Canyon BrownC
Northwest Arkansas Naturals
Age 22
R/R
6'0" / 190 lbs
AA
HR -5%BB +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.6 · 2030
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .274 / .312
PA293
HR5
SB9
K%28
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
25→25
SPD
50→50
EYE
44↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.6peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.4 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.6 | $14M | +$14M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.6 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.5 | $14M | +$11M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.3 | $13M | +$9M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.1 | $11M | +$6M |
| Totals | $15M | $80M | +$65M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 259 | 228 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 76 | 6 | 8 | 3 | .193 | .267 | .254 | .521 | .061 | .271 | 29 | 7 | .228 | 33 | -20 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 34 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | .226 | .294 | .323 | .617 | .097 | .273 | 24 | 9 | .276 | 69 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | KC | 259 | 236 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 71 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .212 | .276 | .309 | .586 | .097 | .282 | 27 | 7 | .269 | 64 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 0.2 |
| TOT | 22 | MLB | KC | 293 | 267 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 79 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .213 | .278 | .311 | .589 | .097 | .283 | 27 | 7 | .270 | 65 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +8 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 12% | KC | 355 | 321 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 88 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .224 | .293 | .343 | .635 | .118 | .281 | 25 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 27% | KC | 420 | 378 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 102 | 5 | 9 | 3 | .225 | .297 | .347 | .644 | .122 | .282 | 24 | 8 | .292 | 81 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 44% | KC | 452 | 406 | 92 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 108 | 5 | 9 | 3 | .227 | .301 | .350 | .650 | .123 | .283 | 24 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 59% | KC | 472 | 423 | 96 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 113 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .227 | .303 | .355 | .657 | .128 | .284 | 24 | 8 | .299 | 87 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 77% | KC | 477 | 427 | 97 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 115 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .227 | .304 | .354 | .657 | .126 | .284 | 24 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | KC | 475 | 425 | 96 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 115 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .226 | .303 | .353 | .656 | .127 | .284 | 24 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | KC | 468 | 419 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 115 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .227 | .303 | .356 | .659 | .129 | .283 | 25 | 9 | .296 | 84 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | KC | 458 | 410 | 91 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 114 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .222 | .299 | .344 | .643 | .122 | .281 | 25 | 9 | .292 | 82 | -9 | +1 | -2 | +8 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | KC | 432 | 386 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 109 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .220 | .298 | .339 | .638 | .119 | .280 | 25 | 9 | .289 | 79 | -10 | +1 | -3 | +8 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | KC | 401 | 359 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 103 | 4 | 6 | 0 | .220 | .296 | .337 | .634 | .117 | .278 | 26 | 9 | .284 | 76 | -11 | +1 | -4 | +7 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | KC | 362 | 324 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 96 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .213 | .290 | .321 | .611 | .108 | .277 | 27 | 9 | .279 | 71 | -12 | +1 | -4 | +6 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | KC | 311 | 278 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 85 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .209 | .286 | .317 | .602 | .108 | .275 | 27 | 9 | .272 | 67 | -12 | +1 | -5 | +6 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | KC | 255 | 228 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 72 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .202 | .281 | .298 | .579 | .096 | .273 | 28 | 9 | .265 | 61 | -11 | +1 | -6 | +5 | +7 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5856 | 5248 | 1155 | 204 | 24 | 120 | 490 | 1482 | 70 | 110 | 24 | .220 | .295 | .337 | .632 | .117 | .281 | 25 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -152 | +12 | -25 | +105 | +166 | 10.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 583 | 129 | 23 | 3 | 13 | 54 | 164 | 8 | 12 | 3 | .221 | .296 | .338 | .634 | .117 | .284 | 25 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -17 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 1.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 259 | 222 | 50 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 60 | 6 | 8 | 3 | .225 | .315 | .297 | .612 | .072 | .291 | 23 | 9 | .277 | 70 | -9 | +0 | — | — | +7 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Canyon Brown (OGILVIE) | 22 | 35 | 25 | 50 | 35 | .210/.274/.312 | .102 | .282 | 5 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 63 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A |
22 | 41 | 39→40 | 49→40 | 40 | .198/.263/.282 | .084 | .277 | 6 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .218/.296/.304 | .086 | .283 | 8 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.302/.289 | .070 | .280 | 7 | 1 | 22% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A |
22 | 43 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 48 | .209/.289/.317 | .108 | .281 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .221/.304/.311 | .090 | .312 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .236/.329/.308 | .072 | .330 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕David Martin 2023 · A |
22 | 45 | 39→30 | 49→30 | 42 | .213/.285/.304 | .091 | .300 | 6 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .223/.305/.293 | .070 | .278 | 5 | 4 | 20% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .243/.334/.302 | .059 | .291 | 5 | 1 | 16% | 10% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A |
23 | 43 | 39→30 | 48→40 | 49 | .206/.285/.289 | .084 | .266 | 7 | 7 | 24% | 9% | 62 | -0.9 | .224/.308/.287 | .063 | .307 | 4 | 5 | 26% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .233/.323/.283 | .051 | .326 | 2 | 2 | 26% | 8% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A |
22 | 41 | 41→40 | 46→45 | 40 | .203/.258/.301 | .098 | .286 | 8 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .200/.266/.289 | .089 | .294 | 8 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .183/.256/.260 | .077 | .269 | 7 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 40 | -1.1 |
|
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A |
22 | 44 | 40→45 | 50 | 40 | .212/.268/.307 | .095 | .307 | 8 | 8 | 32% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .203/.290/.313 | .110 | .295 | 11 | 12 | 32% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .212/.315/.318 | .105 | .301 | 9 | 14 | 29% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Luis Perez 2014 · A |
23 | 45 | 43→30 | 50 | 40 | .222/.267/.338 | .116 | .279 | 10 | 9 | 24% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .219/.258/.331 | .112 | .307 | 10 | 6 | 30% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .217/.244/.347 | .129 | .299 | 11 | 2 | 31% | 3% | 54 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ramon Soto 2009 · AAA |
21 | 44 | 42→30 | 51→45 | 44 | .220/.275/.323 | .103 | .279 | 11 | 12 | 25% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.277/.301 | .068 | .286 | 5 | 8 | 19% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .272/.316/.326 | .054 | .333 | 2 | 7 | 18% | 5% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A |
22 | 39 | 38→40 | 45 | 45 | .191/.251/.267 | .076 | .256 | 5 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .211/.266/.279 | .068 | .290 | 4 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .235/.280/.283 | .048 | .303 | 3 | 7 | 22% | 6% | 52 | -0.5 |
|
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A |
21 | 40 | 38→40 | 47→55 | 47 | .192/.263/.275 | .082 | .250 | 5 | 9 | 24% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .212/.292/.300 | .088 | .255 | 8 | 17 | 19% | 9% | 67 | -0.5 | .209/.299/.290 | .080 | .241 | 9 | 25 | 16% | 10% | 66 | -0.2 |
|
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA |
23 | 40 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .200/.259/.300 | .100 | .270 | 10 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .216/.274/.342 | .126 | .277 | 14 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .207/.266/.330 | .122 | .258 | 15 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Franklin Torres 2019 · A |
22 | 46→41 | 40 | 51→50 | 46 | .222/.275/.314 | .092 | .276 | 8 | 8 | 22% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .210/.274/.294 | .084 | .302 | 6 | 5 | 30% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .193/.257/.264 | .072 | .295 | 5 | 1 | 34% | 8% | 40 | -1.3 |
|
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2021 · A |
22 | 44 | 39→40 | 53→60 | 40 | .210/.265/.300 | .090 | .306 | 6 | 14 | 32% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .187/.266/.264 | .077 | .308 | 6 | 22 | 38% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .145/.239/.202 | .057 | .243 | 5 | 33 | 39% | 9% | 19 | -1.1 |
|
✕Brett Martinez 2006 · A |
22 | 44→41 | 41→40 | 54→50 | 45 | .211/.283/.308 | .098 | .289 | 8 | 8 | 28% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .203/.263/.271 | .068 | .282 | 5 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .197/.253/.247 | .050 | .272 | 5 | 5 | 28% | 6% | 34 | -1.9 |
|
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A |
22 | 39→47 | 39→40 | 48→50 | 44 | .186/.276/.275 | .089 | .270 | 6 | 10 | 31% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .202/.273/.299 | .097 | .277 | 7 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .213/.285/.313 | .100 | .282 | 9 | 16 | 26% | 7% | 64 | -0.4 |
|
✕Luis De La Cruz 2011 · A |
22 | 39 | 40→30 | 47→30 | 38 | .192/.226/.285 | .094 | .243 | 6 | 6 | 24% | 4% | 33 | -2.9 | .233/.264/.315 | .082 | .285 | 5 | 6 | 19% | 4% | 57 | -1.2 | .265/.286/.333 | .068 | .311 | 3 | 4 | 16% | 3% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Chris Denove 2006 · A |
23 | 44 | 40 | 47→40 | 46 | .212/.286/.304 | .092 | .282 | 7 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .200/.260/.271 | .071 | .268 | 4 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .245/.301/.340 | .096 | .298 | 7 | 3 | 19% | 6% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕José Caballero 2019 · A |
22 | 48→45 | 43→45 | 48→70 | 45 | .232/.292/.346 | .114 | .280 | 10 | 9 | 21% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .220/.293/.329 | .109 | .282 | 9 | 25 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .229/.321/.344 | .115 | .305 | 10 | 63 | 26% | 9% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Onix Vega 2022 · A |
23 | 44 | 39→30 | 51→45 | 45 | .213/.281/.298 | .085 | .274 | 6 | 8 | 24% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.283/.285 | .075 | .278 | 6 | 6 | 25% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .198/.277/.253 | .056 | .261 | 4 | 5 | 24% | 8% | 47 | -0.8 |
|
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A |
22 | 40 | 38→40 | 45 | 41 | .193/.251/.277 | .084 | .263 | 5 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .195/.252/.280 | .085 | .275 | 7 | 9 | 30% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .195/.264/.279 | .084 | .281 | 10 | 12 | 32% | 7% | 48 | -0.5 |