Josh Wolf
P
Eugene Emeralds
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 170 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 70 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 165156vR 147
ERA6.55
FIP6.55
K%17.9%
BB%23.8%
K-BB%-5.8%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Mets | 5 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.6 | 36.4% | 3.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 0.41 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Mets | 5 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 1.6 | 36.4% | 3.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 0.48 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 18 | 17 | 66 | 297 | 67 | 34 | 3 | 94% | 3.6 | 16.7% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 5.35 | 4.20 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 18 | 17 | 66 | 297 | 67 | 34 | 3 | 94% | 3.6 | 22.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 1.0% | 5.35 | 3.21 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 5 | 26 | 118 | 25 | 21 | 1 | 42% | 2.1 | 14.7% | 21.2% | -6.5% | 1.2% | 5.61 | 5.19 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 5 | 26 | 118 | 25 | 21 | 1 | 42% | 2.1 | 21.2% | 17.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 5.61 | 4.11 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 1 | 46 | 222 | 47 | 40 | 4 | 4% | 1.9 | 16.8% | 19.6% | -2.8% | 2.1% | 6.11 | 5.33 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 1 | 46 | 222 | 47 | 40 | 4 | 4% | 1.9 | 21.2% | 18.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 6.11 | 4.81 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 2 | 49 | 220 | 65 | 34 | 3 | 6% | 1.4 | 18.4% | 20.1% | -1.8% | 2.1% | 4.41 | 5.27 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 2 | 49 | 220 | 65 | 34 | 3 | 6% | 1.4 | 29.5% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 1.4% | 4.41 | 3.32 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 29 | 9 | 57 | 279 | 67 | 57 | 5 | 31% | 2.0 | 18.5% | 23.5% | -5.0% | 2.3% | 4.74 | 5.79 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | 29 | 9 | 57 | 279 | 67 | 57 | 5 | 31% | 2.0 | 24.0% | 20.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 4.74 | 4.89 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | SF | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 53 | 70 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.9% | 23.8% | -5.8% | 2.9% | 6.55 | 6.55 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 55 | 66 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 22.3% | -3.5% | 2.9% | 6.31 | 6.30 | -1.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 56 | 62 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 21.4% | -2.3% | 2.9% | 6.18 | 6.19 | -1.2 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 24 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.7% | 22.3% | -3.5% | 2.9% | 6.31 | 6.30 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 35 | 39 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 21.4% | -2.3% | 2.9% | 6.18 | 6.19 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 70 | 0 | 74 | 310 | 59 | 67 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 21.7% | -2.8% | 2.9% | 6.23 | 5.85 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 182 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 21.7% | -2.8% | 2.9% | 6.23 | 5.85 | -1.1 | ||
| Career | — | 122 | 39 | 251 | 1169 | 208 | 220 | 22 | 32% | 2.1 | 17.8% | 18.8% | -1.0% | 1.9% | 5.13 | 4.99 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 97 | 31 | 200 | 931 | 166 | 175 | 17 | 32% | 2.1 | 17.8% | 18.8% | -1.0% | 1.9% | 5.13 | 4.99 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh Wolf (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.55 | 17.9% | 23.8% | 2.9% | — | 6.25 | 18.9% | -2.9% | 139 | -0.30 | — | — | — |
| Jordan Brink R 2024 · 5.96 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.96 | 18.3% | 19.2% | 3.6% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 132 | 77 |
| Blake Hickman R 2025 · 6.54 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.54 | 12.9% | 17.8% | 4.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 156 | 75 |
| Brady Schanuel R 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.65 | 17.9% | 23.5% | 2.0% | .200 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 132 | 75 |
| Carlos Polanco R 2024 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.37 | 13.9% | 20.0% | 1.7% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 276 | 75 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 73 |
| Drake Fellows R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.70 | 17.1% | 20.4% | 2.7% | .367 | 4.86 | 16.3% | 5.6% | 215 | -0.84 | 4.58 | 226 | 73 |
| Josh Harlow R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 73 |
| Michael Kelly R 2026 · 6.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 6.28 | 14.6% | 24.2% | 2.5% | .299 | 3.61 | 24.8% | 15.9% | 45 | -2.67 | 2.83 | 666 | 72 |
| Paul Clemens R 2028 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 72 |
| Fernando Baez R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 72 |
| Robbie Peto R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 72 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 71 |
| Jacob Meador R 2025 · 6.83 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.83 | 14.7% | 21.3% | 4.2% | .360 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.28 | 139 | 71 |
| Leandro Linares R 2025 · 5.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.59 | 16.2% | 22.0% | 2.0% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.93 | 134 | 71 |
| Nicholas Regalado R 2024 · 5.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.62 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 132 | 71 |
| Julian Arballo R 2028 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 71 |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2028 · 6.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.66 | 12.4% | 14.8% | 5.0% | .314 | 4.38 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 70 | -2.28 | 3.26 | 118 | 71 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 70 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2027 · 6.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 6.27 | 16.7% | 25.2% | 2.5% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 103 | 70 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.50 | 22.7% | 16.4% | 4.1% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 181 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 18.6% | 22.5% | 1.12 | 6.35 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Kyle Barraclough ('19) | 5 | 50 | 29.0% | 14.1% | 0.86 | 3.53 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |