Fisher Jameson — OGILVIE

Fisher Jameson P Spokane Indians

+1.0 WAR

Age 23 RHP 6'5" / 240 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.9 · 2029

ERA4.25

FIP4.25

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.1%

BB%8.2%

K-BB%12.9%

IP99

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.9peak

2029

K†5055

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2025	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	39	7	99	408	93	22	5	16.9%	6.4%	1.8%	2.81	3.45	+2.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	A+	Spokane Indians	3	0	10	42	2	3	2	—	—	—	3.72	—	—
ROS	23	MLB	COL	18	18	99	419	88	34	12	21.1%	8.2%	2.8%	4.25	4.25	+1.2
2026 Total	23	MLB	COL	—	—	109	461	90	37	14	19.6%	8.1%	2.9%	4.20	3.87	+1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	24	MLB	COL	21	21	118	497	108	39	14	21.7%	7.9%	2.8%	4.19	4.16	+1.5
2028	25	MLB	COL	24	24	131	554	123	43	15	22.1%	7.8%	2.8%	4.14	4.11	+1.8
2029	26	MLB	COL	25	25	138	584	130	45	16	22.3%	7.7%	2.8%	4.11	4.09	+1.9
2030	27	MLB	COL	26	26	141	597	133	46	17	22.3%	7.7%	2.8%	4.11	4.11	+1.9
2031	28	MLB	COL	26	26	141	596	133	46	17	22.3%	7.8%	2.8%	4.12	4.13	+1.9
2032	29	MLB	COL	25	25	138	583	129	46	17	22.2%	7.8%	2.9%	4.16	4.18	+1.8
2033	30	MLB	COL	24	24	134	565	124	45	17	22.0%	8.0%	2.9%	4.21	4.24	+1.6
2034	31	MLB	COL	23	23	129	546	118	44	16	21.7%	8.1%	3.0%	4.27	4.32	+1.4
2035	32	MLB	COL	23	23	124	524	112	43	16	21.4%	8.2%	3.1%	4.35	4.40	+1.3
2036	33	MLB	COL	22	22	118	500	106	42	16	21.1%	8.4%	3.2%	4.44	4.50	+1.1
2037	34	MLB	COL	20	20	112	475	99	41	16	20.8%	8.6%	3.3%	4.54	4.61	+0.9
2038	35	MLB	COL	19	19	106	448	91	39	15	20.4%	8.8%	3.4%	4.65	4.73	+0.7
2039	36	MLB	COL	18	18	99	418	84	38	15	20.0%	9.1%	3.5%	4.78	4.86	+0.5
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			42	7	109	450	71	29	9	15.7%	6.4%	2.0%	2.89	3.71	+2.0
/ 200 IP	—			77	13	200	826	130	53	17	15.7%	6.4%	2.0%	2.89	3.71	+3.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Fisher Jameson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.25	21.1%	8.2%	2.8%	—	4.12	22.1%	14.3%	387	-0.13	—	—	—
Jason Bahr R 2026 · 3.79 FIP	23	SP-	3.79	20.3%	8.2%	2.5%	.297	4.07	20.3%	7.1%	155	+0.28	3.32	315	93
Mason Adams R 2026 · 3.66 FIP	23	SP-	3.66	20.4%	7.3%	2.5%	.315	3.76	18.2%	12.0%	120	+0.10	3.66	229	93
Tyler Stuart R 2026 · 3.55 FIP	23	SP-	3.55	19.5%	8.1%	1.9%	.280	3.89	20.4%	11.7%	142	+0.34	3.55	252	93
Rorik Maltrud R 2027 · 3.89 FIP	24	SP-	3.89	20.4%	9.6%	2.4%	.300	4.44	18.2%	7.0%	78	+0.55	3.89	183	93
Colin Peluse R 2026 · 4.20 FIP	23	SP-	4.20	20.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.299	5.61	15.0%	6.8%	236	+1.41	3.05	395	92
Austin Cates R 2025 · 3.95 FIP	22	SP-	3.95	19.7%	9.0%	2.5%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	110	92
Kenten Egbert R 2026 · 4.23 FIP	23	SP-	4.23	19.6%	9.6%	2.9%	.257	4.02	10.6%	4.0%	101	-0.21	4.02	199	92
Logan Workman R 2026 · 4.34 FIP	23	SP-	4.34	19.3%	7.4%	3.5%	.287	3.98	20.4%	12.5%	362	-0.36	3.84	494	92
Grant Rogers R 2026 · 4.08 FIP	23	SP-	4.08	17.4%	7.2%	2.8%	.297	3.89	14.2%	7.6%	150	-0.19	3.89	262	92
Garrett Edwards R 2026 · 3.86 FIP	23	SP-	3.86	18.5%	7.3%	2.5%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.86	107	92
Zack Lee R 2026 · 3.52 FIP	23	SP-	3.52	19.2%	7.0%	2.1%	.293	5.37	11.6%	2.7%	93	+1.85	3.52	175	91
Wil Jensen R 2026 · 4.38 FIP	23	SP-	4.38	18.9%	6.9%	3.6%	.300	4.37	21.0%	11.3%	266	-0.01	3.50	368	91
Ian Bedell R 2026 · 3.72 FIP	23	SP-	3.72	21.0%	10.1%	2.0%	.285	5.74	19.4%	9.6%	160	+2.02	3.72	256	91
Nick Dean R 2026 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	17.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.275	3.99	21.6%	13.8%	65	+0.16	3.83	155	91
Blake Beers R 2027 · 4.61 FIP	24	SP-	4.61	18.9%	9.0%	3.6%	.298	4.96	17.7%	8.5%	323	+0.35	4.41	416	91
James Hicks R 2026 · 4.23 FIP	23	SP-	4.23	19.6%	7.2%	3.4%	.338	4.35	17.5%	10.4%	61	+0.12	3.67	167	91
Tyler Uberstine R 2026 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	19.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.302	4.38	23.2%	14.7%	121	+0.23	4.15	212	90
Cooper Chandler R 2027 · 4.30 FIP	24	SP-	4.30	17.8%	9.3%	2.8%	.300	3.77	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.53	3.77	107	90
Mitch Spence R 2026 · 4.12 FIP	23	SP-	4.12	20.3%	9.5%	2.8%	.314	4.52	19.2%	11.6%	445	+0.40	4.07	663	90
Tate Scioneaux R 2026 · 3.70 FIP	23	SP-	3.70	19.8%	7.9%	2.3%	.236	4.02	19.6%	13.5%	184	+0.32	3.11	321	90

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.9	$17M	+$16M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.9	$18M	+$17M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.8	$17M	+$16M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.6	$16M	+$13M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.4	$14M	+$10M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.3	$14M	+$8M
Totals		$16M		$95M	+$80M