Cam Day

P Tulsa Drillers

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	ALAA	24	15	102	4.68	3.39	20.5%	11.1%	—	K 15.2% · BB 13.1% · FIP 4.21
2025	23	MIX2 levels	35	4	76	4.24	2.98	25.5%	12.2%	—	K 19.4% · BB 13.8% · FIP 3.86
2026	24	AALAD	48	0	60	4.33	4.14	22.0%	14.4%	—	K 17.8% · BB 15.8% · FIP 4.85
2027PROJ	25	MLBLAD	67	0	70	5.45	5.45	17.7%	16.0%	-0.7
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBLAD	30	0	31	5.32	5.31	18.6%	15.2%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBLAD	42	0	44	5.26	5.27	18.9%	14.9%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control35Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsJake Gilbert (age 25) · Cole Hillier (age 23) · Grant Black (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 120

ERA5.45

FIP5.45

K%17.7%

BB%16.0%

K-BB%1.7%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	2	1	2	8	2	0	1	50%	1.2	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%	3.86	7.85	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	2	1	2	8	2	0	1	50%	1.2	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%	3.86	6.96	—
2024	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	24	15	102	459	94	51	5	62%	4.2	15.2%	13.1%	2.0%	1.3%	4.68	4.21	—
2024	22	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	24	15	102	459	94	51	5	62%	4.2	15.2%	13.1%	2.0%	1.3%	4.68	4.21	—
2024	22	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	24	15	102	459	94	51	5	62%	4.2	20.5%	11.1%	9.4%	1.1%	4.68	3.39	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	4	76	329	84	40	3	11%	2.2	19.4%	13.8%	5.6%	1.2%	4.24	3.86	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	4	76	329	84	40	3	11%	2.2	19.4%	13.8%	5.6%	1.2%	4.24	3.86	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	4	76	329	84	40	3	11%	2.2	25.5%	12.2%	13.4%	0.9%	4.24	2.98	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	48	0	60	264	58	38	5	0%	1.3	17.8%	15.8%	2.0%	2.3%	4.33	4.85	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	48	0	60	264	58	38	5	0%	1.3	17.8%	15.8%	2.0%	2.3%	4.33	4.85	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	48	0	60	264	58	38	5	0%	1.3	22.0%	14.4%	7.6%	1.9%	4.33	4.14	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	LAD	67	0	70	296	52	47	8	0%	1.0	17.7%	16.0%	1.7%	2.6%	5.45	5.45	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	67	0	70	296	55	45	8	0%	1.0	18.6%	15.2%	3.3%	2.7%	5.32	5.31	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAD	66	0	69	291	55	43	8	0%	1.0	18.9%	14.9%	4.0%	2.7%	5.26	5.27	-0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAD	64	0	67	282	54	42	8	0%	1.0	19.0%	14.7%	4.3%	2.9%	5.27	5.31	-0.6
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAD	61	0	64	270	51	40	8	0%	1.0	18.9%	14.8%	4.1%	3.0%	5.35	5.41	-0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	30	0	31	131	24	20	3	0%	1.0	18.6%	15.2%	3.3%	2.7%	5.32	5.31	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAD	42	0	44	186	35	28	5	0%	1.0	18.9%	14.9%	4.0%	2.7%	5.26	5.27	-0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAD	49	0	51	215	41	32	6	0%	1.0	19.0%	14.7%	4.3%	2.9%	5.27	5.31	-0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAD	50	0	52	220	41	33	7	0%	1.0	18.9%	14.8%	4.1%	3.0%	5.35	5.41	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	177	748	141	111	21	0%	1.0	18.9%	14.9%	4.0%	2.8%	5.30	4.95	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	125	24	0%	1.1	18.9%	14.9%	4.0%	2.8%	5.30	4.95	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		109	20	241	1060	182	147	17	18%	2.2	17.2%	13.9%	3.3%	1.6%	4.44	4.29	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	17	200	880	151	122	14	18%	2.2	17.2%	13.9%	3.3%	1.6%	4.44	4.29	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cam Day (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.45	17.7%	16.0%	2.6%	—	5.30	18.8%	3.9%	206	-0.15	—	—	—
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	86
Cole Hillier R 2024 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	16.9%	14.7%	2.0%	.297	4.45	18.1%	4.5%	111	-0.19	3.80	169	85
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	85
Kevin Kopps R 2022 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.40	16.3%	4.0%	182	-0.16	3.45	237	85
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	85
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	85
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	25	SU	4.61	20.9%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.12	24.4%	7.6%	107	-0.49	3.92	311	84
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	83
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	83
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	83
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	82
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	82
Rob Huber R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	117	82
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	82
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	81
Holt Jones R 2024 · 4.36 FIP	25	SU	4.36	19.0%	15.0%	1.8%	.326	4.32	22.4%	8.3%	123	-0.04	4.21	254	81
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	81
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	81
Billy Seidl R 2024 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	18.3%	14.2%	2.2%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.34	102	80
José A. Váldez R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	25	SU	4.55	15.3%	15.3%	1.5%	.279	4.32	22.3%	9.9%	167	-0.23	4.02	328	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	18.6%	15.1%	1.07	5.33
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*