Pierce George

P Birmingham Barons

Age 24 RHP 6'6" / 240 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	ACWS	6	6	6.00	2.93	17.9%	10.7%	—	K 17.9% · BB 10.7% · FIP 2.95
2025	22	ACWS	45	48	6.42	3.75	22.3%	19.3%	—	K 16.5% · BB 22.8% · FIP 4.59
2026	23	MIX4 levels	51	66	3.56	3.31	30.1%	10.7%	—	K 22.1% · BB 12.4% · FIP 4.99
2027PROJ	24	MLBCWS	64	67	6.03	6.03	18.5%	19.5%	-1.1
2028PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBCWS	29	30	5.75	5.68	19.4%	17.3%	-0.4
2029PROJ67% MLB	26	MLBCWS	43	45	5.59	5.56	19.9%	16.7%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -1.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control20Command20

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsRyan Sublette (age 24) · Taylor Floyd (age 24) · Jacob Morris (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 131

ERA6.03

FIP6.03

K%18.5%

BB%19.5%

K-BB%-1.0%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	6	0	6	28	5	3	0	0%	1.0	17.9%	10.7%	7.1%	0.0%	6.00	2.95	—
2024	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	6	0	6	28	5	3	0	0%	1.0	17.9%	10.7%	7.1%	0.0%	6.00	2.95	—
2024	21	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	6	0	6	28	5	3	0	0%	1.0	17.9%	10.7%	7.1%	0.0%	6.00	2.93	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	45	0	48	233	52	45	0	0%	1.1	16.5%	22.8%	-6.3%	0.0%	6.42	4.59	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	45	0	48	233	52	45	0	0%	1.1	16.5%	22.8%	-6.3%	0.0%	6.42	4.59	—
2025	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	45	0	48	233	52	45	0	0%	1.1	22.3%	19.3%	3.0%	0.0%	6.42	3.75	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	51	0	66	272	82	29	7	0%	1.3	22.1%	12.4%	9.7%	4.0%	3.56	4.99	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	4 levels	51	0	66	272	82	29	7	0%	1.3	22.1%	12.4%	9.7%	4.0%	3.56	4.99	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	4 levels	51	0	66	272	82	29	7	0%	1.3	30.1%	10.7%	19.5%	2.6%	3.56	3.31	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CWS	64	0	67	283	52	55	8	0%	1.0	18.5%	19.5%	-1.0%	3.0%	6.03	6.03	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	65	0	68	287	56	50	9	0%	1.0	19.4%	17.3%	2.0%	3.0%	5.75	5.68	-0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	CWS	65	0	68	287	57	48	9	0%	1.0	19.9%	16.7%	3.2%	3.0%	5.59	5.56	-0.8
2030	27	MLB MLE	CWS	64	0	67	283	57	46	9	0%	1.0	20.0%	16.4%	3.6%	3.0%	5.53	5.53	-0.7
2031	28	MLB MLE	CWS	62	0	65	274	55	45	9	0%	1.0	20.0%	16.4%	3.6%	3.1%	5.55	5.59	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	29	0	30	127	25	22	4	0%	1.0	19.4%	17.3%	2.0%	3.0%	5.75	5.68	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	CWS	43	0	45	190	38	32	6	0%	1.0	19.9%	16.7%	3.2%	3.0%	5.59	5.56	-0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	CWS	50	0	52	220	44	36	7	0%	1.0	20.0%	16.4%	3.6%	3.0%	5.53	5.53	-0.6
2031	28	MLB CTX	CWS	52	0	55	232	46	38	7	0%	1.1	20.0%	16.4%	3.6%	3.1%	5.55	5.59	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		173	0	182	769	153	128	23	0%	1.1	19.9%	16.6%	3.2%	3.0%	5.59	5.20	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	168	141	25	0%	1.1	19.9%	16.6%	3.2%	3.0%	5.59	5.20	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		102	0	119	533	104	90	11	0%	1.2	19.4%	16.9%	2.6%	2.0%	4.83	4.71	-3.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	0	200	893	174	151	18	0%	1.2	19.4%	16.9%	2.6%	2.0%	4.83	4.71	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Pierce George (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.03	18.5%	19.5%	3.0%	—	5.59	19.8%	2.9%	203	-0.44	—	—	—
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.06	19.2%	3.8%	102	-0.66	3.74	203	88
Taylor Floyd R 2022 · 4.84 FIP	24	SU	4.84	19.6%	18.4%	1.9%	.305	4.30	19.8%	10.2%	184	-0.54	3.48	359	87
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	87
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	87
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	86
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	86
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	85
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	85
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	83
Aroni Nina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.8%	20.5%	1.1%	.312	3.04	18.8%	8.7%	64	-1.86	2.68	115	83
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	83
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	83
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	82
Everhett Hazelwood R 2023 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	19.0%	15.4%	4.1%	.343	9.36	17.5%	0.6%	14	+3.66	5.23	117	82
Austin Glorius R 2017 · 6.09 FIP	24	SU	6.09	18.7%	21.0%	3.5%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	141	82
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	81
Will McAffer R 2021 · 6.40 FIP	24	SU	6.40	21.5%	24.2%	3.7%	.343	5.37	14.5%	-5.7%	33	-1.03	4.68	133	81
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	81
Alec Hansen R 2019 · 5.74 FIP	24	SU	5.74	18.8%	19.8%	3.1%	.349	4.98	29.5%	-5.0%	22	-0.76	3.34	288	81
Luke Jackson R 2016 · 5.62 FIP	24	SU	5.62	19.5%	15.3%	4.1%	.327	3.21	25.8%	16.8%	210	-2.41	2.67	580	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	19.5%	17.3%	1.17	5.69
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*