Marco Vega

P ACL Angels

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKLAA	12	19	2.37	2.26	30.5%	8.5%	—	K 20.7% · BB 10.7% · FIP 3.58
2025	20	ROKLAA	14	19	5.59	5.17	18.6%	12.8%	—	K 12.7% · BB 16.0% · FIP 7.13
2026	21	MIX2 levels	31	36	3.50	3.04	30.5%	11.3%	—	K 21.4% · BB 13.7% · FIP 4.53
2027PROJ	22	MLBLAA	16	17	4.96	4.96	21.7%	13.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBLAA	16	17	4.76	4.67	22.6%	11.7%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsKasey Ford (age 23) · Ismael Cabrera (age 22) · Jordan Mikel (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.96

FIP4.96

K%21.7%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%8.6%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	14	0	25	99	27	5	1	0%	1.8	18.5%	6.3%	12.2%	1.8%	2.88	3.30	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	14	0	25	99	27	5	1	0%	1.8	27.3%	5.1%	22.2%	1.0%	2.88	2.06	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	0	19	82	25	7	1	0%	1.6	20.7%	10.7%	10.1%	1.6%	2.37	3.58	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	0	19	82	25	7	1	0%	1.6	20.7%	10.7%	10.1%	1.6%	2.37	3.58	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	12	0	19	82	25	7	1	0%	1.6	30.5%	8.5%	22.0%	1.2%	2.37	2.26	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	14	0	19	86	16	11	3	0%	1.4	12.7%	16.0%	-3.3%	5.6%	5.59	7.13	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	14	0	19	86	16	11	3	0%	1.4	12.7%	16.0%	-3.3%	5.6%	5.59	7.13	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	14	0	19	86	16	11	3	0%	1.4	18.6%	12.8%	5.8%	3.5%	5.59	5.17	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	36	151	46	17	3	0%	1.2	21.4%	13.7%	7.6%	2.7%	3.50	4.53	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	0	36	151	46	17	3	0%	1.2	21.4%	13.7%	7.6%	2.7%	3.50	4.53	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	0	36	151	46	17	3	0%	1.2	30.5%	11.3%	19.2%	2.0%	3.50	3.04	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	LAA	16	0	17	72	16	9	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	13.1%	8.6%	3.0%	4.96	4.96	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	LAA	32	0	34	142	32	17	4	0%	1.1	22.6%	11.7%	10.9%	3.0%	4.76	4.67	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	LAA	16	0	17	72	16	8	2	0%	1.1	22.6%	11.7%	10.9%	3.0%	4.76	4.67	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	70	16	8	2	0%	1.0	22.6%	11.7%	10.9%	3.0%	4.76	4.29	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	97	24	0%	1.1	22.6%	11.7%	10.9%	3.0%	4.76	4.29	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		71	0	99	418	78	50	12	0%	1.4	18.8%	11.8%	6.9%	2.9%	3.53	4.59	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	0	200	842	158	100	24	0%	1.4	18.8%	11.8%	6.9%	2.9%	3.53	4.59	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Marco Vega (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.96	21.7%	13.1%	3.0%	—	4.67	22.6%	10.9%	34	-0.29	—	—	—
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	91
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	91
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	90
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	89
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	89
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	88
Cam Bedrosian R 2014 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	21.5%	11.8%	2.1%	.350	2.72	26.8%	17.8%	154	-1.22	1.79	363	88
Chris Perez R 2008 · 4.22 FIP	23	SU	4.22	23.7%	12.4%	2.8%	.269	3.71	22.5%	12.6%	180	-0.51	3.18	379	87
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	87
Nolan Sparks R 2024 · 4.10 FIP	21	SU	4.10	21.8%	13.5%	2.1%	.229	4.72	19.3%	5.3%	140	+0.62	4.10	155	87
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	87
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	87
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	87
Hunter Dula R 2022 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	22.0%	12.3%	2.0%	.340	4.54	20.0%	8.9%	91	+0.63	3.91	132	87
Samuel Carpio R 2024 · 4.20 FIP	21	SU	4.20	21.2%	15.3%	1.7%	.300	5.36	21.6%	-3.4%	112	+1.16	4.20	134	86
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	86
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	86
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	86

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	22.3%	12.1%	1.15	4.83
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Mike Holtz ('06)	1.2	34	20.4%	12.0%	0.94	4.76