Jacob Walsh — OGILVIE

Jacob Walsh1B Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 23 L/L 6'4" / 225 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION282 act + 188 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .269 / .314

PA188

HR4

K%32

BB%8

BABIP276

ISO118

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	93	84	7	1	0	1	7	44	1	3	0	83	163	131	294	48	150	47	8	143	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	93	78	10	2	0	1	13	29	1	3	0	128	261	192	453	64	184	31	14	224	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	WSH	—	282	252	46	7	1	8	23	109	4	6	2	183	262	313	575	131	275	39	8	257	55	-14	+0	+0	-5	+8	-1.1
YTD	23	A	WSH	—	282	237	57	9	2	10	36	79	4	6	2	241	348	422	770	181	311	28	13	341	119	+6	+0	+0	-5	+8	1.0
ROS	23	A	WSH	0%	188	169	33	6	1	4	15	61	2	4	1	195	269	314	582	118	269	32	8	264	61	-8	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.6
ROS	23	MLB	WSH	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		269	—	—	256	54	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	23	A	WSH	—	282	253	46	7	1	8	23	109	4	6	2	182	262	312	574	130	273	39	8	257	55	-14	+0	+0	-5	+8	-1.1
TOT	23	A	WSH	—	470	421	79	13	2	12	38	170	6	10	3	188	265	314	578	126	276	36	8	260	57	-23	+1	+0	-8	+13	-1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	WSH	30%	333	299	61	11	2	8	27	104	4	6	2	204	279	334	613	130	274	31	8	274	68	-12	+0	+0	-6	+9	-0.8
2027	24	MLB	WSH	30%	100	91	19	3	1	3	8	31	1	2	1	209	280	363	643	154	274	31	8	266	62	-4	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	100	92	19	3	1	3	8	31	1	2	1	207	280	359	639	152	276	31	8	266	62	-4	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	124	20	6	20	52	202	6	13	6	207	280	361	641	154	277	31	8	266	62	-28	+0	+0	-12	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	614	552	101	18	3	13	49	209	7	13	3	183	258	297	555	114	263	34	8	251	51	-34	+1	+0	-11	+17	-2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	107	19	3	14	52	221	7	14	3	183	258	298	556	115	263	34	8	251	51	-36	+2	+0	-12	+18	-2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	93	78	10	2	0	1	13	29	1	3	0	128	261	192	453	64	184	31	14	224	29	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	279	6	5	203	273	326	-5	-2	-0.7	-0.4
	/162	664	15	12	203	273	326	-11.9	-3.6	-1.8	pk7: 0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Walsh (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	44→49	48→53	54	188/265/314	126	276	12	10	36%	8%	57	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	39→37	43→60	54→50	47	196/261/312	115	255	9	8	26%	8%	56	-1.3	187/269/294	107	266	9	14	31%	9%	56	-1.3	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Tyler Callihan 2023 · A	23	42→41	43→45	53→55	42	211/261/321	110	274	10	14	26%	6%	59	-1.1	215/272/329	114	309	11	21	32%	7%	66	-0.6	220/287/349	129	316	15	25	33%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Dillon Paulson 2019 · A	22	41→37	47→50	50→30	48	207/281/353	146	266	14	4	27%	9%	76	+0.1	206/284/338	132	300	13	4	33%	10%	74	-0.1	196/280/329	133	277	13	2	32%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Trae Santos 2016 · A	23	40→36	45→50	46→40	43	200/270/330	130	273	12	4	30%	8%	66	-0.6	188/252/314	126	278	12	4	35%	6%	54	-1.4	151/217/277	126	225	13	0	38%	6%	27	-2.3
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→40	43→50	50→45	46	204/274/320	117	274	10	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	211/268/334	123	297	13	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	195/247/325	130	268	17	1	33%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	37	45	45	45	191/261/313	122	256	13	6	30%	8%	58	-1.2	198/263/314	116	276	10	6	30%	7%	59	-1.1	148/219/198	51	212	4	5	30%	8%	7	-1.0
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	41→42	43→45	50	43	199/278/313	114	297	11	12	34%	8%	65	-0.7	202/279/326	124	295	11	11	33%	8%	69	-0.4	187/272/303	117	258	12	11	30%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Kevin Rivers 2012 · A	23	40→41	46→45	49→45	40	205/262/334	128	285	15	8	32%	6%	63	-0.8	203/270/327	124	293	11	6	32%	8%	65	-0.7	197/265/318	122	281	10	4	32%	8%	58	-0.9
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→44	42→55	51→45	45	198/266/301	103	259	9	11	26%	7%	56	-1.3	220/277/364	144	296	17	6	30%	6%	78	+0.2	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Brian Pointer 2015 · A	23	41→43	44→45	49→50	42	201/278/321	120	303	12	13	36%	8%	67	-0.5	221/291/358	137	320	14	11	33%	8%	82	+0.5	221/292/378	157	308	17	10	32%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Cole Frenzel 2013 · A	23	42→40	43→45	49→40	42	208/260/321	114	256	10	6	23%	5%	59	-1.1	209/270/322	113	270	10	4	25%	6%	63	-0.8	202/266/311	110	260	10	2	26%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Jeff Flagg 2009 · A	23	38	44→45	54→40	43	194/261/311	117	269	11	10	31%	8%	57	-1.2	195/249/303	108	324	11	6	40%	6%	49	-1.8	178/229/283	104	304	12	3	43%	6%	33	-1.0
✕David Washington 2014 · A	23	44→38	44→55	50→45	42	209/275/327	118	316	10	7	35%	8%	67	-0.5	202/265/371	169	329	21	4	42%	8%	75	-0.0	200/261/369	169	326	23	5	44%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Brandon Dulin 2016 · A	23	37→30	44→45	49→40	36	191/241/311	120	263	12	5	32%	4%	48	-1.9	200/250/321	121	284	15	3	34%	5%	55	-1.4	189/240/311	122	264	17	0	35%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Matt Winaker 2019 · A	23	41→38	46→45	47→45	44	205/279/340	135	258	13	4	25%	7%	72	-0.2	188/272/284	96	263	7	6	29%	7%	56	-1.3	157/258/229	72	226	5	5	30%	8%	34	-1.3
✕Logan Wyatt 2021 · A	23	47→37	40→50	47→40	46	224/293/315	91	307	7	7	28%	8%	71	-0.3	206/298/287	81	279	7	4	26%	11%	66	-0.6	193/284/288	95	255	11	1	27%	11%	59	-0.5
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	36→41	43→45	53→55	40	184/244/291	108	267	11	17	34%	7%	44	-2.1	196/257/315	119	271	11	17	30%	7%	56	-1.3	191/254/304	113	261	10	19	29%	7%	49	-1.4