Romeo Sanabria
1B San Antonio Missions| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 612 | .286/.397/.418 | 11 | 3 | 92 | — | .239/.325/.350 |
| 2025 | 23 | AASD | 499 | .257/.314/.376 | 12 | 4 | 72 | — | .242/.280/.348 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA/AASD | 491 | .278/.372/.418 | 12 | 7 | 87 | — | .243/.308/.349 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBSD | 4 | .228/.287/.335 | 0 | 0 | 78 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 26 | MLBSD | 79 | .229/.289/.339 | 2 | 1 | 79 | -0.2 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 267 | 167 | 433 | 83 | 167 | 40 | 20 | 225 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 67 | 53 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 283 | 424 | 434 | 858 | 151 | 395 | 22 | 18 | 384 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 203 | 167 | 60 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 48 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 359 | 457 | 617 | 1.074 | 257 | 444 | 24 | 15 | 452 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 136 | 111 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 270 | 386 | 333 | 720 | 63 | 382 | 28 | 15 | 327 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 140 | 122 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 262 | 348 | 393 | 741 | 131 | 330 | 22 | 11 | 331 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 270 | 219 | 68 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 48 | 46 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 311 | 437 | 493 | 930 | 183 | 359 | 17 | 18 | 412 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 66 | 58 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 364 | 345 | 708 | 69 | 410 | 29 | 12 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 499 | 452 | 116 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 38 | 107 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 257 | 314 | 376 | 690 | 119 | 305 | 21 | 8 | 305 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 83 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 268 | 307 | 575 | 107 | 228 | 19 | 8 | 260 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 408 | 346 | 102 | 21 | 0 | 10 | 53 | 91 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 295 | 393 | 442 | 835 | 147 | 369 | 22 | 13 | 371 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 200 | 154 | 354 | 77 | 118 | 60 | 13 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 67 | 57 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 333 | 333 | 667 | 105 | 347 | 31 | 12 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 203 | 178 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 70 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 242 | 315 | 410 | 725 | 169 | 333 | 34 | 9 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 136 | 116 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 233 | 326 | 284 | 610 | 52 | 340 | 35 | 12 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 140 | 127 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 283 | 331 | 613 | 110 | 295 | 29 | 7 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 270 | 234 | 59 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 62 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 252 | 347 | 393 | 740 | 141 | 312 | 23 | 12 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 499 | 466 | 113 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 24 | 124 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 242 | 280 | 348 | 627 | 105 | 294 | 25 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 83 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 220 | 244 | 463 | 64 | 224 | 23 | 5 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 408 | 364 | 93 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 35 | 111 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 255 | 326 | 371 | 697 | 115 | 336 | 27 | 9 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 200 | 154 | 354 | 77 | 250 | 60 | 13 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL Padres | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 267 | 167 | 433 | 83 | 167 | 40 | 20 | 225 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 235 | 56 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 92 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 238 | 319 | 391 | 711 | 153 | 350 | 34 | 10 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 270 | 220 | 75 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 42 | 63 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 341 | 449 | 573 | 1.021 | 232 | 432 | 23 | 16 | 435 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 612 | 535 | 128 | 27 | 0 | 10 | 67 | 167 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 239 | 326 | 346 | 672 | 107 | 322 | 27 | 11 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A RAW | 4 teams | — | 612 | 510 | 146 | 34 | 0 | 11 | 92 | 134 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 286 | 397 | 418 | 815 | 131 | 362 | 22 | 15 | 365 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 499 | 466 | 113 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 24 | 124 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 242 | 280 | 348 | 627 | 105 | 301 | 25 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 499 | 452 | 116 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 38 | 107 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 257 | 314 | 376 | 690 | 119 | 305 | 21 | 8 | 305 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 441 | 108 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 130 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 245 | 312 | 358 | 670 | 113 | 321 | 26 | 8 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 491 | 421 | 117 | 23 | 0 | 12 | 60 | 107 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 278 | 372 | 418 | 790 | 140 | 343 | 22 | 12 | 352 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 200 | 154 | 354 | 77 | 118 | 60 | 13 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 240 | 56 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 92 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 233 | 319 | 383 | 703 | 150 | 336 | 34 | 10 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 612 | 538 | 128 | 27 | 0 | 10 | 67 | 167 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 238 | 326 | 344 | 670 | 106 | 315 | 27 | 11 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 499 | 472 | 113 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 24 | 124 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 239 | 280 | 343 | 623 | 104 | 294 | 25 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 445 | 108 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 130 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 243 | 312 | 355 | 667 | 112 | 317 | 26 | 8 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 612 | 538 | 128 | 27 | 0 | 10 | 67 | 167 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 238 | 326 | 344 | 670 | 106 | 315 | 27 | 11 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 499 | 472 | 113 | 16 | 0 | 11 | 24 | 124 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 239 | 280 | 343 | 623 | 104 | 294 | 25 | 5 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 491 | 445 | 108 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 40 | 130 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 243 | 312 | 355 | 667 | 112 | 317 | 26 | 8 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | SD | 2% | 380 | 349 | 81 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 98 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 232 | 290 | 339 | 629 | 107 | 298 | 26 | 7 | 283 | 78 | -10 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +8 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | SD | 2% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 228 | 287 | 335 | 621 | 106 | 292 | 25 | 0 | 280 | 78 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | SD | 31% | 254 | 232 | 54 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 65 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 292 | 344 | 636 | 111 | 297 | 26 | 7 | 286 | 79 | -6 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | SD | 31% | 79 | 73 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 289 | 339 | 628 | 110 | 292 | 25 | 8 | 282 | 79 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 79 | 73 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 233 | 291 | 356 | 647 | 123 | 294 | 25 | 8 | 282 | 84 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 601 | 140 | 25 | 0 | 16 | 49 | 165 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 233 | 291 | 354 | 645 | 121 | 295 | 25 | 8 | 282 | 84 | -16 | +2 | -1 | -12 | +14 | -1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2351 | 2114 | 504 | 98 | 1 | 46 | 194 | 641 | 8 | 22 | 9 | 238 | 305 | 351 | 656 | 113 | 315 | 27 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -12 | +0 | -1 | -8 | +10 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 139 | 27 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 177 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 238 | 305 | 351 | 656 | 113 | 313 | 27 | 8 | 292 | 84 | -17 | +0 | -1 | -12 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AASan Antonio Missions · 408 PAwOBA .362 → .311 (−51)K% 22.3% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.30% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 8.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.012 | 26.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.003 | ×1.012 | 7.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.003 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.17% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .362 → .311; ISO .147 → .124; BABIP .369 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 83 PAwOBA .248 → .220 (−28)K% 19.3% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.28% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.033 | ×1.048 | 18.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×1.048 | 3.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.49% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .248 → .220; ISO .107 → .083; BABIP .228 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AASan Antonio Missions · 499 PAwOBA .300 → .275 (−25)K% 21.4% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.44% | ÷1.054 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.01% | ÷1.020 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 4.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.93% | ÷0.964 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 24.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.22% | ÷0.963 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 4.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.48% | ÷0.950 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.01% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 93, 3B 107, K 111, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .300 → .275; ISO .119 → .106; BABIP .305 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ALake Elsinore Storm · 270 PAwOBA .404 → .329 (−75)K% 17.0% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.04% | ÷1.002 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.41% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | — | 12.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.37% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.43% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | — | 23.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.25% | ÷1.108 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | — | 7.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.108 | ×0.910 | ×1.027 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.62% | ÷0.953 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.88% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 122, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .404 → .329; ISO .183 → .149; BABIP .359 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 140 PAwOBA .327 → .270 (−57)K% 22.1% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.14% | ÷0.982 | ×1.270 | — | — | 28.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.98% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 20.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.99% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 9.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.082 | ×0.850 | ×0.995 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.20% | ÷0.916 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.94% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 116, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .327 → .270; ISO .131 → .109; BABIP .330 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AASan Antonio Missions · 136 PAwOBA .329 → .278 (−51)K% 27.9% → 34.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.94% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.44% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 11.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.25% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 30.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.48% | ÷0.957 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 4.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.953 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.20% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .329 → .278; ISO .063 → .055; BABIP .382 → .340. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Padres · 203 PAwOBA .454 → .324 (−130)K% 23.6% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.65% | ÷0.983 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.78% | ÷0.972 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 9.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.41% | ÷1.006 | ×0.820 | ×0.980 | ×0.985 | 23.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.61% | ÷1.001 | ×0.720 | ×0.980 | ×0.985 | 8.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.68% | ÷0.931 | ×0.720 | ×0.980 | ×0.985 | 1.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.72% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 5.66% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 86, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .454 → .324; ISO .257 → .193; BABIP .444 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ALake Elsinore Storm · 67 PAwOBA .375 → .293 (−82)K% 22.4% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.39% | ÷0.953 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.91% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 12.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.42% | ÷0.951 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 18.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.065 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 16.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.121 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 90, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 91, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .375 → .293; ISO .151 → .115; BABIP .395 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .