Jesus D. Castro — OGILVIE

Jesus D. CastroC ACL Padres

Age 22 S/R 5'10" / 158 lbs ROK HR +13%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 1.6 · 2031

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .275 / .310

PA64

HR1

K%29

BB%8

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.6peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.5	$14M	+$13M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.4	$14M	+$13M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.2	$12M	+$11M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.9	$5M	+$3M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.5	$3M	+$1M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	+0.2	$1M	+$0.5M
Totals		$7M		$49M	+$42M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Padres	54	47	7	1	0	0	6	19	0	4	1	.149	.245	.170	.415	.021	.241	35	11	.221	27	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2023	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	141	123	25	7	0	3	17	38	1	3	0	.203	.305	.333	.638	.130	.268	27	12	.292	82	-3	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2024	20	ROK	ACL Padres	71	61	4	0	0	0	6	31	1	0	0	.066	.162	.066	.227	.000	.129	44	8	.108	-59	-13	+0	+0	+1	+2	-1.0
2025	21	ROK	ACL Padres	65	59	11	3	0	0	4	25	2	0	0	.186	.262	.237	.499	.051	.324	38	6	.228	33	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	SD	64	58	11	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	.190	.266	.276	.541	.086	.288	30	8	.268	63	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	SD	140	127	28	5	1	3	11	40	1	2	1	.220	.288	.346	.634	.126	.290	29	8	.284	75	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2028	24	MLB 26%	SD	262	235	53	10	2	6	22	72	3	4	1	.226	.300	.362	.662	.136	.291	27	8	.294	83	-5	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.8
2029	25	MLB 43%	SD	340	304	70	13	2	9	29	92	4	5	1	.230	.306	.375	.681	.145	.293	27	9	.301	88	-5	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.2
2030	26	MLB 58%	SD	392	351	81	15	2	11	34	106	4	6	1	.231	.306	.379	.685	.148	.293	27	9	.304	91	-4	+1	+0	+7	+11	1.5
2031	27	MLB 76%	SD	418	374	84	15	2	11	37	113	4	6	1	.225	.301	.364	.665	.139	.293	27	9	.304	91	-4	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.6
2032	28	MLB 84%	SD	431	386	88	16	2	12	38	118	4	6	1	.228	.304	.373	.677	.145	.293	27	9	.303	90	-5	+1	-1	+8	+12	1.5
2033	29	MLB 90%	SD	431	385	86	16	2	11	39	119	4	5	1	.223	.301	.361	.662	.138	.292	28	9	.301	88	-6	+1	-1	+8	+12	1.4
2034	30	MLB	SD	428	383	84	15	2	11	38	119	4	4	0	.219	.296	.355	.652	.136	.291	28	9	.298	86	-7	+1	-2	+8	+12	1.2
2035	31	MLB	SD	405	362	79	14	2	10	36	115	4	2	0	.218	.296	.351	.647	.133	.289	28	9	.294	83	-8	+0	-3	+7	+11	0.9
2036	32	MLB	SD	379	338	73	13	2	9	34	109	4	0	0	.216	.295	.346	.641	.130	.288	29	9	.289	80	-9	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.5
2037	33	MLB	SD	341	305	65	11	2	8	30	101	3	0	0	.213	.290	.341	.631	.128	.286	30	9	.284	75	-9	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.2
2038	34	MLB	SD	291	260	53	9	1	6	26	88	3	0	0	.204	.284	.315	.599	.112	.284	30	9	.277	71	-10	+0	-5	+5	+8	-0.1
2039	35	MLB	SD	237	212	43	7	1	5	21	74	2	0	0	.203	.281	.316	.597	.113	.282	31	9	.270	65	-9	+0	-6	+4	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4890	4370	945	172	23	116	433	1398	49	48	8	.216	.294	.346	.640	.130	.288	29	9	.290	80	-112	+6	-25	+87	+139	9.7
/ 162G	—			650	581	125	23	3	15	58	186	7	6	1	.215	.295	.343	.637	.127	.287	29	9	.290	80	-15	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Padres	54	43	10	2	0	10	13	0	4	1	.233	.377	.279	.656	.047	.323	24	19	.311	96	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2023	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	141	114	31	9	5	26	27	1	3	0	.272	.411	.482	.894	.211	.317	19	18	.399	163	+10	+1	—	—	+4	1.5
2024	20	ROK	ACL Padres	71	58	5	0	0	9	21	1	0	0	.086	.221	.086	.307	.000	.132	30	13	.163	-17	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2025	21	ROK	ACL Padres	65	56	16	5	0	7	18	2	0	0	.286	.385	.375	.760	.089	.421	28	11	.350	126	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus D. Castro (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	.207/.275/.310	.103	.288	1	1	29%	8%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Jose Lobatón 2007 · A	22	44	42→45	43→30	47	.212/.290/.319	.108	.298	9	5	30%	9%	71	-0.3	.217/.282/.343	.126	.297	13	3	29%	8%	74	-0.1	.241/.325/.370	.129	.305	12	0	23%	11%	94	+0.6
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A	22	46→47	42→65	50→40	43	.220/.291/.330	.111	.304	9	7	29%	7%	75	-0.0	.215/.268/.415	.200	.284	26	4	34%	6%	88	+0.9	.221/.275/.455	.234	.259	32	2	29%	6%	99	+1.4
✕Patrick Bailey 2022 · A	23	44→49	45	50→45	43	.213/.278/.336	.122	.306	12	8	33%	8%	70	-0.3	.213/.279/.336	.123	.289	13	5	29%	8%	71	-0.3	.229/.288/.338	.110	.303	11	4	27%	7%	75	-0.0
✕John Hester 2007 · A	23	42	43→55	50	41	.206/.271/.327	.122	.299	10	7	33%	7%	65	-0.7	.224/.267/.365	.141	.298	14	7	29%	5%	72	-0.2	.249/.292/.416	.167	.322	15	10	27%	5%	94	+0.7
✕Shawn Zarraga 2011 · A	22	48	38→40	49→45	46	.224/.303/.301	.077	.314	5	6	28%	8%	72	-0.2	.241/.298/.333	.092	.298	7	8	20%	6%	78	+0.2	.272/.340/.355	.083	.316	4	2	14%	7%	101	+0.6
●Eduardo Valencia 2023 · A	23	44→54	42→50	49→30	45	.215/.282/.315	.100	.276	10	5	25%	7%	67	-0.5	.222/.280/.345	.123	.283	14	4	26%	7%	73	-0.1	.250/.305/.416	.166	.304	22	0	25%	6%	100	+1.0
●Tyler Stephenson 2019 · A	22	43→53	42→50	46→30	44	.212/.280/.315	.103	.285	10	3	28%	8%	66	-0.6	.232/.305/.347	.115	.297	11	3	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.253/.327/.399	.146	.323	16	1	25%	9%	102	+1.3
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	44	43→50	44→45	47	.214/.288/.327	.113	.283	10	8	27%	8%	72	-0.2	.229/.290/.359	.130	.285	12	8	23%	7%	81	+0.4	.216/.285/.360	.143	.285	15	3	28%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Ramon Santana 2008 · A	22	44→53	44→45	49→45	46	.214/.295/.332	.118	.288	11	7	28%	8%	77	+0.1	.215/.282/.328	.113	.315	10	8	33%	6%	70	-0.3	.212/.276/.321	.109	.318	8	4	33%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Trent Woodward 2015 · A	23	43	41→45	47→30	47	.209/.286/.311	.102	.282	7	6	27%	8%	68	-0.5	.220/.287/.309	.089	.311	7	4	29%	8%	67	-0.5	.218/.288/.304	.087	.309	9	1	30%	8%	63	-0.3
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42	46→50	48→40	46	.212/.283/.341	.129	.261	14	4	24%	7%	75	-0.0	.218/.306/.350	.132	.298	14	6	29%	9%	87	+0.8	.233/.304/.378	.146	.278	16	1	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	40→45	48→45	51	.222/.330/.318	.096	.290	7	9	24%	9%	90	+1.0	.229/.317/.341	.112	.289	10	7	23%	7%	89	+1.0	.230/.322/.343	.112	.289	11	5	22%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Brandon Valenzuela 2023 · A	22	43→52	43→45	44→40	47	.210/.287/.320	.110	.295	11	3	31%	9%	70	-0.3	.199/.268/.310	.111	.277	12	4	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.189/.254/.305	.116	.253	14	3	30%	7%	50	-1.1
✕Nick Hundley 2006 · A	22	46→45	41→55	50→40	42	.219/.279/.317	.098	.303	8	8	29%	7%	66	-0.6	.216/.273/.358	.142	.269	16	3	25%	7%	74	-0.1	.254/.322/.429	.174	.319	17	4	25%	8%	107	+1.2
✕Mike Rothenberg 2022 · A	23	47	41→55	49→30	47	.224/.300/.325	.101	.294	7	6	25%	8%	77	+0.1	.189/.269/.309	.120	.337	13	3	44%	9%	60	-1.0	.157/.246/.287	.130	.296	16	1	48%	9%	43	-1.1
✕Jordan Newton 2008 · A	22	45	43→55	50	40	.221/.271/.331	.110	.296	10	11	28%	5%	66	-0.6	.219/.261/.343	.124	.314	10	9	32%	4%	64	-0.8	.220/.263/.347	.128	.318	10	8	33%	4%	63	-0.4
●Connor Norby 2022 · A	22	48→49	43→55	49→50	45	.228/.300/.340	.113	.324	10	11	31%	8%	81	+0.4	.238/.298/.405	.167	.308	20	11	28%	7%	97	+1.5	.239/.300/.413	.174	.310	21	11	29%	7%	97	+1.5
✕Luis Lara 2017 · A	22	48	42→45	52→45	50	.232/.293/.343	.110	.273	9	8	18%	8%	78	+0.2	.210/.273/.306	.096	.274	7	5	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.174/.244/.247	.073	.238	6	1	28%	8%	29	-0.8
✕Dom Keegan 2023 · A	22	48→50	46→50	50→30	42	.233/.294/.366	.133	.327	13	9	31%	7%	85	+0.7	.229/.294/.363	.134	.310	13	3	29%	7%	84	+0.6	.224/.289/.360	.136	.304	14	1	29%	7%	81	+0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)