Kavares Tears — OGILVIE

Kavares TearsOF Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 23 L/L 5'10" / 200 lbs A+ HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION253 act + 168 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .264 / .334

PA168

HR5

K%41

BB%9

BABIP287

ISO154

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	422	70	14	1	11	46	203	1	6	5	166	249	282	531	116	276	43	10	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	410	93	22	2	13	58	138	1	6	5	227	324	385	709	159	302	29	12	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	SD	—	253	225	39	10	2	9	24	112	2	1	3	173	259	356	615	182	283	44	9	263	59	-12	-1	+0	-2	+7	-0.7
YTD	23	A+	SD	—	253	215	50	13	3	12	34	83	2	1	3	233	343	488	831	256	311	33	13	362	135	+10	-1	+0	-2	+7	1.5
ROS	23	A+	SD	0%	168	149	27	6	1	5	16	69	1	2	2	180	264	334	598	154	275	41	9	263	60	-8	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
ROS	23	MLB	SD	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						271	0	0	255	54	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	SD	—	254	226	39	10	2	9	24	112	2	1	3	173	258	354	612	181	280	44	9	263	59	-12	-1	+0	-2	+7	-0.7
TOT	23	A+	SD	—	421	374	66	16	3	14	40	181	3	3	5	176	261	347	608	171	285	43	9	263	60	-19	-1	+0	-3	+12	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	SD	30%	526	468	86	18	3	16	50	203	3	7	6	184	267	338	604	154	275	39	10	270	65	-21	-1	+0	-3	+15	-1.0
2027	24	MLB	SD	30%	159	142	26	5	1	5	15	61	1	2	2	183	266	338	604	155	271	38	9	262	59	-7	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	160	143	26	5	1	5	15	61	1	2	2	182	264	336	600	154	269	38	9	262	59	-7	-0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	105	20	4	20	61	248	4	8	8	181	263	332	595	151	268	38	9	262	59	-30	-2	+0	-4	+18	-1.8
Career	—			—	1169	1039	183	38	5	32	112	475	5	15	13	176	259	315	574	139	278	41	10	257	55	-60	-2	+0	-7	+33	-3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	102	21	3	18	62	264	3	8	7	176	260	317	577	140	278	41	10	257	55	-33	-1	+0	-4	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	410	93	22	2	13	58	138	1	6	5	227	324	385	709	159	302	29	12	317	100	+0	-1	—	—	+13	1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kavares Tears (OGILVIE)	23	32	50	52	60	176/261/347	171	285	14	3	43%	9%	60	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rixon Wingrove 2023 · A	23	36→35	49→55	47→40	34	186/251/330	144	305	18	4	43%	6%	59	-1.1	199/268/353	154	297	19	5	38%	7%	71	-0.3	185/259/343	157	264	21	3	37%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Tyler Frost 2019 · A	23	36→32	47→50	48→50	38	189/248/323	134	278	14	6	36%	7%	55	-1.4	185/241/292	107	322	11	8	43%	6%	43	-2.2	157/213/246	90	292	9	9	47%	5%	18	-3.1
✕Jared Walker 2019 · A	23	36→31	52→55	51→45	37	189/262/360	171	291	20	5	40%	7%	71	-0.3	179/262/318	139	328	17	7	47%	8%	60	-1.0	135/231/252	117	274	17	7	53%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Agustin Ruiz 2023 · AA	23	36→33	50	46→40	40	194/264/339	145	269	18	5	34%	7%	66	-0.6	184/254/321	137	264	17	4	36%	6%	57	-1.2	159/231/293	135	224	18	1	37%	6%	40	-1.5
✕Stephen Chapman 2009 · A	23	35→37	49→50	53→50	35	187/240/335	147	281	16	11	39%	5%	54	-1.4	186/238/303	117	298	12	14	40%	5%	44	-2.1	157/204/254	97	248	12	20	41%	5%	14	-2.2
✕Michel Triana 2023 · A	23	35→26	45→50	49→50	36	179/246/303	123	286	13	9	40%	6%	49	-1.8	178/241/281	103	288	9	9	39%	7%	40	-2.4	101/165/157	56	173	2	6	41%	7%	-25	-1.9
✕Chris Epps 2013 · A	24	41→33	48→50	48→45	41	208/270/346	139	295	16	9	34%	8%	70	-0.3	191/264/322	131	292	14	9	37%	9%	61	-1.0	170/251/298	128	263	13	7	38%	9%	50	-1.4
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Kevin Rivers 2012 · A	23	40→41	46→45	49→45	40	205/262/334	128	285	15	8	32%	6%	63	-0.8	203/270/327	124	293	11	6	32%	8%	65	-0.7	197/265/318	122	281	10	4	32%	8%	58	-0.9
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	37→35	49→55	42→40	38	198/247/351	153	272	16	6	33%	6%	62	-0.9	206/272/358	152	266	18	4	29%	7%	74	-0.1	202/259/335	133	273	15	3	31%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Michael Toglia 2022 · AA	23	37→34	47→55	49→45	41	190/260/325	135	291	15	9	38%	8%	61	-1.0	189/263/347	158	268	20	7	36%	9%	68	-0.5	189/268/367	178	253	24	7	34%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Leandro Emiliani 2023 · A	23	35	44→45	48→30	37	181/242/296	115	280	12	3	38%	6%	45	-2.1	192/250/291	99	312	9	4	39%	6%	46	-2.0	162/220/236	74	276	5	0	41%	6%	20	-1.6
✕Jared Dupere 2023 · A	24	38→29	48→55	54→50	35	191/245/329	139	313	16	9	43%	6%	55	-1.4	176/228/287	111	343	11	10	49%	6%	37	-2.7	146/198/249	103	301	10	11	52%	5%	11	-3.0
✕Seamus Curran 2021 · A	23	36→30	49→50	45→30	37	195/247/332	137	277	18	3	36%	6%	56	-1.3	202/275/315	113	328	11	7	38%	9%	64	-0.8	142/246/236	94	251	9	3	43%	12%	30	-0.7
✕Brenden Webb 2013 · A	23	41→42	45	49→50	47	196/289/323	127	307	12	11	37%	11%	72	-0.2	180/246/290	110	302	11	10	41%	7%	45	-2.1	163/217/260	97	272	10	10	42%	6%	23	-2.3
✕Dillon Paulson 2021 · A	24	41→37	47→50	48→30	48	203/285/346	142	287	14	4	33%	10%	76	+0.1	221/289/340	119	298	12	5	28%	9%	76	+0.0	218/282/326	107	289	9	0	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Nick Decker 2023 · A	23	35	44→45	49→50	39	170/253/281	111	303	12	11	45%	9%	46	-2.0	165/237/285	120	313	13	13	48%	7%	40	-2.4	131/202/256	125	245	14	14	50%	7%	16	-1.5
✕Murray Watts 2011 · A	23	41→27	48→50	49→30	42	208/275/347	139	300	17	4	35%	8%	72	-0.2	180/247/317	137	277	17	2	39%	8%	53	-1.5	156/227/300	144	228	20	0	40%	8%	39	-1.5
✕Art Charles 2013 · A	22	37→41	49→50	51→30	44	183/279/334	150	300	16	5	41%	10%	72	-0.2	199/264/343	144	299	15	2	36%	8%	67	-0.5	224/285/437	213	300	28	1	34%	8%	101	+0.7