Chris Vallimont — OGILVIE

Chris Vallimont P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 29 RHP 6'5" / 240 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 31 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 120

ERA5.45

FIP5.45

K%17.1%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%5.9%

ROS IP31

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

SL-0.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	128	503	150	41	7	100%	5.6	22.5%	9.5%	13.0%	1.5%	3.24	3.23	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	128	503	150	41	7	100%	5.6	29.8%	8.2%	21.7%	1.4%	3.24	2.43	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	94	429	136	61	15	100%	4.3	25.2%	16.1%	9.1%	3.9%	5.84	5.15	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	94	429	136	61	15	100%	4.3	31.7%	14.2%	17.5%	3.5%	5.84	4.23	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	21	104	473	105	49	13	81%	4.0	19.0%	11.2%	7.8%	3.1%	5.62	4.60	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	21	104	473	105	49	13	81%	4.0	22.2%	10.4%	11.8%	2.7%	5.62	4.12	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	9	87	382	87	46	14	29%	2.8	18.8%	10.9%	7.9%	3.9%	5.48	5.04	-0.5
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	9	87	382	87	46	14	29%	2.8	18.8%	10.9%	7.9%	3.9%	5.48	5.04	-0.5
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	9	87	382	87	46	14	29%	2.8	22.8%	12.0%	10.7%	3.7%	5.48	4.78	-0.2
2024	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	10	9	42	200	33	27	11	90%	4.2	13.7%	12.2%	1.5%	6.8%	8.57	7.19	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	10	9	42	200	33	27	11	90%	4.2	13.7%	12.2%	1.5%	6.8%	8.57	7.19	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	10	9	42	200	33	27	11	90%	4.2	16.5%	13.5%	3.0%	5.5%	8.57	6.86	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	1	2	1	0	0	0%	0.7	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.10	+0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	18	15	71	309	68	23	8	83%	3.9	17.8%	8.2%	9.6%	3.1%	4.33	4.34	—
YTD	29	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	18	15	71	309	68	23	8	83%	3.9	17.8%	8.2%	9.6%	3.1%	4.33	4.34	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AA RAW	MIN	18	15	71	309	68	23	8	83%	3.9	22.0%	7.4%	14.6%	2.6%	4.33	3.61	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	MIN	5	5	29	123	21	14	5	100%	5.8	17.3%	11.2%	6.1%	3.8%	5.44	5.52	-0.2
2027	30	MLB CTX	MIN	2	2	9	38	7	4	1	100%	4.5	17.3%	11.2%	6.1%	3.8%	5.44	5.52	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	2	10	40	8	4	1	67%	3.3	19.0%	10.7%	8.3%	3.6%	5.07	4.83	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		52	31	200	828	164	82	20	60%	3.9	19.0%	10.7%	8.3%	3.6%	5.07	4.83	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		130	99	525	2296	465	261	77	76%	4.0	20.3%	11.4%	8.9%	3.3%	5.12	4.66	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	38	200	874	177	99	29	76%	4.0	20.3%	11.4%	8.9%	3.3%	5.12	4.66	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chris Vallimont (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.45	17.1%	11.1%	3.7%	—	5.52	17.3%	6.1%	29	+0.07	—	—	—
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	75
Reinier Roibal R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	30	SP	4.91	17.5%	11.8%	3.3%	.426	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	133	71
Miguel Ruiz R 2015 · 5.77 FIP	29	SP-	5.77	8.8%	8.0%	4.4%	.346	5.60	10.6%	-0.4%	53	-0.17	5.60	117	68
Trevor Cahill R 2017 · 5.13 FIP	29	SP-	5.13	22.8%	11.5%	4.5%	.321	4.36	21.3%	11.7%	251	-0.77	3.37	556	67
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	67
David Griffin R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	27	SP-	5.85	13.9%	9.2%	5.0%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	4.43	239	66
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	66
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.84	19.6%	8.0%	114	-2.22	3.68	136	66
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	66
Kris Medlen R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	29	SP-	4.82	15.4%	6.4%	4.0%	.261	5.17	17.1%	8.6%	173	+0.35	4.59	261	66
Matt Cain R 2015 · 4.88 FIP	30	SP-	4.88	17.1%	6.8%	4.3%	.296	4.87	15.2%	7.6%	214	-0.01	4.82	294	66
Alfredo Aceves R 2015 · 4.98 FIP	32	SP	4.98	10.0%	6.2%	3.5%	.244	4.93	9.9%	2.0%	107	-0.05	4.78	160	65
Clayton Mortensen R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	15.0%	12.6%	1.8%	.289	4.43	22.0%	10.3%	115	+0.02	4.31	221	64
Luis Mateo R 2019 · 5.55 FIP	29	SP-	5.55	8.6%	13.4%	2.7%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	160	64
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	63
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	63
Daniel Guerrero R 2016 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP	4.81	12.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.328	4.93	11.7%	2.0%	175	+0.12	4.61	269	62
Hiram Burgos R 2017 · 4.94 FIP	29	SP	4.94	19.3%	7.5%	4.6%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	355	62
Sean O'Sullivan R 2017 · 5.76 FIP	29	SP-	5.76	11.9%	11.7%	4.0%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	290	61
Bradin Hagens R 2018 · 4.92 FIP	29	SP-	4.92	14.9%	9.9%	3.3%	.341	5.46	13.2%	0.6%	66	+0.54	3.79	254	61

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	17.2%	11.2%	1.44	5.45
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14