Jesus D. Castro

C ACL Padres
Age 23 S/R 5'10" / 158 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202319ROKDSL Padres Go…141.272/.411/.4825360—.165/.284/.264
202420ROKSD71.086/.221/.08600-41—.066/.162/.066
202521ROKSD65.286/.385/.3750039—.186/.262/.237
2027PROJMLE23MLBSD175.189/.255/.2581246-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBSD19.190/.257/.2660051-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
wRC+60
wOBA54
ISO44
BB%31
K%24
Chase%23
CompsJobduan Morales (age 23) · Arturo De Freitas (age 23) · Logan Moore (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 30 proj PA
wRC+†46
AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .253 / .256
PA30
HR0
K%34
BB%7
ISO69
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +0.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.10.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202218 ROKDSL Padres — 5443 10200 10130 41 233377279656 47323 2419 311 33 — — — — — —
202319 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 141114 31905 26271 30 272411482894 211317 1918 399 60 — — — — — —
202420 ROKACL Padres — 7158 5000 9211 00 8622186307 132 3013 163 -41 — — — — — —
202521 ROKACL Padres — 6556 16500 7182 00 286385375760 89421 2811 350 39 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202218 ROK MLEDSL Padres — 5446 7100 7160 41 152264174438 22219 3013 217 33 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 141121 20602 19321 30 165284264548 99211 2313 257 60 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEACL Padres — 7161 4000 6311 00 6616266227 104 448 108 -41 — — — — — —
202521 ROK MLEACL Padres — 6559 11300 4252 00 186262237499 51321 386 226 39 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEDSL Padres — 5446 7100 7160 41 152264174438 22226 3013 217 33 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAWDSL Padres — 5443 10200 10130 41 233377279656 47323 2419 311 33 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 141121 20602 19321 30 165284264548 99207 2313 257 60 — — — — — —
202319 ROK RAWDSL Padres Gold — 141114 31905 26271 30 272411482894 211317 1918 399 60 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEACL Padres — 7161 4000 6311 00 6616266227 129 448 108 -41 — — — — — —
202420 ROK RAWACL Padres — 7158 5000 9211 00 8622186307 132 3013 163 -41 — — — — — —
202521 ROK MLEACL Padres — 6559 11300 4252 00 186262237499 51324 386 226 39 — — — — — —
202521 ROK RAWACL Padres — 6556 16500 7182 00 286385375760 89421 2811 350 39 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEDSL Padres — 5447 7100 7160 41 149264170434 21219 3013 217 33 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 141120 20602 19321 30 167284267550 100211 2313 257 60 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEACL Padres — 7164 4000 6311 00 6216262224 104 448 108 -41 — — — — — —
202521 ROK MLEACL Padres — 6559 11300 4252 00 186262237499 51321 386 226 39 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 ROK MLEACL Padres — 7164 4000 6311 00 6216262224 104 448 108 -41 — — — — — —
202521 ROK MLEACL Padres — 6559 11300 4252 00 186262237499 51321 386 226 39 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLESD 0% 175159 30511 12592 21 189255258513 69288 347 236 46 -11 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLESD 30% 6458 11201 5211 10 193260271530 77289 338 243 51 -4 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
202824 MLB CTXSD 30% 1918 3100 160 00 190257266522 76284 325 240 51 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 1918 3100 160 00 167211222433 56250 325 240 34 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650616 1023400 342050 00 166209221430 55248 325 240 34 -38 +0 +0 +12 +14 -1.3
Career— MLE — 425373 581303 431355 81 155252214466 59232 3210 219 34 -6 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650570 892005 662068 122 156253218471 61232 3210 219 34 -39 +1 +0 +12 +14 -1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKACL Padres · 65 PAwOBA .336 → .226 (−110)K% 27.7% → 39.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.69%÷1.023×1.440——38.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.23%÷0.990×0.620—×0.9855.69%
HBP% /PA3.08%—×0.720—×0.9852.18%
Singles /BIP28.95%÷1.010×0.820—×0.98523.14%
Doubles /BIP13.16%÷1.045×0.720—×0.9858.93%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.018×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.018×0.780—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 109, 3B 104, K 105, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .336 → .226; ISO .089 → .055; BABIP .421 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Padres · 71 PAwOBA .162 → .108 (−54)K% 29.6% → 43.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.58%÷0.990×1.440——43.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.68%÷1.002×0.620—×0.9957.81%
HBP% /PA1.41%—×0.720—×0.9951.01%
Singles /BIP13.51%÷1.014×0.820×0.984×0.99510.70%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.042×0.720×0.984×0.9950.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.970×0.720×0.984×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.892×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 94, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .162 → .108; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .132 → .104. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 141 PAwOBA .389 → .257 (−132)K% 19.1% → 23.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.15%÷1.015×1.220——23.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.44%÷0.968×0.700—×0.99513.27%
HBP% /PA0.71%—×0.700—×0.9950.49%
Singles /BIP19.54%÷0.971×0.680×1.014×0.99513.81%
Doubles /BIP10.34%÷0.926×0.600×1.014×0.9956.76%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.999×0.600×1.014×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP5.75%÷1.083×0.470—×0.9952.48%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 94, 2B 85, 3B 100, K 103, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .389 → .257; ISO .211 → .111; BABIP .317 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Padres · 54 PAwOBA .310 → .217 (−93)K% 24.1% → 29.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.07%÷0.984×1.220——29.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.52%÷0.992×0.700—×1.00813.17%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷0.994×0.680—×1.00818.37%
Doubles /BIP6.67%÷0.947×0.600—×1.0084.26%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.600—×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.975×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .310 → .217; ISO .047 → .030; BABIP .323 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).