Luis Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Luis RodriguezC FCL Cardinals

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs ROK HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 1.9 · 2032

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .266 / .294

PA36

HR0

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.9peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.9	$18M	+$17M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.8	$18M	+$17M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.6	$16M	+$15M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.4	$15M	+$12M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.0	$11M	+$7M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.7	$4M	+$0.9M
Totals		$12M		$81M	+$69M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	101	95	21	3	0	3	4	37	1	0	1	.221	.260	.347	.607	.126	.321	37	4	.253	52	-5	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	107	98	15	6	0	0	6	46	3	0	1	.153	.224	.214	.439	.061	.288	43	6	.189	3	-12	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.7
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	.167	.211	.222	.433	.056	.273	37	5	.187	1	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	STL	36	33	6	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	.182	.250	.212	.462	.030	.289	31	8	.257	55	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	STL	113	102	22	4	1	2	9	33	1	2	0	.216	.286	.333	.619	.118	.291	29	8	.277	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	23	MLB 28%	STL	247	223	50	9	2	6	20	70	2	4	1	.224	.294	.363	.657	.139	.293	28	8	.290	80	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2029	24	MLB 45%	STL	347	311	70	12	2	9	29	96	4	6	1	.225	.299	.363	.663	.138	.294	28	8	.298	86	-5	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.2
2030	25	MLB 60%	STL	407	365	83	14	3	11	35	112	4	7	1	.227	.302	.373	.675	.145	.295	28	9	.303	90	-4	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.6
2031	26	MLB 77%	STL	444	397	91	16	3	12	39	122	5	7	1	.229	.306	.375	.681	.146	.295	27	9	.306	92	-4	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.8
2032	27	MLB 92%	STL	463	414	94	16	3	13	41	127	5	7	1	.227	.304	.374	.679	.147	.295	27	9	.306	92	-4	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.9
2033	28	MLB	STL	470	420	95	16	3	13	42	130	5	7	1	.226	.304	.371	.675	.145	.295	28	9	.305	91	-5	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.8
2034	29	MLB	STL	468	418	94	16	3	13	42	131	5	6	1	.225	.303	.371	.674	.146	.294	28	9	.303	90	-5	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.6
2035	30	MLB	STL	462	412	92	16	3	12	42	131	5	5	0	.223	.303	.364	.667	.141	.293	28	9	.300	87	-7	+1	-2	+8	+13	1.4
2036	31	MLB	STL	437	390	86	15	3	11	40	126	4	2	0	.221	.300	.359	.659	.138	.291	29	9	.296	85	-8	+0	-3	+8	+12	1.0
2037	32	MLB	STL	409	365	78	13	2	10	37	120	4	1	0	.214	.293	.342	.636	.129	.290	29	9	.291	81	-9	+0	-4	+7	+12	0.7
2038	33	MLB	STL	369	330	70	12	2	9	33	111	3	0	0	.212	.290	.342	.632	.130	.288	30	9	.286	77	-10	+0	-4	+7	+10	0.3
2039	34	MLB	STL	319	285	60	10	2	7	28	98	3	0	0	.211	.288	.333	.621	.123	.286	31	9	.279	72	-10	+0	-5	+6	+9	-0.0
2040	35	MLB	STL	263	236	47	8	1	5	23	84	2	0	0	.199	.276	.305	.581	.106	.284	32	9	.272	66	-10	+0	-6	+5	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5481	4912	1077	188	33	136	474	1592	56	55	9	.219	.295	.354	.649	.135	.293	29	9	.293	82	-111	+7	-25	+98	+155	12.7
/ 162G	—			650	583	127	22	4	16	56	189	7	7	1	.218	.295	.352	.646	.134	.291	29	9	.293	82	-13	+1	-3	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	101	93	28	4	4	6	25	1	1	.301	.350	.473	.823	.172	.369	25	6	.361	135	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2023	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	107	95	21	9	0	9	32	3	1	.221	.308	.316	.624	.095	.333	30	8	.289	79	-3	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	19	17	4	1	0	2	5	0	0	.235	.316	.294	.610	.059	.333	26	11	.284	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	.202/.266/.294	.092	.289	0	1	31%	7%	55	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A	21	38→43	42→55	53→50	33	.193/.226/.298	.105	.280	10	12	34%	4%	37	-2.6	.200/.245/.309	.109	.293	10	10	34%	5%	49	-1.8	.199/.278/.357	.158	.302	19	15	38%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Rubel Cespedes 2022 · A	21	35→45	39→45	49→40	36	.174/.227/.260	.085	.263	6	6	35%	5%	28	-3.2	.212/.263/.316	.104	.302	9	4	31%	6%	58	-1.2	.219/.271/.328	.109	.297	11	3	29%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2019 · A	21	37→45	40→55	46→45	31	.178/.222/.266	.088	.301	8	5	42%	5%	27	-3.3	.202/.249/.313	.111	.311	12	5	37%	5%	52	-1.6	.223/.287/.396	.173	.327	26	6	38%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Jose Siri 2016 · A	21	39→49	40→60	56→55	31	.190/.225/.289	.099	.299	6	15	38%	4%	34	-2.8	.199/.230/.326	.127	.303	12	19	37%	3%	46	-2.0	.227/.276/.431	.204	.317	27	25	36%	5%	92	+0.8
✕Tirso Ornelas 2021 · A	21	40→50	37→50	51→45	44	.192/.255/.266	.074	.272	5	6	30%	8%	42	-2.3	.219/.280/.322	.103	.296	8	6	27%	7%	67	-0.5	.245/.303/.373	.128	.302	14	7	23%	7%	87	+0.8
✕Jalen Miller 2018 · A	21	37→43	39→45	47→50	38	.185/.226/.269	.084	.250	6	8	28%	4%	30	-3.1	.203/.246/.315	.112	.271	11	12	28%	5%	50	-1.7	.182/.241/.309	.127	.237	15	18	29%	7%	45	-1.4
✕Stone Garrett 2016 · A	20	41→37	35→60	49→50	38	.198/.237/.257	.059	.280	3	7	29%	5%	30	-3.1	.171/.210/.253	.082	.300	6	7	43%	4%	18	-3.9	.220/.282/.390	.169	.299	21	11	32%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Michael A. Taylor 2013 · A	22	38→48	41→55	48→60	36	.188/.234/.290	.102	.278	8	14	34%	5%	39	-2.5	.212/.267/.337	.125	.319	12	25	35%	6%	66	-0.6	.236/.294/.379	.143	.303	19	14	28%	7%	86	+0.6
●Maikel Franco 2012 · A	19	36→46	38→55	48→40	37	.180/.226/.261	.081	.253	6	4	30%	5%	28	-3.2	.239/.273/.382	.143	.277	16	3	20%	4%	80	+0.4	.263/.299/.434	.171	.290	19	2	17%	4%	100	+1.6
●Rainel Rosario 2009 · A	20	36→46	40→50	45→50	39	.176/.248/.268	.092	.289	7	9	39%	7%	40	-2.4	.205/.272/.319	.114	.308	9	9	34%	7%	64	-0.8	.253/.308/.402	.150	.285	19	6	18%	7%	96	+1.1
✕Michael Almanzar 2011 · A	20	38→48	38→50	45	35	.187/.224/.266	.079	.257	6	4	29%	4%	28	-3.2	.202/.239/.297	.095	.267	9	6	27%	4%	43	-2.2	.238/.284/.368	.129	.294	14	8	23%	4%	78	+0.2
●Felix Reyes 2023 · A	22	37→47	43→50	46→45	35	.188/.235/.293	.105	.267	11	8	34%	4%	40	-2.4	.221/.258/.346	.125	.263	15	7	22%	4%	64	-0.8	.241/.274/.386	.144	.275	17	8	19%	4%	81	+0.2
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	36	38→45	48→45	35	.179/.228/.252	.073	.269	5	6	34%	4%	27	-3.3	.207/.261/.286	.079	.276	5	5	26%	5%	50	-1.8	.217/.275/.301	.085	.280	4	3	23%	5%	58	-0.5
✕Brian Sanchez 2016 · A	20	38	41→60	47→45	34	.187/.243/.288	.102	.298	9	8	38%	5%	43	-2.2	.202/.260/.333	.131	.304	14	4	36%	6%	62	-0.9	.203/.267/.358	.155	.292	18	0	35%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Jacob Scavuzzo 2015 · A	21	38→45	43→60	49→45	37	.192/.235/.300	.108	.266	10	10	32%	5%	42	-2.3	.211/.253/.343	.132	.281	14	7	30%	4%	61	-1.0	.210/.250/.351	.141	.275	17	5	30%	4%	60	-0.7
✕Edgar Corcino 2012 · A	20	35→45	39→45	45	37	.173/.232/.256	.082	.272	8	6	38%	6%	30	-3.1	.196/.250/.291	.095	.293	9	6	34%	6%	46	-2.0	.234/.279/.349	.116	.296	11	4	24%	5%	72	-0.1
●Zoilo Almonte 2010 · A	21	40→50	41→50	48→50	39	.200/.240/.294	.093	.258	8	5	26%	4%	42	-2.3	.229/.273/.365	.136	.318	15	11	31%	5%	76	+0.0	.256/.295/.398	.142	.314	18	3	24%	5%	91	+0.9
●Oscar Gonzalez 2018 · A	20	37→47	42→60	47→40	32	.185/.227/.291	.106	.298	10	5	40%	5%	36	-2.7	.237/.258/.341	.104	.316	11	5	28%	3%	62	-0.9	.259/.288/.437	.177	.312	22	1	24%	3%	97	+1.4
✕Franchy Cordero 2016 · A	21	43→53	37→55	48→50	35	.204/.242/.269	.065	.298	5	13	32%	4%	36	-2.7	.232/.271/.363	.131	.345	11	15	34%	5%	73	-0.1	.230/.301/.392	.162	.321	18	12	32%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Brooks Baldwin 2023 · A	22	41→51	36→55	50	39	.195/.246/.261	.066	.291	4	8	33%	6%	36	-2.7	.229/.280/.365	.136	.299	16	16	28%	6%	79	+0.3	.243/.294/.398	.155	.302	19	17	26%	6%	89	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)