Travis Adams — OGILVIE

Travis Adams P Minnesota Twins

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 197 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION57 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109101vR 93

ERA4.30

FIP4.15

K%22.6%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%12.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4040

CMD4040

K†4550

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p4894.4

Whiff%

p6527.6%

p7126.0%

xwOBA vs

p520.310

SI (11%)

CU (4%)

FB-1.4 (41%)

CH-2.1 (17%)

CT-2.2 (19%)

SL-3.0 (20%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	1	1	1	8	3	2	0	100%	1.3	37.5%	25.0%	12.5%	0.0%	20.25	3.10	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	1	1	1	8	3	2	0	100%	1.3	37.5%	25.0%	12.5%	0.0%	20.25	3.10	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	101	412	108	26	8	100%	4.6	19.7%	7.4%	12.3%	2.5%	3.93	3.77	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	101	412	108	26	8	100%	4.6	26.2%	6.3%	19.9%	1.9%	3.93	2.76	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	26	25	110	479	97	43	16	96%	4.2	16.4%	9.9%	6.5%	3.3%	5.66	4.75	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	26	25	110	479	97	43	16	96%	4.2	16.4%	9.9%	6.5%	3.3%	5.66	4.75	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	26	25	110	479	97	43	16	96%	4.2	20.3%	9.0%	11.3%	3.3%	5.66	4.40	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	127	523	118	35	13	85%	4.9	18.3%	7.1%	11.2%	3.3%	3.90	4.24	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	22	127	523	118	35	13	85%	4.9	18.3%	7.1%	11.2%	3.3%	3.90	4.24	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	22	127	523	118	35	13	85%	4.9	22.6%	6.7%	15.9%	2.5%	3.90	3.40	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	7	102	449	95	40	11	17%	2.5	18.7%	8.4%	10.3%	2.3%	5.10	3.85	+0.9
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	7	102	449	95	40	11	17%	2.5	18.7%	8.4%	10.3%	2.3%	5.10	3.85	+0.9
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	7	102	449	95	40	11	17%	2.5	21.2%	8.9%	12.2%	2.4%	5.10	3.81	+0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			53	2	82	366	85	39	13	4%	1.5	23.2%	10.7%	12.6%	3.6%	6.15	4.51	+0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	43	0	57	250	64	27	7	0%	1.3	26.0%	10.6%	15.4%	3.3%	5.49	4.09	+0.3
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	43	0	57	250	64	27	7	0%	1.3	26.0%	10.6%	15.4%	3.3%	5.49	4.09	+0.3
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	A RAW	MIN	2	0	2	6	3	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	MIN	6	0	7	36	7	5	0	0%	1.2	19.4%	13.9%	5.6%	0.0%	9.00	3.22	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	MIN	35	0	48	208	54	22	7	0%	1.4	26.0%	10.6%	15.4%	3.4%	5.21	4.09	+0.3
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	MIN	35	0	48	208	54	22	7	0%	1.4	26.0%	10.6%	15.4%	3.4%	5.21	4.09	+0.3
ROS	26	MLB MLE	MIN	6	0	6	27	6	3	1	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.9%	12.7%	3.1%	4.30	4.15	+0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	MIN	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.9%	12.7%	3.1%	4.30	4.15	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	64	277	70	30	8	—	—	25.3%	10.7%	14.6%	2.8%	5.38	4.09	+0.4
FULL	26	MLB A+C	MIN	—	—	55	231	70	30	8	—	—	30.4%	12.8%	17.5%	3.4%	6.26	4.03	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIN	142	0	149	628	138	61	20	0%	1.0	22.0%	9.8%	12.2%	3.2%	4.66	4.62	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIN	142	0	149	628	137	61	21	0%	1.0	21.8%	9.8%	12.1%	3.3%	4.65	4.67	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	MIN	135	0	142	600	128	59	20	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.9%	11.4%	3.4%	4.74	4.81	-0.4
2030	30	MLB MLE	MIN	127	0	134	564	116	57	20	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.1%	10.5%	3.6%	4.89	5.00	-0.7
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIN	134	0	141	595	131	58	19	0%	1.1	22.0%	9.8%	12.2%	3.2%	4.66	4.62	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIN	134	0	141	595	130	58	20	0%	1.1	21.8%	9.8%	12.1%	3.3%	4.65	4.67	-0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	MIN	129	0	135	570	121	56	19	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.9%	11.4%	3.4%	4.74	4.81	-0.4
2030	30	MLB CTX	MIN	121	0	127	536	110	54	19	0%	1.0	20.6%	10.1%	10.5%	3.6%	4.89	5.00	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		578	2	633	2692	584	269	91	0%	1.1	21.7%	10.0%	11.7%	3.4%	4.91	4.39	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		183	1	200	851	185	85	29	0%	1.1	21.7%	10.0%	11.7%	3.4%	4.91	4.39	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		159	77	498	2121	407	181	62	48%	3.1	19.2%	8.5%	10.7%	2.9%	4.77	4.16	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	31	200	851	164	73	25	48%	3.1	19.2%	8.5%	10.7%	2.9%	4.77	4.16	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Travis Adams (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	19.2%	9.5%	3.1%	—	4.70	21.7%	11.9%	440	-0.05	—	—	—
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	74
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	72
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	72
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	71
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	71
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	70
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	70
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	70
Trevor Cahill R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	27	SW	4.13	16.4%	9.4%	2.2%	.297	4.12	22.9%	12.0%	293	-0.01	3.37	556	69
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	69
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	69
Chris Vallimont R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	26	SW	5.04	18.8%	10.9%	3.9%	.286	5.40	16.3%	6.6%	113	+0.36	3.23	522	69
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	69
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	69
Orlando Rodriguez R 2022 · 4.40 FIP	26	SW	4.40	23.0%	11.9%	3.1%	.278	4.67	13.7%	3.1%	41	+0.27	4.40	119	69
Kevin Herget R 2017 · 3.68 FIP	26	SW	3.68	20.3%	7.0%	2.5%	.332	4.67	18.1%	12.4%	139	+0.99	2.19	722	69
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	69
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.67	18.2%	7.1%	248	-0.15	4.29	360	69
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	68
Tyler Ivey R 2022 · 5.63 FIP	26	SW	5.63	23.0%	11.3%	5.5%	.395	5.21	15.3%	4.6%	122	-0.42	2.93	304	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.6	144	21.0%	9.8%	1.28	4.77
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Dylan Bundy ('22)	4.5	130	22.0%	7.3%	1.61	4.75
Kutter Crawford ('24)	2.0	130	23.9%	7.2%	1.45	4.47