Travis Adams
P
Minnesota Twins
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 197 lbs
MLB
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 122 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.45
FIP4.34
K%22.8%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP122
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 156 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4594.2
Whiff%
p7929.8%
K%
p8628.8%
xwOBA vs
p390.325
SI (11%)
CU (4%)
FB-1.4 (41%)
CH-2.1 (17%)
CT-2.2 (19%)
SL-3.0 (20%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Twins | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.3 | 37.5% | 25.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 20.25 | 3.10 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Twins | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 1.3 | 37.5% | 25.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 20.25 | 3.10 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 101 | 412 | 108 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 4.6 | 19.7% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 3.93 | 3.81 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 22 | 101 | 412 | 108 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 4.6 | 26.2% | 6.3% | 19.9% | 1.9% | 3.93 | 2.76 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 26 | 25 | 110 | 479 | 97 | 43 | 16 | 96% | 4.2 | 16.4% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 5.66 | 4.47 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 26 | 25 | 110 | 479 | 97 | 43 | 16 | 96% | 4.2 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 5.66 | 4.40 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 127 | 523 | 118 | 35 | 13 | 85% | 4.9 | 18.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 3.8% | 3.90 | 4.54 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 22 | 127 | 523 | 118 | 35 | 13 | 85% | 4.9 | 22.6% | 6.7% | 15.9% | 2.5% | 3.90 | 3.40 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 7 | 102 | 449 | 95 | 40 | 11 | 17% | 2.5 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 2.1% | 5.10 | 3.79 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 7 | 102 | 449 | 95 | 40 | 11 | 17% | 2.5 | 21.2% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 2.4% | 5.10 | 3.81 | +1.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | 26 | 0 | 34 | 153 | 42 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.8% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 4.5% | 6.42 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIN | 117 | 0 | 122 | 517 | 118 | 54 | 17 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 4.45 | 4.34 | +1.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIN | 116 | 0 | 122 | 515 | 118 | 54 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 3.4% | 4.45 | 4.34 | +1.5 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 156 | 670 | 160 | 72 | 22 | — | — | 23.9% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 3.3% | 4.88 | 4.40 | +1.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | MIN | — | — | 147 | 621 | 160 | 72 | 22 | — | — | 25.8% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 3.6% | 5.18 | 4.37 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 142 | 0 | 149 | 628 | 139 | 65 | 21 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.77 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 142 | 0 | 149 | 628 | 138 | 64 | 22 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 4.80 | 4.82 | +1.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 134 | 0 | 141 | 595 | 132 | 61 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 4.80 | 4.77 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 134 | 0 | 141 | 595 | 131 | 61 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 4.80 | 4.82 | +1.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 422 | 2 | 463 | 1979 | 444 | 207 | 69 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 4.98 | 4.45 | +5.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 182 | 1 | 200 | 854 | 192 | 89 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 4.98 | 4.45 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 142 | 77 | 475 | 2024 | 390 | 177 | 60 | 54% | 3.3 | 19.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.21 | +6.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 60 | 32 | 200 | 853 | 164 | 75 | 25 | 54% | 3.3 | 19.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.80 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Travis Adams (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 19.7% | 10.1% | 3.1% | — | 4.79 | 22.1% | 11.8% | 298 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 73 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 73 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 73 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.65 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .319 | 4.96 | 18.4% | 6.6% | 242 | +0.31 | 4.39 | 353 | 70 |
| TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.63 | 23.7% | 8.7% | 4.4% | .317 | 3.95 | 22.5% | 14.7% | 87 | -0.68 | 3.36 | 432 | 69 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 69 |
| Chris Vallimont R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.10 | 19.9% | 12.7% | 3.8% | .286 | 6.57 | 13.8% | 1.0% | 63 | +1.47 | 3.13 | 472 | 69 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 69 |
| Dom Hamel R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.04 | 22.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | .296 | 5.62 | 15.4% | 3.2% | 79 | +1.58 | 3.65 | 514 | 69 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 69 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 69 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 68 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 68 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 68 |
| Tyler Ivey R 2026 · 5.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.93 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 6.1% | .395 | 5.44 | 16.2% | 3.7% | 122 | -0.49 | 2.96 | 304 | 68 |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 68 |
| Dylan King R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 68 |
| Jake Lyons R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 68 |
| Jack Perkins R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.98 | 27.3% | 8.7% | 3.8% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 324 | 67 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 148 | 21.3% | 10.2% | 1.29 | 4.84 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |
| Yovani Gallardo ('18) | 4 | 132 | 15.4% | 10.2% | 1.18 | 4.97 |