Elijah Green — OGILVIE

Elijah GreenOF Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 225 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION325 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†6

AVG/OBP/SLG.132 / .205 / .224

PA216

HR4

SB12

K%56

BB%8

BABIP307

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 44

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER44

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	52	45	7	2	0	1	4	30	2	1	0	156	255	267	522	111	400	58	8	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	52	43	13	4	0	2	6	21	2	1	0	302	412	535	947	233	524	40	12	409	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	361	329	42	7	1	4	27	222	3	31	5	128	201	191	392	64	362	61	7	181	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	361	303	66	14	2	5	52	150	3	31	5	218	337	327	664	109	407	42	14	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	468	434	59	11	2	8	27	272	5	39	3	136	195	226	421	90	327	58	6	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	468	414	86	14	4	13	46	206	5	39	3	208	294	355	649	147	371	44	10	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	3 teams	—	331	304	38	6	1	4	25	187	2	18	1	125	196	191	387	66	301	56	8	182	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	3 teams	—	331	290	65	12	2	9	39	127	2	18	1	224	320	372	693	148	364	38	12	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	WSH	—	325	295	38	6	1	6	27	197	1	26	4	129	204	217	421	88	340	61	8	192	5	-35	+4	+0	-2	+9	-2.4
YTD	22	A+	WSH	—	325	281	58	10	1	10	41	147	1	26	4	206	310	356	665	149	381	45	13	302	89	-4	+4	+0	-2	+9	0.7
ROS	22	A+	WSH	0%	216	196	26	4	1	4	17	122	1	12	2	132	205	224	429	92	303	56	8	194	6	-23	+2	+0	-1	+6	-1.7
ROS	22	MLB	WSH	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						303	100	0	190	4	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	WSH	—	326	296	38	6	1	6	27	198	1	26	4	128	204	216	420	88	340	61	8	192	5	-35	+4	+0	-2	+9	-2.5
TOT	22	A+	WSH	—	541	491	64	10	2	10	44	319	2	38	6	130	205	220	424	89	326	59	8	193	6	-58	+5	+0	-3	+15	-4.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	WSH	35%	430	391	57	10	1	9	34	226	2	18	2	146	218	246	463	100	301	53	8	213	21	-38	+3	+0	-3	+12	-2.7
2028	24	MLB	WSH	46%	475	431	67	12	1	11	38	238	3	19	3	155	229	265	493	109	301	50	8	225	30	-37	+3	+0	-3	+13	-2.5
2029	25	MLB	WSH	52%	496	449	73	13	2	12	41	241	3	19	3	163	237	281	518	118	301	49	8	232	36	-36	+3	+0	-3	+14	-2.3
2027	23	MLB	WSH	35%	149	135	19	3	0	3	12	78	1	6	1	141	216	230	446	89	301	52	8	209	18	-14	+1	+0	-1	+4	-1.0
2028	24	MLB	WSH	46%	220	199	31	5	1	5	18	110	1	9	1	156	229	266	496	111	301	50	8	221	27	-18	+1	+0	-1	+6	-1.2
2029	25	MLB	WSH	52%	256	231	38	7	1	6	21	124	2	10	1	165	240	281	522	117	301	48	8	228	33	-20	+2	+0	-2	+7	-1.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	626	566	88	15	2	14	51	313	4	25	3	155	230	263	494	108	306	50	8	221	27	-52	+4	+0	-4	+18	-3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	92	16	2	15	53	325	4	26	3	156	231	267	498	111	307	50	8	221	27	-54	+4	+0	-4	+18	-3.6
Career	—			—	2829	2579	369	65	9	53	213	1538	21	157	19	143	214	237	451	94	316	54	8	206	16	-270	+24	+0	-17	+80	-18.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	85	15	2	12	49	353	5	36	4	143	215	236	451	93	316	54	8	206	16	-62	+6	+0	-4	+18	-4.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	52	43	13	4	0	2	6	21	2	1	0	302	412	535	947	233	524	40	12	409	171	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2023	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	332	281	59	13	1	4	45	139	3	30	5	210	324	306	630	96	393	42	14	293	83	-7	+4	—	—	+9	0.7
2023	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	29	22	7	1	1	1	7	11	0	1	0	318	483	591	1.074	273	600	38	24	465	214	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	468	414	86	14	4	13	46	206	5	39	3	208	294	355	649	147	371	44	10	293	82	-9	+7	—	—	+13	1.1
2025	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	140	123	21	2	0	3	16	64	1	7	1	171	271	260	532	89	321	46	11	251	51	-8	+1	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	113	103	24	6	2	1	9	39	1	5	0	233	301	359	660	126	365	35	8	297	86	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	21	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	78	64	20	4	0	5	14	24	0	6	0	312	436	609	1.045	297	429	31	18	452	204	+9	+1	—	—	+2	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	626	14	25	155	226	264	-4	+0	-3.2	-1.6
	/162	664	15	27	155	226	264	-4.0	+0.0	-3.4	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elijah Green (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	39→44	60→65	51	130/205/220	89	326	10	38	59%	8%	6	-3.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Demi Orimoloye 2018 · A	21	36→35	41→40	54→55	35	181/227/276	95	270	8	21	35%	5%	32	-3.0	179/232/274	95	284	9	17	38%	5%	34	-2.8	170/218/264	93	274	9	17	40%	4%	22	-2.6
✕Jordy Barley 2023 · A	23	36→33	38→40	60	33	172/223/245	73	297	5	33	42%	6%	23	-3.6	185/242/271	86	335	8	32	44%	7%	38	-2.6	165/229/248	83	309	9	45	46%	7%	24	-1.1
✕Kingston Liniak 2022 · A	22	32→26	43→45	52→50	37	171/231/278	108	255	11	13	36%	6%	35	-2.8	191/261/298	107	281	10	10	33%	8%	53	-1.5	150/252/236	86	212	7	3	30%	12%	32	-0.6
✕Arbert Cipion 2022 · A	22	31	39→40	52→55	33	141/217/223	81	314	7	17	53%	8%	17	-4.0	179/239/270	91	295	7	17	39%	6%	37	-2.7	167/223/257	90	255	8	23	36%	6%	23	-2.1
✕Jeren Kendall 2019 · A	23	32→23	41→50	53→60	34	164/219/261	97	284	9	23	44%	6%	25	-3.5	167/239/307	140	311	17	22	48%	8%	47	-1.9	132/218/273	141	245	18	30	51%	9%	28	-1.7
✕Sthervin Matos 2016 · A	22	36→34	40→50	51→50	37	182/232/268	86	265	8	14	34%	5%	33	-2.9	189/238/276	87	283	8	10	34%	6%	37	-2.6	139/173/208	69	201	7	2	34%	4%	-12	-1.5
✕Trey Martin 2015 · A	22	39	38→40	52→55	34	190/229/264	74	295	5	20	37%	5%	30	-3.1	189/225/258	69	290	5	17	35%	4%	26	-3.4	179/222/259	80	279	8	16	37%	5%	25	-2.1
✕Alfredo Reyes 2017 · A	23	36	36→30	57→55	35	178/218/236	57	272	4	20	35%	5%	17	-4.0	197/250/262	65	326	4	24	38%	6%	38	-2.6	193/254/252	59	326	4	28	39%	7%	34	-1.5
✕Tim Battle 2008 · A	22	38→41	40→45	52→55	33	187/231/280	93	299	8	17	39%	5%	34	-2.8	197/237/309	112	327	10	15	41%	4%	45	-2.1	187/220/318	131	318	13	18	44%	3%	36	-1.7
✕Todd Isaacs 2018 · A	22	40→39	41→40	54→55	28	193/225/285	93	326	9	15	43%	4%	33	-2.9	197/234/279	82	323	6	18	39%	4%	36	-2.7	184/217/250	66	301	3	24	39%	2%	17	-2.8
✕Champ Stuart 2016 · A	23	36→37	36→30	57→60	35	161/230/221	60	314	4	21	46%	8%	20	-3.8	176/239/252	76	320	6	29	43%	7%	32	-3.0	168/234/244	76	296	7	36	43%	7%	25	-2.0
✕Reggie Pruitt 2019 · A	22	37→44	36→30	56→60	36	175/239/241	66	293	4	26	39%	6%	30	-3.1	184/246/253	69	334	3	27	42%	7%	34	-2.8	166/231/226	60	317	2	32	45%	7%	19	-2.2
✕Eric Jenkins 2019 · A	22	39→41	37→40	59→55	33	187/226/258	71	303	4	23	38%	5%	27	-3.3	178/232/257	79	311	6	21	42%	6%	30	-3.1	119/185/187	68	222	5	28	46%	7%	-10	-2.9
✕Malik Collymore 2018 · A	23	38	39→40	53→50	35	179/240/262	82	312	6	13	42%	6%	34	-2.8	205/258/310	105	343	9	15	40%	6%	55	-1.4	192/234/303	112	331	10	21	43%	4%	38	-0.8
✕Wilber Sanchez 2023 · A	21	28→21	36→30	55	38	147/209/207	60	238	5	24	38%	7%	7	-4.7	173/241/248	75	272	7	23	36%	8%	32	-3.0	168/240/239	70	264	7	25	36%	8%	27	-1.4
✕Karson Simas 2023 · A	22	38	36→30	56→55	29	161/215/226	65	344	4	14	51%	6%	14	-4.2	172/232/233	61	298	4	17	41%	6%	24	-3.6	185/243/253	68	292	6	30	36%	5%	30	-1.4
✕Quentin Holmes 2021 · A	22	32→20	39→40	51→60	32	159/210/240	82	282	7	14	44%	6%	16	-4.1	185/233/260	75	341	5	19	44%	6%	30	-3.1	160/206/212	51	307	3	30	46%	5%	4	-1.8
✕Caberea Weaver 2023 · A	23	32	40	53→55	26	153/205/235	82	317	9	19	52%	5%	13	-4.3	185/230/274	89	346	9	15	47%	5%	33	-2.9	173/210/252	78	320	9	16	47%	3%	16	-2.2
✕Zeek White 2018 · A	21	40	38→45	54→50	33	181/236/258	77	334	5	14	45%	6%	32	-3.0	187/246/277	90	330	7	12	42%	6%	41	-2.3	170/234/267	98	286	9	16	41%	6%	31	-1.1
✕Justin Higley 2016 · A	23	35→39	41→45	53→55	36	171/231/266	95	289	9	15	42%	7%	32	-3.0	187/237/283	96	339	7	13	44%	6%	38	-2.6	175/220/271	96	331	5	13	46%	5%	26	-2.8