Kavares Tears — OGILVIE

Kavares TearsRF Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 23 L/L 5'10" / 200 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION279 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP264

ISO131

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT32

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	410	93	22	2	13	58	138	1	6	5	227	324	385	709	159	302	29	12	317	100	+0	-1	—	—	+10	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	425	73	15	1	11	43	193	1	6	5	172	249	289	539	118	270	41	9	244	51	-28	-1	—	—	+10	-1.8
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	425	73	15	1	11	43	193	1	6	5	172	249	289	539	118	273	41	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	410	93	22	2	13	58	138	1	6	5	227	324	385	709	159	302	29	12	317	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	428	73	15	1	11	43	193	1	6	5	171	249	287	537	117	270	41	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	475	428	73	15	1	11	43	193	1	6	5	171	249	287	537	117	270	41	9	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	SD	—	279	250	40	10	2	9	25	123	2	1	3	160	242	324	566	164	258	44	9	253	57	-14	-1	+0	-3	+6	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	SD	—	279	240	54	14	3	13	35	91	2	1	3	225	329	471	799	246	297	33	13	349	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	SD	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		267	40	10	255	59	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	SD	—	289	259	41	10	2	9	26	127	2	1	3	158	240	317	557	158	256	44	9	253	57	-15	-1	+0	-3	+6	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SD	30%	513	459	83	18	3	15	46	198	3	6	6	181	260	331	591	150	271	39	9	266	66	-21	-1	+1	-5	+11	-1.6
2027	24	MLB CTX	SD	30%	155	139	25	5	1	5	14	60	1	2	2	180	260	338	598	158	268	39	9	262	66	-6	-0	+0	-2	+3	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	155	139	25	5	1	5	14	60	1	2	2	180	260	338	598	158	267	39	9	262	59	-6	-0	+0	-2	+3	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	105	21	4	21	59	252	4	8	8	180	260	338	598	158	268	39	9	262	59	-26	-2	+1	-7	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	998	893	157	33	4	26	90	395	4	12	11	176	254	309	563	133	272	40	9	255	59	-21	-1	+1	-6	+11	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	102	21	3	17	59	257	3	8	7	175	255	309	564	134	271	40	9	255	59	-26	-1	+1	-7	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kavares Tears (OGILVIE)	23	32	50	52	58	169/248/312	142	267	9	3	41%	9%	59	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Frost 2019 · A	23	37→33	47→50	48→50	38	192/250/330	138	280	15	6	36%	6%	62	-1.4	189/245/304	115	321	12	8	42%	6%	54	-2.0	164/220/265	100	296	10	9	46%	5%	34	-2.7
✕Rixon Wingrove 2023 · A	23	36	48→50	47→40	34	183/249/316	132	306	16	4	44%	6%	59	-1.6	199/267/344	145	299	18	5	37%	7%	72	-0.7	187/260/336	149	269	19	3	36%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	44→45	49→50	45	195/276/305	110	270	12	10	31%	8%	67	-1.1	191/265/303	112	284	10	13	34%	8%	61	-1.5	178/252/295	117	273	8	16	35%	8%	53	-1.1
✕Leandro Emiliani 2023 · A	23	35	45→50	48→30	37	183/244/304	121	276	13	3	37%	6%	54	-2.0	193/252/293	100	308	9	4	38%	6%	54	-2.0	163/225/235	72	274	5	0	40%	6%	31	-1.6
✕Stephen Chapman 2009 · A	23	35→37	49→50	53→50	35	187/240/335	147	281	16	11	39%	5%	59	-1.6	187/238/301	114	298	12	14	39%	5%	51	-2.3	158/205/251	93	247	11	20	40%	5%	24	-2.3
✕Jared Walker 2019 · A	23	36→32	53→55	51→45	37	193/266/371	179	292	21	5	40%	7%	78	-0.3	183/267/318	135	320	16	7	44%	8%	67	-1.1	142/239/247	105	272	15	7	49%	8%	39	-1.4
✕Jared Dupere 2023 · A	24	38→30	49→55	54→50	35	195/249/341	146	309	18	9	42%	6%	64	-1.3	178/229/291	113	348	12	10	49%	6%	45	-2.7	148/198/252	103	311	11	11	53%	5%	22	-3.0
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Agustin Ruiz 2023 · AA	23	36→35	48→50	46→40	40	192/262/329	137	265	17	5	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/254/312	129	260	15	4	34%	7%	60	-1.6	159/233/285	126	225	15	1	35%	6%	46	-1.6
✕Dillon Paulson 2021 · A	24	40→36	47→50	48→30	48	201/284/342	140	287	14	4	33%	10%	78	-0.3	221/290/339	118	297	12	5	28%	9%	79	-0.2	213/277/313	100	285	8	0	26%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Brian Pointer 2015 · A	23	40→41	44→45	49→50	41	196/272/311	116	298	11	13	36%	8%	67	-1.1	216/287/346	130	316	13	11	33%	8%	79	-0.2	213/286/355	142	301	15	10	32%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	38→35	47→50	42→40	39	197/247/339	142	273	14	6	33%	6%	63	-1.4	201/266/339	138	261	15	4	28%	7%	70	-0.8	198/254/329	130	265	15	3	30%	6%	62	-0.9
✕Andy Yerzy 2022 · AA	24	32	50	49→40	42	178/266/324	146	258	19	7	38%	8%	68	-1.0	196/274/331	135	264	16	6	30%	9%	72	-0.7	161/235/266	105	230	13	1	34%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Nick Yarnall 2019 · A	24	39	48→50	47→45	42	200/264/334	134	292	16	6	36%	8%	68	-1.0	202/275/339	137	322	15	7	39%	9%	74	-0.6	159/256/311	152	257	17	4	42%	11%	59	-0.6
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	38→37	45	45	45	196/264/320	124	260	13	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	202/266/319	117	280	10	6	30%	7%	65	-1.2	154/224/207	53	220	4	5	30%	8%	23	-0.9
✕Brenden Webb 2013 · A	23	41→39	43→45	49→50	47	191/287/308	117	308	10	11	38%	11%	72	-0.7	181/248/290	109	303	11	10	41%	7%	52	-2.2	166/220/265	99	273	11	10	41%	6%	34	-2.2
✕Michel Triana 2023 · A	23	35→26	45	49→50	35	177/243/296	119	290	12	9	41%	6%	52	-2.2	179/241/280	101	293	9	9	39%	7%	47	-2.5	106/170/166	60	183	3	6	41%	7%	-7	-1.8
✕Seamus Curran 2021 · A	23	36→30	47→50	45→30	38	192/246/320	128	276	17	3	36%	6%	58	-1.7	203/278/317	114	333	11	7	39%	9%	70	-0.9	145/255/244	99	263	9	3	43%	12%	42	-0.7
✕Murray Watts 2011 · A	23	41→26	48→50	49→30	42	208/275/347	139	300	17	4	35%	8%	76	-0.4	179/247/310	131	277	16	2	39%	8%	57	-1.8	154/227/290	136	227	19	0	40%	8%	44	-1.7
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	42→39	44→50	50→45	45	207/273/328	121	277	11	7	28%	8%	70	-0.8	210/268/335	125	296	14	5	32%	7%	70	-0.9	191/245/320	130	262	17	1	34%	6%	56	-0.8