Luis A. Reyes

P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	MIX2 levels	18	0	27	5.93	5.30	20.9%	22.4%	—	K 14.8% · BB 29.2% · FIP 6.88
2025	21	MIX2 levels	25	0	31	8.33	4.50	19.1%	19.1%	—	K 13.6% · BB 22.9% · FIP 5.40
2026	22	MIX2 levels	19	2	21	13.08	7.93	24.2%	32.8%	—	K 16.1% · BB 42.3% · FIP 9.43
2027PROJ	23	MLBCHC	11	0	12	6.09	6.09	18.5%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBCHC	11	0	12	5.69	5.55	19.9%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJackson Rose (age 22) · Hudson Leach (age 22) · Christian Ruebeck (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149141vR 133

ERA6.09

FIP6.09

K%18.5%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-1.5%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	13	3	28	138	36	16	3	23%	2.2	17.7%	14.5%	3.2%	2.6%	7.07	4.89	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	13	3	28	138	36	16	3	23%	2.2	26.1%	11.6%	14.5%	2.2%	7.07	3.64	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	16	0	24	119	26	29	1	0%	1.5	14.9%	30.5%	-15.6%	1.2%	6.38	6.35	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	16	0	24	119	26	29	1	0%	1.5	21.8%	24.4%	-2.5%	0.8%	6.38	5.10	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	27	134	28	30	2	0%	1.5	14.8%	29.2%	-14.4%	2.4%	5.93	6.88	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	27	134	28	30	2	0%	1.5	14.8%	29.2%	-14.4%	2.4%	5.93	6.88	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	27	134	28	30	2	0%	1.5	20.9%	22.4%	-1.5%	1.5%	5.93	5.30	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	31	162	31	31	1	0%	1.3	13.6%	22.9%	-9.3%	1.0%	8.33	5.40	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	31	162	31	31	1	0%	1.3	13.6%	22.9%	-9.3%	1.0%	8.33	5.40	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	31	162	31	31	1	0%	1.3	19.1%	19.1%	0.0%	0.6%	8.33	4.50	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	2	21	128	31	42	3	11%	1.1	16.1%	42.3%	-26.2%	4.2%	13.08	9.43	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	2	21	128	31	42	3	11%	1.1	16.1%	42.3%	-26.2%	4.2%	13.08	9.43	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	2	21	128	31	42	3	11%	1.1	24.2%	32.8%	-8.6%	2.3%	13.08	7.93	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	CHC	11	0	12	51	9	10	2	0%	1.1	18.5%	20.0%	-1.5%	3.0%	6.09	6.09	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	28	0	29	122	24	21	4	0%	1.0	19.9%	16.8%	3.0%	2.9%	5.69	5.55	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	11	0	12	51	10	9	1	0%	1.1	19.9%	16.8%	3.0%	2.9%	5.69	5.55	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	52	10	9	2	0%	1.0	19.9%	16.8%	3.0%	2.9%	5.69	5.17	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	162	146	32	0%	1.1	19.9%	16.8%	3.0%	2.9%	5.69	5.17	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		91	5	132	681	105	187	15	5%	1.5	15.4%	27.4%	-12.1%	2.2%	7.98	6.51	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		138	8	200	1032	159	283	23	5%	1.5	15.4%	27.4%	-12.1%	2.2%	7.98	6.51	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis A. Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.09	18.5%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.55	19.9%	3.0%	29	-0.54	—	—	—
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	89
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	89
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	88
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	87
Franklyn German R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.313	5.27	13.1%	0.1%	86	+0.10	3.37	152	86
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	85
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	85
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	85
Zach Barnes R 2022 · 5.35 FIP	23	SU	5.35	18.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.378	5.03	15.0%	1.5%	119	-0.32	4.90	145	84
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	84
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	84
Fraimin Marte R 2024 · 5.46 FIP	23	SU	5.46	18.7%	18.4%	2.9%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	111	84
Alec Kenilvort R 2016 · 6.44 FIP	23	SU	6.44	15.1%	17.0%	4.5%	.333	3.97	18.3%	9.1%	85	-2.47	2.97	109	83
Roman Phansalkar R 2022 · 6.38 FIP	24	SU	6.38	13.5%	18.4%	3.8%	.245	4.77	17.4%	4.0%	147	-1.61	4.33	164	83
Jack Hartman R 2022 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	15.1%	20.3%	2.5%	.357	3.99	19.5%	8.6%	143	-1.79	3.46	161	82
Derrick Turnbow R 2000 · 6.58 FIP	22	SU	6.58	13.8%	19.9%	3.9%	.257	1.43	28.3%	22.6%	15	-5.15	1.43	245	82
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	82
Josh Wolf R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	23	SU	5.28	18.4%	20.1%	2.2%	.344	5.77	18.5%	-5.0%	57	+0.49	4.16	226	82
Edward Baram R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	22	SU	5.05	18.5%	22.7%	1.2%	.354	5.57	15.4%	0.5%	95	+0.52	5.05	119	82
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	82