Ali Camarillo — OGILVIE

Ali CamarilloSS Lansing Lugnuts

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION376 act + 250 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .290 / .321

PA250

HR2

SB10

K%22

BB%6

BABIP296

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$2M	+$1.0M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$17M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	411	374	80	13	1	1	25	90	5	18	5	214	272	262	534	48	274	22	6	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	411	361	92	16	1	1	38	68	5	18	5	255	334	313	647	58	306	17	9	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	OAK	—	376	339	86	21	1	6	21	84	8	22	1	254	312	375	687	121	315	22	6	296	85	-6	+4	+0	+4	+11	1.2
YTD	23	A+	OAK	—	376	330	98	26	1	7	30	62	8	22	1	297	370	445	815	148	342	16	8	357	131	+13	+4	+0	+4	+11	3.3
ROS	23	A+	OAK	0%	250	230	54	12	1	2	14	54	4	10	1	234	290	321	610	87	294	22	6	279	72	-8	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.3
ROS	23	MLB	OAK	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						292	0	0	265	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	OAK	—	377	340	86	21	1	6	21	84	8	22	1	253	312	374	685	121	314	22	6	296	85	-6	+4	+0	+4	+11	1.2
TOT	23	A+	OAK	—	626	569	140	33	2	8	35	138	12	32	2	246	303	353	656	107	307	22	6	289	79	-15	+6	+0	+7	+18	1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	OAK	30%	476	438	104	23	1	6	28	101	7	13	1	237	294	336	629	98	291	21	6	281	73	-14	+2	+0	+5	+13	0.7
2028	25	MLB	OAK	44%	503	460	110	24	1	8	31	107	7	12	1	239	297	348	645	109	292	21	6	289	79	-12	+2	+0	+5	+14	1.0
2029	26	MLB	OAK	51%	518	473	113	24	1	9	33	110	7	12	1	239	298	351	649	112	292	21	6	293	82	-10	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.2
2030	27	MLB	OAK	52%	523	477	114	24	1	9	34	112	7	11	1	239	299	350	649	111	292	21	7	294	83	-10	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.2
2031	28	MLB	OAK	53%	522	476	113	24	1	9	34	113	7	10	1	237	298	349	647	111	292	22	7	293	82	-11	+2	-1	+6	+15	1.1
2032	29	MLB	OAK	53%	514	468	112	24	1	9	34	112	7	10	1	239	301	353	653	113	291	22	7	291	81	-11	+2	-1	+6	+15	0.9
2033	30	MLB	OAK	52%	504	458	108	23	1	8	34	111	7	9	1	236	299	343	641	107	290	22	7	288	79	-12	+1	-2	+5	+14	0.7
2027	24	MLB	OAK	30%	144	133	31	7	0	2	8	31	2	4	0	233	287	331	618	98	289	22	6	269	64	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	25	MLB	OAK	44%	223	204	48	10	1	3	14	47	3	5	1	235	294	338	632	103	289	21	6	276	70	-8	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2029	26	MLB	OAK	51%	263	240	57	12	1	4	17	56	4	6	1	237	299	346	645	108	290	21	6	280	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2030	27	MLB	OAK	52%	274	250	60	13	1	5	18	59	4	6	1	240	301	360	661	120	290	22	7	281	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2031	28	MLB	OAK	53%	278	254	61	13	1	5	18	60	4	6	1	240	301	358	659	118	289	22	6	280	73	-9	+1	-0	+3	+8	0.3
2032	29	MLB	OAK	53%	270	246	58	12	1	4	18	59	4	5	1	236	299	341	640	106	289	22	7	279	71	-9	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.2
2033	30	MLB	OAK	52%	263	240	56	12	1	4	18	58	3	5	1	233	295	342	637	108	288	22	7	276	70	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1716	1568	371	79	6	27	111	370	24	37	6	237	297	346	643	110	292	22	6	278	71	-56	+5	-2	+18	+49	1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	140	30	2	10	42	140	9	14	2	236	296	343	640	108	291	22	6	278	71	-21	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	4221	3854	908	191	9	61	267	910	58	105	13	236	295	337	632	102	291	22	6	284	75	-118	+16	-4	+45	+120	6.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	139	29	1	9	41	140	9	16	2	234	293	332	626	98	290	22	6	284	75	-18	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	57	50	13	1	0	0	6	6	0	3	2	260	339	280	619	20	295	11	11	286	77	-1	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2025	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	354	311	79	15	1	1	32	62	5	15	3	254	333	318	652	64	308	18	9	297	85	-6	+2	—	—	+10	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,716	28	36	239	295	350	+18	+9	3.4	3.4
	/162	664	11	14	239	295	350	+7.1	+3.5	1.3	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ali Camarillo (OGILVIE)	23	45	20	50	35	246/303/353	107	307	8	32	22%	6%	79	+1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Erlin Cerda 2017 · A	23	44	36→40	51→55	42	205/266/276	70	280	2	11	26%	6%	49	-1.8	196/240/268	72	301	3	8	34%	5%	35	-2.8	163/196/205	43	251	0	8	34%	3%	-4	-1.3
✕Gabriel Mejia 2018 · A	23	50	35→30	52→70	44	233/280/289	57	296	2	22	22%	6%	57	-1.2	214/266/275	61	298	3	13	27%	6%	48	-1.9	217/272/262	45	282	0	10	21%	6%	46	-0.4
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A	23	47	37→30	52→65	42	219/287/293	74	318	4	14	30%	7%	63	-0.9	230/317/295	65	313	3	29	25%	9%	76	+0.1	252/330/304	52	316	1	49	19%	9%	79	+0.1
✕DJ Jenkins 2017 · A	23	45	34→30	50→55	43	214/263/264	51	276	2	17	23%	6%	43	-2.2	217/268/262	45	307	2	14	28%	6%	45	-2.1	216/267/246	31	307	1	15	28%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Keith Grieshaber 2017 · A	22	48	35→40	51→55	39	224/268/291	66	297	2	11	24%	4%	53	-1.5	236/299/322	86	300	5	17	21%	6%	76	+0.0	251/322/343	92	309	5	26	19%	6%	87	+0.5
✕Bryson Brigman 2018 · A	23	48→58	36→40	47→50	44	225/272/287	62	283	3	10	21%	6%	53	-1.5	241/294/317	76	304	4	10	21%	6%	71	-0.3	255/311/340	85	317	5	11	20%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Luis Rivera 2007 · A	23	47	35→30	51→45	40	220/255/275	55	273	3	13	20%	4%	43	-2.2	225/259/279	54	268	2	6	16%	4%	45	-2.1	234/264/274	40	274	1	3	14%	3%	42	-0.8
✕Tyler Filliben 2016 · A	23	46	36→30	47→45	45	219/278/286	68	277	3	9	22%	6%	57	-1.2	187/241/260	73	252	4	8	26%	5%	34	-2.8	125/176/175	49	173	2	5	27%	3%	-17	-2.6
✕Luke Willis 2016 · A	23	46	34→40	54→50	43	216/263/270	55	273	2	12	21%	5%	46	-2.0	233/285/307	74	318	5	12	26%	6%	65	-0.7	257/310/329	72	354	6	15	27%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Adam Godwin 2006 · A	23	49→53	36→30	46→55	40	229/270/300	70	292	3	12	22%	4%	56	-1.3	238/285/302	64	295	3	21	19%	5%	63	-0.9	244/294/302	59	300	2	26	18%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Tadd Brewer 2007 · A	23	47	36→30	47→50	46	218/283/291	73	264	3	9	18%	6%	60	-1.0	200/259/272	72	274	3	8	26%	6%	45	-2.1	186/255/248	63	270	0	9	29%	7%	35	-0.9
✕Alberto Robles 2014 · A	23	54	36→30	50→55	46	251/301/318	67	294	3	16	16%	5%	74	-0.1	224/266/308	84	268	6	13	18%	5%	56	-1.3	208/242/279	71	242	6	15	16%	4%	35	-1.1
✕Dixon Mavares 2007 · A	21	46	35→30	51→50	44	215/285/275	60	277	1	11	22%	6%	57	-1.2	220/294/288	68	262	3	10	16%	8%	65	-0.7	223/303/283	60	253	3	11	12%	8%	65	-0.2
✕Jose Cordova 2023 · A	23	43	36→40	49→50	37	202/254/269	67	295	3	8	31%	5%	42	-2.3	212/268/287	75	305	4	9	30%	6%	53	-1.5	227/290/312	85	305	4	12	25%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2018 · AA	23	52→56	36→40	47→55	45	246/294/309	63	293	3	11	17%	5%	69	-0.4	244/301/332	88	293	6	12	18%	6%	78	+0.2	264/312/341	77	299	6	21	14%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Joe Munoz 2008 · A	22	43	36→30	51→55	44	202/275/270	69	257	2	16	21%	6%	53	-1.5	204/255/269	65	274	3	9	25%	4%	42	-2.3	197/231/226	29	265	0	9	25%	2%	17	-1.1
✕Juan Herrera 2016 · A	23	48→52	35→40	49→50	41	226/267/290	64	287	2	16	22%	4%	53	-1.5	199/239/267	68	274	4	9	27%	5%	34	-2.8	169/200/224	55	244	2	5	30%	3%	3	-2.2
✕Davis Bradshaw 2021 · A	23	46	36→40	52→50	39	218/261/285	67	284	3	12	24%	4%	49	-1.8	252/304/325	73	318	4	11	21%	5%	77	+0.1	270/323/338	69	342	4	10	21%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Mike Brownstein 2011 · A	23	49	36→30	50→55	53	225/298/293	68	274	2	15	18%	9%	67	-0.5	223/287/297	74	296	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	225/291/289	64	297	2	14	23%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Richard Rodriguez 2016 · A	23	54	34→30	43→50	48	251/299/297	46	305	1	9	18%	6%	67	-0.5	211/252/271	60	282	3	8	25%	5%	41	-2.3	148/174/156	8	197	0	7	24%	3%	-26	-1.4