Luke Adams

1B Nashville Sounds

Age 23 R/R 6'4" / 233 lbs AAA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #720Pre-ArbFA 2033

Scout OFP47ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	AAMIL	278	.232/.408/.450	11	10	93	—	.191/.343/.347
2025	21	INTLSurprise Sagu…	70	.333/.471/.569	3	4	183	—
2026	22	AAAMIL	279	.259/.417/.509	13	7	122	—	.229/.366/.419
2026	22	ROKMIL	16	.385/.500/1.154	3	1	197	—	.286/.375/.786
2027PROJ10% MLB	23	MLBMIL	32	.229/.363/.415	1	1	124	0.1
2028PROJ50% MLB	24	MLBMIL	197	.232/.363/.421	7	5	125	0.7
2029PROJ68% MLB	25	MLBMIL	296	.233/.362/.423	11	7	125	1.0

Next 3 projected WAR 1.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.0First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$4M2031Arb-2$6M2032Arb-3$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV94

Chase%92

K%88

BB%82

Speed81

Whiff%79

Career WAR3 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 19, comp-based) · star 10% · didn't stick 40%

CompsLogan O'Hoppe (age 23) · Andy Pages (age 23) · Isaac Paredes (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†124

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .363 / .415

PA32

HR1

K%22

BB%9

BABIP262

ISO148

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$22M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 53

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER53

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED38

scouting grade only

DEFENSE43

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+1.2	$8M	+$5M
2031	Arb-2	$6M	+1.1	$6M	+$3M
2032	Arb-3	$7M	+1.0	$5M	+$1M
Totals		$18M		$30M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	41	32	12	3	0	1	7	8	2	9	1	375	512	562	1.075	188	478	20	17	476	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	440	339	79	18	3	11	76	99	21	30	10	233	404	401	805	168	292	22	17	368	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	418	295	67	15	1	11	78	89	40	28	10	227	448	397	845	169	280	21	19	392	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	278	211	49	13	0	11	43	60	21	10	3	232	408	450	858	218	270	22	15	387	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	37	23	5	2	0	0	9	4	3	0	0	217	472	304	777	87	250	11	24	372	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	70	51	17	3	0	3	11	12	4	4	1	333	471	569	1.039	235	368	17	16	438	183	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	279	212	55	10	2	13	40	39	20	7	2	259	417	509	926	250	258	14	14	405	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	16	13	5	1	0	3	2	3	1	1	0	385	500	1.154	1.654	769	286	19	12	660	197	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	41	35	10	2	0	1	4	12	2	9	1	286	390	429	819	143	387	29	10	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	440	361	66	14	3	8	54	136	21	30	10	183	323	305	628	122	250	31	12	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	418	316	62	13	1	10	57	114	40	28	10	196	385	339	724	142	249	27	14	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	278	225	43	11	0	8	31	79	21	10	3	191	343	347	690	156	242	28	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	37	26	5	2	0	0	7	5	3	0	0	192	417	269	686	77	222	14	19	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	279	227	52	9	2	10	29	47	20	7	2	229	366	419	784	189	237	17	10	348	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	16	14	4	1	0	2	1	4	1	1	0	286	375	786	1.161	500	195	25	6	459	197	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	41	35	10	2	0	1	4	12	2	9	1	286	390	429	819	143	409	29	10	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Gold	—	41	32	12	3	0	1	7	8	2	9	1	375	512	562	1.075	188	478	20	17	476	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	440	361	66	14	3	8	54	136	21	30	10	183	323	305	628	122	262	31	12	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	—	440	339	79	18	3	11	76	99	21	30	10	233	404	401	805	168	292	22	17	368	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	418	316	62	13	1	10	57	114	40	28	10	196	385	339	724	142	264	27	14	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	418	295	67	15	1	11	78	89	40	28	10	227	448	397	845	169	280	21	19	392	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	385	307	59	16	0	10	46	103	28	14	4	192	349	342	691	150	247	27	12	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	385	285	71	18	0	14	63	76	28	14	4	249	425	460	885	211	286	20	16	395	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	295	241	55	10	2	12	30	51	21	8	2	228	363	436	799	207	238	17	10	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	295	225	60	11	2	16	42	42	21	8	2	267	421	547	968	280	259	14	14	418	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Gold	—	41	35	10	2	0	1	4	12	2	9	1	286	390	429	819	143	387	29	10	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	440	362	66	14	3	8	54	136	21	30	10	182	323	304	627	122	250	31	12	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	418	318	62	13	1	10	57	114	40	28	10	195	385	336	721	142	249	27	14	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	385	308	59	16	0	10	46	103	28	14	4	192	349	341	690	149	240	27	12	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	295	242	55	10	2	12	30	51	21	8	2	227	363	434	797	207	235	17	10	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	418	318	62	13	1	10	57	114	40	28	10	195	385	336	721	142	249	27	14	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	385	308	59	16	0	10	46	103	28	14	4	192	349	341	690	149	240	27	12	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	295	242	55	10	2	12	30	51	21	8	2	227	363	434	797	207	235	17	10	354	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIL	10%	405	332	77	16	2	14	44	86	26	10	3	231	365	413	778	183	266	21	11	352	124	+12	+1	-1	-7	+9	1.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	MIL	10%	32	27	6	1	0	1	3	7	2	1	0	229	363	415	778	186	262	22	9	351	124	+1	+0	-0	-1	+1	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIL	50%	398	328	76	15	2	14	43	84	24	10	3	234	365	420	784	186	269	21	11	354	125	+12	+1	-1	-7	+9	1.4
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIL	68%	434	359	84	17	2	15	47	91	25	10	3	235	364	422	785	186	270	21	11	354	125	+13	+1	-1	-8	+9	1.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIL	77%	455	378	89	18	2	16	49	96	25	10	3	235	361	421	782	185	271	21	11	352	124	+13	+1	-1	-8	+10	1.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIL	79%	461	384	90	18	2	16	49	98	25	10	3	235	358	417	775	182	271	21	11	349	122	+12	+1	-1	-8	+10	1.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	MIL	80%	460	385	90	18	2	16	49	99	23	9	3	233	354	411	766	178	271	22	11	345	120	+11	+1	-2	-8	+10	1.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	MIL	78%	452	378	87	17	2	15	48	99	23	7	2	231	351	404	755	174	269	22	11	341	117	+9	+1	-2	-8	+10	0.9
2034	30	MLB MLE	MIL	77%	444	373	85	17	2	14	46	98	22	5	2	227	348	395	743	168	267	22	10	336	114	+7	+0	-3	-8	+10	0.6
2035	31	MLB MLE	MIL	77%	430	362	80	16	1	13	44	97	21	2	2	222	342	384	727	162	263	23	10	330	110	+5	-0	-4	-8	+9	0.3
2036	32	MLB MLE	MIL	84%	412	347	75	15	1	12	42	95	20	1	1	216	336	370	706	154	259	23	10	322	104	+2	-0	-4	-7	+9	-0.1
2037	33	MLB MLE	MIL	88%	383	322	68	13	1	11	39	90	19	1	1	209	328	353	682	144	253	23	10	313	98	-1	-0	-5	-7	+8	-0.5
2038	34	MLB MLE	MIL	84%	338	286	57	10	1	9	33	82	16	1	0	200	318	333	652	133	246	24	10	301	90	-4	+0	-6	-6	+7	-0.8
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIL	50%	197	162	37	7	1	7	21	41	12	5	1	232	363	421	784	189	264	21	11	353	125	+6	+1	-1	-4	+4	0.7
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIL	68%	296	245	57	11	1	11	32	62	17	7	2	233	362	423	785	190	265	21	11	353	125	+9	+1	-1	-5	+6	1.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIL	77%	349	289	68	13	2	13	38	74	19	8	2	234	360	422	782	188	266	21	11	352	124	+10	+1	-1	-6	+8	1.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIL	79%	363	302	70	13	2	13	39	77	19	8	2	233	357	418	775	185	267	21	11	349	122	+10	+1	-1	-6	+8	1.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	MIL	80%	367	306	71	13	2	13	39	79	19	7	2	232	353	412	765	181	267	22	11	345	120	+9	+1	-1	-7	+8	1.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	MIL	78%	354	296	67	13	1	12	37	77	18	5	2	229	350	405	755	176	265	22	10	341	117	+7	+0	-2	-6	+8	0.7
2034	30	MLB CTX	MIL	77%	344	288	65	12	1	12	36	76	17	4	2	225	346	396	742	171	262	22	10	336	114	+6	+0	-2	-6	+7	0.5
2035	31	MLB CTX	MIL	77%	331	278	61	11	1	11	34	75	16	1	1	220	341	385	726	165	259	23	10	330	110	+4	-0	-3	-6	+7	0.2
2036	32	MLB CTX	MIL	84%	345	290	62	11	1	11	35	79	17	1	1	215	335	371	705	156	254	23	10	322	104	+2	-0	-4	-6	+7	-0.1
2037	33	MLB CTX	MIL	88%	338	285	60	11	1	10	34	80	16	1	1	207	327	354	681	147	249	24	10	312	98	-1	-0	-4	-6	+7	-0.4
2038	34	MLB CTX	MIL	84%	283	239	48	8	1	8	28	69	14	0	0	199	317	334	651	135	242	24	10	300	90	-3	+0	-5	-5	+6	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3567	2980	666	123	14	121	373	789	184	47	16	223	346	396	742	172	261	22	10	335	111	+57	+3	-23	-64	+77	5.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	543	121	22	3	22	68	144	34	9	3	223	346	396	742	173	261	22	10	335	111	+10	+1	-4	-12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	6566	5424	1193	241	25	203	715	1513	375	163	52	220	350	386	736	166	264	23	11	333	111	+89	+5	-30	-89	+108	8.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	537	118	24	2	20	71	150	37	16	5	220	350	384	734	164	264	23	11	333	111	+12	+1	-4	-12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Taylorlast yr '25 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,909 PA	5.9	3,909	110	91	248	327	419	-9	+4	15.9	16.4
/162	664	19	15	-1.6	+0.6	2.7	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.4	3,598	115	48	226	345	396	+12	-23	16.9	15.0
/162	664	21	9	+2.2	-4.3	3.1	pk7: 13
#2Jurickson Profarlast yr '25 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,645 PA	7.0	4,645	124	66	245	334	397	-21	-56	10.0	10.8
/162	664	18	9	-2.9	-8.0	1.4	pk7: 12
#3Rob Mackowiaklast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,618 PA	3.9	2,618	64	49	259	332	405	-11	-3	8.7	8.9
/162	664	16	12	-2.7	-0.8	2.2	pk7: 9
#4Dusty Cooke'30-'38 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,058 PA	3.1	2,058	24	32	253*	352*	420*	-13	-3	7.0	7.0
/162	664	8	10	-4.3	-0.9	2.3	pk7: 7
#5Dave Harris'25-'34 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,678 PA	2.5	1,678	32	28	250*	338*	443*	-16	-10	5.8	5.8
/162	664	13	11	-6.1	-4.1	2.3	pk7: 6
#6Jimmy Walsh'12-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,100 PA	3.2	2,100	6	92	232*	326*	393*	-12	+5	5.0	5.0
/162	664	2	29	-3.9	+1.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Adams (OGILVIE)	23	30→44	50→53	30→38	57	228/362/409	181	266	11	8	21%	11%	124	+1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	46→48	53→55	45	50	238/315/406	168	271	22	7	21%	8%	104	+1.6	238/301/417	179	290	25	5	26%	7%	101	+1.4	230/285/405	175	287	26	2	29%	6%	94	+0.6
●Andy Pages 2024 · AA	23	42→52	54→60	47→50	47	218/307/400	182	287	21	9	30%	9%	100	+1.3	260/319/438	178	314	21	10	23%	7%	112	+2.2	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
●Isaac Paredes 2023 · MLB	24	42→52	54→60	39→40	57	224/313/404	181	239	22	2	18%	11%	103	+1.5	241/339/441	200	256	26	2	18%	11%	121	+2.9	244/348/443	199	258	26	1	17%	11%	126	+2.9
●Derek Norris 2012 · AA	23	39→49	53→55	47→50	53	204/313/377	173	277	21	10	32%	12%	97	+1.1	230/312/390	160	287	19	10	25%	10%	99	+1.3	257/333/410	152	314	16	5	22%	9%	112	+1.6
●Gleyber Torres 2021 · MLB	24	50→55	58→60	46→50	51	264/333/465	201	297	27	6	21%	9%	124	+3.1	258/324/412	154	301	18	12	20%	9%	108	+1.9	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	114	+2.6
●Alejandro Kirk 2022 · MLB	23	50→57	51→50	47→40	55	252/328/416	163	272	18	4	15%	9%	111	+2.1	262/340/389	127	281	14	2	12%	10%	109	+2.0	260/341/374	114	279	12	0	11%	10%	106	+1.3
✕Elijah Dukes 2009 · MLB	25	48→54	54→55	49→50	59	244/352/432	188	293	21	16	23%	13%	123	+3.0	246/333/406	160	289	15	12	20%	11%	110	+2.1	247/332/400	153	285	13	9	17%	10%	108	+1.6
●Zach Neto 2024 · MLB	23	49→48	51→60	50→55	44	248/325/414	166	303	19	12	24%	6%	110	+2.1	249/318/442	193	305	23	23	26%	7%	114	+2.3	246/319/446	200	307	24	25	27%	7%	116	+2.6
✕Andy LaRoche 2007 · AAA	23	53→57	54→55	45	50	271/333/448	178	304	22	8	19%	8%	120	+2.8	249/326/399	150	278	17	7	17%	10%	106	+1.8	240/324/380	140	265	15	5	15%	10%	101	+1.1
✕Luis Urías 2022 · MLB	25	48→58	52→55	47→45	53	247/331/420	173	289	20	7	22%	10%	113	+2.3	227/323/375	148	273	17	5	22%	10%	101	+1.4	212/315/343	131	259	15	4	23%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Michael McKenry 2008 · A	23	46→47	54→55	41→40	49	238/309/421	183	282	21	7	24%	9%	105	+1.7	223/292/377	154	278	17	4	25%	8%	88	+0.5	248/321/426	177	294	23	2	23%	9%	111	+0.8
●Jedd Gyorko 2013 · AAA	24	50→53	54→60	44→45	44	259/306/435	176	305	22	6	23%	6%	107	+1.8	244/298/409	165	290	21	4	23%	7%	98	+1.2	258/331/469	211	285	30	4	21%	10%	126	+2.4
✕Henry Davis 2024 · MLB	24	47	51→50	46→50	49	236/325/396	160	295	19	13	26%	9%	106	+1.8	209/290/352	143	263	18	10	27%	8%	83	+0.1	186/269/319	134	227	18	8	26%	8%	67	-0.6
●Sean Rodríguez 2009 · MLB	24	45→51	53→60	47→50	45	233/305/409	176	289	21	10	27%	7%	101	+1.4	242/317/431	189	301	22	13	26%	7%	111	+2.1	240/320/425	185	299	21	15	26%	8%	109	+1.5
●Miguel Vargas 2023 · MLB	23	51→54	50→55	51→50	49	256/318/416	160	295	17	13	20%	8%	107	+1.8	227/316/385	158	269	16	11	21%	10%	99	+1.3	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0
●Carlos Correa 2018 · MLB	23	55→61	57→60	50→55	54	285/356/488	204	324	25	10	20%	10%	137	+4.0	259/335/455	196	305	25	5	23%	10%	122	+3.0	263/344/444	182	303	22	0	20%	10%	124	+3.1
●Adley Rutschman 2022 · AAA	24	47→54	49→50	41→40	52	239/316/389	149	280	17	5	21%	9%	100	+1.3	252/340/410	158	285	17	4	17%	11%	114	+2.4	253/342/408	155	280	18	2	16%	11%	115	+2.5
●Chris Iannetta 2007 · MLB	24	52→58	51→60	43→45	53	261/339/429	168	312	18	3	22%	10%	118	+2.6	249/348/429	180	299	19	2	22%	11%	121	+2.9	232/349/451	219	262	26	1	22%	12%	128	+2.0
●James Darnell 2010 · A	23	51→52	51→55	45→40	54	255/336/426	171	306	18	6	22%	10%	116	+2.5	248/318/410	162	289	18	4	20%	9%	105	+1.7	244/314/410	165	278	20	2	20%	8%	103	+1.0
✕Chris Snyder 2005 · MLB	24	47→43	56→55	48→30	53	247/323/440	193	286	24	7	23%	10%	115	+2.4	231/308/368	137	276	15	3	21%	9%	93	+0.8	241/331/421	180	278	21	0	21%	11%	114	+1.3

Luke Adams

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps