Myles Caba

P Tulsa Drillers

Age 25 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	MIX2 levels	40	0	54	3.17	2.06	30.8%	10.3%	—	K 23.1% · BB 12.1% · FIP 2.98
2026	24	MIX2 levels	37	5	59	4.14	4.07	25.5%	12.5%	—	K 19.1% · BB 14.3% · FIP 5.43
2027PROJ	25	MLBLAD	29	0	30	5.06	5.06	20.5%	13.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBLAD	22	0	23	4.97	4.96	21.0%	12.6%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBLAD	31	0	33	4.94	4.95	21.2%	12.4%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsMitchell Tyranski (age 25) · Hector Mercado (age 26) · Nick Hagadone (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113121vR 129

ERA5.06

FIP5.06

K%20.5%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%7.5%

Proj IP30

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	54	224	69	23	1	0%	1.4	23.1%	12.1%	11.0%	0.5%	3.17	2.98	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	54	224	69	23	1	0%	1.4	23.1%	12.1%	11.0%	0.5%	3.17	2.98	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	54	224	69	23	1	0%	1.4	30.8%	10.3%	20.5%	0.4%	3.17	2.06	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	5	59	255	65	32	7	14%	1.6	19.1%	14.3%	4.9%	3.9%	4.14	5.43	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	5	59	255	65	32	7	14%	1.6	19.1%	14.3%	4.9%	3.9%	4.14	5.43	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	5	59	255	65	32	7	14%	1.6	25.5%	12.5%	12.9%	2.7%	4.14	4.07	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	LAD	29	0	30	127	26	16	4	0%	1.0	20.5%	13.0%	7.5%	3.0%	5.06	5.06	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	50	0	53	223	47	28	7	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.6%	8.5%	3.0%	4.97	4.96	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAD	50	0	52	220	47	27	7	0%	1.0	21.2%	12.4%	8.8%	3.1%	4.94	4.95	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	22	0	23	97	20	12	3	0%	1.0	21.0%	12.6%	8.5%	3.0%	4.97	4.96	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAD	31	0	33	139	30	17	4	0%	1.1	21.2%	12.4%	8.8%	3.1%	4.94	4.95	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	56	237	50	29	7	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.4%	8.7%	3.1%	4.95	4.57	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	103	25	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.4%	8.7%	3.1%	4.95	4.57	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		77	5	113	479	101	63	11	6%	1.5	21.0%	13.2%	7.7%	2.3%	3.67	4.28	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	9	200	850	178	113	20	6%	1.5	21.0%	13.2%	7.7%	2.3%	3.67	4.28	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Myles Caba (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.06	20.5%	13.0%	3.0%	—	4.96	21.1%	8.7%	105	-0.10	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	91
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	89
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	87
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	85
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	85
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	85
Ryne Slack L 2017 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	17.4%	13.2%	2.0%	.308	5.59	13.9%	1.8%	49	+1.17	4.07	212	84
Andrew Walling L 2024 · 4.05 FIP	24	SU	4.05	23.4%	13.2%	2.3%	.281	3.73	20.8%	7.5%	52	-0.32	3.14	161	84
Jason Kershner L 2002 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	16.8%	12.1%	2.8%	.233	4.04	14.5%	8.1%	76	-0.72	3.87	100	83
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	83
Giovanni Soto L 2016 · 4.01 FIP	25	SU	4.01	21.3%	14.3%	1.6%	.348	4.18	25.6%	15.1%	25	+0.17	3.30	128	83
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	83
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	82
Robby Ahlstrom L 2024 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	21.9%	11.6%	2.1%	.294	4.02	20.7%	11.1%	120	+0.13	3.79	332	82
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	82
John Beller L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	21.6%	14.2%	2.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	170	82
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	81
Russell Smith L 2024 · 4.00 FIP	25	SU	4.00	19.0%	13.9%	1.4%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	175	81
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	81
Jackson Lancaster L 2024 · 4.48 FIP	25	SU	4.48	24.0%	11.1%	3.6%	.355	5.36	18.3%	4.9%	93	+0.88	4.15	142	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	45	21.0%	12.6%	1.18	4.98
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43