Easton Carmichael

C Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs A+ HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP40OGV rank#223ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	A+PIT	54	.120/.185/.180	1	1	-23	—	.098/.148/.157
2026	22	AA/A+/INTL2 orgs	519	.275/.333/.464	20	13	76	—	.235/.276/.398
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBPIT	1	.239/.282/.388	0	0	88	0.0
2028PROJ42% MLB	24	MLBPIT	180	.241/.286/.393	5	3	91	0.6
2029PROJ62% MLB	25	MLBPIT	273	.242/.288/.395	8	4	92	1.0

Next 3 projected WAR 1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$2M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

K%93

Z-Con%93

Whiff%84

ISO62

Speed44

wRC+41

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 5.3, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 82%

CompsChristian Villanueva (age 23) · Eddys Leonard (age 23) · Joey Bart (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .282 / .388

PA1

HR0

K%21

BB%5

BABIP278

ISO148

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$45M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$16M	+$13M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	54	50	6	0	0	1	2	11	2	1	0	120	185	180	365	60	132	20	4	175	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	147	131	32	8	1	4	10	22	4	2	2	244	317	412	729	168	262	15	7	322	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	337	311	95	14	2	16	23	60	0	11	4	305	353	518	871	212	332	18	7	379	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	35	30	3	1	0	0	3	8	1	0	0	100	206	133	339	33	130	23	9	169	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	54	51	5	0	0	1	1	14	2	1	0	98	148	157	305	59	115	26	2	134	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	147	134	29	7	1	3	7	27	4	2	2	216	276	351	627	134	243	18	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	337	320	78	10	2	14	14	79	0	11	4	244	275	419	694	175	273	23	4	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	54	51	5	0	0	1	1	14	2	1	0	98	148	157	305	59	111	26	2	134	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	54	50	6	0	0	1	2	11	2	1	0	120	185	180	365	60	132	20	4	175	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	519	485	114	18	3	18	23	113	5	13	6	235	277	396	673	161	267	22	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	519	472	130	23	3	20	36	90	5	13	6	275	333	464	797	189	299	17	7	348	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	54	51	5	0	0	1	1	14	2	1	0	98	148	157	305	59	115	26	2	134	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	519	486	114	18	3	18	23	113	5	13	6	235	277	395	672	160	264	22	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	54	51	5	0	0	1	1	14	2	1	0	98	148	157	305	59	115	26	2	134	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	519	486	114	18	3	18	23	113	5	13	6	235	277	395	672	160	264	22	4	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	500	468	112	20	3	15	23	107	5	8	3	240	283	395	678	155	278	21	5	299	88	-7	+0	+2	+9	+11	0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	PIT	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	239	282	388	670	149	278	0	0	296	88	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	42%	423	396	95	17	2	13	20	90	4	7	2	242	287	400	687	157	279	21	5	303	91	-5	+1	+1	+8	+9	1.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	PIT	62%	439	409	99	18	2	14	22	93	5	7	2	243	290	402	692	159	280	21	5	305	92	-4	+1	+2	+8	+10	1.6
2030	26	MLB MLE	PIT	71%	445	414	99	18	2	14	23	95	5	6	2	243	291	402	693	159	280	21	5	306	93	-4	+0	+2	+8	+10	1.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	PIT	74%	444	412	99	18	2	14	24	96	5	6	2	242	292	400	691	158	280	22	5	305	93	-4	+0	+2	+8	+10	1.6
2032	28	MLB MLE	PIT	75%	439	407	98	18	2	14	25	96	4	5	2	240	291	396	687	155	280	22	6	303	91	-4	+0	+1	+8	+10	1.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	PIT	74%	419	389	93	17	2	13	23	92	4	5	2	238	288	389	677	151	278	22	5	300	89	-6	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	PIT	73%	408	379	89	16	2	12	22	91	4	4	3	235	284	382	666	147	277	22	5	295	86	-7	-0	-1	+7	+9	0.8
2035	31	MLB MLE	PIT	72%	374	348	81	15	2	10	20	85	3	3	5	231	279	372	651	141	273	23	5	289	82	-8	-1	-2	+7	+8	0.4
2036	32	MLB MLE	PIT	72%	336	312	71	13	1	9	18	78	3	2	21	225	273	359	632	134	270	23	5	281	76	-10	-8	-2	+6	+7	-0.7
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	42%	180	167	40	8	1	5	9	38	2	3	1	241	286	393	679	152	280	21	5	299	91	-2	+0	+1	+3	+4	0.6
2029	25	MLB CTX	PIT	62%	273	254	61	12	1	8	14	58	3	4	1	242	288	395	683	153	280	21	5	301	92	-2	+0	+1	+5	+6	1.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	PIT	71%	317	294	71	14	2	9	17	68	3	5	2	241	290	395	684	153	281	21	5	302	93	-3	+0	+1	+6	+7	1.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	PIT	74%	326	302	74	14	2	10	18	70	3	5	2	241	290	393	683	152	281	21	6	302	93	-3	+0	+1	+6	+7	1.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	PIT	75%	328	304	73	14	2	9	18	71	3	4	2	239	290	389	678	150	280	22	5	300	91	-3	+0	+1	+6	+7	1.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	PIT	74%	308	285	68	13	1	9	17	68	3	3	2	237	287	383	669	146	279	22	6	296	89	-4	-0	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2034	30	MLB CTX	PIT	73%	297	276	64	12	1	8	16	66	3	3	2	234	283	375	658	141	277	22	5	292	86	-5	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2035	31	MLB CTX	PIT	72%	271	252	58	11	1	7	15	62	2	2	4	230	278	366	644	136	274	23	6	286	82	-6	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2036	32	MLB CTX	PIT	72%	242	225	50	9	1	6	13	56	2	1	15	224	272	353	625	129	270	23	5	278	76	-7	-6	-2	+4	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2542	2359	559	107	12	71	137	557	24	30	31	237	286	383	669	146	280	22	5	296	86	-35	-6	+1	+45	+55	6.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	603	142	27	3	18	35	142	6	8	8	235	284	380	663	144	278	22	5	296	86	-9	-2	+0	+12	+14	1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4510	4198	990	177	21	138	231	988	46	62	48	236	283	387	670	151	275	22	5	296	86	-54	-7	+3	+70	+85	10.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	605	143	26	3	20	33	142	7	9	7	236	284	388	672	152	275	22	5	296	86	-9	-1	+0	+12	+14	1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 337 PAwOBA .371 → .293 (−78)K% 17.8% → 23.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.80%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	23.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.82%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.998	4.09%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.10%	÷1.000	×0.870	×0.972	×0.998	21.19%
Doubles /BIP	5.58%	÷1.000	×0.780	×0.972	×0.998	4.22%
Triples /BIP	0.80%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.972	×0.998	0.66%
Home runs /BIP	6.37%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.998	5.60%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .371 → .293; ISO .212 → .176; BABIP .332 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAltoona Curve · 147 PAwOBA .318 → .278 (−40)K% 15.0% → 18.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.97%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	18.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.80%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.027	4.89%
HBP% /PA	2.72%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	2.38%
Singles /BIP	17.43%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.971	×1.027	16.86%
Doubles /BIP	7.34%	÷1.000	×0.860	×0.971	×1.027	6.30%
Triples /BIP	0.92%	÷1.000	×0.950	×0.971	×1.027	0.87%
Home runs /BIP	3.67%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.027	2.94%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .318 → .278; ISO .168 → .141; BABIP .262 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 54 PAwOBA .171 → .134 (−37)K% 20.4% → 26.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.37%	÷0.994	×1.310	—	—	26.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.70%	÷0.980	×0.600	—	×1.012	2.29%
HBP% /PA	3.70%	—	×0.770	—	×1.012	2.89%
Singles /BIP	12.82%	÷0.950	×0.870	×0.950	×1.012	11.29%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.998	×0.780	×0.950	×1.012	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.025	×0.850	×0.950	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.56%	÷1.048	×0.880	—	×1.012	2.18%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .171 → .134; ISO .060 → .048; BABIP .132 → .115. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#5George Mitterwald'66-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,919 PA	4.4	2,919	76	14	235*	294*	396*	+47	-1	6.5	7.4
/162	664	17	3	+10.7	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.8	2,543	77	30	239	284	391	+45	+15	7.4	7.3
/162	664	20	8	+11.9	+3.9	1.9	pk7: 7
#6Ed Ott'74-'81 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,961 PA	3.0	1,961	33	14	254*	309*	395*	+34	+1	6.3	6.3
/162	664	11	5	+11.5	+0.3	2.1	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Easton Carmichael (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	238/281/392	153	278	6	3	21%	5%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Villanueva 2014 · AA	23	45→47	48→55	43→50	39	228/279/374	146	290	15	9	27%	4%	83	+0.1	214/261/352	138	262	15	4	24%	5%	71	-0.8	228/286/406	177	263	24	3	23%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2024 · AAA	23	46→47	48→50	43→50	42	229/293/371	141	294	15	5	27%	6%	88	+0.4	218/274/363	145	273	17	10	26%	5%	79	-0.2	210/266/358	149	254	18	11	25%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	53→55	45→40	38	228/270/395	166	287	21	7	29%	5%	84	+0.2	235/289/374	139	337	16	5	33%	6%	86	+0.3	251/343/392	142	332	17	1	27%	10%	112	+1.0
✕Josh Vitters 2013 · MLB	23	46→51	49→50	43→45	42	236/279/386	150	272	17	7	21%	4%	86	+0.3	212/258/340	128	276	15	7	28%	5%	68	-1.0	181/227/284	103	248	14	5	33%	5%	39	-1.4
✕Max Stassi 2014 · AA	23	44→45	52→55	44→40	40	232/283/398	167	288	20	4	27%	5%	91	+0.6	212/258/336	124	293	14	3	32%	5%	66	-1.1	216/302/377	161	281	21	0	29%	10%	94	+0.4
✕Raudy Read 2018 · AA	24	45→46	46→55	46→45	42	226/265/360	133	264	14	5	20%	4%	74	-0.5	230/265/382	152	273	18	4	23%	4%	80	-0.2	233/285/428	196	272	25	1	25%	6%	97	+0.5
✕Tyler Marlette 2016 · AA	23	47→43	47→50	47→45	41	236/278/372	136	297	14	7	26%	5%	82	-0.0	221/267/353	132	289	15	5	28%	6%	74	-0.6	214/264/341	127	279	15	4	28%	6%	66	-0.8
✕Deivy Grullón 2019 · AA	23	47→45	49→55	41→30	37	238/271/379	141	306	18	2	28%	4%	81	-0.1	230/281/398	168	322	23	4	34%	6%	90	+0.6	211/270/386	176	299	25	1	37%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Andrew Knizner 2018 · AA	23	51	46→50	42→40	45	252/300/380	128	281	13	3	16%	5%	92	+0.7	251/302/372	121	289	13	4	18%	5%	91	+0.7	238/302/344	106	277	12	2	18%	6%	84	+0.1
✕J.R. Towles 2009 · MLB	25	46→53	47→50	44→50	46	233/307/373	140	269	15	10	20%	6%	94	+0.9	218/299/349	131	257	13	8	20%	7%	86	+0.3	201/284/313	112	235	10	6	18%	7%	71	-0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2024 · AA	22	44→48	48→55	48→55	47	226/286/366	140	275	16	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	237/299/402	165	282	19	17	22%	7%	97	+1.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Chris Gimenez 2006 · A	23	40→50	46→50	44→45	44	201/283/329	128	257	13	5	26%	7%	76	-0.4	221/300/372	151	275	17	5	25%	7%	91	+0.7	232/313/387	155	288	18	4	25%	8%	97	+0.8
✕Luis Vázquez 2024 · AAA	24	46→47	46→45	42→50	42	227/286/351	124	297	14	10	28%	6%	80	-0.1	228/285/350	122	302	13	11	28%	6%	80	-0.2	221/274/331	110	296	12	13	28%	5%	67	-0.4
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→47	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	206/282/335	129	268	13	9	27%	7%	76	-0.4	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Luis Exposito 2010 · AA	23	49→50	48→50	42→30	38	244/279/383	139	306	15	4	26%	4%	84	+0.2	235/284/355	120	294	11	3	23%	6%	80	-0.2	232/284/348	117	285	11	0	22%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Javier Valdes 2023 · AA	24	43	48→55	50→30	46	219/300/358	139	268	17	5	25%	7%	88	+0.5	217/301/360	143	265	16	5	24%	8%	88	+0.5	207/318/364	157	258	17	2	25%	11%	94	+0.4
✕Tyler Saladino 2012 · A	23	44→47	47→45	45→55	43	220/285/365	145	296	13	7	29%	7%	83	+0.1	223/292/322	99	289	8	20	24%	8%	75	-0.5	258/304/376	118	306	11	25	19%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Brendan Rodgers 2020 · MLB	23	50→55	47→50	47→45	41	247/295/386	139	307	15	7	25%	5%	91	+0.7	250/300/391	141	303	15	4	22%	6%	95	+0.9	257/312/394	138	302	14	0	19%	6%	101	+1.0
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46→47	49→50	52→50	42	230/312/381	150	296	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	223/306/371	148	287	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	210/295/352	142	268	18	11	27%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Diego Castillo 2022 · AAA	24	46→56	48→50	46→50	48	233/287/377	144	253	16	10	16%	6%	86	+0.3	237/301/360	123	286	12	9	21%	8%	88	+0.4	236/309/341	105	290	9	10	21%	9%	84	+0.1

Easton Carmichael

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps