Luis Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Luis RodriguezC FCL Cardinals

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .252 / .268

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%6

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	101	93	28	4	0	4	6	25	1	0	1	301	350	473	823	172	369	25	6	361	131	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	107	95	21	9	0	0	9	32	3	0	1	221	308	316	624	95	333	30	8	289	82	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	19	17	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	235	316	294	610	59	333	26	11	284	78	-0	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	101	95	21	3	0	3	4	36	1	0	1	221	260	347	607	126	306	36	4	253	57	-5	-0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	107	98	15	6	0	0	6	46	3	0	1	153	224	214	439	61	272	43	6	189	14	-11	-0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	167	211	222	433	56	264	37	5	187	13	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	101	95	21	3	0	3	4	36	1	0	1	221	260	347	607	126	316	36	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	101	93	28	4	0	4	6	25	1	0	1	301	350	473	823	172	369	25	6	361	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	107	98	15	6	0	0	6	46	3	0	1	153	224	214	439	61	288	43	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	107	95	21	9	0	0	9	32	3	0	1	221	308	316	624	95	333	30	8	289	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	167	211	222	433	56	273	37	5	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	19	17	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	235	316	294	610	59	333	26	11	284	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	101	95	21	3	0	3	4	36	1	0	1	221	260	347	607	126	306	36	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	107	97	15	6	0	0	6	46	3	0	1	155	224	216	441	62	272	43	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	167	211	222	433	56	264	37	5	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	107	97	15	6	0	0	6	46	3	0	1	155	224	216	441	62	272	43	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	167	211	222	433	56	264	37	5	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	STL	0%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						289	33	0	240	48	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	STL	34%	113	103	21	5	1	1	8	36	1	1	0	204	268	301	569	97	290	32	7	252	57	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	STL	48%	247	225	45	10	1	3	17	77	3	2	1	200	265	293	559	93	291	31	7	260	62	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	STL	53%	347	316	65	14	2	5	24	106	4	3	1	206	270	310	580	104	292	31	7	266	66	-14	+0	+0	+6	+8	-0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	STL	55%	407	370	78	17	2	7	29	124	5	4	1	211	277	324	602	114	292	30	7	269	68	-15	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	STL	56%	444	405	84	18	2	7	31	135	5	4	1	207	272	314	586	106	292	30	7	270	69	-16	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	STL	55%	463	421	88	19	2	8	33	141	6	4	2	209	276	321	597	112	292	30	7	270	69	-17	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	STL	55%	470	427	89	19	2	8	34	144	6	4	1	208	276	319	595	110	292	31	7	269	68	-18	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	STL	53%	468	425	87	19	2	7	34	144	6	4	1	205	273	308	581	104	291	31	7	267	67	-18	+0	-1	+8	+10	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	STL	34%	39	36	7	2	0	0	3	12	0	0	0	194	256	250	506	56	290	31	8	241	57	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	STL	48%	120	110	22	5	1	1	8	37	1	1	0	200	261	291	551	91	291	31	7	249	62	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	STL	53%	183	166	35	8	1	3	13	56	2	2	1	211	276	325	602	114	292	31	7	255	66	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	STL	55%	223	202	42	9	1	3	16	68	3	2	1	208	276	307	583	99	292	30	7	258	68	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	STL	56%	247	225	47	10	1	4	17	75	3	2	1	209	273	316	589	107	292	30	7	259	69	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	STL	55%	255	232	48	10	1	4	18	78	3	2	1	207	273	310	583	103	291	31	7	259	69	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	STL	55%	257	233	49	11	1	4	19	79	3	2	1	210	278	318	596	107	291	31	7	258	68	-10	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	STL	53%	250	227	47	10	1	4	18	77	3	2	1	207	274	313	587	106	290	31	7	256	67	-10	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1574	1431	297	65	7	23	112	482	18	13	6	208	274	311	585	103	294	31	7	256	65	-61	+0	-1	+28	+34	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	122	27	3	9	46	199	7	5	2	206	271	308	579	102	293	31	7	256	65	-25	+0	-0	+12	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3189	2906	596	131	14	49	221	997	40	26	10	205	271	310	581	105	292	31	7	264	65	-116	+2	-2	+53	+64	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	122	27	3	10	45	203	8	5	2	206	271	312	583	106	293	31	7	264	65	-26	+0	-0	+12	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.4	1,608	25	14	209	272	317	+29	+20	1.0	1.1
/162	664	10	6	+11.9	+8.3	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	190/252/268	78	289	0	0	33%	6%	48	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	172/216/255	83	252	7	7	34%	5%	31	-3.7	189/226/284	95	266	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	39	39→50	44→45	37	186/262/264	78	301	7	6	38%	6%	52	-2.2	204/269/325	121	300	13	5	35%	6%	68	-1.0	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	40→45	48→30	38	195/255/282	87	294	7	4	35%	6%	53	-2.1	178/234/262	84	256	7	3	32%	6%	40	-3.0	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	174/222/255	81	277	7	4	39%	5%	34	-3.5	184/241/265	81	306	8	5	40%	6%	44	-2.8	141/191/216	75	260	9	0	47%	5%	11	-1.0
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	39	39→40	46→50	36	192/235/276	84	265	7	5	30%	4%	43	-2.8	192/239/270	78	302	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	140/190/175	36	236	0	6	38%	6%	0	-1.0
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→31	42→45	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	55	-1.9	184/249/284	100	318	10	2	43%	6%	51	-2.2	242/289/361	119	320	16	1	29%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	178/245/248	70	273	3	6	34%	5%	42	-2.9	214/256/307	93	316	7	4	33%	4%	58	-1.7	250/279/366	116	337	11	3	28%	2%	76	-0.3
✕Alex Jackson 2016 · A	20	38→37	38→55	45→30	34	181/238/262	82	294	5	5	38%	5%	42	-2.9	193/251/322	129	292	14	3	37%	5%	61	-1.5	191/262/354	163	266	20	2	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Justin Twine 2017 · A	21	37→32	37→40	45→50	29	181/219/250	69	290	4	7	38%	3%	31	-3.7	199/238/279	80	295	5	9	33%	3%	45	-2.7	214/250/302	88	318	6	14	33%	3%	53	-1.2
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	46→45	40	194/253/278	85	271	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	196/253/280	84	275	6	9	29%	6%	51	-2.2	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	32	-3.7	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	57	-1.8	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Miguel Jerez 2018 · A	20	36	37→60	47→40	38	175/233/245	70	281	4	5	37%	7%	36	-3.4	176/241/304	128	277	16	4	40%	7%	53	-2.1	137/212/274	137	203	19	1	42%	7%	35	-1.3
✕Gerardo Bustamante 2007 · A	21	40	36→40	45→50	36	190/231/257	67	286	3	5	34%	5%	36	-3.3	196/248/279	83	269	7	5	28%	6%	49	-2.4	204/246/286	82	258	10	12	25%	5%	47	-0.7
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	36→33	37→45	47→30	38	174/239/249	74	275	4	6	36%	6%	39	-3.1	196/254/306	110	314	10	3	38%	7%	58	-1.7	173/241/298	125	280	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Adam Howard 2007 · A	21	37	35→50	50→40	38	179/229/240	61	268	2	6	32%	5%	32	-3.6	196/234/301	105	282	12	4	34%	5%	49	-2.4	184/215/296	112	252	16	2	34%	4%	38	-1.0
✕Ali Solis 2009 · A	21	38	38→45	47→30	40	181/244/258	78	284	5	4	36%	7%	43	-2.8	198/238/312	114	281	12	3	33%	4%	53	-2.1	230/253/350	120	309	12	1	29%	2%	64	-0.6
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2013 · A	20	37	38→45	43→40	36	183/242/259	77	280	7	4	36%	5%	42	-2.9	207/259/301	94	287	7	4	29%	6%	58	-1.7	214/269/322	109	294	9	2	29%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	55	-1.9	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	59	-1.7	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	64	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps