Elijah Green — OGILVIE

Elijah GreenCF Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 225 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION496 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†25

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA8

HR0

K%50

BB%12

BABIP310

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	52	43	13	4	0	2	6	21	2	1	0	302	412	535	947	233	524	40	12	409	163	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2023	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	332	281	59	13	1	4	45	139	3	30	5	210	324	306	630	96	393	42	14	293	85	-6	+4	—	—	+7	0.5
2023	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	29	22	7	1	1	1	7	11	0	1	0	318	483	591	1.074	273	600	38	24	465	201	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	468	414	86	14	4	13	46	206	5	39	3	208	294	355	649	147	371	44	10	293	84	-9	+7	—	—	+10	0.8
2025	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	140	123	21	2	0	3	16	64	1	7	1	171	271	260	532	89	321	46	11	251	56	-7	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	113	103	24	6	2	1	9	39	1	5	0	233	301	359	660	126	365	35	8	297	87	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	21	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	78	64	20	4	0	5	14	24	0	6	0	312	436	609	1.045	297	429	31	18	452	192	+9	+1	—	—	+2	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	52	45	7	2	0	1	4	30	2	1	0	156	255	267	522	111	401	58	8	253	57	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	332	302	39	7	1	3	25	202	3	30	5	129	203	189	392	60	352	61	8	180	8	-36	+4	—	—	+7	-2.6
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	29	25	6	1	1	1	4	16	0	1	0	240	345	480	825	240	467	55	14	287	80	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	468	433	55	9	2	8	28	282	5	39	3	127	189	212	401	85	318	60	6	181	9	-51	+7	—	—	+10	-3.5
2025	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	140	128	13	1	0	2	11	89	1	7	1	102	179	156	335	55	303	64	8	156	-8	-18	+1	—	—	+3	-1.4
2025	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	113	106	16	4	1	1	6	57	1	5	0	151	204	236	439	85	309	50	5	188	13	-12	+1	—	—	+2	-0.8
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	78	69	13	2	0	3	9	35	0	6	0	188	282	348	630	159	326	45	12	270	69	-3	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	52	45	7	2	0	1	4	30	2	1	0	156	255	267	522	111	400	58	8	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	52	43	13	4	0	2	6	21	2	1	0	302	412	535	947	233	524	40	12	409	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	361	326	43	8	1	3	30	218	3	31	5	132	212	190	402	58	374	60	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	361	303	66	14	2	5	52	150	3	31	5	218	337	327	664	109	407	42	14	307	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	468	433	55	9	2	8	28	282	5	39	3	127	189	212	401	85	324	60	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	468	414	86	14	4	13	46	206	5	39	3	208	294	355	649	147	371	44	10	293	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	331	304	42	7	1	5	25	181	2	18	1	138	208	217	426	79	314	55	8	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	331	290	65	12	2	9	39	127	2	18	1	224	320	372	693	148	364	38	12	314	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	52	46	7	2	0	1	4	30	2	1	0	152	255	261	516	109	401	58	8	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	361	325	43	8	1	3	30	218	3	31	5	132	212	191	402	58	361	60	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	468	432	55	9	2	8	28	282	5	39	3	127	189	213	402	86	318	60	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	331	301	42	7	1	5	25	181	2	18	1	140	208	219	428	80	310	55	8	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	361	325	43	8	1	3	30	218	3	31	5	132	212	191	402	58	361	60	8	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	468	432	55	9	2	8	28	282	5	39	3	127	189	213	402	86	318	60	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	331	301	42	7	1	5	25	181	2	18	1	140	208	219	428	80	310	55	8	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	WSH	—	496	447	64	14	2	9	43	281	1	33	5	143	220	244	464	101	340	57	9	208	27	-43	+5	+0	+2	+11	-2.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	WSH	—	377	326	74	15	1	12	47	168	1	32	5	227	326	390	716	163	416	45	12	321	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA RAW	WSH	—	119	100	17	6	1	2	17	46	0	1	0	170	291	310	601	140	278	39	14	274	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	WSH	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		312	50	12	206	25	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
TOT	22	A+ MLE	WSH	—	504	454	65	14	2	9	44	285	1	33	5	143	220	242	463	99	339	57	9	208	27	-44	+5	+0	+2	+11	-2.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	WSH	35%	430	390	59	12	1	9	35	220	2	17	2	151	225	256	481	105	306	51	8	222	36	-33	+3	+0	+2	+9	-2.0
2028	24	MLB MLE	WSH	46%	475	430	70	14	2	11	40	231	2	19	3	163	237	281	519	119	305	49	8	233	44	-32	+3	+0	+2	+10	-1.7
2029	25	MLB MLE	WSH	52%	496	448	75	15	2	12	42	234	3	19	3	167	243	290	534	123	304	47	8	240	49	-30	+3	+0	+2	+11	-1.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	507	456	77	15	2	12	43	236	3	19	3	169	245	289	534	121	303	47	8	243	51	-30	+3	+0	+2	+11	-1.5
2031	27	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	508	456	76	15	2	12	44	237	3	19	3	167	245	287	532	121	303	47	9	243	51	-30	+3	+0	+2	+11	-1.5
2027	23	MLB CTX	WSH	35%	149	135	20	4	0	3	12	76	1	6	1	148	223	244	467	96	304	51	8	218	36	-11	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.7
2028	24	MLB CTX	WSH	46%	220	199	32	6	1	5	18	107	1	9	1	161	234	276	510	116	303	49	8	229	44	-15	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.8
2029	25	MLB CTX	WSH	52%	256	231	39	8	1	6	22	121	1	10	1	169	244	290	534	121	302	47	9	235	49	-16	+2	+0	+1	+6	-0.8
2030	26	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	275	247	42	8	1	7	24	128	2	10	1	170	249	296	545	126	302	47	9	238	51	-16	+2	+0	+1	+6	-0.8
2031	27	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	276	248	42	8	1	7	24	129	2	10	1	169	248	294	543	125	302	47	9	238	51	-16	+2	+0	+1	+6	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1176	1060	175	34	4	28	100	561	7	45	5	165	242	284	526	119	309	48	9	233	36	-74	+7	+0	+4	+25	-3.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	96	19	2	15	55	310	4	25	3	164	240	280	520	116	307	48	8	233	36	-41	+4	+0	+2	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3636	3295	505	97	13	73	292	1873	25	182	23	153	228	257	485	104	316	52	8	221	36	-155	+13	+0	+9	+53	-8.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	90	17	2	13	52	335	4	33	4	153	226	255	481	102	316	52	8	221	36	-41	+3	+0	+2	+14	-2.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.8	1,177	28	45	165	238	283	-7	+0	-4.2	-2.1
/162	664	16	25	-4.0	+0.0	-2.4	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elijah Green (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	39→44	59→64	52	138/211/230	92	312	5	17	55%	8%	25	-2.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40→41	38→45	58→60	36	191/246/266	75	303	5	24	37%	6%	45	-2.7	199/258/305	106	305	10	29	36%	7%	59	-1.7	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Demi Orimoloye 2018 · A	21	35→37	41→45	54→55	35	178/226/275	97	266	9	21	36%	5%	40	-3.1	185/236/284	99	287	10	17	37%	5%	46	-2.6	180/226/278	98	281	10	17	38%	4%	37	-2.3
✕Willie Joe Garry Jr. 2022 · A	22	38	39→45	56→55	36	174/244/262	88	321	6	19	45%	8%	44	-2.8	179/247/284	105	317	7	22	42%	7%	50	-2.3	170/240/286	116	307	7	28	44%	7%	47	-1.1
✕Viandel Pena 2023 · A	22	38→41	39→40	55	40	182/245/268	86	296	6	18	38%	8%	45	-2.7	201/264/277	76	304	4	18	32%	8%	55	-2.0	203/251/291	87	297	6	20	32%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Jordy Barley 2023 · A	23	36→34	38→40	60	34	174/225/250	77	295	6	33	41%	6%	34	-3.5	184/242/268	84	326	7	32	42%	7%	45	-2.7	164/229/240	75	299	8	45	45%	7%	31	-1.2
✕David Christensen 2011 · A	23	34→32	45→50	55→50	30	170/225/290	120	310	13	18	47%	5%	43	-2.8	198/254/324	126	366	12	12	46%	6%	62	-1.4	192/244/346	154	374	14	6	50%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Kingston Liniak 2022 · A	22	33→26	42→45	52→50	38	170/231/275	105	255	10	13	36%	6%	42	-2.9	191/261/297	106	279	9	10	33%	8%	59	-1.7	151/253/235	85	211	7	3	30%	12%	39	-0.7
✕GJ Hill 2022 · A	21	37→28	39→50	57→55	29	158/222/244	86	347	7	21	53%	6%	32	-3.7	174/243/284	110	332	12	15	48%	7%	49	-2.4	173/234/327	154	248	20	28	38%	6%	53	-1.1
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/235/269	91	291	8	13	40%	6%	42	-2.9	176/238/276	100	311	10	11	44%	6%	45	-2.7	164/227/275	111	272	14	9	43%	6%	39	-1.1
✕Arbert Cipion 2022 · A	22	31	39→40	52→55	32	141/216/221	80	312	7	17	53%	8%	25	-4.1	183/242/275	92	298	8	17	39%	6%	46	-2.6	177/231/272	94	267	8	23	35%	5%	37	-1.9
✕Jeren Kendall 2019 · A	23	34→26	42→50	53→60	35	170/227/273	103	286	10	23	42%	7%	40	-3.0	172/243/312	140	311	16	22	46%	8%	56	-1.9	138/221/277	139	244	17	30	48%	9%	38	-1.6
✕Tim Battle 2008 · A	22	38→41	40→45	52→55	33	187/231/280	93	299	8	17	39%	5%	42	-2.9	197/237/309	112	327	10	15	41%	4%	51	-2.2	187/220/318	131	318	13	18	44%	3%	43	-1.8
✕Todd Isaacs 2018 · A	22	38→37	42→45	54→55	28	188/219/285	97	314	10	15	42%	3%	39	-3.1	194/231/279	85	314	6	18	39%	4%	42	-2.9	180/213/247	67	291	4	24	38%	2%	25	-2.9
✕Alfredo Reyes 2017 · A	23	37	36→30	57→55	35	181/222/241	60	279	4	20	36%	5%	29	-3.8	200/252/266	66	327	4	24	37%	6%	47	-2.5	198/257/257	59	329	4	28	38%	7%	44	-1.4
✕Jason Kanzler 2014 · A	23	38→47	40→45	58→55	34	185/234/283	98	302	7	14	40%	5%	45	-2.7	199/252/305	106	327	9	17	40%	5%	57	-1.8	193/248/302	108	317	10	20	40%	4%	52	-1.5
✕Sthervin Matos 2016 · A	22	36→34	41→50	51→50	37	184/233/275	92	265	9	14	33%	5%	42	-2.9	191/239/282	91	286	8	10	34%	6%	46	-2.6	142/175/217	75	206	8	2	35%	4%	3	-1.4
✕Luis Yanel Diaz 2021 · A	21	37→41	42→45	53→55	30	183/218/283	100	306	9	11	42%	4%	38	-3.2	192/242/316	124	345	13	15	45%	5%	55	-1.9	186/240/307	121	311	14	21	43%	5%	51	-1.3
✕Kadon Morton 2022 · A	21	39→36	37→45	53→55	35	164/241/242	77	340	3	14	48%	8%	38	-3.2	171/242/262	91	335	9	13	47%	8%	43	-2.8	149/223/235	86	290	10	14	48%	8%	28	-2.3
✕Trey Martin 2015 · A	22	40→39	38→40	52→55	35	194/235/269	75	294	6	20	35%	5%	40	-3.0	191/226/257	66	289	5	17	34%	4%	35	-3.4	184/227/258	74	280	6	16	35%	5%	35	-2.1
✕D'Shawn Knowles 2022 · A	21	40→46	40	60→55	33	190/231/283	94	312	6	21	40%	5%	43	-2.8	204/257/279	75	323	4	19	35%	6%	52	-2.2	202/260/269	67	316	3	20	34%	7%	48	-1.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps