Cam Collier

3B Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 22 L/R 6'1" / 210 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #188MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP47ETA2029FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	AACIN	308	.263/.378/.347	2	0	78	—	.239/.316/.312
2025	20	INTLPeoria Javeli…	95	.221/.368/.325	1	1	108	—
2026	21	AACIN	576	.209/.289/.368	18	1	53	—	.182/.245/.311
2027PROJ2% MLB	22	MLBCIN	6	.207/.275/.331	0	0	69	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	23	MLBCIN	201	.214/.283/.356	6	1	77	-0.1
2029PROJ47% MLB	24	MLBCIN	278	.221/.290/.377	9	1	84	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$3M2032Arb-2$4M2033Arb-3$5M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Z-Con%73

Whiff%58

ISO57

K%40

BB%30

wOBA24

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 10, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 82%

CompsJohn Whittleman (age 22) · Daniel Palka (age 22) · Jason Vosler (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .275 / .331

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP275

ISO125

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER58

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED37

scouting grade only

DEFENSE44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$4M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$5M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	ACL Reds	—	35	27	10	1	0	2	7	6	1	0	2	370	514	630	1.144	259	421	17	20	497	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	461	390	96	21	2	6	57	106	8	5	1	246	354	356	710	110	317	23	12	323	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	507	427	106	21	1	20	66	127	8	2	1	248	359	443	802	194	301	25	13	355	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	308	259	68	16	0	2	45	86	3	0	1	263	378	347	725	85	384	28	15	336	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	46	41	12	2	0	1	5	10	0	0	0	293	370	415	784	122	367	22	11	354	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	42	33	13	3	1	1	9	8	0	1	0	394	524	636	1.160	242	500	19	21	502	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	95	77	17	5	0	1	16	24	2	1	1	221	368	325	693	104	308	25	17	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	576	513	107	26	1	18	49	150	9	1	0	209	289	368	657	160	254	26	9	294	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	35	30	9	1	0	2	4	9	1	0	2	300	400	533	933	233	333	26	11	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	461	406	84	16	2	4	41	143	8	5	1	207	292	286	578	79	294	31	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	507	444	91	18	1	13	49	160	8	2	1	205	295	338	633	133	275	32	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	308	276	66	14	0	2	28	104	3	0	1	239	316	312	628	72	374	34	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	46	42	11	2	0	1	4	13	0	0	0	262	326	381	707	119	344	28	9	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	42	36	10	2	1	1	6	11	0	1	0	278	381	472	853	194	371	26	14	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	576	527	96	24	1	14	35	183	9	1	0	182	245	311	556	129	241	32	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	35	30	9	1	0	2	4	9	1	0	2	300	400	533	933	233	368	26	11	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	35	27	10	1	0	2	7	6	1	0	2	370	514	630	1.144	259	421	17	20	497	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	461	406	84	16	2	4	41	143	8	5	1	207	292	286	578	79	302	31	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	461	390	96	21	2	6	57	106	8	5	1	246	354	356	710	110	317	23	12	323	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	507	444	91	18	1	13	49	160	8	2	1	205	295	338	633	133	282	32	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	507	427	106	21	1	20	66	127	8	2	1	248	359	443	802	194	301	25	13	355	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	4 teams	—	491	438	107	22	1	4	47	159	5	2	2	244	324	326	651	82	373	32	10	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA RAW	4 teams	—	491	410	110	26	1	5	75	128	5	2	2	268	388	373	761	105	378	26	15	350	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	576	527	96	24	1	14	35	183	9	1	0	182	245	311	556	129	245	32	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA RAW	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	576	513	107	26	1	18	49	150	9	1	0	209	289	368	657	160	254	26	9	294	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	35	30	9	1	0	2	4	9	1	0	2	300	400	533	933	233	333	26	11	375	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	461	409	84	16	2	4	41	143	8	5	1	205	292	284	576	78	294	31	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	507	445	91	18	1	13	49	160	8	2	1	204	295	337	632	133	275	32	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	4 teams	—	491	436	107	22	1	4	47	159	5	2	2	245	324	328	652	83	370	32	10	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	576	527	96	24	1	14	35	183	9	1	0	182	245	311	556	129	241	32	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	507	445	91	18	1	13	49	160	8	2	1	204	295	337	632	133	275	32	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	AA MLE	4 teams	—	491	436	107	22	1	4	47	159	5	2	2	245	324	328	652	83	370	32	10	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	576	527	96	24	1	14	35	183	9	1	0	182	245	311	556	129	241	32	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CIN	2%	643	583	119	27	1	13	47	189	8	2	1	205	274	324	598	119	274	29	7	270	69	-24	+0	-2	+2	+14	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	CIN	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	207	275	331	606	124	275	33	0	273	69	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CIN	35%	570	515	110	24	1	15	43	163	7	2	1	212	281	348	629	136	277	29	8	282	77	-15	+0	-1	+2	+12	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	CIN	47%	597	539	118	25	1	18	46	168	7	3	1	218	288	367	655	149	279	28	8	293	84	-11	+0	-1	+2	+13	0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	615	555	122	25	1	20	48	171	7	2	1	222	292	380	672	158	280	28	8	299	89	-8	+0	-1	+2	+13	0.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	627	566	127	26	2	21	49	172	7	2	1	224	295	387	682	163	281	27	8	303	91	-6	+0	-1	+2	+14	0.9
2032	27	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	629	567	128	26	2	21	50	172	7	1	1	224	295	386	681	161	280	27	8	303	91	-7	-0	-1	+2	+14	0.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	626	565	125	26	1	20	49	173	7	1	1	222	293	381	674	159	279	28	8	300	89	-8	-0	-2	+2	+14	0.6
2034	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	617	557	123	25	1	20	48	172	7	1	0	220	290	374	664	155	277	28	8	296	87	-10	+0	-2	+2	+13	0.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	607	549	119	24	1	19	47	171	6	1	0	216	286	366	652	150	275	28	8	291	83	-12	+0	-3	+2	+13	0.1
2036	31	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	594	537	115	23	1	18	46	170	6	1	0	212	281	356	637	144	272	29	8	285	79	-15	+0	-4	+2	+13	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	CIN	35%	201	182	39	8	0	6	15	58	2	1	0	214	283	356	639	142	277	29	7	286	77	-5	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	CIN	47%	278	252	56	11	1	9	21	78	3	1	0	221	290	377	667	157	280	28	8	297	84	-5	+0	-0	+1	+6	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	319	287	65	13	1	11	25	89	4	1	0	225	295	391	685	166	281	28	8	304	89	-4	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	340	306	70	14	1	12	27	93	4	1	0	227	298	399	696	171	282	27	8	309	91	-3	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	341	307	70	14	1	12	27	93	4	1	0	227	298	397	694	170	282	27	8	308	91	-4	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	340	306	70	14	1	12	27	94	4	1	0	225	296	392	687	166	280	28	8	305	89	-4	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	328	295	66	13	1	11	26	91	4	1	0	222	292	385	677	162	279	28	8	301	87	-5	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	318	287	63	12	1	11	25	90	3	1	0	219	289	376	665	157	276	28	8	296	83	-6	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.0
2036	31	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	309	279	60	12	0	10	24	88	3	1	0	215	283	366	649	151	273	28	8	290	79	-8	+0	-2	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2774	2501	559	111	7	94	217	774	31	9	0	224	294	386	680	163	282	28	8	301	81	-46	+2	-8	+10	+60	1.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	131	26	2	22	51	181	7	2	0	224	293	387	681	164	282	28	8	301	81	-11	+0	-2	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7872	7084	1534	318	17	216	626	2280	96	25	12	217	289	358	647	141	284	29	8	288	81	-104	+1	-16	+21	+126	2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	126	26	1	18	52	188	8	2	1	215	289	356	644	140	282	29	8	288	81	-12	+0	-2	+2	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Daryl Spencer'52-'63 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,206 PA	6.3	4,206	105	13	236*	321*	384*	+30	-4	11.2	11.7
/162	664	17	2	+4.8	-0.6	1.8	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	5.4	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
/162	664	24	1	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#5Roy Smalley'48-'58 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,948 PA	4.4	2,948	61	4	220*	288*	369*	+31	-2	3.8	5.0
/162	664	14	1	+7.0	-0.5	0.9	pk7: 6
#6Johnny Vergez'31-'36 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,537 PA	3.8	2,537	52	22	234*	301*	404*	+9	-12	4.2	4.2
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	-3.2	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	4.2	2,780	87	8	220	287	375	+10	-11	4.2	4.1
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	-2.6	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cam Collier (OGILVIE)	22	40→44	51→58	39→37	48	203/271/321	118	274	7	1	29%	7%	69	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕John Whittleman 2009 · AA	22	44→45	44→50	39→45	50	213/294/332	119	292	10	3	29%	10%	79	-0.2	196/278/320	124	265	12	3	29%	10%	70	-0.8	172/259/320	148	230	18	1	32%	11%	63	-1.0
✕Daniel Palka 2014 · A	22	44→43	44→55	44→50	44	216/276/336	120	286	11	5	28%	7%	73	-0.6	206/262/372	166	293	20	9	35%	7%	76	-0.4	207/274/387	180	261	25	4	31%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Jason Vosler 2018 · AA	24	41→44	46→55	41→40	44	207/273/335	128	257	14	3	25%	6%	72	-0.7	211/272/370	159	286	20	3	32%	7%	80	-0.1	215/279/377	162	266	21	3	27%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	40→43	47→55	45	43	202/273/336	134	296	14	8	35%	8%	72	-0.7	214/284/363	149	300	16	8	32%	8%	82	+0.0	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Alexander Ovalles 2023 · AA	22	43→41	47→50	46→50	45	217/281/349	132	278	14	8	27%	7%	78	-0.3	214/279/323	109	308	11	11	32%	8%	71	-0.8	177/255/227	50	295	4	15	38%	10%	36	-0.7
✕Matthew Sweeney 2011 · AA	23	42	44→55	48→45	41	209/269/327	118	295	11	4	32%	7%	68	-1.0	188/250/297	109	270	10	4	32%	7%	55	-2.0	155/222/262	107	217	10	1	32%	7%	33	-1.3
✕Deivy Grullón 2018 · AA	22	45	44→55	38→30	37	222/258/334	113	301	12	2	30%	4%	65	-1.2	239/283/401	162	320	21	3	31%	6%	91	+0.6	225/274/398	173	303	25	1	34%	6%	85	+0.1
✕Parker Meadows 2022 · A	22	36→46	42→55	43→55	40	185/244/283	98	262	10	9	32%	6%	49	-2.4	222/286/377	155	285	16	17	27%	8%	86	+0.3	229/297/399	170	285	18	21	26%	8%	94	+0.9
✕Drew Ward 2017 · AA	22	46→48	43→50	40→30	39	216/276/326	109	328	11	2	36%	7%	70	-0.8	219/285/342	123	330	13	2	35%	8%	78	-0.3	206/273/357	151	318	18	1	39%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Jorge Guzman 2007 · AAA	23	42→50	45→55	47→40	43	210/266/335	124	276	13	5	29%	7%	69	-0.9	229/279/363	134	285	14	5	24%	6%	80	-0.2	233/284/401	168	263	24	3	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Blake DeWitt 2007 · AA	21	47→53	46→50	42→40	44	234/282/359	124	282	14	4	22%	6%	80	-0.2	245/294/378	133	282	13	4	18%	6%	88	+0.5	245/312/369	123	280	10	3	16%	8%	93	+0.7
●Stephen Parker 2010 · A	22	44→53	41→45	40	41	213/262/311	98	287	8	4	28%	6%	61	-1.5	241/301/367	126	310	12	3	25%	7%	89	+0.5	242/305/366	124	312	12	3	25%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Colson Montgomery 2023 · AA	21	48	43→55	44→45	46	230/305/343	113	307	11	3	27%	8%	86	+0.3	214/301/355	141	294	15	5	31%	9%	88	+0.4	197/286/357	160	269	19	4	33%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Luis Liberato 2019 · A	23	42→50	47→50	44→50	41	213/260/351	139	283	14	6	30%	6%	70	-0.8	225/272/352	127	297	14	7	28%	6%	74	-0.5	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Niko Vasquez 2012 · AA	23	40→42	44→50	40→45	45	199/272/315	116	271	11	3	30%	8%	67	-1.1	203/267/307	104	267	8	5	26%	8%	63	-1.4	220/276/351	131	285	16	6	28%	6%	74	-0.3
●Josh VanMeter 2017 · AA	22	44→50	44→55	46→50	47	217/272/327	110	261	12	8	22%	7%	69	-0.9	229/284/359	130	284	12	12	23%	7%	81	-0.1	238/313/423	186	288	20	12	24%	9%	105	+1.3
✕George Valera 2024 · AAA	23	42→43	49→50	42→45	49	213/301/363	150	293	17	5	32%	10%	89	+0.5	221/292/363	142	301	16	6	30%	9%	85	+0.2	222/290/363	141	290	16	5	28%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Andrew Lambo 2011 · AA	22	50→51	45→60	44→45	41	247/289/374	127	316	12	4	26%	5%	86	+0.3	232/283/377	145	302	16	6	28%	6%	85	+0.2	247/296/456	209	307	27	5	28%	6%	107	+1.0
✕Zach Fisher 2014 · A	22	43	43→50	43→30	45	211/265/327	115	253	10	3	21%	6%	66	-1.1	227/276/350	123	291	12	4	25%	6%	76	-0.4	239/284/380	141	298	15	0	25%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Rio Ruiz 2016 · AA	22	50→54	42→50	42→40	51	238/307/347	109	301	8	4	23%	9%	86	+0.3	235/295/353	118	305	11	3	25%	8%	83	+0.1	220/284/360	140	261	16	3	22%	8%	82	-0.0

Cam Collier

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps