Aaron Zavala

OF Round Rock Express

Age 27 L/R 5'11" / 193 lbs AAA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AATEX	471	.246/.362/.420	14	8	74	—	.203/.285/.339
2025	25	INTLJaguares de N…	114	.358/.460/.621	6	3	201	—
2026	26	AAATEX	514	.266/.357/.428	11	7	75	—	.224/.296/.348
2027PROJ10% MLB	27	MLBTEX	25	.200/.276/.316	0	0	67	-0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	28	MLBTEX	103	.200/.277/.317	2	1	67	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Whiff%61

Z-Con%61

Speed54

BB%53

Max EV50

Chase%48

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%

CompsJustin Toerner (age 26) · Bruce Caldwell (age 27) · Ronnie Dawson (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .276 / .316

PA25

HR0

K%32

BB%8

BABIP281

ISO43

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	67	53	16	4	0	1	10	13	3	7	0	302	439	434	873	132	375	19	15	393	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	26	22	6	1	0	0	3	7	1	2	0	273	385	318	703	45	400	27	12	332	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	139	112	31	8	0	5	21	29	5	4	1	277	413	482	895	205	329	21	15	398	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	375	299	83	10	3	11	68	79	8	10	5	278	424	441	865	164	344	21	18	393	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	21	15	3	0	0	1	5	6	1	0	1	200	429	400	829	200	250	29	24	386	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	426	341	66	16	0	5	72	159	8	7	3	194	347	284	631	91	335	37	17	300	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	498	416	93	17	1	5	63	139	9	12	5	224	338	305	643	82	314	28	13	297	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	67	56	12	3	0	2	9	19	0	2	2	214	323	375	698	161	278	28	13	308	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	471	395	97	17	5	14	66	139	6	8	4	246	362	420	782	175	337	30	14	350	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	INTL	Jaguares de Nayarit	—	114	95	34	7	0	6	16	21	2	3	1	358	460	621	1.081	263	412	18	14	466	201	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	514	444	118	33	3	11	56	128	7	7	4	266	357	428	785	162	345	25	11	347	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	67	56	14	3	0	1	7	17	3	7	0	250	364	357	721	107	334	25	10	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	26	23	5	1	0	0	2	10	1	2	0	217	308	261	569	43	317	38	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	139	118	29	7	0	5	15	35	5	4	1	246	355	432	787	186	296	25	11	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	375	326	69	8	3	9	41	103	8	10	5	212	315	337	652	126	280	27	11	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	426	361	58	15	0	4	52	192	8	7	3	161	280	235	516	75	305	45	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	498	437	81	14	1	4	42	168	9	12	5	185	270	249	520	64	270	34	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	67	58	12	3	0	2	7	21	0	2	2	207	292	362	654	155	256	31	10	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	471	419	85	14	5	11	42	175	6	8	4	203	285	339	624	136	308	37	9	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	514	460	103	27	3	8	40	154	7	7	4	224	296	348	644	124	302	30	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	93	80	19	4	0	1	8	28	4	9	0	237	337	325	662	88	346	30	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	93	75	22	5	0	1	13	20	4	9	0	293	424	400	824	107	382	22	14	376	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	535	461	102	16	3	14	59	143	14	14	7	221	328	360	688	139	289	27	11	303	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	535	426	117	18	3	17	94	114	14	14	7	275	421	451	872	176	338	21	18	394	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	426	361	58	15	0	4	52	192	8	7	3	161	280	235	516	75	318	45	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	426	341	66	16	0	5	72	159	8	7	3	194	347	284	631	91	335	37	17	300	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	498	437	81	14	1	4	42	168	9	12	5	185	270	249	520	64	282	34	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	498	416	93	17	1	5	63	139	9	12	5	224	338	305	643	82	314	28	13	297	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	652	578	118	21	6	16	59	237	8	13	7	204	287	344	631	140	309	36	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	652	546	143	27	5	22	91	179	8	13	7	262	375	451	826	189	346	27	14	366	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	514	460	103	27	3	8	40	154	7	7	4	224	296	348	644	124	314	30	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	—	514	444	118	33	3	11	56	128	7	7	4	266	357	428	785	162	345	25	11	347	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	93	81	19	4	0	1	8	28	4	9	0	235	337	321	658	86	329	30	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	535	457	102	16	3	14	59	143	14	14	7	223	328	363	691	140	284	27	11	303	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	426	363	58	15	0	4	52	192	8	7	3	160	280	234	514	74	305	45	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	498	444	81	14	1	4	42	168	9	12	5	182	270	245	516	63	270	34	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	652	580	118	21	6	16	59	237	8	13	7	203	287	343	630	140	302	36	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	514	462	103	27	3	8	40	154	7	7	4	223	296	346	642	123	302	30	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	498	444	81	14	1	4	42	168	9	12	5	182	270	245	516	63	270	34	8	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	652	580	118	21	6	16	59	237	8	13	7	203	287	343	630	140	302	36	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	514	462	103	27	3	8	40	154	7	7	4	223	296	346	642	123	302	30	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TEX	10%	380	340	68	15	2	7	32	120	5	5	3	199	276	313	589	114	282	32	8	268	67	-15	-0	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	TEX	10%	25	23	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	200	276	316	593	117	281	32	8	269	67	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	TEX	31%	333	298	60	13	2	6	28	104	4	4	2	200	276	313	590	114	281	31	8	268	67	-13	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.9
2028	28	MLB CTX	TEX	31%	103	92	19	4	1	2	9	32	1	1	1	200	277	317	593	116	280	31	9	269	67	-4	-0	-0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	103	92	19	4	1	2	9	32	1	1	1	207	284	337	621	130	288	31	9	269	69	-4	-0	-0	-1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	120	25	6	13	57	202	6	6	6	207	284	337	622	131	288	31	9	269	69	-25	-1	-1	-4	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3301	2899	585	120	16	57	309	1105	57	70	30	202	291	313	604	111	299	33	9	270	69	-23	+0	-1	-3	+13	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	115	24	3	11	61	218	11	14	6	201	291	312	603	110	299	34	9	270	69	-25	+0	-1	-4	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aaron Zavala (OGILVIE)	27	40	50	45	60	198/274/311	113	282	4	4	31%	8%	67	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	40	42→40	48→50	45	193/287/295	103	289	10	10	34%	9%	70	-0.9	192/283/307	115	279	12	11	33%	10%	70	-0.8	124/235/230	107	167	13	9	33%	11%	35	-1.2
✕Bruce Caldwell 2019 · AAA	27	43→45	43→45	44→40	42	210/273/319	109	302	11	3	33%	8%	68	-1.0	202/258/312	110	288	11	6	32%	7%	61	-1.5	166/220/260	95	232	11	3	33%	6%	33	-2.1
✕Ronnie Dawson 2022 · AAA	27	43→48	43→45	47→55	44	212/282/325	113	288	10	16	29%	8%	73	-0.6	220/285/324	104	308	9	14	30%	7%	74	-0.6	207/275/298	90	300	8	13	31%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Will Toffey 2021 · AA	26	44	43→45	46→50	49	209/295/322	113	300	9	7	31%	10%	78	-0.3	202/284/324	122	338	12	12	40%	8%	74	-0.5	184/271/307	123	316	12	13	42%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	42	44→45	45→55	45	203/289/316	113	301	12	8	34%	9%	74	-0.6	223/300/322	99	294	9	18	26%	8%	79	-0.2	225/303/312	87	288	7	25	23%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Josh Lester 2021 · AAA	27	40→44	47→55	47→40	42	206/260/337	131	267	15	3	28%	6%	68	-1.0	204/251/378	174	262	22	5	31%	5%	74	-0.6	195/241/366	171	246	22	4	31%	5%	65	-1.0
✕Chantz Mack 2017 · AA	26	44→46	43→45	45	46	218/286/329	111	292	11	5	28%	8%	75	-0.5	215/290/317	102	295	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	154/267/206	52	209	4	0	26%	13%	39	-0.6
✕Morgan McCullough 2024 · AAA	26	42	44→45	49→50	44	204/285/323	119	291	11	12	32%	8%	74	-0.5	208/286/330	122	294	11	15	31%	9%	76	-0.4	175/268/298	123	241	12	20	30%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Shane Matheny 2023 · AAA	27	43→42	45	50	43	205/283/326	121	326	14	6	39%	9%	74	-0.6	205/288/326	121	310	12	11	35%	10%	76	-0.4	191/283/310	119	284	11	12	34%	11%	68	-0.6
✕Nick Banks 2022 · AAA	27	43→45	42→45	41→45	38	210/258/310	100	304	10	5	33%	6%	59	-1.6	220/274/341	121	326	12	7	34%	6%	73	-0.6	218/275/351	133	322	14	5	35%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Mitchell Tolman 2021 · AAA	27	45→47	40→45	48→50	45	215/283/306	92	302	7	10	30%	8%	69	-0.9	225/293/352	127	292	11	8	26%	7%	83	+0.1	221/294/355	134	284	12	7	25%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Adam Calderone 2011 · AAA	27	40→41	47→50	45	39	206/251/349	143	262	14	9	28%	5%	66	-1.1	205/251/330	125	268	12	12	27%	5%	61	-1.5	162/194/257	95	204	5	16	23%	4%	20	-1.0
✕Luke Tendler 2019 · AA	27	42→43	45→50	38→40	41	214/265/336	121	277	14	3	28%	6%	69	-0.9	204/254/314	110	274	12	6	29%	6%	59	-1.6	181/230/279	98	240	11	4	29%	6%	40	-2.4
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA	27	37→38	48→50	48→45	42	193/264/333	141	287	16	6	37%	8%	68	-1.0	193/257/322	129	289	15	7	37%	7%	63	-1.4	176/241/298	122	260	15	5	37%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA	27	44→43	45	44→45	49	218/287/345	127	267	12	7	23%	8%	79	-0.2	227/292/348	121	281	11	8	22%	8%	82	-0.0	228/293/340	112	278	10	5	21%	8%	78	-0.1
✕Cal Towey 2017 · AAA	27	44→48	42→45	48→50	44	209/288/317	108	316	9	13	34%	9%	74	-0.6	204/289/310	106	323	8	8	36%	9%	72	-0.7	174/274/265	91	290	6	3	38%	10%	55	-1.2
✕Tristan Gray 2022 · AAA	26	42→36	47→50	42→40	42	214/275/350	136	287	14	5	30%	7%	76	-0.4	189/242/343	154	266	20	4	36%	5%	63	-1.4	197/252/324	127	261	14	3	29%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Steele Walker 2023 · MLB	27	44→47	46→45	47→50	44	220/272/343	123	260	14	12	22%	6%	73	-0.6	216/273/336	120	270	13	10	24%	7%	72	-0.7	157/219/241	85	197	9	0	25%	7%	28	-0.8
✕Preston Beck 2018 · AAA	27	44→42	40→45	48→45	45	215/267/312	97	264	7	7	21%	6%	63	-1.3	211/264/316	105	271	9	4	25%	6%	63	-1.3	203/258/308	105	261	10	1	25%	6%	57	-1.5
✕Bligh Madris 2023 · MLB	27	47→48	44→50	44→50	45	232/289/358	127	296	11	7	25%	7%	82	+0.0	210/279/355	145	275	16	13	29%	8%	78	-0.3	191/266/344	153	237	19	13	28%	9%	69	-0.6