Kavares Tears

RF Fort Wayne TinCaps
Age 24 L/L 5'10" / 200 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202522ASD475.227/.324/.38513645—.169/.245/.279
202623A+SD279.225/.329/.47113161—.164/.245/.328
2027PROJMLE24MLBSD1.179/.255/.3180063-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBSD51.183/.259/.3261166-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
ISO88
BB%59
wOBA53
wRC+51
Speed29
Chase%24
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsChris Epps (age 24) · Dillon Paulson (age 24) · Jared Dupere (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .255 / .318
PA1
HR0
K%38
BB%9
BABIP265
ISO150
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +3.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.22728
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202522 ALake Elsinore Storm — 475410 9322213 581381 65 227324385709 159302 2912 317 45 — — — — — —
202623 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 279240 5414313 35912 13 225329471799 246297 3313 349 61 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202522 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 475426 7215110 421961 65 169245279525 110269 419 235 45 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 279250 411029 251162 13 164245328573 164255 429 258 61 — — — — — —
202522 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 475426 7215110 421961 65 169245279525 110274 419 235 45 — — — — — —
202522 A RAWLake Elsinore Storm — 475410 9322213 581381 65 227324385709 159302 2912 317 45 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 279250 411029 251162 13 164245328573 164252 429 258 61 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAWFort Wayne TinCaps — 279240 5414313 35912 13 225329471799 246297 3313 349 61 — — — — — —
202522 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 475429 7215110 421961 65 168245277523 110269 419 235 45 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 279250 411029 251162 13 164245328573 164255 429 258 61 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202522 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 475429 7215110 421961 65 168245277523 110269 419 235 45 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 279250 411029 251162 13 164245328573 164255 429 258 61 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLESD 0% 329295 551229 291232 43 182257321579 139271 379 261 63 -15 -0 +1 -4 +7 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202724 MLB CTXSD 0% 11 0000 000 00 179255318573 139265 00 258 63 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLESD 30% 167149 28615 15611 22 186262330591 143272 379 266 66 -7 -0 +0 -2 +4 -0.5
202825 MLB CTXSD 30% 5147 8201 4190 11 183259326586 143266 378 263 66 -2 -0 +0 -1 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5147 8201 4190 11 170235277512 106259 378 263 55 -2 -0 +0 -1 +1 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650599 10225013 512420 1313 170235277513 107259 378 263 55 -26 -3 +2 -7 +14 -2.0
Career— MLE — 1062952 16536528 944265 1111 173251310561 137270 409 249 55 -13 -0 +1 -3 +7 -0.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 10122317 582613 77 173252309561 136270 409 249 55 -27 -1 +2 -7 +14 -2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 279 PAwOBA .343 → .258 (−84)K% 32.6% → 41.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.62%÷1.000×1.270——41.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.54%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9888.80%
HBP% /PA0.72%—×0.790—×0.9880.56%
Singles /BIP16.11%÷1.000×0.920×1.010×0.98814.79%
Doubles /BIP9.40%÷1.000×0.810×1.010×0.9887.59%
Triples /BIP2.01%÷1.000×0.850×1.010×0.9881.71%
Home runs /BIP8.72%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9886.90%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .343 → .258; ISO .246 → .181; BABIP .297 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALake Elsinore Storm · 475 PAwOBA .313 → .235 (−78)K% 29.1% → 41.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.05%÷0.956×1.360——41.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.21%÷0.952×0.690—×0.9908.76%
HBP% /PA0.21%—×0.780—×0.9900.16%
Singles /BIP20.59%÷0.989×0.920×1.027×0.99019.48%
Doubles /BIP8.09%÷1.062×0.830×1.027×0.9906.43%
Triples /BIP0.74%÷1.150×0.910×1.027×0.9900.59%
Home runs /BIP4.78%÷0.936×0.800—×0.9904.04%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .313 → .235; ISO .159 → .114; BABIP .302 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).