Josh Wolf — OGILVIE

Josh Wolf P Eugene Emeralds

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 160152vR 144

ERA6.69

FIP6.69

K%17.9%

BB%24.9%

K-BB%-7.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Mets	5	5	8	33	12	1	0	100%	1.6	36.4%	3.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.38	0.41	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Mets	5	5	8	33	12	1	0	100%	1.6	36.4%	3.0%	33.3%	0.0%	3.38	0.48	—
2021	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	18	17	66	297	67	34	3	94%	3.6	16.7%	13.5%	3.2%	1.4%	5.35	4.16	—
2021	20	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	18	17	66	297	67	34	3	94%	3.6	22.6%	11.4%	11.1%	1.0%	5.35	3.21	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	5	26	118	25	21	1	42%	2.1	14.7%	21.2%	-6.5%	1.2%	5.61	5.20	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	5	26	118	25	21	1	42%	2.1	21.2%	17.8%	3.4%	0.8%	5.61	4.11	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	1	46	222	47	40	4	4%	1.9	16.8%	19.6%	-2.8%	2.2%	6.11	5.40	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	1	46	222	47	40	4	4%	1.9	16.8%	19.6%	-2.8%	2.2%	6.11	5.40	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	1	46	222	47	40	4	4%	1.9	21.2%	18.0%	3.2%	1.8%	6.11	4.81	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	2	49	220	65	34	3	6%	1.4	18.4%	20.1%	-1.8%	2.2%	4.41	5.28	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	34	2	49	220	65	34	3	6%	1.4	18.4%	20.1%	-1.8%	2.2%	4.41	5.28	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	34	2	49	220	65	34	3	6%	1.4	29.5%	15.5%	14.1%	1.4%	4.41	3.32	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	29	9	57	279	67	57	5	31%	2.0	18.5%	23.5%	-5.0%	2.3%	4.74	5.77	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	29	9	57	279	67	57	5	31%	2.0	18.5%	23.5%	-5.0%	2.3%	4.74	5.77	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Eugene Emeralds	29	9	57	279	67	57	5	31%	2.0	24.0%	20.4%	3.6%	1.8%	4.74	4.89	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	SF	6	0	6	25	5	6	1	0%	1.0	17.9%	24.9%	-7.0%	2.9%	6.69	6.69	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SF	67	0	70	296	55	69	8	0%	1.0	18.7%	23.3%	-4.6%	2.9%	6.43	6.42	-1.4
2028	27	MLB MLE	SF	66	0	69	291	56	65	9	0%	1.0	19.1%	22.3%	-3.2%	2.9%	6.29	6.30	-1.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	SF	64	0	67	282	54	62	9	0%	1.0	19.2%	21.8%	-2.6%	3.0%	6.25	6.29	-1.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	SF	61	0	64	270	51	59	9	0%	1.0	19.0%	21.7%	-2.7%	3.2%	6.30	6.37	-1.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	SF	29	0	30	127	24	30	4	0%	1.0	18.7%	23.3%	-4.6%	2.9%	6.43	6.42	-0.6
2028	27	MLB CTX	SF	41	0	43	182	35	41	5	0%	1.0	19.1%	22.3%	-3.2%	2.9%	6.29	6.30	-0.8
2029	28	MLB CTX	SF	48	0	50	211	40	46	6	0%	1.0	19.2%	21.8%	-2.6%	3.0%	6.25	6.29	-0.9
2030	29	MLB CTX	SF	50	0	52	220	42	48	7	0%	1.0	19.0%	21.7%	-2.7%	3.2%	6.30	6.37	-1.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	176	742	141	164	22	0%	1.1	19.0%	22.2%	-3.1%	3.0%	6.31	5.96	-2.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	187	25	0%	1.1	19.0%	22.2%	-3.1%	3.0%	6.31	5.96	-3.3
Career	—	MLE		122	39	251	1169	208	220	22	32%	2.1	17.8%	18.8%	-1.0%	1.8%	5.13	4.99	-5.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	31	200	931	166	175	17	32%	2.1	17.8%	18.8%	-1.0%	1.8%	5.13	4.99	-4.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Wolf (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.69	17.9%	24.9%	2.9%	—	6.34	19.0%	-3.5%	206	-0.35	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	83
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	77
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	76
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	75
Brady Schanuel R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	25	SW	5.51	17.9%	23.5%	1.7%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.91	132	75
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	73
Drake Fellows R 2023 · 5.66 FIP	25	SW	5.66	17.1%	20.4%	2.6%	.367	4.91	14.2%	5.1%	266	-0.75	4.32	277	73
Michael Kelly R 2018 · 6.36 FIP	25	SW	6.36	14.6%	24.2%	2.6%	.299	3.51	24.8%	15.9%	45	-2.85	2.77	666	72
Austin Vernon R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	24	SW	5.75	22.1%	16.8%	4.3%	.325	3.69	23.2%	9.9%	100	-2.06	3.37	261	72
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	71
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	71
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	70
Elian Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.60 FIP	24	SW	5.60	18.3%	21.9%	2.3%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	5.60	109	70
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	70
Lucas Erceg R 2021 · 5.61 FIP	26	SP-	5.61	17.1%	18.1%	3.0%	.258	3.37	25.0%	13.8%	193	-2.24	2.10	346	69
Tommy DeJuneas R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	25	SU	5.65	13.7%	17.6%	2.7%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	178	69
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	69
Pedro Garcia R 2018 · 6.06 FIP	23	SW	6.06	12.6%	24.0%	1.8%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	144	68
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	68
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	18.8%	22.8%	1.15	6.40
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99