Jorge Marcheco

P Lansing Lugnuts

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 197 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	A+LAA	20	19	82	5.07	3.96	19.2%	8.5%	—	K 14.8% · BB 9.8% · FIP 4.94
2025	22	MIX2 levels	27	12	85	4.36	4.08	24.1%	6.6%	—	K 18.6% · BB 8.0% · FIP 5.34
2026	23	MIX2 levels	27	9	63	4.88	5.91	16.5%	11.9%	—	K 12.6% · BB 13.7% · FIP 7.10
2027PROJ	24	MLBOAK	12	12	67	5.65	5.65	14.8%	10.9%	-0.6
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBOAK	6	6	33	5.42	5.36	16.6%	10.2%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBOAK	8	8	51	5.28	5.24	17.6%	10.1%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control55Command50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsTanner Hall (age 22) · Justin Dillon (age 24) · Felipe Gonzalez (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.65

FIP5.65

K%14.8%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%3.9%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD5050

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	3	3	9	28	20	0	0	100%	3.0	71.4%	0.0%	71.4%	0.0%	0.00	-2.93	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	3	3	9	28	20	0	0	100%	3.0	71.4%	0.0%	71.4%	0.0%	0.00	-1.34	—
2022	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	11	62	256	90	15	4	79%	4.4	25.0%	7.2%	17.7%	2.2%	3.48	3.09	—
2022	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	11	62	256	90	15	4	79%	4.4	35.2%	5.9%	29.3%	1.6%	3.48	1.76	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	122	485	124	26	15	100%	5.5	19.1%	6.3%	12.8%	4.3%	3.55	4.66	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	122	485	124	26	15	100%	5.5	25.6%	5.4%	20.2%	3.1%	3.55	3.31	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	20	19	82	364	70	31	9	95%	4.1	14.8%	9.8%	5.0%	3.4%	5.07	4.94	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	20	19	82	364	70	31	9	95%	4.1	14.8%	9.8%	5.0%	3.4%	5.07	4.94	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	20	19	82	364	70	31	9	95%	4.1	19.2%	8.5%	10.7%	2.5%	5.07	3.96	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	12	85	349	84	23	14	44%	3.1	18.6%	8.0%	10.7%	5.1%	4.36	5.34	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	12	85	349	84	23	14	44%	3.1	18.6%	8.0%	10.7%	5.1%	4.36	5.34	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	12	85	349	84	23	14	44%	3.1	24.1%	6.6%	17.5%	4.0%	4.36	4.08	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	9	63	278	46	33	13	33%	2.3	12.6%	13.7%	-1.1%	6.1%	4.88	7.10	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	9	63	278	46	33	13	33%	2.3	12.6%	13.7%	-1.1%	6.1%	4.88	7.10	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	9	63	278	46	33	13	33%	2.3	16.5%	11.9%	4.7%	4.7%	4.88	5.91	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	OAK	12	12	67	283	42	31	11	100%	5.6	14.8%	10.9%	3.9%	3.7%	5.65	5.65	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	OAK	13	13	77	326	54	33	12	100%	5.9	16.6%	10.2%	6.4%	3.6%	5.42	5.36	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	OAK	13	13	77	326	57	33	12	100%	5.9	17.6%	10.1%	7.5%	3.6%	5.28	5.24	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	OAK	13	13	76	321	57	33	12	100%	5.8	17.9%	10.1%	7.8%	3.6%	5.23	5.23	-0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	OAK	12	12	74	311	56	32	11	100%	6.1	17.9%	10.3%	7.6%	3.7%	5.26	5.29	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	OAK	12	12	70	297	53	31	11	100%	5.9	17.7%	10.5%	7.2%	3.8%	5.36	5.42	-0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	OAK	11	11	66	280	48	30	11	100%	6.0	17.3%	10.8%	6.5%	4.0%	5.50	5.60	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	OAK	6	6	33	139	23	14	5	100%	5.5	16.6%	10.2%	6.4%	3.6%	5.42	5.36	-0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	OAK	8	8	51	215	38	22	8	100%	6.4	17.6%	10.1%	7.5%	3.6%	5.28	5.24	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	OAK	10	10	59	249	45	25	9	100%	5.9	17.9%	10.1%	7.8%	3.6%	5.23	5.23	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	OAK	10	10	62	262	47	27	10	100%	6.2	17.9%	10.3%	7.6%	3.7%	5.26	5.29	-0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	OAK	10	10	62	262	46	27	10	100%	6.2	17.7%	10.5%	7.2%	3.8%	5.36	5.42	-0.4
2033	30	MLB CTX	OAK	10	10	60	253	44	27	10	100%	6.0	17.3%	10.8%	6.5%	4.0%	5.50	5.60	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		55	55	326	1378	242	143	52	100%	5.9	17.6%	10.4%	7.2%	3.7%	5.34	4.98	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	148	88	32	100%	6.0	17.6%	10.4%	7.2%	3.7%	5.34	4.98	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		113	76	422	1760	331	151	73	67%	3.7	18.8%	8.6%	10.2%	4.2%	4.12	4.89	-2.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	36	200	835	157	71	35	67%	3.7	18.8%	8.6%	10.2%	4.2%	4.12	4.89	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jorge Marcheco (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.65	14.8%	10.9%	3.7%	—	5.28	17.4%	7.2%	230	-0.37	—	—	—
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	84
Justin Dillon R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	24	SP-	5.26	11.8%	8.8%	3.7%	.265	4.34	15.6%	9.1%	124	-0.92	3.65	239	84
Felipe Gonzalez R 2016 · 5.47 FIP	24	SP-	5.47	14.7%	10.6%	4.1%	.330	4.12	19.9%	10.4%	139	-1.35	3.27	339	83
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	83
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	83
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	82
Derek True R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	18.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.333	4.95	17.6%	5.9%	73	+0.05	4.50	170	81
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	81
Luke Young R 2024 · 5.51 FIP	22	SP-	5.51	13.7%	8.7%	4.5%	.284	5.05	17.0%	4.9%	116	-0.46	4.68	308	81
Jonathan Hughes R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SP-	4.60	12.9%	12.5%	1.8%	.351	3.79	16.5%	6.2%	146	-0.81	3.44	219	81
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	80
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	80
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	80
Ryan Long R 2024 · 5.29 FIP	24	SP-	5.29	15.9%	9.3%	4.3%	.239	4.87	18.7%	8.7%	159	-0.42	4.20	433	79
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	79
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	79
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	79
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	4.95	18.3%	5.2%	131	-0.32	4.34	382	79
Jeff Manship R 2009 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	14.4%	10.3%	2.7%	.330	4.23	14.9%	9.5%	51	-0.46	2.83	250	79
Justin Miller R 2002 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP-	5.01	14.5%	13.6%	2.6%	.280	5.41	12.5%	2.1%	82	+0.40	2.63	373	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	73	17.2%	10.4%	1.44	5.38
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Lance Painter ('03)	2.2	56	16.7%	9.0%	1.32	5.24
Giovanni Carrara ('06)	2.4	59	16.3%	9.7%	1.41	4.69
Phil Hennigan ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.4	70	20.9%*	10.4%*	1.50*	4.95*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*