Elijah Green — OGILVIE

Elijah GreenOF Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 22 R/R 6'3" / 225 lbs A+ HR -9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

wRC+†5

AVG/OBP/SLG.130 / .200 / .218

PA320

HR6

SB19

K%57

BB%7

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20↗25

PWR

40↗45

SPD

59↗64

EYE

45↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

-1.6peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-13M		$-56M	-$43M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$43M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	52	45	7	2	0	1	4	30	2	1	0	.156	.255	.267	.522	.111	.400	58	8	.260	57	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2023	19	A	2 teams	361	327	43	8	1	3	29	217	3	31	5	.131	.209	.190	.399	.058	.367	60	8	.190	3	-39	+4	+0	-2	+10	-2.8
2024	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	468	433	55	9	2	8	28	283	5	39	3	.127	.189	.212	.401	.085	.326	60	6	.179	-5	-55	+7	+0	-3	+13	-3.9
2025	21	A+	3 teams	331	305	42	7	1	5	24	180	2	18	1	.138	.205	.216	.422	.079	.308	54	7	.191	4	-36	+3	+0	-2	+9	-2.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	74	66	6	1	0	2	6	50	1	8	1	.091	.178	.197	.375	.106	.267	68	8	.186	1	-8	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.6
ROS	22	MLB	WSH	246	224	29	5	1	5	18	144	2	11	1	.129	.201	.228	.428	.098	.301	59	7	.193	6	-26	+2	+0	-1	+7	-1.9
TOT	22	MLB	WSH	320	290	35	6	1	7	24	194	3	19	2	.121	.196	.221	.416	.100	.308	61	8	.191	5	-35	+3	+0	-2	+9	-2.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	WSH	366	330	48	8	1	9	30	172	3	16	2	.145	.223	.258	.481	.112	.262	47	8	.223	29	-29	+2	+0	-2	+10	-1.9
2028	24	MLB 26%	WSH	431	387	61	11	1	11	37	194	4	18	2	.158	.238	.276	.515	.119	.266	45	9	.235	38	-30	+3	+0	-3	+12	-1.8
2029	25	MLB 44%	WSH	466	418	67	12	1	12	41	203	4	18	2	.160	.242	.280	.522	.120	.269	44	9	.242	44	-30	+3	+0	-3	+13	-1.7
2030	26	MLB 59%	WSH	488	436	71	13	1	13	44	210	5	18	2	.163	.247	.287	.534	.124	.270	43	9	.246	46	-30	+3	+0	-3	+14	-1.6
2031	27	MLB 84%	WSH	496	443	72	13	1	13	45	214	5	17	2	.163	.247	.284	.532	.122	.270	43	9	.246	46	-30	+3	+0	-3	+14	-1.7
2032	28	MLB	WSH	496	443	72	13	1	13	45	215	5	16	1	.163	.247	.284	.532	.122	.270	43	9	.245	46	-30	+3	-1	-3	+14	-1.8
2033	29	MLB	WSH	490	438	70	12	1	13	45	214	4	14	1	.160	.244	.281	.525	.121	.268	44	9	.243	44	-31	+2	-1	-3	+14	-1.9
2034	30	MLB	WSH	481	430	67	12	1	12	44	212	4	13	0	.156	.241	.272	.513	.116	.266	44	9	.240	42	-32	+3	-2	-3	+14	-2.1
2035	31	MLB	WSH	468	418	65	11	1	12	43	208	4	11	0	.156	.241	.273	.514	.117	.264	44	9	.236	39	-32	+2	-3	-3	+13	-2.3
2036	32	MLB	WSH	451	403	62	11	1	11	41	203	4	9	0	.154	.239	.268	.507	.114	.262	45	9	.231	35	-33	+2	-4	-3	+13	-2.5
2037	33	MLB	WSH	422	378	57	10	1	10	38	193	3	8	0	.151	.234	.262	.496	.111	.260	46	9	.226	31	-33	+2	-4	-3	+12	-2.7
2038	34	MLB	WSH	376	336	48	8	1	8	34	175	3	7	0	.143	.228	.244	.472	.101	.257	47	9	.220	26	-31	+1	-5	-2	+11	-2.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6889	6194	936	165	17	159	590	3267	62	265	22	.151	.232	.260	.492	.109	.278	47	9	.227	32	-531	+44	-20	-41	+195	-36.0
/ 162G	—			650	584	89	16	2	15	56	308	6	25	2	.152	.234	.264	.497	.111	.280	47	9	.227	32	-50	+4	-2	-4	+18	-3.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	52	43	13	4	0	2	6	21	2	1	0	.302	.412	.535	.947	.233	.524	40	12	.409	171	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2023	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	332	281	59	13	1	4	45	139	3	30	5	.210	.324	.306	.630	.096	.393	42	14	.293	83	-7	+4	—	—	+9	0.7
2023	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	29	22	7	1	1	1	7	11	0	1	0	.318	.483	.591	1.074	.273	.600	38	24	.465	214	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	20	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	468	414	86	14	4	13	46	206	5	39	3	.208	.294	.355	.649	.147	.371	44	10	.293	82	-9	+7	—	—	+13	1.1
2025	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	140	123	21	2	0	3	16	64	1	7	1	.171	.271	.260	.532	.089	.321	46	11	.251	51	-8	+1	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	113	103	24	6	2	1	9	39	1	5	0	.233	.301	.359	.660	.126	.365	35	8	.297	86	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	21	ROK	FCL Nationals	78	64	20	4	0	5	14	24	0	6	0	.312	.436	.609	1.045	.297	.429	31	18	.452	204	+9	+1	—	—	+2	1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elijah Green (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	40→45	59→64	50	.130/.200/.218	.088	.304	6	11	57%	7%	8	-2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Arbert Cipion 2022 · A	22	33	40	53→55	33	.148/.224/.234	.086	.315	7	18	51%	8%	22	-3.7	.182/.240/.275	.093	.296	8	17	39%	6%	38	-2.6	.181/.234/.279	.097	.267	8	23	34%	5%	33	-1.7
✕David Christensen 2011 · A	23	34→30	46→50	54→50	30	.171/.222/.296	.125	.303	14	17	46%	5%	37	-2.7	.194/.249/.319	.125	.360	13	13	46%	6%	53	-1.5	.188/.240/.335	.147	.366	15	6	50%	5%	51	-0.6
✕Kingston Liniak 2022 · A	22	33→26	43→45	52→50	38	.173/.233/.282	.108	.258	11	13	36%	6%	37	-2.6	.189/.258/.295	.106	.277	10	10	33%	8%	52	-1.6	.151/.253/.236	.085	.211	7	3	30%	12%	32	-0.6
✕Demi Orimoloye 2018 · A	21	36→38	41→45	54→55	36	.183/.230/.282	.099	.265	9	21	34%	5%	36	-2.7	.186/.238/.285	.099	.283	10	17	36%	5%	40	-2.4	.179/.226/.278	.098	.281	10	17	38%	4%	29	-2.2
✕Luis Yanel Diaz 2021 · A	21	36→43	41→45	54→55	30	.180/.215/.277	.097	.299	9	12	42%	4%	27	-3.3	.193/.242/.319	.126	.343	14	15	45%	5%	50	-1.7	.190/.244/.313	.124	.313	14	21	42%	5%	47	-1.1
✕GJ Hill 2022 · A	21	37→29	40→45	57→55	29	.162/.223/.252	.090	.342	8	21	52%	6%	25	-3.5	.173/.240/.282	.109	.332	12	15	48%	7%	41	-2.3	.151/.222/.285	.134	.237	18	19	43%	7%	33	-1.1
✕Tim Battle 2008 · A	22	38→39	41→45	52→55	32	.186/.229/.284	.098	.296	8	17	39%	4%	35	-2.8	.195/.233/.305	.110	.323	10	15	41%	4%	43	-2.2	.187/.220/.318	.131	.318	13	18	44%	3%	36	-1.7
✕Todd Isaacs 2018 · A	22	39	42→45	54→55	30	.192/.223/.290	.098	.302	10	15	39%	3%	34	-2.8	.197/.233/.282	.085	.308	7	18	37%	3%	37	-2.7	.187/.220/.255	.068	.291	4	24	36%	3%	20	-2.6
✕Jordy Barley 2023 · A	23	36→34	39→40	59→60	34	.174/.224/.253	.079	.291	7	32	41%	6%	25	-3.5	.182/.237/.266	.084	.320	8	33	42%	6%	34	-2.8	.162/.226/.241	.078	.293	9	45	45%	7%	21	-1.2
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	37	40→50	54→40	36	.181/.238/.275	.093	.295	8	12	40%	6%	37	-2.6	.178/.240/.280	.102	.317	11	11	44%	6%	40	-2.4	.168/.232/.286	.119	.279	15	9	43%	6%	36	-1.0
✕Jeren Kendall 2019 · A	23	35→26	42→50	53→60	36	.174/.231/.278	.104	.288	10	22	41%	7%	35	-2.8	.170/.241/.309	.139	.307	16	22	47%	8%	49	-1.8	.133/.218/.274	.141	.242	18	30	50%	9%	28	-1.7
✕Kadon Morton 2022 · A	21	38→35	37→45	52→55	34	.163/.237/.241	.078	.337	3	12	48%	8%	29	-3.2	.170/.240/.263	.093	.328	9	13	47%	8%	36	-2.7	.147/.219/.235	.088	.282	10	14	48%	7%	17	-2.4
✕Caberea Weaver 2023 · A	23	33	41→40	53→55	28	.160/.212/.247	.087	.314	9	19	50%	5%	19	-3.9	.184/.227/.277	.093	.332	10	15	45%	4%	33	-2.9	.179/.212/.263	.084	.313	10	16	45%	3%	20	-2.0
✕D'Shawn Knowles 2022 · A	21	40→46	40	59→55	33	.193/.233/.288	.096	.311	7	21	39%	5%	38	-2.6	.203/.255/.278	.075	.321	4	18	35%	6%	44	-2.1	.201/.259/.267	.066	.314	3	20	34%	7%	40	-1.5
✕Izzy Wilson 2019 · A	21	37→32	42→50	51→55	36	.182/.237/.281	.100	.297	10	12	41%	6%	38	-2.6	.188/.254/.299	.111	.316	12	18	41%	8%	51	-1.7	.178/.249/.314	.136	.272	17	23	39%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Anthony Hewitt 2012 · A	23	35→39	45	53→55	26	.182/.212/.299	.117	.291	13	16	42%	2%	32	-3.0	.185/.218/.294	.109	.312	12	16	43%	3%	33	-2.9	.171/.204/.269	.098	.296	11	16	45%	3%	17	-2.2
✕DJ Gladney 2023 · AA	22	34→42	43→55	51→50	30	.164/.220/.268	.104	.319	12	6	50%	6%	28	-3.2	.188/.233/.332	.144	.299	18	9	42%	5%	50	-1.7	.194/.233/.350	.156	.285	21	10	39%	4%	52	-1.1
✕Justin Higley 2016 · A	23	36→40	42→45	53→55	37	.178/.235/.280	.102	.290	10	14	41%	7%	37	-2.6	.190/.242/.287	.097	.329	7	14	41%	6%	42	-2.3	.184/.234/.279	.095	.329	5	13	43%	6%	33	-2.4
✕Zeek White 2018 · A	21	41	37→45	55→50	32	.183/.234/.258	.074	.339	5	15	45%	6%	30	-3.1	.186/.246/.277	.091	.325	7	12	42%	6%	41	-2.3	.170/.234/.267	.098	.286	9	16	41%	6%	31	-1.1
✕Malik Collymore 2018 · A	23	38	39→40	53→50	36	.180/.240/.262	.082	.311	6	13	42%	7%	35	-2.8	.203/.257/.308	.105	.340	9	15	40%	6%	53	-1.5	.194/.237/.307	.113	.333	10	21	43%	4%	40	-0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)