Braylin Tavera

OF Frederick Keys

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 175 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ABAL	443	.226/.342/.336	7	18	48	—	.175/.267/.265
2026	21	A+BAL	417	.243/.350/.410	14	35	57	—	.184/.260/.313
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBBAL	2	.175/.256/.278	0	0	50	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	23	MLBBAL	161	.182/.263/.294	4	5	56	-0.6

Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Chase%71

BB%60

ISO56

Speed54

wRC+48

wOBA47

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 92%

CompsDasan Brown (age 22) · Jawuan Harris (age 22) · Jamari Baylor (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .256 / .278

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%8

BABIP274

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL BAL Black	—	185	144	35	5	0	2	36	47	5	7	4	243	411	319	730	76	347	25	19	350	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	133	107	28	5	0	4	22	23	2	13	5	262	397	421	818	159	293	17	17	367	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	300	52	5	2	1	49	90	4	27	13	173	297	213	511	40	242	25	14	250	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	372	84	14	3	7	58	135	8	18	9	226	342	336	678	110	329	30	13	312	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Frederick Keys	—	417	354	86	17	0	14	53	136	5	35	10	243	350	410	759	167	346	33	13	339	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	185	155	22	3	0	1	25	59	5	7	4	142	281	181	462	39	229	32	14	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	133	116	22	4	0	3	13	34	2	13	5	190	282	302	584	112	223	26	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	314	45	3	2	1	36	118	4	27	13	143	241	175	416	32	219	33	10	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	389	68	11	3	6	41	185	8	18	9	175	267	265	532	90	297	42	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	417	374	69	12	0	12	33	178	5	35	10	184	260	313	573	128	295	43	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	185	155	22	3	0	1	25	59	5	7	4	142	281	181	462	39	221	32	14	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL BAL Black	—	185	144	35	5	0	2	36	47	5	7	4	243	411	319	730	76	347	25	19	350	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	133	116	22	4	0	3	13	34	2	13	5	190	282	302	584	112	235	26	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	133	107	28	5	0	4	22	23	2	13	5	262	397	421	818	159	293	17	17	367	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	313	45	3	2	1	36	118	4	27	13	144	241	176	417	32	224	33	10	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	300	52	5	2	1	49	90	4	27	13	173	297	213	511	40	242	25	14	250	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	389	68	11	3	6	41	185	8	18	9	175	267	265	532	90	307	42	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	372	84	14	3	7	58	135	8	18	9	226	342	336	678	110	329	30	13	312	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	417	374	69	12	0	12	33	178	5	35	10	184	260	313	573	128	303	43	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	—	417	354	86	17	0	14	53	136	5	35	10	243	350	410	759	167	346	33	13	339	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Black	—	185	153	22	3	0	1	25	59	5	7	4	144	281	183	464	39	229	32	14	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	133	117	22	4	0	3	13	34	2	13	5	188	282	299	582	111	223	26	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	312	45	3	2	1	36	118	4	27	13	144	241	176	417	32	219	33	10	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	391	68	11	3	6	41	185	8	18	9	174	267	263	531	90	297	42	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	417	376	69	12	0	12	33	178	5	35	10	184	260	311	571	128	295	43	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	355	312	45	3	2	1	36	118	4	27	13	144	241	176	417	32	219	33	10	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	443	391	68	11	3	6	41	185	8	18	9	174	267	263	531	90	297	42	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	417	376	69	12	0	12	33	178	5	35	10	184	260	311	571	128	295	43	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	527	471	82	14	2	10	45	202	6	19	6	172	253	272	525	100	270	38	9	242	50	-31	+1	+0	-3	+11	-1.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	BAL	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	175	256	278	534	103	274	50	0	246	50	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	35%	467	418	75	13	1	10	41	173	5	16	5	179	260	287	547	108	272	37	9	251	56	-25	+1	+0	-3	+10	-1.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	35%	161	144	28	5	1	4	14	60	2	5	2	182	263	294	557	112	276	37	9	255	56	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	161	144	28	5	1	4	14	60	2	5	2	194	275	326	601	132	296	37	9	255	47	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	113	20	4	16	57	242	8	20	8	194	276	325	601	131	297	37	9	255	47	-34	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2320	2051	350	54	7	39	216	870	33	127	50	171	260	261	521	90	269	38	9	238	47	-44	+2	+0	-5	+17	-3.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	98	15	2	11	61	244	9	36	14	170	260	261	521	90	269	38	9	238	47	-36	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Braylin Tavera (OGILVIE)	22	30	30	50	50	171/251/269	99	270	6	11	38%	9%	50	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dasan Brown 2024 · A	22	42→40	39→40	52→60	39	197/268/280	84	303	7	21	35%	6%	58	-1.7	188/264/271	83	289	7	31	35%	8%	54	-2.0	172/256/247	75	267	7	41	35%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	39→27	40	51→55	42	186/266/280	94	290	6	14	35%	8%	57	-1.8	163/253/245	82	311	6	19	45%	9%	45	-2.7	123/226/195	71	254	5	26	48%	10%	22	-2.2
✕Jamari Baylor 2023 · A	22	37	42→45	51→55	41	168/271/271	102	317	9	19	45%	10%	58	-1.7	190/287/296	106	336	11	16	42%	10%	70	-0.9	180/284/294	114	291	13	20	39%	10%	65	-0.4
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	190/265/292	102	283	8	14	34%	8%	59	-1.6	204/267/311	107	290	7	12	30%	6%	63	-1.3	179/266/281	102	259	10	19	32%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Maikol Escotto 2024 · A	22	35	41→45	47→50	35	179/230/275	96	276	10	12	38%	5%	42	-2.9	190/232/297	107	275	12	16	34%	4%	47	-2.5	179/219/283	104	251	14	22	34%	4%	37	-1.4
✕Evan Chambers 2012 · A	23	38	43→40	47→50	48	188/281/296	107	273	10	17	32%	10%	67	-1.1	185/271/266	81	302	6	13	37%	10%	56	-1.9	147/244/190	43	263	2	14	40%	11%	29	-2.2
✕Kay-Lan Nicasia 2024 · A	22	37	41→40	53→55	41	178/255/278	100	300	8	17	40%	9%	52	-2.2	166/251/267	101	307	9	19	44%	9%	49	-2.4	117/220/216	99	221	9	21	47%	10%	25	-1.3
✕Markus Brisker 2012 · A	21	39→37	39→40	52→55	42	184/264/267	83	302	6	17	38%	8%	53	-2.1	191/263/277	86	303	6	19	36%	7%	55	-2.0	139/216/198	59	225	3	32	36%	7%	17	-1.4
✕Sammy Infante 2024 · A	23	37→26	42→45	50→55	37	183/252/282	99	292	10	15	39%	7%	52	-2.2	200/263/295	95	313	8	15	36%	7%	59	-1.7	164/228/246	82	264	6	18	38%	6%	32	-0.9
✕Stanley Tucker 2024 · A	22	39	41→45	53→65	36	188/242/288	100	308	9	11	40%	6%	49	-2.4	187/256/270	83	274	7	23	32%	8%	50	-2.3	180/250/264	84	241	8	36	28%	8%	44	-1.3
✕Tyler Whitaker 2024 · A	21	37→40	41→40	50→55	36	173/249/262	89	309	9	13	44%	8%	47	-2.6	173/251/262	89	306	8	15	42%	8%	47	-2.5	160/242/248	88	276	8	18	41%	8%	39	-1.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	43→30	38→45	57→50	41	200/268/280	80	315	5	16	36%	8%	57	-1.8	210/268/332	122	313	12	13	35%	6%	69	-0.9	200/258/307	108	293	11	16	34%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Demi Orimoloye 2019 · A	22	38	42→45	52→55	36	188/242/289	101	280	9	17	35%	6%	49	-2.4	191/237/293	102	304	10	16	39%	5%	48	-2.5	179/217/276	96	291	10	19	40%	4%	33	-2.2
✕Felix Negueis 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	51→55	43	196/273/302	106	310	7	14	36%	9%	64	-1.3	177/262/262	85	297	6	9	39%	8%	51	-2.2	80/200/124	44	136	5	6	41%	10%	-1	-1.7
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A	24	38→32	43→40	54→55	50	183/286/289	106	286	11	20	36%	12%	68	-1.0	187/262/275	88	306	8	18	38%	9%	54	-2.0	160/223/221	61	269	5	22	40%	7%	25	-2.3
✕Kadon Morton 2023 · A	22	40→37	42→45	51→55	39	181/260/284	103	328	10	11	44%	9%	56	-1.9	174/239/264	90	335	8	14	47%	7%	42	-2.9	112/173/171	59	235	6	22	52%	6%	-6	-3.0
✕E.J. Exposito 2024 · A	23	37→33	41→50	50→55	43	177/262/268	90	293	9	14	39%	9%	53	-2.1	189/246/321	132	265	16	17	34%	6%	59	-1.7	184/237/328	144	240	19	19	32%	6%	55	-1.5
✕Michael Crouse 2013 · A	22	37→40	45→50	52→55	37	182/250/306	124	299	13	19	42%	7%	57	-1.8	199/264/316	117	311	10	18	37%	7%	63	-1.3	197/265/323	127	300	12	19	36%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2024 · A	22	39	37→30	58→70	39	190/246/264	74	268	4	27	30%	5%	45	-2.7	209/257/270	61	275	2	42	23%	6%	49	-2.4	208/255/258	50	270	1	58	22%	6%	44	-1.6