	122	272	12	12	26%	9%	73	-0.5

Nolan Beltran

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps