Adrian Reyes — OGILVIE

Adrian ReyesOF DSL Reds

Age 21 S/R 6'1" / 215 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 63 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .262 / .289

PA63

HR1

K%34

BB%8

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	171	154	17	6	1	2	16	82	1	1	2	110	199	201	400	91	214	48	9	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	171	142	28	12	1	3	28	56	1	1	2	197	333	359	692	162	301	33	16	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	191	165	21	8	2	3	23	84	1	1	1	127	238	255	493	127	225	44	12	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	191	149	30	12	3	3	39	57	1	1	1	201	370	383	753	181	297	30	20	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	115	100	8	2	0	1	13	61	1	0	1	80	193	130	323	50	179	53	11	169	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	115	92	16	3	0	3	21	39	1	0	1	174	333	304	638	130	255	34	18	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	CIN	—	63	57	10	2	0	1	5	22	1	1	0	175	254	263	517	88	286	35	8	253	52	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CIN	34%	116	104	21	4	1	2	10	38	1	1	0	202	278	317	596	115	288	33	9	266	62	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	CIN	48%	251	226	46	9	2	5	21	80	2	3	1	204	277	327	605	124	289	32	8	274	68	-9	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
2027	22	MLB	CIN	34%	40	37	7	1	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	189	250	297	547	108	290	32	8	262	59	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	CIN	48%	122	110	24	5	1	3	10	39	1	1	0	218	289	364	653	145	292	32	8	270	65	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	162	147	31	6	1	4	13	52	1	1	0	211	280	347	626	136	293	32	8	268	64	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	124	24	4	16	52	209	4	4	0	210	279	346	624	136	293	32	8	268	64	-27	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	907	806	123	31	6	14	88	367	7	7	5	153	242	258	500	105	253	40	10	231	35	-67	-1	+0	-5	+26	-4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	88	22	4	10	63	263	5	5	4	152	242	256	498	104	252	40	10	231	35	-48	-1	+0	-4	+18	-3.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	171	142	28	12	1	3	28	56	1	1	2	197	333	359	692	162	301	33	16	318	102	+0	-1	—	—	+5	0.5
2023	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	191	149	30	12	3	3	39	57	1	1	1	201	370	383	753	181	297	30	20	342	120	+4	-0	—	—	+5	1.0
2024	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	115	92	16	3	0	3	21	39	1	0	1	174	333	304	638	130	255	34	18	300	88	-2	-0	—	—	+3	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	224	4	2	200	272	316	-1	+0	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	12	7	200	272	316	-4.0	+0.0	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Reyes (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	188/262/289	100	286	1	1	34%	8%	52	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕C.J. Beatty 2010 · A	21	40	42→45	52→40	41	198/253/297	98	278	9	9	31%	7%	49	-1.8	209/271/322	113	297	9	5	31%	8%	63	-0.8	201/268/328	127	281	10	2	30%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→39	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	95	272	5	6	36%	8%	41	-2.3	201/268/322	121	279	12	6	31%	7%	63	-0.9	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Amaurys Minier 2017 · A	21	34	44→50	43→40	36	173/237/285	112	293	13	3	44%	7%	40	-2.4	177/252/277	100	324	10	4	44%	8%	45	-2.1	83/194/160	77	157	8	0	49%	10%	-8	-1.3
✕Nomar Fana 2023 · A	20	39	39→50	46→50	39	185/249/273	88	303	6	11	39%	8%	41	-2.3	189/264/297	108	304	12	12	38%	9%	55	-1.4	163/251/273	110	258	14	14	40%	10%	42	-0.8
✕Jorge Martinez 2014 · A	21	35→25	43→45	46→45	35	182/224/293	111	270	10	5	36%	5%	36	-2.7	178/225/279	101	295	10	7	41%	6%	33	-2.9	124/172/199	75	208	8	7	43%	6%	-10	-1.5
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→31	43→45	51→50	41	190/257/298	109	284	11	12	35%	8%	52	-1.6	205/269/317	112	309	11	12	35%	7%	62	-0.9	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2022 · A	20	40→32	40→45	51→50	44	189/267/287	97	296	6	7	36%	9%	53	-1.5	190/262/303	113	294	11	12	36%	8%	56	-1.3	173/244/282	109	262	12	12	37%	8%	40	-1.4
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A	20	34	41→45	47→40	39	168/245/259	91	281	10	3	41%	8%	37	-2.6	203/283/327	124	326	12	6	38%	9%	71	-0.3	196/292/343	147	309	14	3	37%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Yasel Antuna 2021 · A	21	42→36	41→45	46→50	41	206/259/303	97	285	8	9	30%	6%	53	-1.5	190/266/305	115	270	11	11	32%	9%	58	-1.2	171/257/276	105	242	11	12	32%	10%	45	-1.4
✕Alan Schoenberger 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	49→45	41	186/247/260	75	289	3	8	35%	7%	37	-2.7	200/248/293	93	296	7	6	33%	6%	46	-2.0	188/236/280	92	275	7	5	33%	5%	34	-1.4
✕Eduardo Lopez 2023 · A	21	39	40	46→50	39	184/254/269	85	302	7	9	39%	8%	43	-2.2	185/254/289	104	285	10	11	36%	8%	48	-1.9	164/237/270	106	244	11	11	35%	8%	34	-1.1
✕Robel García 2013 · A	20	36→37	40→50	48→40	40	177/241/272	95	268	7	6	35%	7%	38	-2.6	189/257/279	90	284	6	6	33%	8%	46	-2.0	192/262/383	192	272	27	2	39%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	31	-3.0	170/233/292	122	289	14	4	43%	7%	40	-2.4	133/182/263	130	199	17	0	43%	5%	8	-1.1
✕Marcus Littlewood 2013 · A	21	40	40→45	48→45	41	198/248/289	92	267	8	7	29%	6%	44	-2.1	199/266/305	106	272	10	5	28%	8%	57	-1.2	209/274/322	113	270	10	4	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Jared Walker 2017 · A	21	37→31	40→55	44→45	37	179/240/268	89	302	8	7	42%	7%	37	-2.7	185/254/339	154	308	18	5	44%	7%	63	-0.9	167/248/330	163	274	21	5	45%	7%	55	-0.9
✕Je'Von Ward 2021 · A	21	42→35	36→45	47→50	43	196/259/266	70	298	4	8	34%	8%	43	-2.2	198/247/286	88	325	7	10	39%	6%	43	-2.2	189/272/316	127	289	15	8	37%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Robert Moore 2023 · A	21	42→40	41→45	50	42	203/268/305	102	288	9	13	31%	7%	58	-1.2	192/255/288	96	258	8	15	27%	6%	48	-1.9	192/256/302	110	236	11	15	24%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Nolan Perez 2019 · A	20	36	38→40	45→40	36	178/228/253	74	267	5	4	34%	5%	27	-3.3	191/230/273	82	324	6	5	41%	4%	33	-2.9	174/195/256	81	303	6	1	44%	2%	11	-1.4
✕Agustin Ruiz 2021 · A	21	39→33	37→50	46→40	39	183/245/258	75	293	4	4	37%	7%	36	-2.7	188/254/331	143	272	18	4	37%	7%	59	-1.1	172/243/327	155	240	22	2	37%	6%	53	-1.0