Edinson Duran — OGILVIE

Edinson DuranC Tampa Tarpons

Age 24 R/R 5'6" / 180 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†26

AVG/OBP/SLG.160 / .229 / .244

PA76

HR1

K%31

BB%6

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	105	94	13	2	1	2	5	37	5	2	3	138	221	245	466	106	196	35	5	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	105	90	21	4	1	4	9	24	5	2	3	233	337	433	770	200	270	23	9	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	103	89	18	4	1	2	7	28	5	2	1	202	297	337	634	135	262	27	7	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	103	85	29	7	2	5	11	19	5	2	1	341	446	647	1.093	306	381	18	11	462	211	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	121	108	24	3	2	1	6	26	7	2	0	222	306	315	621	93	284	21	5	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	121	105	33	5	2	2	9	16	7	2	0	314	405	457	862	143	356	13	7	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	88	80	12	3	2	0	4	31	4	1	0	150	227	237	465	87	245	35	5	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	88	78	17	4	3	0	6	20	4	1	0	218	307	346	653	128	293	23	7	297	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	NYY	—	76	70	12	2	1	1	5	23	1	1	0	171	237	271	508	100	225	30	7	220	26	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	NYY	30%	131	119	20	3	1	2	9	39	2	2	0	168	238	261	499	92	232	30	7	233	37	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2027	25	MLB	NYY	30%	39	35	6	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	171	256	286	542	114	233	31	8	221	28	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	39	35	6	1	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	171	256	286	542	114	227	31	8	221	28	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	101	17	0	17	50	200	17	17	0	173	258	290	548	117	230	31	8	221	28	-53	+3	+0	+12	+18	-2.0
Career	—			—	624	560	99	17	8	8	36	184	24	10	4	177	256	279	535	102	245	29	6	237	39	-43	+0	+0	+11	+18	-1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	103	18	8	8	38	192	25	10	4	177	257	276	533	99	245	30	6	237	39	-45	+0	+0	+12	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	DSL Yankees 2	—	105	90	21	4	1	4	9	24	5	2	3	233	337	433	770	200	270	23	9	342	120	+2	-1	—	—	+3	0.5
2022	20	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	103	85	29	7	2	5	11	19	5	2	1	341	446	647	1.093	306	381	18	11	462	211	+13	+0	—	—	+3	1.6
2023	21	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	121	105	33	5	2	2	9	16	7	2	0	314	405	457	862	143	356	13	7	388	155	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.2
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	88	78	17	4	3	0	6	20	4	1	0	218	307	346	653	128	293	23	7	297	86	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edinson Duran (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	160/229/244	84	225	1	1	31%	6%	26	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Okey 2019 · AA	24	34	41→45	48→40	36	174/228/264	89	257	9	5	35%	6%	30	-3.1	192/248/306	114	290	13	4	36%	6%	50	-1.7	203/255/307	104	286	10	2	31%	5%	49	-0.5
✕Paul Witt 2022 · A	24	36	37→55	49→30	40	178/223/247	69	235	4	7	26%	5%	23	-3.6	195/250/325	130	253	14	4	28%	5%	56	-1.3	178/230/330	152	219	19	1	29%	5%	46	-0.7
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	37	42→45	46→50	46	187/264/290	103	261	10	6	31%	9%	53	-1.5	192/262/318	126	281	14	11	35%	8%	59	-1.1	170/251/290	121	252	14	17	37%	9%	45	-0.9
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→30	37→45	48→50	42	195/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	201/266/321	120	293	13	15	34%	7%	62	-0.9	177/245/298	121	254	15	15	35%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Drew Butera 2007 · A	23	35	40	48→40	45	176/247/261	85	235	8	4	28%	7%	39	-2.5	193/251/288	95	236	8	2	21%	6%	46	-2.0	238/290/357	119	300	12	0	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Andy Bouchie 2010 · A	24	38	41→45	46→30	44	191/246/282	91	246	9	4	26%	6%	42	-2.3	198/240/340	142	241	19	5	27%	5%	55	-1.4	160/193/315	155	170	25	0	26%	4%	28	-1.5
✕George Soto 2011 · A	25	34	36→40	44→45	40	169/238/230	61	247	5	8	32%	6%	27	-3.3	190/261/281	91	262	7	8	28%	8%	49	-1.8	163/239/259	97	213	9	7	27%	8%	37	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Casey Martin 2023 · A	24	30→31	40	51→50	36	158/209/247	88	227	7	14	33%	5%	18	-3.9	165/218/263	98	256	10	15	38%	5%	26	-3.4	147/202/242	95	231	12	16	41%	6%	12	-2.9
✕Dennis Ortega 2021 · A	24	40	39→45	46→45	41	195/242/275	80	253	7	6	25%	5%	38	-2.6	200/251/280	80	312	6	7	36%	6%	43	-2.2	185/236/252	67	297	6	5	38%	6%	26	-1.0
✕Casey Frawley 2012 · A	24	38→43	41→45	48→45	39	188/239/286	98	252	7	6	28%	5%	40	-2.4	188/239/289	101	254	8	7	28%	5%	41	-2.3	198/227/288	90	271	9	4	30%	3%	30	-1.1
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	40	-2.4	194/261/290	96	280	8	3	31%	8%	51	-1.7	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Eric Yang 2022 · A	24	38	39→40	44→40	46	180/279/266	85	267	6	6	32%	9%	55	-1.4	189/266/268	79	289	6	6	34%	8%	48	-1.9	178/263/236	57	284	5	1	35%	8%	36	-0.6
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	31	41→40	49→45	40	165/225/253	88	235	9	5	33%	7%	26	-3.4	191/259/280	89	260	8	8	28%	8%	48	-1.9	174/253/251	76	228	6	7	25%	9%	34	-1.1
✕David Masters 2017 · A	24	34→36	38→45	40	40	171/227/239	69	231	6	4	28%	6%	24	-3.6	188/253/283	95	260	10	2	30%	7%	46	-2.0	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Johnny Adams 2019 · A	24	37→33	41→40	46→45	37	186/236/280	94	277	9	6	35%	6%	37	-2.6	183/234/284	101	281	11	7	37%	6%	38	-2.6	152/203/245	92	231	13	5	39%	5%	11	-3.2
✕Jay Baum 2017 · A	24	40→38	39→40	45→50	42	195/247/275	81	257	6	11	26%	6%	41	-2.3	201/250/295	94	278	8	11	29%	6%	47	-1.9	172/200/261	90	249	8	12	34%	3%	13	-1.0
✕D.K. Carey 2016 · A	24	39→36	41→40	42→45	46	194/261/287	93	252	9	7	26%	8%	51	-1.7	187/262/276	89	273	8	6	32%	9%	48	-1.9	166/250/246	80	250	7	4	34%	9%	34	-1.5
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Brady Policelli 2019 · A	24	40→37	42→45	51→50	41	200/254/308	108	269	9	14	28%	6%	53	-1.5	194/258/312	118	268	11	14	30%	7%	56	-1.3	176/245/296	120	243	12	15	31%	7%	43	-1.5