Myles Caba P Tulsa Drillers
Age 24 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 38 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 96105vR 114
ERA4.19
FIP4.19
K%23.2%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 75 IP
K: +1.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -1.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -2.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +5.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+6STAMTotal WAR: +0.24 (75 IP)+0.2WAR
0.20.22627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202523MIX2 levels40054224692310%1.423.1%12.1%11.0%0.5%3.172.97
202523MIX2 levels40054224692310%1.430.8%10.3%20.5%0.4%3.172.06
▸ 2026 Season
202624AATulsa Drillers233381634321313%1.618.9%15.1%3.9%2.9%3.355.00-0.2
ROS24MLBLAD36038160371540%1.023.2%9.6%13.7%2.7%4.194.19+0.2
ROS24MLBLAD10141000%1.023.2%9.6%13.7%2.7%4.194.19+0.0
2026 TOT24MLBLAD753238036724.8%11.2%13.6%2.2%3.774.60+0.2
2026 FULL24MLBLAD1310023.3%9.6%13.7%2.7%4.193.81+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725MLBLAD36038162381540%1.123.6%9.2%14.4%2.7%4.154.12+0.2
202725MLBLAD160177217720%1.123.6%9.2%14.4%2.7%4.154.12+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career170187418720%1.023.6%9.2%14.4%2.7%4.153.74+0.2
/ 200 IP190020084420580230%1.123.6%9.2%14.4%2.7%4.153.74+3.9
Career63392387835265%1.521.4%13.3%8.0%1.5%3.243.82+1.5
/ 200 IP1377200844180113135%1.521.4%13.3%8.0%1.5%3.243.82+3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Myles Caba (OGILVIE) 4.19 23.2%9.6%2.7% 4.12 23.6%14.4%38 -0.07
Sean Mellen L 2026 · 3.97 FIP 24 SU 3.97 21.3%10.4%2.5%.285 3.97 101 87
Brian Marconi L 2026 · 3.61 FIP 24 SU 3.61 25.3%12.3%2.0%.265 4.96 20.3%2.1%57 +1.35 3.61 101 87
Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.09 FIP 24 SU 4.09 20.6%9.4%2.8%.260 4.51 17.6%7.7%185 +0.42 3.88 256 86
Graeme Stinson L 2026 · 3.54 FIP 24 SU 3.54 23.0%10.5%1.9%.275 4.75 19.5%3.9%45 +1.21 3.54 146 86
Thomas Burrows L 2026 · 4.17 FIP 24 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.276 3.94 26.5%12.9%82 -0.23 2.83 271 86
Chris Cotton L 2026 · 3.66 FIP 24 SU 3.66 20.7%7.0%2.6%.288 4.13 9.7%3.3%61 +0.47 3.66 128 85
Carson Skipper L 2026 · 3.14 FIP 24 SU 3.14 25.0%8.2%2.0%.322 4.21 18.3%8.7%77 +1.07 2.87 186 85
Colton Johnson L 2028 · 4.04 FIP 26 SU 4.04 20.8%11.0%2.4%.309 4.49 12.2%-0.4%48 +0.45 4.04 106 84
Greg Nappo L 2028 · 3.40 FIP 26 SU 3.40 22.7%7.5%2.3%.267 5.45 16.5%5.9%79 +2.05 3.40 144 84
Easton Lucas L 2026 · 4.21 FIP 24 SU 4.21 23.6%9.2%3.5%.316 4.00 21.8%11.4%184 -0.21 3.49 311 84
Andrew Walling L 2026 · 4.10 FIP 24 SU 4.10 23.4%13.2%2.4%.281 3.81 20.9%6.8%52 -0.29 3.12 161 84
Brandon Hughes L 2027 · 3.62 FIP 25 SU 3.62 27.0%11.1%2.5%.300 4.49 24.4%14.8%149 +0.87 3.62 206 84
Michael Theofanopoulos L 2026 · 3.66 FIP 24 SU 3.66 21.0%9.8%2.0%.326 3.53 201 84
R.C. Orlan L 2026 · 4.01 FIP 24 SU 4.01 21.0%10.9%2.4%.326 4.55 17.2%5.0%119 +0.54 1.71 206 83
Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.54 FIP 24 SU 4.54 20.8%11.5%3.2%.268 3.58 22.5%15.3%123 -0.96 1.84 238 83
Mason Melotakis L 2027 · 3.12 FIP 25 SU 3.12 23.6%9.2%1.6%.379 4.28 18.2%7.1%80 +1.16 3.12 142 83
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2028 · 3.72 FIP 26 SU 3.72 20.5%6.9%2.7%.287 3.19 22.3%9.6%66 -0.53 2.79 159 82
Kade Bragg L 2026 · 4.40 FIP 24 SU 4.40 23.3%13.0%3.0%.255 4.15 23.7%2.3%45 -0.25 4.15 112 82
Trevor Lane L 2026 · 3.39 FIP 24 SU 3.39 21.5%7.3%2.2%.360 3.11 21.2%12.6%91 -0.28 2.07 246 82
Kirby Snead L 2026 · 4.03 FIP 24 SU 4.03 20.7%8.7%2.9%.318 3.05 24.6%15.6%98 -0.98 2.09 365 82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23823.4%9.4%1.034.17
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
Santiago Casilla ('18)45223.5%9.6%0.963.49
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77
Sam Hentges ('24)45225.4%8.4%0.784.18
Scott Oberg ('19)55121.5%9.3%0.913.85
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19