Luis RodriguezC FCL Cardinals
Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj PA
wRC+†42
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .252 / .268
PA36
HR0
K%33
BB%6
ISO78
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -2.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.30.3+$7M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $0.8M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Cardinals — 10195 21303 4371 01 221260347607 126321 374 253 52 — — — — — —
202217 ROKDSL Cardinals — 10193 28404 6251 01 301350473823 172369 256 361 135 — — — — — —
202318 ROKFCL Cardinals — 10798 15600 6463 01 153224214439 61288 436 189 3 — — — — — —
202318 ROKFCL Cardinals — 10795 21900 9323 01 221308316624 95333 308 289 79 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Cardinals — 1918 3100 170 00 167211222433 56273 375 187 1 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Cardinals — 1917 4100 250 00 235316294610 59333 2611 284 75 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBSTL — 3634 5100 2120 00 147194176371 29289 336 240 42 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBSTL 34% 113103 21511 8361 10 204268301569 97290 327 252 51 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
202823 MLBSTL 48% 247225 451013 17773 21 200265293559 93292 317 260 57 -12 +0 +0 +4 +7 -0.1
202924 MLBSTL 53% 347316 651425 241074 31 206270310580 104293 317 266 62 -15 +0 +0 +6 +10 0.1
203025 MLBSTL 55% 407370 781727 291245 41 211277324602 114293 307 269 64 -17 +0 +0 +7 +12 0.3
203126 MLBSTL 56% 444405 841827 311355 41 207272314586 106293 307 270 65 -18 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.3
203227 MLBSTL 55% 463421 881928 331416 42 209276321597 112292 307 270 65 -18 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.3
202722 MLBSTL 34% 3936 7200 3120 00 194256250506 56290 318 243 44 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
202823 MLBSTL 48% 120110 23512 8371 10 209269327596 118291 317 251 50 -7 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
202924 MLBSTL 53% 183166 35813 13562 21 211276325602 114292 317 257 55 -9 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.1
203025 MLBSTL 55% 223202 43914 16683 21 213281327607 114293 307 260 57 -11 +0 +0 +4 +6 -0.1
203126 MLBSTL 56% 247225 471014 17753 21 209273316589 107293 307 261 58 -12 +0 +0 +4 +7 -0.0
203227 MLBSTL 55% 255232 481014 18783 21 207273310583 103292 317 261 58 -12 +0 +0 +5 +7 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 1067971 20344517 7532612 94 209274317591 108294 317 258 56 -53 +0 +0 +19 +30 -0.4
/ 162G— — 650592 12327310 461997 52 208273314587 106293 317 258 56 -32 +0 +0 +12 +18 -0.2
Career— — 22842085 425941034 15572228 188 204268307576 104292 327 261 58 -108 +0 +0 +41 +65 -0.2
/ 162G— — 650593 12227310 442058 52 206269312581 106294 327 261 58 -31 +0 +0 +12 +18 -0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Cardinals — 10193 28404 6251 01 301350473823 172369 256 361 135 +4 -0 — — +3 0.7
202318 ROKFCL Cardinals — 10795 21900 9323 01 221308316624 95333 308 289 79 -3 -0 — — +3 0.0
202419 ROKFCL Cardinals — 1917 4100 250 00 235316294610 59333 2611 284 75 -1 +0 — — +1 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,1021710209271317+20+160.40.4
/162664106+11.9+9.60.2pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Luis Rodriguez (OGILVIE) 21 — — — — 190/252/268 77289 00 33% 6% 42 -0.1 ————————— —————————
✕Steven Baron
2012 · A 		21 33 40→45 45→50 36 171/214/256 85249 77 34% 5% 21 -3.7 187/224/281 94269 69 32% 4% 32 -3.0 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
✕Pablo Aliendo
2022 · A 		21 39 39→55 44→45 37 185/262/263 79305 76 39% 6% 46 -2.0 203/269/331 128302 145 36% 6% 66 -0.6 196/264/34314728618537%6%64-0.4
✕Willy Diaz
2015 · A 		21 36 36→40 45→40 46 170/263/235 65253 45 32% 9% 40 -2.4 187/263/267 80309 54 37% 8% 46 -2.0 184/258/270863085239%8%42-0.8
✕Gerardo Bustamante
2007 · A 		21 40 36→45 45→50 36 190/231/257 67286 35 34% 5% 28 -3.2 196/248/279 83269 75 28% 6% 42 -2.3 226/262/32599269141222%4%56-0.4
✕Arturo De Freitas
2023 · A 		22 35 39→45 45→40 34 173/222/254 81276 74 39% 5% 24 -3.5 183/241/264 81308 85 40% 6% 36 -2.7 115/169/126122240046%5%-33-1.4
✕Luis Palacios
2010 · A 		21 39 39→40 46→50 36 192/235/276 84265 75 30% 4% 36 -2.7 190/239/268 78302 57 36% 5% 35 -2.8 130/184/163322250640%6%-19-1.1
✕Geovanny Planchart
2023 · A 		21 41 36→40 50→40 46 190/271/255 65295 35 34% 10% 46 -2.0 197/283/279 82287 54 30% 10% 58 -1.2 185/278/265802636229%11%51-0.7
✕Justin Twine
2017 · A 		21 36→31 36→45 45→50 28 175/214/240 65291 37 40% 3% 17 -4.0 197/236/278 81295 69 34% 3% 37 -2.7 216/252/3139732181434%3%50-1.0
✕Franklin Tineo
2016 · A 		21 36 38→45 41→50 47 177/258/254 77247 57 29% 9% 41 -2.3 190/264/281 91260 710 28% 8% 50 -1.7 184/261/2809623981325%8%47-0.7
✕Will Banfield
2021 · A 		21 34→35 40→50 47→30 34 174/220/260 86266 83 37% 5% 26 -3.4 180/221/294 114261 123 35% 4% 35 -2.8 194/236/29610226912032%4%39-1.2
✕Miguel Rodriguez
2007 · A 		20 35 37→45 48→45 34 175/223/246 71263 56 34% 4% 23 -3.6 209/264/290 81278 55 25% 5% 52 -1.6 217/275/301852804323%5%58-0.5
✕Claudio Finol
2022 · A 		22 40 39→40 46→45 40 193/251/277 85270 56 30% 6% 43 -2.2 194/250/277 83275 79 30% 6% 43 -2.2 181/246/2587726091232%7%35-0.7
✕Miguel Jerez
2018 · A 		20 36 37→60 47→40 38 175/233/245 70281 45 37% 7% 27 -3.3 175/239/304 129273 164 40% 6% 46 -2.0 137/211/27613920019142%7%26-1.3
✕Emilio King
2011 · A 		21 37 36→45 45→40 37 178/245/248 70273 36 34% 5% 34 -2.8 215/257/310 95317 74 33% 4% 54 -1.4 252/282/37111934011328%2%76+0.0
✕Adam Howard
2007 · A 		21 37 35→50 50→40 38 179/229/240 61268 26 32% 5% 24 -3.6 196/234/301 105282 124 34% 5% 42 -2.3 184/215/29611225216234%4%30-1.0
✕Ronnierd Garcia
2013 · A 		20 37 38→45 43→40 36 183/242/259 77280 74 36% 5% 35 -2.8 207/260/302 95287 74 29% 6% 53 -1.5 214/269/3221092949229%6%59-0.5
✕Freuddy Batista
2021 · A 		21 40 41→50 48→40 35 192/245/289 98307 85 39% 6% 43 -2.2 207/273/364 157295 186 35% 7% 76 +0.1 199/268/36016028318535%6%70-0.2
✕Edwin Díaz
2017 · A 		21 32→31 38→50 45→40 33 161/214/232 72265 64 40% 5% 16 -4.1 172/230/275 103271 113 38% 6% 34 -2.8 158/222/31015223522442%7%38-1.2
✕Adam Zebrowski
2022 · A 		21 44→35 39→45 49→40 38 205/266/291 86316 57 35% 6% 53 -1.5 195/265/316 121293 134 36% 8% 60 -1.0 184/236/31212827418238%5%44-1.1
✕Omar Meregildo
2018 · A 		20 36→33 37→50 47→30 38 174/239/249 74275 46 36% 6% 31 -3.0 194/253/302 108317 93 39% 7% 51 -1.7 172/240/29912728515143%7%44-1.1