Luis Meza

C FCL Blue Jays

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 150 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	ROKTOR	72	.274/.366/.290	0	1	33	—	.203/.282/.219
2025	20	ROKTOR	50	.186/.286/.209	0	0	-4	—	.133/.204/.156
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBTOR	160	.198/.262/.259	1	2	49	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBTOR	36	.203/.267/.273	0	0	54	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%64

Whiff%57

K%37

BB%25

Z-Con%18

wRC+11

CompsDavid Masters (age 22) · Justin Twine (age 22) · Arturo De Freitas (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .260 / .257

PA45

HR0

K%31

BB%6

ISO61

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	101	96	22	4	1	0	5	19	0	2	0	229	267	292	559	63	286	19	5	254	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	59	52	10	1	0	0	3	12	3	0	0	192	271	212	483	19	250	20	5	233	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	72	62	17	1	0	0	6	17	3	1	0	274	366	290	657	16	370	24	8	308	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	50	43	8	1	0	0	5	12	1	0	0	186	286	209	495	23	250	24	10	237	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	101	98	14	2	1	0	3	23	0	2	0	143	168	184	352	41	189	23	3	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	59	54	9	1	0	0	2	17	3	0	0	167	237	185	422	19	220	29	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	72	64	13	1	0	0	4	24	3	1	0	203	282	219	500	16	294	33	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	50	45	6	1	0	0	3	17	1	0	0	133	204	156	360	22	193	34	6	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	101	98	14	2	1	0	3	23	0	2	0	143	168	184	352	41	187	23	3	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	—	101	96	22	4	1	0	5	19	0	2	0	229	267	292	559	63	286	19	5	254	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	59	54	9	1	0	0	2	17	3	0	0	167	237	185	422	19	243	29	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	—	59	52	10	1	0	0	3	12	3	0	0	192	271	212	483	19	250	20	5	233	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	72	64	13	1	0	0	4	24	3	1	0	203	282	219	500	16	317	33	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	—	72	62	17	1	0	0	6	17	3	1	0	274	366	290	657	16	370	24	8	308	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	50	45	6	1	0	0	3	17	1	0	0	133	204	156	360	22	207	34	6	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Blue Jays	—	50	43	8	1	0	0	5	12	1	0	0	186	286	209	495	23	250	24	10	237	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	—	101	97	14	2	1	0	3	23	0	2	0	144	168	186	354	41	189	23	3	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	59	54	9	1	0	0	2	17	3	0	0	167	237	185	422	19	220	29	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	72	65	13	1	0	0	4	24	3	1	0	200	282	215	497	15	294	33	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	50	46	6	1	0	0	3	17	1	0	0	130	204	152	356	22	193	34	6	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	72	65	13	1	0	0	4	24	3	1	0	200	282	215	497	15	294	33	6	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	50	46	6	1	0	0	3	17	1	0	0	130	204	152	356	22	193	34	6	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	160	147	29	4	1	1	10	50	2	2	1	198	262	259	521	61	288	31	6	240	49	-10	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	106	97	20	3	1	1	7	32	1	1	0	202	266	272	539	70	289	30	7	247	54	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	36	33	6	1	0	0	2	11	1	0	0	203	267	273	541	70	290	31	6	248	54	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	36	33	6	1	0	0	2	11	1	0	0	182	250	212	462	30	273	31	6	248	23	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	108	18	0	0	36	199	18	0	0	181	249	211	461	30	272	31	6	248	23	-36	+0	+0	+12	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	433	399	69	9	2	1	22	127	9	4	0	173	233	213	446	40	248	29	5	202	23	-9	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	105	14	3	2	33	191	14	6	0	175	236	219	454	43	251	29	5	202	23	-37	+1	+0	+12	+14	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Meza (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	196/260/257	61	288	0	0	31%	6%	49	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	39→37	36→45	47→40	40	185/251/253	68	279	3	8	33%	7%	45	-2.7	179/238/249	70	242	6	4	27%	6%	38	-3.2	187/256/313	125	256	16	1	32%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	37→33	37→40	47→50	31	179/219/250	71	280	4	7	37%	3%	31	-3.7	213/252/298	85	304	6	10	30%	4%	54	-2.0	216/252/305	89	320	6	14	33%	3%	54	-1.1
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→40	45→40	34	175/221/253	78	272	7	4	37%	5%	32	-3.6	185/240/265	80	303	8	5	39%	6%	43	-2.8	138/183/216	78	244	10	0	46%	5%	8	-1.0
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	34	36→40	46→50	48	162/233/224	62	208	4	10	23%	8%	32	-3.7	181/263/263	82	249	5	10	27%	9%	52	-2.2	164/271/256	91	205	6	12	21%	11%	53	-0.9
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	40	38→45	44→45	40	194/247/270	77	262	5	7	27%	5%	47	-2.6	210/262/301	91	296	8	6	30%	5%	59	-1.6	208/262/300	93	295	9	6	31%	5%	55	-1.0
✕Alberto Espinosa 2009 · A	22	37	37→40	45→40	38	183/226/251	68	257	4	4	30%	5%	34	-3.5	200/253/276	76	284	3	5	29%	6%	50	-2.3	195/251/270	75	274	2	2	28%	6%	45	-1.1
✕Brandon Lewis 2021 · A	22	42→34	39→50	49→30	40	203/264/289	86	290	7	6	31%	6%	57	-1.8	196/250/365	169	289	23	3	39%	6%	71	-0.8	176/230/331	155	250	22	1	39%	5%	53	-1.4
✕Daurys Mercedes 2012 · A	22	38	35→40	46→45	42	179/250/239	60	285	2	7	36%	8%	40	-3.0	178/242/245	67	330	3	6	43%	7%	39	-3.1	127/201/181	54	254	2	4	47%	7%	7	-1.7
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	299	6	6	37%	6%	50	-2.3	213/274/306	93	302	8	13	30%	7%	65	-1.2	205/266/287	81	283	8	16	29%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Alexis Wilson 2019 · A	22	40	38→40	48→30	45	194/260/273	78	263	5	4	27%	8%	53	-2.1	219/269/310	91	281	9	5	24%	6%	63	-1.3	222/267/302	80	270	10	1	21%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Geovanny Planchart 2024 · A	22	41	37→40	49→40	48	192/274/268	75	279	4	5	30%	10%	57	-1.8	193/270/277	84	273	7	4	29%	9%	57	-1.8	164/246/241	76	224	8	0	29%	9%	39	-1.0
✕Mikell Granberry 2018 · A	22	37	38→40	46→45	39	180/237/267	86	270	4	6	33%	6%	42	-2.9	212/279/317	105	298	8	7	29%	8%	70	-0.9	218/298/344	126	289	12	7	27%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Adonis Paula 2016 · A	22	40	37→40	46→40	40	191/251/262	71	279	4	5	31%	6%	46	-2.6	190/238/261	71	348	5	4	44%	5%	40	-3.0	171/218/228	58	321	5	2	46%	5%	24	-1.3
✕Sebastián Rivero 2021 · A	22	40	38→40	44→40	36	196/238/274	77	274	6	5	30%	4%	44	-2.8	200/253/297	97	279	8	5	30%	5%	55	-1.9	187/239/282	95	252	8	2	28%	5%	46	-1.0
✕Brian Valichka 2006 · A	22	41	37→40	48→45	38	194/248/267	73	285	3	8	32%	5%	46	-2.6	203/249/291	88	273	6	6	27%	5%	52	-2.2	200/245/286	87	266	6	5	26%	4%	47	-0.9
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→30	46→45	41	195/255/280	85	272	5	6	29%	6%	52	-2.2	197/255/281	84	276	6	9	29%	6%	52	-2.2	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→40	45→30	36	195/236/271	76	279	4	8	31%	4%	42	-2.9	220/267/316	96	272	9	6	22%	6%	64	-1.3	226/273/320	94	265	9	4	18%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	48→30	39	186/244/267	82	276	3	5	32%	6%	45	-2.7	189/248/290	101	279	9	4	34%	5%	53	-2.1	174/235/282	108	252	11	1	34%	4%	43	-2.2
✕Cadyn Grenier 2019 · A	22	41→38	39→40	48→50	36	192/247/284	92	313	5	8	38%	6%	49	-2.4	192/263/290	98	321	8	8	39%	8%	58	-1.7	178/263/269	91	284	7	11	36%	9%	52	-1.6