Myles Caba — OGILVIE

Myles Caba P Tulsa Drillers

Age 24 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 37 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102110vR 118

ERA4.47

FIP4.47

K%23.0%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%11.4%

ROS IP38

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 37 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	54	224	69	23	1	0%	1.4	23.1%	12.1%	11.0%	0.5%	3.17	2.98	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	54	224	69	23	1	0%	1.4	23.1%	12.1%	11.0%	0.5%	3.17	2.98	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	54	224	69	23	1	0%	1.4	30.8%	10.3%	20.5%	0.4%	3.17	2.06	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	37	5	59	255	65	32	7	14%	1.6	19.1%	14.3%	4.9%	3.9%	4.14	5.43	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	37	5	59	255	65	32	7	14%	1.6	19.1%	14.3%	4.9%	3.9%	4.14	5.43	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	LAD	7	0	11	39	14	4	0	0%	1.5	35.9%	10.3%	25.6%	0.0%	0.84	1.37	—
2026	24	AA RAW	LAD	30	5	48	216	51	28	7	17%	1.6	23.6%	13.0%	10.6%	3.2%	4.88	4.53	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAD	55	0	58	246	58	26	7	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.7%	12.7%	2.7%	4.38	4.33	+0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	55	0	58	246	58	26	7	0%	1.1	23.6%	10.5%	13.1%	2.7%	4.34	4.31	+0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAD	55	0	57	242	57	26	7	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.6%	13.0%	2.8%	4.34	4.35	+0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAD	25	0	26	110	26	12	3	0%	1.0	23.4%	10.7%	12.7%	2.7%	4.38	4.33	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	37	0	39	165	39	17	4	0%	1.1	23.6%	10.5%	13.1%	2.7%	4.34	4.31	+0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAD	42	0	44	186	44	20	5	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.6%	13.0%	2.8%	4.34	4.35	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		104	0	109	460	108	49	13	0%	1.0	23.6%	10.6%	13.0%	2.7%	4.35	3.95	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	90	24	0%	1.1	23.6%	10.6%	13.0%	2.7%	4.35	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		77	5	113	479	101	63	11	6%	1.5	21.0%	13.2%	7.7%	2.3%	3.67	4.28	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	9	200	850	178	113	20	6%	1.5	21.0%	13.2%	7.7%	2.3%	3.67	4.28	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Myles Caba (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.47	23.0%	11.6%	2.7%	—	4.33	23.5%	12.9%	174	-0.14	—	—	—
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	90
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	88
Daniel Stumpf L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	20.8%	11.5%	2.8%	.268	3.54	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.77	1.84	238	86
Graeme Stinson L 2022 · 3.56 FIP	24	SU	3.56	23.0%	10.5%	1.9%	.275	4.85	19.5%	3.9%	45	+1.29	3.56	146	86
Thomas Burrows L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	24	SU	3.99	22.0%	10.5%	2.6%	.276	3.93	26.5%	12.9%	82	-0.06	2.67	271	86
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	85
Wesley Moore L 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	25.9%	13.2%	1.9%	.254	4.18	18.3%	5.6%	58	+0.56	3.62	111	85
Michael Johnson L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	24	SU	3.92	20.6%	9.4%	2.5%	.260	4.70	17.6%	7.7%	185	+0.78	3.92	256	85
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	85
Ty Damron L 2018 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	24.3%	14.0%	2.6%	.358	4.30	19.7%	10.3%	134	+0.03	3.29	346	85
Jared Tobey L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.0%	12.1%	2.1%	.320	5.43	22.4%	8.2%	73	+1.44	3.99	158	85
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	85
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	84
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	84
Tony Cingrani L 2015 · 3.60 FIP	26	SU	3.60	25.8%	12.9%	1.9%	.305	3.84	25.4%	15.7%	128	+0.24	1.68	186	84
Trey Cumbie L 2019 · 3.44 FIP	23	SU	3.44	22.5%	12.6%	1.2%	.318	4.78	24.4%	8.7%	91	+1.34	3.44	152	84
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	84
Gabriel Sequeira L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	19.3%	13.1%	2.7%	.294	3.57	21.4%	10.0%	63	-1.03	2.62	160	84
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	83
Robert Garcia L 2019 · 4.35 FIP	23	SU	4.35	24.0%	11.4%	3.3%	.342	4.38	22.0%	10.4%	106	+0.03	2.21	452	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	53	23.4%	10.8%	1.05	4.37
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93