Jacob Walsh
1B Wilmington Blue Rocks| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | AWSH | 93 | .128/.261/.192 | 1 | 3 | -10 | — | .084/.174/.133 |
| 2026 | 23 | A+/AWSH | 452 | .266/.356/.529 | 25 | 7 | 77 | — | .194/.263/.383 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBWSH | 1 | .202/.264/.372 | 0 | 0 | 77 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBWSH | 79 | .204/.268/.375 | 3 | 1 | 79 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 53
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 93 | 78 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 128 | 261 | 192 | 453 | 64 | 184 | 31 | 14 | 224 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 284 | 256 | 69 | 18 | 0 | 19 | 22 | 92 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 270 | 330 | 562 | 892 | 293 | 340 | 32 | 8 | 382 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 168 | 135 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28 | 44 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 259 | 401 | 467 | 868 | 207 | 337 | 26 | 17 | 386 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 93 | 83 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 84 | 174 | 133 | 306 | 48 | 156 | 44 | 9 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 284 | 267 | 53 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 13 | 120 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 199 | 241 | 416 | 657 | 217 | 282 | 42 | 5 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 168 | 144 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 60 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 188 | 299 | 326 | 626 | 139 | 281 | 36 | 11 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 93 | 83 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 84 | 174 | 133 | 306 | 48 | 143 | 44 | 9 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 93 | 78 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 128 | 261 | 192 | 453 | 64 | 184 | 31 | 14 | 224 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 452 | 411 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 20 | 32 | 180 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 200 | 267 | 397 | 664 | 197 | 290 | 40 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 452 | 391 | 104 | 24 | 2 | 25 | 50 | 136 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 266 | 356 | 529 | 886 | 263 | 339 | 30 | 11 | 383 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 93 | 84 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 83 | 174 | 131 | 305 | 48 | 156 | 44 | 9 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 452 | 411 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 20 | 32 | 180 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 200 | 267 | 397 | 664 | 197 | 282 | 40 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 93 | 84 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 83 | 174 | 131 | 305 | 48 | 156 | 44 | 9 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 452 | 411 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 20 | 32 | 180 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 200 | 267 | 397 | 664 | 197 | 282 | 40 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | WSH | 0% | 380 | 347 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 126 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 202 | 264 | 373 | 637 | 171 | 265 | 33 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +8 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | WSH | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 264 | 372 | 636 | 170 | 265 | 0 | 0 | 282 | 77 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | WSH | 30% | 260 | 238 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 85 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 204 | 268 | 376 | 644 | 172 | 267 | 33 | 7 | 285 | 79 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +6 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | WSH | 30% | 79 | 73 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 204 | 268 | 375 | 643 | 171 | 266 | 33 | 6 | 285 | 79 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 79 | 73 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 266 | 370 | 636 | 164 | 273 | 33 | 6 | 285 | 70 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 601 | 124 | 25 | 0 | 25 | 41 | 214 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 206 | 266 | 373 | 639 | 166 | 273 | 33 | 6 | 285 | 70 | -16 | +2 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1015 | 924 | 176 | 34 | 4 | 39 | 72 | 376 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 190 | 257 | 363 | 620 | 172 | 266 | 37 | 7 | 271 | 70 | -12 | +1 | +0 | -8 | +10 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 113 | 22 | 3 | 25 | 46 | 241 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 191 | 257 | 365 | 622 | 174 | 267 | 37 | 7 | 271 | 70 | -17 | +1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 284 PAwOBA .373 → .280 (−93)K% 32.4% → 42.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.39% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 42.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 4.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 17.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.98% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 8.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.010 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 10.17% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .373 → .280; ISO .293 → .228; BABIP .340 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AFredericksburg Nationals · 168 PAwOBA .379 → .285 (−94)K% 26.2% → 35.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.19% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 11.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 19.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 5.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 1.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 5.22% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .379 → .285; ISO .207 → .156; BABIP .337 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFredericksburg Nationals · 93 PAwOBA .211 → .153 (−57)K% 31.2% → 43.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.18% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 43.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.83% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | — | 12.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | — | 3.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.106 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.040 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.57% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 109, 2B 110, 3B 121, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .211 → .153; ISO .064 → .044; BABIP .184 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).