David Rodriguez

P ACL Royals

Age 23 LHP 5'11" / 152 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	ROKKC	8	4	26	2.39	2.23	29.1%	4.5%	—	K 19.8% · BB 5.7% · FIP 3.64
2026	22	ROKKC	5	1	9	7.00	5.88	18.8%	20.8%	—	K 18.8% · BB 20.8% · FIP 5.30
2027PROJ	23	MLBKC	17	0	18	4.23	4.23	22.2%	7.8%	0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBKC	10	0	10	4.18	4.14	22.8%	7.7%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsFelix Doubront (age 22) · Caden Favors (age 22) · Adrian Gusman (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97105vR 114

ERA4.23

FIP4.23

K%22.2%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%14.4%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL KC Stewart	13	0	24	102	19	6	2	0%	1.8	12.7%	7.4%	5.3%	2.4%	3.00	4.25	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL KC Stewart	13	0	24	102	19	6	2	0%	1.8	18.6%	5.9%	12.7%	2.0%	3.00	3.35	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	12	0	29	111	35	3	1	0%	2.4	21.4%	3.4%	18.1%	1.4%	1.84	2.48	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	12	0	29	111	35	3	1	0%	2.4	31.5%	2.7%	28.8%	0.9%	1.84	1.46	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	10	9	40	156	35	12	0	90%	4.0	15.3%	9.6%	5.6%	0.0%	2.25	3.03	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	10	9	40	156	35	12	0	90%	4.0	15.3%	9.6%	5.6%	0.0%	2.25	3.03	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	10	9	40	156	35	12	0	90%	4.0	22.4%	7.7%	14.7%	0.0%	2.25	2.25	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	8	4	26	110	32	5	2	50%	3.3	19.8%	5.7%	14.1%	2.7%	2.39	3.64	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	8	4	26	110	32	5	2	50%	3.3	19.8%	5.7%	14.1%	2.7%	2.39	3.64	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	8	4	26	110	32	5	2	50%	3.3	29.1%	4.5%	24.5%	1.8%	2.39	2.23	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	5	1	9	48	9	10	1	20%	1.8	18.8%	20.8%	-2.1%	2.1%	7.00	5.30	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	5	1	9	48	9	10	1	20%	1.8	18.8%	20.8%	-2.1%	2.1%	7.00	5.30	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	5	1	9	48	9	10	1	20%	1.8	18.8%	20.8%	-2.1%	2.1%	7.00	5.88	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	KC	17	0	18	76	17	6	2	0%	1.1	22.2%	7.8%	14.4%	3.0%	4.23	4.23	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	KC	23	0	24	103	23	8	3	0%	1.1	22.8%	7.7%	15.1%	2.9%	4.18	4.14	+0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	KC	10	0	10	42	10	3	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	7.7%	15.1%	2.9%	4.18	4.14	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	44	10	3	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	7.7%	15.1%	2.9%	4.18	3.76	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	58	19	0%	1.1	22.8%	7.7%	15.1%	2.9%	4.18	3.76	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		48	14	129	527	91	42	8	29%	2.7	17.3%	8.1%	9.3%	1.5%	2.66	3.49	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	22	200	819	142	66	12	29%	2.7	17.3%	8.1%	9.3%	1.5%	2.66	3.49	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
David Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.23	22.2%	7.8%	3.0%	—	4.14	22.8%	15.1%	24	-0.09	—	—	—
Felix Doubront L 2010 · 4.00 FIP	22	SW	4.00	20.4%	8.8%	2.7%	.312	4.02	21.6%	11.6%	323	+0.02	3.44	719	84
Caden Favors L 2024 · 3.73 FIP	22	SW	3.73	18.2%	4.5%	2.9%	.351	4.82	20.0%	8.8%	236	+1.09	3.73	248	80
Adrian Gusman L 2015 · 3.41 FIP	23	SW	3.41	16.5%	6.6%	1.6%	.280	3.68	15.0%	7.2%	63	+0.27	2.94	141	80
Jacques Pucheu L 2019 · 3.06 FIP	22	SW	3.06	19.2%	8.4%	0.9%	.292	4.49	20.6%	8.4%	99	+1.43	3.06	134	78
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.26	33.2%	19.8%	102	-1.31	2.95	256	77
Jordan Fowler L 2022 · 4.98 FIP	23	SW	4.98	17.0%	5.8%	4.7%	.276	4.08	13.2%	5.3%	70	-0.90	4.08	124	77
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	76
Brady Basso L 2021 · 3.93 FIP	23	SP-	3.93	21.8%	8.7%	2.8%	.333	4.17	22.0%	15.8%	179	+0.24	2.24	312	75
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	75
Andy Fisher L 2019 · 3.20 FIP	23	SU	3.20	22.8%	4.5%	2.6%	.242	3.66	23.5%	8.7%	89	+0.46	3.13	167	75
Alex Cornwell L 2022 · 3.76 FIP	23	SW	3.76	18.9%	7.3%	2.4%	.382	3.79	16.4%	8.4%	311	+0.03	3.16	381	75
Jake Drehoff L 2015 · 3.95 FIP	23	SW	3.95	16.0%	5.9%	2.6%	.326	4.83	17.8%	6.8%	81	+0.88	3.95	153	74
Holden Capps L 2018 · 3.31 FIP	23	SW	3.31	18.9%	4.4%	2.3%	.339	3.37	17.1%	10.0%	73	+0.06	2.99	215	74
Shane McCain L 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.8%	9.7%	3.0%	.324	4.75	16.6%	10.0%	125	+0.41	4.34	201	73
Tyler Holton L 2021 · 3.35 FIP	25	SW	3.35	22.0%	6.6%	2.3%	.393	3.41	22.0%	16.1%	224	+0.06	2.97	439	73
Jose Alvarez L 2013 · 5.02 FIP	24	SW	5.02	18.0%	8.7%	4.2%	.294	2.98	20.4%	14.8%	124	-2.04	2.78	414	73
Pat Misch L 2007 · 3.51 FIP	25	SW	3.51	14.8%	5.7%	1.7%	.321	4.71	12.7%	7.3%	152	+1.20	3.50	265	73
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	73
Brandon Walter L 2019 · 3.51 FIP	22	SU	3.51	19.2%	7.2%	2.0%	.270	2.89	27.7%	23.0%	139	-0.62	2.85	391	72
David Oca L 2018 · 3.21 FIP	23	SU	3.21	19.4%	7.0%	1.6%	.422	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	168	72