Ricky Cabrera

SS Dayton Dragons

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 201 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP40ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	ACIN	456	.252/.333/.399	11	19	67	—	.215/.285/.324
2025	20	A+CIN	89	.187/.282/.240	0	0	32	—	.182/.259/.234
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBCIN	1	.190/.258/.297	0	0	55	-0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB	23	MLBCIN	43	.196/.264/.312	1	1	61	-0.1
2029PROJ36% MLB	24	MLBCIN	107	.200/.269/.324	2	2	65	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A+

Speed49

BB%33

K%28

Chase%18

wOBA15

ISO14

CompsLuis Carpio (age 22) · Danny Mendick (age 22) · Blake Hunt (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .258 / .297

PA1

HR0

K%27

BB%7

BABIP244

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	180	150	38	6	5	1	13	40	14	5	4	253	367	380	747	127	333	22	7	337	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	27	19	6	0	0	0	5	5	3	3	0	316	519	316	834		429	19	19	412	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	175	143	50	7	4	5	21	35	11	21	2	350	469	559	1.028	210	437	20	12	453	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	456	404	102	22	2	11	31	101	18	19	8	252	333	399	732	146	308	22	7	329	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	89	75	14	2	1	0	8	25	2	0	2	187	282	240	522	53	269	28	9	238	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	180	154	27	4	3	1	9	49	14	5	4	175	282	260	542	84	222	27	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	27	20	6	0	0	0	4	7	3	3	0	300	481	300	781		399	26	15	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	175	152	41	5	3	4	12	49	11	21	2	270	366	421	787	151	356	28	7	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	456	413	89	17	2	8	22	139	18	19	8	215	285	324	609	109	296	30	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	89	77	14	2	1	0	6	32	2	0	2	182	259	234	493	52	268	36	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	180	154	27	4	3	1	9	49	14	5	4	175	282	260	542	84	245	27	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	180	150	38	6	5	1	13	40	14	5	4	253	367	380	747	127	333	22	7	337	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	202	172	46	5	3	4	16	56	14	24	2	267	376	401	777	134	375	28	8	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	202	162	56	7	4	5	26	40	14	24	2	346	475	531	1.006	185	436	20	13	448	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	456	413	89	17	2	8	22	139	18	19	8	215	285	324	609	109	301	30	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	456	404	102	22	2	11	31	101	18	19	8	252	333	399	732	146	308	22	7	329	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	89	77	14	2	1	0	6	32	2	0	2	182	259	234	493	52	298	36	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	89	75	14	2	1	0	8	25	2	0	2	187	282	240	522	53	269	28	9	238	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	180	155	27	4	3	1	9	49	14	5	4	174	282	258	541	84	222	27	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	202	170	46	5	3	4	16	56	14	24	2	271	376	406	782	135	362	28	8	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	456	413	89	17	2	8	22	139	18	19	8	215	285	324	609	109	296	30	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	89	81	14	2	1	0	6	32	2	0	2	173	259	222	481	49	268	36	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	456	413	89	17	2	8	22	139	18	19	8	215	285	324	609	109	296	30	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	89	81	14	2	1	0	6	32	2	0	2	173	259	222	481	49	268	36	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	387	352	67	13	2	7	26	103	6	7	2	188	256	291	547	103	243	27	7	249	55	-21	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	190	258	297	554	107	244	0	0	252	55	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CIN	25%	173	156	30	6	1	3	12	45	3	3	1	194	262	306	568	112	247	26	7	258	61	-8	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	CIN	36%	293	266	52	10	1	6	20	76	5	5	2	198	268	317	584	118	250	26	7	264	65	-12	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	CIN	43%	370	335	68	13	2	8	26	95	6	7	2	201	271	324	595	122	252	26	7	269	68	-14	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	CIN	47%	419	380	77	15	2	9	30	106	6	7	3	203	274	328	601	124	254	25	7	271	70	-15	+0	-1	+4	+9	-0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	445	403	82	16	2	10	32	113	7	7	3	205	275	329	604	125	255	25	7	273	71	-16	+0	-1	+5	+10	-0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	457	414	84	16	2	10	33	117	7	6	2	203	273	325	598	122	255	26	7	270	69	-17	+0	-2	+5	+10	-0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	458	415	84	16	2	10	33	119	7	4	2	201	270	319	589	118	253	26	7	267	67	-18	+0	-2	+5	+10	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	CIN	25%	43	39	7	1	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	196	264	312	577	117	247	26	7	261	61	-2	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	CIN	36%	107	97	20	4	1	2	7	28	2	2	1	200	269	324	593	123	251	26	7	268	65	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	CIN	43%	158	144	29	5	1	4	11	40	2	3	1	203	273	331	604	128	253	25	7	272	68	-6	+0	-0	+2	+3	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	CIN	47%	195	176	37	7	1	5	14	50	3	3	1	206	275	335	611	130	255	26	7	275	70	-7	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	212	192	39	7	1	5	15	54	3	3	1	207	277	337	614	130	256	25	7	276	71	-7	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	220	199	41	8	1	5	16	56	3	3	1	205	275	332	607	127	255	25	7	274	69	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	218	197	40	7	1	5	16	56	3	2	1	203	272	326	598	123	254	26	7	270	67	-9	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1153	1044	213	39	6	27	82	295	17	17	6	204	273	330	603	126	255	26	7	272	67	-44	+1	-3	+12	+25	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	119	22	3	15	46	166	10	10	3	202	271	326	597	124	253	26	7	272	67	-25	+1	-2	+7	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3689	3319	678	125	22	71	249	986	91	90	32	204	278	319	598	115	266	27	7	267	67	-108	+2	-8	+30	+60	-2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	120	22	4	13	44	174	16	16	6	205	280	323	603	118	266	27	7	267	67	-25	+0	-2	+7	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Bobby Bragan'40-'48 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,051 PA	3.1	2,051	15	12	234*	277*	346*	+25	-7	0.8	0.8
/162	664	5	4	+8.0	-2.3	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.7	1,154	25	17	203	270	325	+12	-6	0.2	0.2
/162	664	15	10	+7.1	-3.5	0.1	pk7: 0
#3Pedro Garcia'73-'77 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,967 PA	3.0	1,967	37	35	220*	270*	388*	+6	-6	-0.3	-0.3
/162	664	12	12	+2.1	-2.0	-0.1	pk7: -0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Johnnie LeMaster'75-'87 * career totals — 11 seasons, 3,515 PA	5.3	3,515	22	94	218*	275*	313*	+37	-13	-3.1	-0.9
/162	664	4	18	+7.0	-2.4	-0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricky Cabrera (OGILVIE)	22	45	45	45	—	187/254/288	102	243	2	3	27%	7%	55	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Carpio 2019 · A	22	40→43	41→45	44→50	45	196/255/290	94	253	8	9	26%	7%	54	-2.0	217/278/314	97	285	8	7	25%	7%	68	-1.0	211/272/293	83	286	6	8	27%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Danny Mendick 2016 · A	22	41→47	42→45	50	45	204/261/304	99	246	10	9	21%	6%	60	-1.6	207/263/297	90	260	7	9	22%	6%	59	-1.7	237/296/342	105	299	11	4	23%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→50	49→40	44	206/262/301	95	270	7	6	26%	6%	59	-1.6	193/252/308	115	279	11	4	33%	6%	58	-1.7	215/280/358	143	272	16	1	27%	7%	77	-0.1
✕Juan Guerrero 2024 · A	22	45→55	42→45	49→50	42	221/267/329	108	270	9	11	22%	5%	68	-1.0	240/279/316	76	294	5	15	19%	5%	68	-1.0	252/289/313	61	306	4	18	18%	4%	69	-0.7
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→47	39→45	48→50	45	184/277/270	87	267	6	10	31%	8%	60	-1.6	204/274/301	97	277	7	11	27%	6%	65	-1.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Gerson Montilla 2012 · AA	22	40→47	42→50	48→45	38	200/246/310	110	264	9	8	28%	4%	55	-1.9	222/262/343	121	268	12	6	22%	5%	69	-0.9	224/264/341	117	267	13	5	21%	5%	66	-1.0
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	40	203/258/299	95	286	8	8	31%	6%	57	-1.8	200/263/285	85	289	7	9	31%	7%	56	-1.9	185/254/258	73	266	7	8	31%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Wendell Rijo 2018 · AA	22	42→45	38→50	45→50	40	202/257/283	81	278	6	11	28%	6%	53	-2.1	211/267/318	107	275	10	7	26%	6%	65	-1.2	210/267/353	143	267	17	14	28%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Adam Abraham 2009 · A	22	38→45	44→45	49→40	43	196/257/308	112	257	12	5	28%	7%	60	-1.6	216/271/329	113	275	10	4	24%	6%	70	-0.9	223/283/338	116	279	11	2	23%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Gianfranco Wawoe 2016 · A	22	45→51	41→40	45→50	44	220/265/315	95	259	10	11	20%	5%	63	-1.3	230/269/316	86	279	8	11	20%	5%	64	-1.3	232/269/309	78	279	6	12	19%	4%	60	-1.2
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2015 · A	22	44	41→45	47→50	41	212/262/314	102	269	7	9	24%	5%	62	-1.4	199/246/283	84	329	7	7	39%	5%	49	-2.4	179/223/234	55	313	7	10	43%	4%	26	-1.3
✕Jose Rosario 2014 · A	22	41	44→40	51→50	42	207/260/321	114	253	11	12	23%	5%	63	-1.3	235/273/320	85	293	5	9	21%	4%	67	-1.1	246/276/325	79	308	4	9	21%	3%	65	-0.7
✕Wynston Sawyer 2014 · A	22	41	42→45	47→45	46	204/266/305	102	255	9	3	24%	7%	62	-1.4	214/278/311	97	270	8	5	23%	7%	68	-1.0	223/309/335	112	282	10	2	23%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2010 · A	22	43→49	41→40	48→50	44	211/267/308	97	257	8	7	21%	6%	63	-1.4	213/263/301	88	279	7	9	25%	6%	59	-1.6	224/285/315	91	283	6	3	22%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Derrick Mitchell 2009 · A	22	41→47	43→50	44→55	39	207/242/322	115	247	11	7	22%	3%	57	-1.8	206/249/337	131	275	13	13	29%	5%	63	-1.4	215/265/343	128	275	14	19	26%	5%	68	-0.7
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	194/232/294	100	263	8	10	29%	4%	46	-2.6	197/236/287	90	278	6	9	30%	5%	45	-2.7	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→44	38→45	50→65	42	199/251/269	70	259	6	15	25%	5%	47	-2.5	210/270/306	96	280	7	19	26%	7%	63	-1.3	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Jose Gil 2009 · A	22	43	39→45	45	40	210/250/294	85	269	6	9	24%	4%	53	-2.1	215/258/323	108	274	11	6	25%	5%	63	-1.4	216/264/335	119	264	13	3	23%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Alexander Palma 2018 · A	22	44	42→50	44→45	40	217/250/328	111	265	9	9	22%	4%	60	-1.6	237/277/379	142	288	16	8	23%	5%	83	+0.1	227/261/369	141	264	19	3	22%	4%	73	-0.3
✕Chadwick Tromp 2017 · A	22	41	43→45	43→40	37	208/243/315	107	269	11	4	27%	4%	55	-1.9	226/280/323	97	284	8	4	22%	6%	71	-0.8	234/296/333	99	289	9	2	21%	7%	77	-0.1

Ricky Cabrera

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps