Candido Cuevas prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Candido Cuevas P St. Lucie Mets

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 202 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

K%23.3%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%11.5%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	14	7	35	165	42	21	1	50%	2.5	17.3%	15.9%	1.4%	0.8%	5.09	4.09	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	14	7	35	165	42	21	1	50%	2.5	25.5%	12.7%	12.7%	0.6%	5.09	2.87	—
2023	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	9	5	24	108	33	17	1	56%	2.6	22.6%	18.6%	4.0%	0.9%	4.56	4.06	—
2023	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	9	5	24	108	33	17	1	56%	2.6	22.6%	18.6%	4.0%	0.9%	4.56	4.06	—
2023	19	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	9	5	24	108	33	17	1	56%	2.6	30.6%	15.7%	14.8%	0.9%	4.56	3.02	—
2024	20	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	3	1	7	42	8	10	0	33%	2.4	19.0%	23.8%	-4.8%	0.0%	4.91	4.51	—
2024	20	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	3	1	7	42	8	10	0	33%	2.4	19.0%	23.8%	-4.8%	0.0%	4.91	4.51	—
2024	20	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	3	1	7	42	8	10	0	33%	2.4	19.0%	23.8%	-4.8%	0.0%	4.91	5.01	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	2	1	1	12	1	4	0	50%	0.7	8.3%	33.3%	-25.0%	0.0%	20.25	6.62	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	2	1	1	12	1	4	0	50%	0.7	8.3%	33.3%	-25.0%	0.0%	20.25	6.62	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	2	1	1	12	1	4	0	50%	0.7	8.3%	33.3%	-25.0%	0.0%	20.25	10.60	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	10	0	9	46	15	9	3	0%	0.9	—	—	—	—	12.00	—	—
YTD	22	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	10	0	9	46	15	9	3	0%	0.9	—	—	—	—	12.00	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	NYM	3	0	2	13	3	2	1	0%	0.8	23.1%	15.4%	7.7%	7.7%	15.43	7.32	—
2026	22	A RAW	NYM	7	0	7	33	12	7	2	0%	1.0	36.4%	21.2%	15.2%	6.1%	10.80	6.04	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	NYM	19	0	20	84	20	9	2	0%	1.1	24.0%	10.7%	13.4%	2.9%	4.49	4.41	+0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	NYM	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	24.0%	10.7%	13.4%	2.9%	4.49	4.41	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.1	24.0%	10.7%	13.4%	2.9%	4.49	4.03	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	81	20	0%	1.1	24.0%	10.7%	13.4%	2.9%	4.49	4.03	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		38	14	77	373	77	69	5	37%	2.0	20.6%	18.6%	2.1%	1.4%	5.99	4.49	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		99	37	200	973	201	181	14	37%	2.0	20.6%	18.6%	2.1%	1.4%	5.99	4.49	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Candido Cuevas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	23.3%	11.8%	3.0%	—	4.41	24.0%	13.4%	20	-0.23	—	—	—
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	83
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	82
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	81
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	81
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	81
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	80
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	80
William Kempner R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	22	SU	4.02	21.5%	12.2%	2.2%	.277	3.17	28.8%	15.2%	112	-0.85	3.14	173	80
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	79
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	79
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	79
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	79
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	79
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	78
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	78
Pedro Da Costa Lemos R 2023 · 3.57 FIP	20	SU	3.57	23.5%	13.2%	1.4%	.286	4.64	18.0%	7.8%	180	+1.07	3.57	204	78
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	77
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	77
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	77
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	77