Brett Bateman

OF Buffalo Bisons

Age 25 L/L 5'10" / 170 lbs AAA Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

AAA40-MANFG #757Pre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	22	A+CHC	359	.283/.405/.352	1	22	88	—	.258/.348/.316
2025	23	AACHC	396	.261/.379/.307	2	19	80	—	.251/.335/.297
2026	24	MLBTOR	181	.329/.404/.424	2	3	135	0.9
2027PROJ45% MLB	25	MLBTOR	112	.253/.343/.327	1	5	94	0.2
2028PROJ53% MLB	26	MLBTOR	297	.255/.343/.340	3	13	97	0.6
2029PROJ56% MLB	27	MLBTOR	308	.253/.341/.341	3	14	96	0.6

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.9 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.000First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$3M2030Arb-2$5M2031Arb-3$6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

Speed84

xwOBA53

Barrel%10

Avg EV10

Form.269/.357/.353 ▲▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .252/.339/.325

CompsJacob Hurtubise (age 25) · Travis Jankowski (age 25) · Ji Hwan Bae (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.253 / .343 / .327

PA112

HR1

SB5

K%22

BB%12

BABIP328

ISO93

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 52 / POW 28

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT52

xAVG

710.268

POWER28

Barrel%

101.6

Avg EV

1084.7

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED64

Sprint

8428.8

DEFENSE56

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%20%▲▲19% over 116 PA (60d) · proj 22%

BB%12%·12% over 116 PA (60d) · proj 11%

ISO.084▲.101 over 99 AB (60d) · proj .074

HR/BB1.7%▲2.6% over 77 BBE (60d) · proj 1.1%

BABIP.335▲.427 over 75 BIP (60d) · proj .327

SLASH.269/.357/.353▲▲proj .252/.339/.325

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.3M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$6M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$8M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	130	104	31	3	0	0	24	19	1	11	1	298	434	327	761	29	360	15	18	359	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	128	112	27	1	0	0	15	29	0	8	4	241	331	250	581	9	325	23	12	276	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	359	293	83	11	3	1	56	57	4	22	4	283	405	352	757	68	343	16	16	347	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	396	329	86	9	0	2	61	82	1	19	6	261	379	307	686	46	339	21	15	320	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	181	158	52	7	1	2	18	35	2	3	0	329	404	424	829	95	410	19	10	369	135	+8	+1	+0	-3	+4	0.9
2026	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	359	293	91	18	2	3	62	67	1	20	3	311	433	416	849	106	389	19	17	385	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	181	158	52	7	1	2	18	35	2	3	0	329	404	424	829	95	410	19	10	369	136	+8	+1	+0	-3	+4	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	130	111	29	3	0	0	17	26	1	11	1	261	364	288	653	27	327	20	13	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	128	116	26	1	0	0	11	36	0	8	4	224	291	233	524	9	322	28	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	359	310	80	9	3	1	39	72	4	22	4	258	348	316	665	58	318	20	11	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	396	347	87	10	0	2	43	101	1	19	6	251	335	297	632	46	337	26	11	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	—	181	158	52	7	1	2	18	35	2	3	0	329	404	424	829	95	410	19	10	368	135	+8	+1	+0	-3	+4	0.9
2026	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	359	310	92	17	2	2	45	80	1	20	3	297	388	384	772	87	387	22	13	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	130	111	29	3	0	0	17	26	1	11	1	261	364	288	653	27	337	20	13	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	130	104	31	3	0	0	24	19	1	11	1	298	434	327	761	29	360	15	18	359	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	487	425	106	10	3	1	51	109	4	30	8	249	335	294	630	45	329	22	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	487	405	110	12	3	1	71	86	4	30	8	272	385	323	709	52	339	18	15	328	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	396	347	87	10	0	2	43	101	1	19	6	251	335	297	632	46	344	26	11	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	—	396	329	86	9	0	2	61	82	1	19	6	261	379	307	686	46	339	21	15	320	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	540	468	144	24	3	4	63	115	3	23	3	308	393	397	791	90	397	21	12	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	540	451	143	25	3	5	80	102	3	23	3	317	423	419	842	102	397	19	15	379	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	130	111	29	3	0	0	17	26	1	11	1	261	364	288	653	27	327	20	13	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	487	429	106	10	3	1	51	109	4	30	8	247	335	291	627	44	319	22	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	396	349	87	10	0	2	43	101	1	19	6	249	335	295	630	46	337	26	11	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	540	469	144	24	3	4	63	115	3	23	3	307	393	397	790	90	395	21	12	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	487	429	106	10	3	1	51	109	4	30	8	247	335	291	627	44	319	22	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	396	349	87	10	0	2	43	101	1	19	6	249	335	295	630	46	337	26	11	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	540	469	144	24	3	4	63	115	3	23	3	307	393	397	790	90	395	21	12	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TOR	45%	380	332	84	13	2	3	43	84	2	17	3	252	342	326	668	74	327	22	11	307	94	-3	+2	+1	-2	+8	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	TOR	45%	112	97	26	4	1	1	13	25	1	5	1	253	343	327	670	74	328	22	12	308	94	-1	+1	+0	-1	+2	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	557	486	123	19	2	6	63	124	3	25	5	254	342	339	681	85	325	22	11	312	97	-2	+3	+1	-3	+12	1.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	546	477	120	19	2	6	61	122	3	24	5	252	340	340	680	87	323	22	11	311	96	-2	+3	+1	-3	+12	1.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	TOR	58%	535	468	116	18	2	6	59	121	3	21	4	250	337	338	675	88	320	23	11	309	95	-3	+3	+0	-3	+12	0.8
2031	29	MLB MLE	TOR	58%	525	460	113	18	2	6	57	120	3	18	4	246	332	334	666	88	316	23	11	305	92	-5	+2	-0	-3	+11	0.5
2032	30	MLB MLE	TOR	58%	514	451	110	17	2	6	55	119	3	15	3	243	328	329	658	87	313	23	11	301	90	-6	+2	-1	-3	+11	0.3
2033	31	MLB MLE	TOR	58%	392	346	82	13	1	4	41	92	2	8	2	238	323	319	642	81	310	23	10	295	86	-7	+1	-2	-2	+8	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	297	260	66	10	1	3	33	66	2	13	3	255	343	340	683	85	326	22	11	312	97	-1	+1	+1	-2	+6	0.6
2029	27	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	308	269	67	10	1	3	34	69	2	14	3	253	341	341	682	88	324	22	11	312	96	-1	+2	+1	-2	+7	0.6
2030	28	MLB CTX	TOR	58%	312	273	69	11	1	4	34	70	2	12	3	251	338	339	678	89	322	22	11	310	95	-2	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.5
2031	29	MLB CTX	TOR	58%	304	266	66	10	1	4	33	69	2	10	2	247	333	335	668	88	317	23	11	305	92	-3	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	TOR	58%	297	261	63	10	1	3	32	69	2	8	2	244	329	331	660	87	314	23	11	302	90	-4	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.1
2033	31	MLB CTX	TOR	58%	226	199	47	7	1	2	24	53	1	4	1	239	324	320	644	81	311	23	11	295	86	-4	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1925	1686	430	65	7	21	208	431	13	64	14	255	341	339	681	84	329	22	11	312	94	-7	+7	-1	-14	+42	2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	145	22	2	7	70	146	4	22	5	255	340	337	677	83	329	22	11	312	94	-2	+2	-0	-5	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4872	4258	1085	159	18	43	538	1104	27	206	43	255	342	331	673	76	332	23	11	307	94	-19	+15	-0	-23	+76	4.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	144	21	2	6	72	147	4	27	6	254	342	329	671	76	329	23	11	307	94	-4	+3	-0	-4	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Bob Ganley'05-'09 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,475 PA	3.7	2,475	2	112	261*	329*	393*	-20	+16	8.4	8.4
/162	664	1	30	-5.2	+4.3	2.3	pk7: 8
#3Lance Richbourg'21-'32 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,859 PA	4.3	2,859	13	65	269*	323*	394*	-30	+15	7.1	7.4
/162	664	3	15	-7.0	+3.5	1.6	pk7: 8
#4Lew Fordlast yr '12 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	35	48	268	345	399	-10	+3	7.3	7.3
/162	664	13	18	-3.6	+1.1	2.7	pk7: 7
#5Chris Denorfialast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,339 PA	3.5	2,339	40	55	272	330	392	-20	+2	6.0	6.4
/162	664	11	16	-5.5	+0.5	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Gus Felix'23-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,299 PA	3.5	2,299	12	28	243*	318*	371*	-13	+16	4.7	4.7
/162	664	3	8	-3.7	+4.7	1.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.1	2,037	22	71	256	338	343	-12	+13	4.4	4.4
/162	664	7	23	-4.0	+4.1	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brett Bateman (OGILVIE)	25	35→52	25→28	60→64	50	250/339/323	73	327	2	12	22%	11%	94	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jacob Hurtubise 2023 · AA	25	51→61	35→40	58→60	49	230/323/291	60	314	2	30	25%	9%	81	-0.1	243/343/330	87	310	5	33	21%	9%	97	+1.1	237/347/319	82	303	5	37	20%	10%	95	+0.5
✕Travis Jankowski 2016 · MLB	25	57→63	37→40	60→65	49	269/322/348	80	327	3	31	18%	7%	91	+0.7	251/322/328	77	331	4	32	23%	9%	87	+0.4	259/334/328	70	329	4	29	20%	10%	91	+0.3
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2024 · MLB	25	51→55	41→45	58→60	47	243/305/348	104	315	7	31	24%	8%	86	+0.3	245/313/347	102	333	7	33	26%	8%	88	+0.5	246/318/343	97	336	6	39	26%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Yonny Hernández 2023 · MLB	25	49→59	36→30	63→60	55	227/321/300	73	284	3	39	19%	10%	82	-0.0	235/317/307	72	298	4	22	20%	10%	82	-0.0	266/328/324	58	317	2	17	16%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Jacob Young 2024 · MLB	25	52→57	38→40	63→60	47	247/306/329	82	304	4	33	20%	6%	82	-0.0	245/305/331	86	299	6	29	19%	7%	82	-0.0	242/306/331	89	291	7	29	18%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Austin Martin 2024 · AAA	25	48→55	39→40	56→60	52	227/323/314	87	281	7	27	20%	9%	86	+0.3	250/338/337	87	306	5	22	18%	10%	97	+1.1	256/352/337	81	314	4	22	17%	11%	102	+0.9
✕Andrew Aplin 2016 · AAA	25	53→60	39→40	55	57	249/328/334	84	294	6	25	16%	10%	91	+0.7	216/288/307	91	280	7	18	23%	9%	71	-0.8	196/268/288	91	256	7	13	25%	8%	56	-1.1
●Joey Gathright 2007 · MLB	26	54→64	36→30	61→60	51	251/322/323	72	306	3	38	18%	8%	86	+0.3	270/336/323	53	317	2	32	14%	8%	91	+0.7	284/345/321	37	331	0	35	13%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Myles Straw 2020 · MLB	25	57→60	35→40	63→60	52	263/331/325	63	335	2	37	21%	9%	90	+0.6	250/319/321	71	315	3	28	20%	9%	84	+0.2	240/313/303	63	295	2	24	17%	9%	79	-0.2
✕Rey Fuentes 2015 · MLB	24	55→64	40	59→60	45	261/315/358	97	340	7	30	24%	7%	92	+0.7	261/306/347	86	340	6	27	24%	5%	85	+0.2	266/308/341	76	346	5	29	24%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Everth Cabrera 2012 · MLB	25	51→60	38→40	60→65	49	240/303/330	90	304	4	35	22%	8%	80	-0.1	256/317/341	85	328	4	43	21%	8%	88	+0.5	257/318/335	78	327	4	46	21%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2024 · AA	25	53→58	41→40	59→60	46	251/305/353	101	312	7	31	21%	7%	86	+0.3	245/302/330	85	317	5	25	23%	7%	80	-0.1	248/308/313	65	326	3	26	23%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Ezequiel Carrera 2012 · MLB	25	57→67	36→45	59→60	49	264/321/334	70	321	2	31	18%	7%	88	+0.4	257/305/351	94	315	6	35	19%	6%	86	+0.3	256/323/359	102	320	11	15	22%	8%	95	+0.5
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2008 · MLB	25	55→57	36→40	56→60	48	256/307/328	73	312	3	25	18%	7%	81	-0.1	247/306/316	69	296	4	24	16%	8%	78	-0.3	246/318/329	82	292	4	29	16%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Jace Peterson 2015 · MLB	25	54→57	40→50	58→55	51	253/319/355	102	307	5	25	19%	8%	92	+0.7	235/309/336	101	289	7	13	20%	9%	85	+0.2	239/315/386	147	295	14	19	23%	9%	98	+0.8
✕Antoan Richardson 2009 · AA	25	51→58	37→40	61→60	49	237/316/311	74	312	4	32	24%	9%	82	-0.0	230/315/293	63	308	3	26	24%	9%	78	-0.3	254/346/314	60	335	1	30	22%	11%	90	+0.4
●Michael Bourn 2008 · MLB	25	54→62	39→45	68→65	47	256/312/352	96	325	6	38	22%	7%	88	+0.5	253/315/341	88	321	5	46	21%	8%	87	+0.4	273/334/374	101	348	5	38	21%	8%	103	+1.7
●Mallex Smith 2018 · MLB	25	55→64	40→45	63→65	47	260/315/363	103	330	6	39	22%	7%	93	+0.8	254/320/363	109	325	6	40	22%	8%	95	+0.9	253/324/359	106	326	5	47	22%	8%	95	+0.7
✕Charlie Tilson 2018 · AAA	25	54→60	40	57→55	47	259/307/360	100	305	6	22	17%	6%	88	+0.5	232/278/302	70	294	4	13	21%	5%	65	-1.2	238/284/300	62	307	2	16	22%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Greg Allen 2018 · MLB	25	52→57	39→45	56→65	47	246/319/334	88	298	6	27	19%	7%	88	+0.5	244/307/347	103	308	7	26	22%	5%	87	+0.4	254/327/360	107	324	7	35	22%	6%	96	+0.7

Brett Bateman

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps