Andy Lugo

IF Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+MIN	280	.282/.348/.464	7	10	76	—	.230/.286/.375
2026	22	A+MIN	232	.169/.297/.286	5	6	34	—	.144/.249/.234
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBMIN	1	.196/.267/.302	0	0	61	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBMIN	82	.201/.273/.317	2	2	67	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBMIN	152	.205/.277/.326	3	3	70	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed63

BB%61

Z-Con%53

Chase%46

ISO31

K%29

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsNiko Decolati (age 23) · Eudy Pina (age 23) · Trey Amburgey (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .267 / .302

PA1

HR0

K%32

BB%7

BABIP279

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL BOS Blue	—	242	220	70	11	2	2	11	35	8	21	2	318	372	414	786	95	366	14	5	351	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Greenville Drive	—	79	71	16	4	0	0	5	20	2	3	1	225	291	282	573	56	314	25	6	265	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	341	306	83	26	1	3	26	68	9	25	3	271	346	392	738	121	340	20	8	334	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	248	70	18	3	7	24	59	2	10	1	282	348	464	812	181	339	21	9	353	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	232	189	32	5	1	5	30	66	6	6	3	169	297	286	583	116	223	28	13	271	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	242	223	46	6	1	1	8	42	8	21	2	206	259	256	515	49	244	17	3	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	79	74	13	3	0	0	3	27	2	3	1	176	228	216	444	41	270	34	4	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	341	314	67	19	1	2	18	98	9	25	3	213	276	299	575	86	299	29	5	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	256	59	13	3	6	18	76	2	10	1	230	286	375	661	145	288	27	6	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	232	201	29	4	1	4	22	84	6	6	3	144	249	234	483	90	203	36	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	242	223	46	6	1	1	8	42	8	21	2	206	259	256	515	49	246	17	3	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL BOS Blue	—	242	220	70	11	2	2	11	35	8	21	2	318	372	414	786	95	366	14	5	351	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	420	387	80	22	1	2	22	125	11	28	4	207	269	284	553	78	300	30	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	420	377	99	30	1	3	31	88	11	28	4	263	336	371	707	109	336	21	7	321	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	256	59	13	3	6	18	76	2	10	1	230	286	375	661	145	298	27	6	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	248	70	18	3	7	24	59	2	10	1	282	348	464	812	181	339	21	9	353	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	232	201	29	4	1	4	22	84	6	6	3	144	249	234	483	90	216	36	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	232	189	32	5	1	5	30	66	6	6	3	169	297	286	583	116	223	28	13	271	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL BOS Blue	—	242	224	46	6	1	1	8	42	8	21	2	205	259	254	514	49	244	17	3	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	420	384	80	22	1	2	22	125	11	28	4	208	269	286	556	78	294	30	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	258	59	13	3	6	18	76	2	10	1	229	286	372	658	143	288	27	6	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	232	202	29	4	1	4	22	84	6	6	3	144	249	233	482	89	203	36	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	420	384	80	22	1	2	22	125	11	28	4	208	269	286	556	78	294	30	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	280	258	59	13	3	6	18	76	2	10	1	229	286	372	658	143	288	27	6	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	232	202	29	4	1	4	22	84	6	6	3	144	249	233	482	89	203	36	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	342	309	62	13	2	6	25	109	5	8	2	196	267	301	568	105	279	32	7	259	61	-16	+1	+0	+0	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	196	267	302	569	106	279	0	0	259	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIN	30%	271	245	49	10	1	5	20	85	4	6	1	201	273	316	589	115	281	31	7	267	67	-11	+1	+0	+0	+6	-0.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIN	44%	344	310	64	13	2	7	26	106	5	7	2	205	277	326	602	121	282	31	8	272	70	-12	+1	+0	+0	+7	-0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIN	51%	392	353	73	15	2	8	30	119	6	8	2	207	279	331	610	124	282	30	8	275	73	-13	+1	+0	+0	+8	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIN	30%	82	75	15	3	0	2	6	26	1	2	0	201	273	317	590	115	281	32	7	267	67	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIN	44%	152	138	28	6	1	3	11	47	2	3	1	205	277	326	603	121	282	31	7	273	70	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIN	51%	199	179	37	8	1	4	15	60	3	4	1	207	279	331	611	124	282	30	8	276	73	-7	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	433	392	80	17	2	9	32	133	6	9	2	204	274	327	601	122	282	31	7	273	61	-15	+1	+0	+0	+9	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	121	26	3	14	48	200	9	14	3	206	276	332	608	126	284	31	7	273	61	-23	+2	+0	+0	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2399	2172	439	91	12	37	162	707	45	91	16	202	272	306	578	104	278	29	7	258	61	-46	+3	+0	+0	+27	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	119	25	3	10	44	192	12	25	4	202	271	306	577	104	279	30	7	258	61	-24	+1	+0	+0	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
#3Bobby Lowe'01-'07 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,085 PA	3.1	2,085	4	65	229*	274*	350*	+6	+6	0.1	0.1
/162	664	1	21	+2.0	+1.8	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	434	9	9	206	275	328	+0	+0	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	14	14	+0.0	+0.0	-0.3	pk7: 0
#4Pedro Garcia'73-'77 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,967 PA	3.0	1,967	37	35	220*	270*	388*	+6	-6	-0.3	-0.3
/162	664	12	12	+2.1	-2.0	-0.1	pk7: -0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andy Lugo (OGILVIE)	23	50	45	50	35	194/265/299	105	279	4	5	32%	7%	61	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Niko Decolati 2021 · A	23	43→46	42→45	51→55	36	211/267/313	103	297	9	13	31%	4%	64	-1.3	212/282/300	88	310	8	19	32%	7%	67	-1.1	205/288/284	80	300	7	22	31%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Eudy Pina 2014 · A	23	38→47	44→45	52→55	40	192/259/316	124	275	10	12	33%	7%	62	-1.4	224/270/327	103	312	8	9	29%	5%	68	-1.0	233/272/321	88	320	6	8	28%	4%	64	-0.9
✕Trey Amburgey 2018 · A	23	40→45	42→50	51→50	37	200/246/305	105	276	10	12	31%	4%	54	-2.0	220/261/355	135	283	15	9	27%	4%	72	-0.7	224/264/367	142	289	15	7	28%	4%	73	-0.5
✕Luis De Los Santos 2021 · A	23	41→50	40→45	48→45	37	199/248/295	96	286	8	8	32%	5%	52	-2.2	221/269/341	120	301	12	6	29%	5%	71	-0.8	222/288/333	111	299	11	7	28%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Lane Adams 2013 · A	23	44→45	42→50	52→60	39	215/259/317	102	292	9	12	29%	5%	61	-1.5	221/274/336	115	290	11	24	26%	6%	72	-0.7	224/277/350	126	304	14	36	30%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	40→47	41→45	47→50	42	197/272/302	105	277	8	11	30%	7%	65	-1.2	213/283/307	94	282	7	13	25%	7%	70	-0.9	198/282/292	94	261	8	17	25%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Barrett Barnes 2014 · A	23	43→53	43→45	50	38	212/261/318	106	297	11	13	32%	5%	63	-1.4	222/287/342	120	289	11	14	26%	7%	78	-0.3	232/299/352	120	307	10	12	26%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Alerick Soularie 2022 · A	23	43	42→45	54→60	45	206/285/309	103	308	10	15	34%	9%	70	-0.8	197/279/312	115	290	12	22	34%	9%	70	-0.9	181/270/293	112	261	13	29	33%	9%	60	-0.7
✕John Norwood 2016 · A	23	38→48	42→45	50	39	194/246/296	102	269	10	19	32%	6%	52	-2.2	220/277/328	108	315	10	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	223/281/330	107	319	10	9	31%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Raul Beracierta 2022 · A	23	42	44→45	50	37	203/257/328	125	309	11	8	36%	6%	64	-1.3	224/268/345	121	328	14	5	34%	5%	72	-0.7	230/268/353	123	329	17	1	34%	4%	70	-0.5
✕Devin Shines 2012 · A	23	46	40→50	50	41	220/279/314	93	303	7	11	28%	6%	68	-1.0	196/248/299	103	281	10	9	32%	5%	54	-2.0	170/220/273	103	240	12	9	34%	5%	36	-1.3
✕Jose Peroza 2023 · A	23	44→46	43→45	49→45	41	211/277/323	112	307	11	5	33%	7%	71	-0.8	220/288/342	122	335	12	5	35%	7%	79	-0.2	215/290/349	135	332	13	4	36%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	40	194/269/303	109	291	11	13	35%	7%	63	-1.3	205/275/304	99	311	8	12	34%	8%	65	-1.2	176/264/251	75	285	3	11	36%	10%	48	-0.5
✕Julio Carreras 2023 · AA	23	44→46	41→45	52→55	36	212/259/320	108	314	7	13	34%	5%	62	-1.4	218/271/312	94	321	6	21	32%	6%	65	-1.2	210/269/305	95	315	6	30	33%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	212/283/319	108	277	9	10	26%	8%	72	-0.7	203/287/319	116	263	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.6	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Hunter Jones 2015 · A	23	42→52	45→40	55	40	211/270/335	124	290	13	16	31%	6%	70	-0.8	205/262/291	86	278	7	19	27%	6%	57	-1.8	226/281/321	94	290	6	16	23%	5%	69	-0.8
✕Charcer Burks 2018 · AA	23	44→48	42→40	48→50	47	215/287/318	103	287	9	15	27%	8%	73	-0.6	205/275/291	86	290	6	14	29%	8%	62	-1.4	192/264/264	73	277	4	14	30%	8%	51	-1.8
✕D'Andre Smith 2024 · A	23	43→53	40→45	51→55	35	200/260/298	98	320	7	11	38%	6%	58	-1.7	220/270/320	100	294	8	22	27%	5%	67	-1.1	230/281/338	108	292	10	31	24%	5%	71	-0.4
✕Marcus Wilson 2019 · A	22	44→51	43→50	49→50	41	212/273/323	110	310	10	12	33%	7%	68	-1.0	207/276/339	132	334	14	13	39%	8%	74	-0.6	191/276/341	150	316	16	16	41%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Luis Silverio 2018 · A	23	44→46	42→45	49→45	37	216/257/327	111	293	9	9	29%	4%	63	-1.4	202/239/308	106	311	8	7	36%	4%	51	-2.2	176/203/283	107	288	6	5	40%	3%	28	-2.2

Andy Lugo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps