Ryan Campos — OGILVIE

Ryan CamposC Springfield Cardinals

Age 23 L/R 5'8" / 190 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION300 act + 200 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .303 / .330

PA200

HR4

SB7

K%29

BB%10

BABIP296

ISO114

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$11M	+$11M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$11M	+$11M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$9M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$8M	+$6M
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$6M	+$4M
2034	Arb-3	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$14M		$50M	+$43M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	106	94	24	6	0	0	10	20	0	0	1	255	327	319	646	64	316	19	9	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	106	91	29	8	0	0	13	13	0	0	1	319	404	407	810	88	362	12	12	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	421	374	69	15	3	3	43	111	3	15	3	184	274	265	539	80	253	26	10	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	421	353	83	22	3	3	64	74	3	15	3	235	357	340	697	105	289	18	15	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	STL	—	300	263	64	13	0	9	30	93	4	14	1	243	330	395	725	152	335	31	10	318	102	+1	+2	+0	+5	+8	1.7
YTD	23	AA	STL	—	300	250	70	15	0	10	43	72	4	14	1	280	394	460	854	180	351	24	14	379	148	+16	+2	+0	+5	+8	3.3
ROS	23	AA	STL	2%	200	176	38	8	0	4	20	58	2	7	1	216	303	330	633	114	292	29	10	287	78	-5	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.5
ROS	23	MLB	STL	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		292	25	0	280	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	AA	STL	—	304	267	65	13	0	9	30	94	4	14	1	243	329	393	722	150	335	31	10	317	101	+0	+2	+0	+5	+9	1.7
TOT	23	AA	STL	—	500	439	102	21	0	13	50	151	6	21	2	232	319	369	688	137	319	30	10	306	92	-4	+3	+0	+9	+14	2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	STL	31%	500	442	96	20	1	10	50	142	4	14	2	217	302	335	637	118	294	28	10	291	81	-11	+2	+0	+9	+14	1.5
2028	25	MLB	STL	45%	514	453	101	21	2	11	51	143	5	14	2	223	308	351	659	128	294	28	10	296	85	-9	+2	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2029	26	MLB	STL	51%	518	456	103	21	2	12	52	143	5	14	2	226	312	360	672	134	294	28	10	298	87	-8	+2	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2030	27	MLB	STL	53%	517	455	103	21	2	12	52	142	5	14	2	226	312	360	673	134	294	27	10	299	87	-8	+2	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2031	28	MLB	STL	53%	513	451	99	20	1	11	52	142	5	14	2	220	307	341	649	122	294	28	10	298	86	-8	+2	-1	+9	+15	1.7
2032	29	MLB	STL	53%	507	445	98	20	1	11	52	141	5	12	2	220	309	344	653	124	293	28	10	296	85	-9	+2	-1	+9	+14	1.5
2033	30	MLB	STL	56%	499	440	96	19	1	11	51	140	5	11	1	218	306	341	647	123	291	28	10	293	83	-10	+2	-2	+9	+14	1.3
2034	31	MLB	STL	59%	476	421	90	18	1	10	48	135	4	9	1	214	300	333	633	119	289	28	10	289	80	-11	+1	-3	+8	+13	1.0
2035	32	MLB	STL	61%	453	400	85	17	1	9	46	130	4	7	1	212	300	328	627	115	285	29	10	284	75	-13	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.6
2036	33	MLB	STL	62%	386	341	70	14	1	7	39	113	3	5	1	205	292	314	606	109	281	29	10	277	70	-13	+1	-4	+7	+11	0.1
2037	34	MLB	STL	58%	333	294	59	11	1	6	33	100	3	3	0	201	288	306	594	105	275	30	10	268	64	-14	+1	-5	+6	+9	-0.3
2027	24	MLB	STL	31%	155	138	29	6	0	3	15	44	1	4	1	210	292	319	611	109	294	28	10	284	76	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2028	25	MLB	STL	45%	229	202	45	9	1	5	23	64	2	6	1	223	308	351	660	129	294	28	10	289	79	-5	+1	+0	+4	+6	0.6
2029	26	MLB	STL	51%	264	234	53	11	1	6	26	73	2	7	1	226	309	359	668	132	294	28	10	291	81	-6	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.8
2030	27	MLB	STL	53%	271	239	54	11	1	6	27	74	3	8	1	226	312	356	668	130	294	27	10	292	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2031	28	MLB	STL	53%	274	241	54	11	1	6	28	76	3	7	1	224	312	353	665	129	293	28	10	291	81	-6	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.7
2032	29	MLB	STL	53%	267	236	53	11	1	6	27	74	2	7	1	225	309	356	665	131	292	28	10	289	79	-6	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.7
2033	30	MLB	STL	56%	282	248	55	11	1	6	29	79	3	6	1	222	311	347	657	125	291	28	10	286	77	-7	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.6
2034	31	MLB	STL	59%	282	248	54	11	1	6	29	80	3	5	1	218	307	343	650	125	289	28	10	282	74	-8	+1	-2	+5	+8	0.4
2035	32	MLB	STL	61%	276	244	51	10	1	5	28	79	2	4	1	209	296	320	615	111	285	29	10	277	70	-9	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.2
2036	33	MLB	STL	62%	240	212	42	8	0	4	24	70	2	3	0	198	286	292	578	94	281	29	10	271	65	-9	+1	-3	+4	+7	-0.0
2037	34	MLB	STL	58%	192	169	33	6	0	3	19	57	2	2	0	195	284	284	568	89	274	30	10	262	59	-9	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2736	2415	524	105	8	56	275	771	25	59	9	217	303	337	640	120	293	28	10	284	75	-76	+8	-12	+49	+78	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	124	25	2	13	65	183	6	14	2	216	302	334	637	118	291	28	10	284	75	-18	+2	-3	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	5943	5242	1131	231	17	117	599	1660	53	139	21	216	303	333	636	118	290	28	10	288	79	-144	+19	-20	+106	+168	13.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	124	25	2	13	66	182	6	15	2	216	304	335	639	119	291	28	10	288	79	-16	+2	-2	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	106	91	29	8	0	0	13	13	0	0	1	319	404	407	810	88	362	12	12	362	135	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2025	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	421	353	83	22	3	3	64	74	3	15	3	235	357	340	697	105	289	18	15	323	105	+3	+2	—	—	+12	1.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,738	57	60	217	301	338	+49	+24	7.0	6.5
	/162	664	14	15	217	301	338	+11.9	+5.8	1.7	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Campos (OGILVIE)	23	45	30	50	60	232/319/369	137	319	13	21	30%	10%	92	+2.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nolan Fontana 2014 · A	23	42→43	39→40	52→50	58	198/312/287	89	285	6	14	30%	14%	73	-0.1	204/300/291	87	305	4	9	30%	12%	69	-0.4	184/288/308	124	252	11	12	29%	12%	68	-0.2
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A	23	43	38→30	48→40	51	205/292/282	77	270	6	7	25%	10%	63	-0.8	226/312/290	64	313	3	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	233/324/284	51	328	2	2	26%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Miguel Arrendell 2011 · A	23	43	37→30	50	49	203/281/278	74	276	5	13	26%	9%	56	-1.3	218/273/311	93	277	8	8	23%	7%	61	-1.0	226/274/319	93	262	9	2	17%	6%	59	-0.4
✕Raynel Delgado 2023 · AA	23	40→50	39→40	49→60	43	195/265/283	88	276	7	15	30%	7%	51	-1.7	229/292/326	97	319	8	23	29%	7%	73	-0.1	242/304/336	94	333	8	32	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Casey Turgeon 2016 · A	23	44	37→40	50→45	54	207/299/281	74	259	4	9	20%	10%	66	-0.6	209/295/308	99	267	8	7	23%	10%	71	-0.3	201/292/309	108	254	10	5	23%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Hoy Park 2019 · A	23	46→49	39→45	55	50	218/298/304	86	288	6	17	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/304/324	97	304	7	16	25%	9%	78	+0.2	217/301/336	119	289	13	18	28%	10%	77	+0.1
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/285/301	89	298	5	7	29%	6%	65	-0.7	218/299/286	68	273	4	4	20%	8%	67	-0.5	236/329/295	58	282	5	1	16%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Michael DeJesus 2006 · A	23	43→51	36→30	50→45	50	200/287/267	67	290	3	11	30%	10%	56	-1.3	224/299/284	60	278	4	7	19%	10%	66	-0.6	229/306/286	57	278	4	5	18%	10%	66	-0.5
✕Braiden Ward 2022 · A	23	48→45	37→40	47→70	46	223/310/297	75	312	4	10	28%	8%	75	-0.0	211/301/295	84	308	6	44	31%	6%	72	-0.2	223/313/324	101	306	6	64	26%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Dallas Poulk 2011 · A	23	42	40→30	50	44	204/263/298	94	276	7	8	28%	7%	53	-1.5	210/276/281	71	300	3	9	28%	8%	54	-1.4	203/274/265	61	294	1	8	29%	8%	47	-1.3
✕Alvaro Ramirez 2009 · A	23	45	38→40	49→55	46	213/277/299	86	263	5	15	20%	6%	60	-1.0	238/293/315	77	287	5	16	18%	5%	70	-0.3	298/358/375	77	330	4	27	10%	5%	111	+1.0
✕Noe Becerra 2010 · AAA	23	44	39→30	43→40	48	213/275/293	80	267	7	7	23%	8%	57	-1.2	232/280/318	86	272	7	7	17%	6%	66	-0.6	274/319/333	59	310	3	0	12%	5%	84	+0.2
✕Kobe Kato 2023 · A	24	47	41→30	46→55	54	223/310/322	99	281	9	10	22%	11%	80	+0.4	215/294/301	86	303	6	22	28%	9%	68	-0.5	198/284/281	83	286	6	29	30%	10%	55	-0.5
✕Brent Keys 2012 · A	22	45→55	35→30	51→50	47	213/283/271	58	282	3	14	24%	8%	55	-1.4	268/325/334	66	306	3	12	12%	7%	89	+0.9	277/340/332	55	310	2	12	10%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	42	38→40	52→55	48	201/266/278	77	257	5	16	23%	8%	50	-1.8	211/289/288	77	274	5	10	23%	9%	63	-0.9	204/298/261	57	263	3	4	21%	11%	58	-0.5
✕Andrew Aplin 2014 · A	23	43→53	41→40	51→55	52	208/275/308	100	242	8	14	18%	8%	61	-1.0	228/300/310	82	280	6	22	19%	9%	72	-0.2	227/300/298	71	285	5	27	21%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Justin Viele 2014 · A	23	46	38→30	47→50	51	216/296/290	74	273	5	10	22%	9%	66	-0.6	194/261/262	68	287	4	8	31%	7%	44	-2.1	106/169/132	26	180	0	6	38%	4%	-31	-1.3
✕Julio Gonzalez 2018 · A	23	48	35→30	55→50	50	223/288/289	66	286	2	12	22%	8%	62	-0.9	206/269/275	69	268	2	8	22%	8%	50	-1.8	172/237/227	55	216	0	5	19%	7%	21	-1.0
✕Joe Sclafani 2014 · A	24	46→45	40	52→50	51	218/297/316	98	272	6	14	21%	9%	73	-0.1	252/313/328	76	307	4	11	18%	8%	82	+0.5	279/336/340	61	333	2	10	16%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Nick Ward 2019 · A	23	43	39→40	52→50	47	204/283/297	93	286	5	10	29%	9%	63	-0.9	197/272/276	79	302	5	7	33%	8%	53	-1.5	193/276/269	75	278	9	15	31%	9%	51	-1.0