Haydn McGeary

C Knoxville Smokies

Age 27 R/R 6'5" / 235 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2030MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AACHC	93	.231/.348/.231	0	1	42	—	.205/.283/.205
2026	26	AACHC	38	.143/.211/.171	0	0	-20	—	.111/.158/.139
2027PROJ2% MLB	27	MLBCHC	3	.209/.276/.321	0	0	68	0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	28	MLBCHC	56	.209/.276/.321	1	0	68	-0.0
2029PROJ37% MLB	29	MLBCHC	97	.208/.276/.319	2	1	67	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA

BB%90

Chase%68

Z-Con%59

wRC+40

wOBA35

Whiff%20

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRenae Martinez (age 27) · Andrés Alvarez (age 27) · JJ Schwarz (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .276 / .321

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP291

ISO129

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	52	48	14	5	0	1	4	12	0	0	0	292	346	458	804	167	371	23	8	356	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	21	18	4	1	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	222	333	278	611	56	333	29	14	290	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	442	361	92	15	1	16	67	105	10	4	3	255	386	435	821	180	311	24	15	368	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	90	76	28	8	0	3	13	16	1	3	0	368	467	592	1.059	224	439	18	14	463	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	407	356	74	14	1	12	39	126	5	7	0	208	294	354	647	146	278	31	10	290	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	93	78	18	0	0	0	14	31	0	1	0	231	348	231	579		375	33	15	280	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	38	35	5	1	0	0	3	14	0	0	0	143	211	171	382	29	238	37	8	184	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	52	49	12	4	0	1	3	17	0	0	0	245	288	388	676	143	336	33	6	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	21	19	3	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	158	238	211	449	53	259	43	10	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	442	385	86	14	1	12	43	127	10	4	3	223	317	358	676	135	290	29	10	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	90	81	24	6	0	2	8	21	1	3	0	296	367	444	811	148	376	23	9	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	407	370	65	12	1	11	27	158	5	7	0	176	241	303	544	127	252	39	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	93	83	17	0	0	0	9	38	0	1	0	205	283	205	487		358	41	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	38	36	4	1	0	0	2	17	0	0	0	111	158	139	297	28	214	45	5	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	73	69	15	5	0	1	4	25	0	0	0	217	260	333	594	116	326	34	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	73	66	18	6	0	1	7	18	0	0	0	273	342	409	752	136	362	25	10	337	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	532	466	110	20	1	14	51	148	11	7	3	236	326	373	699	137	312	28	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	532	437	120	23	1	19	80	121	11	7	3	275	400	462	862	188	336	23	15	384	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	407	370	65	12	1	11	27	158	5	7	0	176	241	303	544	127	262	39	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	407	356	74	14	1	12	39	126	5	7	0	208	294	354	647	146	278	31	10	290	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	93	83	17	0	0	0	9	38	0	1	0	205	283	205	487		370	41	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	—	93	78	18	0	0	0	14	31	0	1	0	231	348	231	579		375	33	15	280	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	38	36	4	1	0	0	2	17	0	0	0	111	158	139	297	28	211	45	5	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	—	38	35	5	1	0	0	3	14	0	0	0	143	211	171	382	29	238	37	8	184	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	73	69	15	5	0	1	4	25	0	0	0	217	260	333	594	116	314	34	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	532	465	110	20	1	14	51	148	11	7	3	237	326	374	700	138	305	28	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	407	372	65	12	1	11	27	158	5	7	0	175	241	301	542	126	252	39	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	93	84	17	0	0	0	9	38	0	1	0	202	283	202	485		358	41	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	38	36	4	1	0	0	2	17	0	0	0	111	158	139	297	28	214	45	5	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	407	372	65	12	1	11	27	158	5	7	0	175	241	301	542	126	252	39	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	93	84	17	0	0	0	9	38	0	1	0	202	283	202	485		358	41	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	38	36	4	1	0	0	2	17	0	0	0	111	158	139	297	28	214	45	5	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CHC	2%	200	181	38	7	1	4	15	62	2	2	0	207	275	320	594	112	288	31	8	269	68	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	CHC	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	209	276	321	597	112	291	33	0	270	68	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CHC	27%	207	187	39	7	1	4	16	64	2	1	0	208	275	319	594	112	287	31	8	269	68	-8	+0	-1	+4	+4	-0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	CHC	37%	262	238	49	9	1	5	20	80	2	2	0	207	274	318	592	111	285	31	8	268	67	-10	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
2030	30	MLB MLE	CHC	43%	300	272	56	10	1	6	23	92	2	2	1	206	273	314	587	108	284	31	8	266	66	-12	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	CHC	27%	56	52	10	2	0	1	4	17	0	0	0	209	276	321	597	112	290	30	7	270	68	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	CHC	37%	97	89	18	3	0	2	7	30	1	1	0	208	276	319	595	111	288	31	7	269	67	-4	+0	-1	+2	+2	-0.0
2030	30	MLB CTX	CHC	43%	129	117	25	5	1	2	10	39	1	1	0	207	274	316	590	108	287	30	8	267	66	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	282	258	53	10	1	5	21	86	2	2	0	205	270	310	581	105	286	30	7	268	67	-11	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	122	23	2	12	48	198	5	5	0	205	270	311	581	106	284	30	7	268	67	-26	+1	-4	+12	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2048	1845	382	69	6	44	162	664	23	21	4	207	279	322	602	115	293	32	8	267	67	-35	+1	-4	+16	+20	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	121	22	2	14	51	211	7	7	1	206	278	323	600	116	292	32	8	267	67	-25	+1	-3	+12	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	285	6	2	208	272	318	+5	+4	0.2	0.2
/162	664	13	4	+11.9	+9.3	0.4	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Haydn McGeary (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	206/273/317	111	288	3	1	31%	8%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Renae Martinez 2021 · AA	27	40→31	42→45	44→40	43	201/263/302	101	269	10	4	28%	7%	60	-1.6	199/267/315	116	304	11	8	36%	8%	65	-1.2	148/227/275	126	230	13	6	39%	8%	38	-0.8
✕Andrés Alvarez 2024 · AA	27	37→32	45	51→50	42	191/256/309	118	267	13	13	33%	7%	59	-1.6	214/278/326	112	303	11	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	220/290/326	106	314	9	12	31%	8%	72	-0.3
✕JJ Schwarz 2022 · AA	26	40	43→45	47→30	45	201/266/307	106	274	11	4	30%	8%	62	-1.4	217/284/338	121	301	14	4	30%	8%	76	-0.4	209/280/326	117	287	14	1	31%	9%	70	-0.5
✕Quincy McAfee 2024 · AA	26	38	46→45	46→45	46	196/281/327	130	253	13	9	27%	8%	74	-0.5	203/272/330	127	250	14	11	24%	6%	71	-0.8	170/237/280	109	197	14	12	22%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	40→38	42→50	47→30	40	197/265/297	100	289	10	5	34%	7%	60	-1.6	200/259/291	91	299	9	7	34%	7%	56	-1.9	160/219/212	52	241	7	0	35%	7%	21	-1.4
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	45	48→40	48	196/284/317	121	252	12	5	26%	9%	73	-0.6	215/295/329	114	287	12	7	27%	9%	79	-0.2	193/288/250	57	260	7	0	26%	11%	57	-0.4
✕William Simoneit 2024 · AAA	27	43	44→45	48→45	43	211/286/328	116	300	11	6	32%	8%	76	-0.4	194/259/307	113	315	11	6	39%	6%	60	-1.6	165/229/267	102	285	10	2	43%	6%	38	-1.0
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB	27	37	46→50	47→30	41	192/258/319	128	270	14	4	33%	7%	63	-1.4	202/257/334	132	277	15	7	31%	6%	65	-1.2	161/211/333	171	188	22	0	29%	5%	46	-0.5
✕Bennett Hostetler 2024 · AA	26	40→38	46→45	49→45	41	204/273/333	129	270	15	7	30%	6%	72	-0.7	198/259/308	110	300	10	13	36%	6%	61	-1.5	174/231/238	64	301	2	19	40%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Julio E. Rodriguez 2024 · AA	27	39	49→45	48→30	43	204/275/340	136	277	19	4	33%	8%	74	-0.5	203/257/315	112	268	12	6	28%	6%	61	-1.5	178/224/258	80	226	7	2	24%	4%	32	-0.8
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA	27	42	44→45	43→40	43	209/272/326	117	281	11	5	29%	7%	69	-0.9	220/287/360	140	261	14	6	21%	8%	83	+0.1	209/274/376	167	219	18	2	15%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Jakson Reetz 2022 · AAA	26	37→33	43→55	45	40	186/266/297	111	275	11	5	34%	7%	62	-1.4	204/280/379	175	264	21	5	31%	6%	86	+0.3	198/277/386	187	246	23	4	29%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Gavin Collins 2022 · AAA	27	40	43→45	44→40	44	203/272/310	107	257	12	6	25%	7%	66	-1.1	215/285/332	117	272	13	6	25%	7%	76	-0.4	200/262/293	93	232	10	3	18%	6%	56	-0.7
✕Jason Delay 2022 · AAA	27	38	44→45	48→40	34	195/235/311	116	286	13	6	36%	4%	51	-2.2	218/272/302	84	294	5	5	26%	6%	63	-1.4	225/284/299	74	296	3	2	23%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	34→31	46→45	51→45	43	180/255/306	126	258	14	9	35%	8%	59	-1.6	183/252/297	114	256	13	10	32%	8%	56	-1.9	128/203/219	91	164	14	8	32%	7%	19	-2.0
✕Dave Wallace 2007 · AA	27	37	45	45→40	42	190/263/311	121	262	13	7	32%	7%	63	-1.3	194/264/310	116	264	14	5	30%	8%	63	-1.3	161/238/267	106	214	15	0	31%	8%	43	-0.8
✕Alvin Colina 2009 · AAA	27	40	45	46→40	37	203/250/323	119	272	13	5	30%	5%	60	-1.6	214/266/341	127	284	15	6	29%	5%	71	-0.8	203/256/324	121	262	15	2	28%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	34→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/243/305	121	244	14	10	31%	6%	54	-2.0	209/255/340	131	279	14	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Ryan Ortiz 2014 · AAA	26	40	43→45	45→40	47	198/278/307	109	265	11	4	28%	9%	68	-1.0	206/297/296	90	291	7	5	29%	10%	72	-0.7	185/302/243	58	271	3	0	28%	13%	60	-0.8
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	37	47→50	45→40	40	196/256/328	132	271	16	5	33%	7%	64	-1.3	208/266/316	108	304	10	9	33%	7%	65	-1.2	176/235/254	78	266	6	4	34%	7%	37	-0.8

Haydn McGeary

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps