Josh Hansell

P Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 25 RHP 6'6" / 215 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #689

Scout OFP40ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	AKC	21	6	64	2.52	2.66	25.5%	13.7%	—	K 18.9% · BB 16.1% · FIP 3.55
2025	23	MIX2 levels	16	16	64	3.78	3.18	22.6%	11.1%	—	K 17.0% · BB 12.9% · FIP 4.01
2026	24	A+KC	16	6	41	4.87	4.21	22.9%	14.0%	—	K 17.6% · BB 16.1% · FIP 5.18
2027PROJ	25	MLBKC	57	0	60	5.39	5.39	18.6%	15.4%	-0.6
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBKC	25	0	26	5.24	5.21	19.9%	14.8%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBKC	35	0	37	5.18	5.18	20.1%	14.4%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff52Control45Command40FB velo52

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMike Franco (age 25) · Matt Ruppenthal (age 25) · Deylen Miley (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 119

ERA5.39

FIP5.39

K%18.6%

BB%15.4%

K-BB%3.2%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF5055

CTRL—45

CMD3040

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	2	0	3	12	1	1	0	0%	1.5	8.3%	8.3%	0.0%	0.0%	3.00	3.45	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	2	0	3	12	1	1	0	0%	1.5	8.3%	8.3%	0.0%	0.0%	3.00	3.43	—
2024	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	21	6	64	278	71	38	0	29%	3.1	18.9%	16.1%	2.8%	0.0%	2.52	3.55	—
2024	22	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	21	6	64	278	71	38	0	29%	3.1	18.9%	16.1%	2.8%	0.0%	2.52	3.55	—
2024	22	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	21	6	64	278	71	38	0	29%	3.1	25.5%	13.7%	11.9%	0.0%	2.52	2.66	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	16	64	288	65	32	3	100%	4.0	17.0%	12.9%	4.1%	1.3%	3.78	4.01	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	16	64	288	65	32	3	100%	4.0	17.0%	12.9%	4.1%	1.3%	3.78	4.01	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	16	64	288	65	32	3	100%	4.0	22.6%	11.1%	11.5%	1.0%	3.78	3.18	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	16	6	41	179	41	25	4	38%	2.5	17.6%	16.1%	1.6%	2.8%	4.87	5.18	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	16	6	41	179	41	25	4	38%	2.5	17.6%	16.1%	1.6%	2.8%	4.87	5.18	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	16	6	41	179	41	25	4	38%	2.5	22.9%	14.0%	8.9%	2.2%	4.87	4.21	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	KC	57	0	60	253	47	39	7	0%	1.1	18.6%	15.4%	3.2%	2.8%	5.39	5.39	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	KC	57	0	60	251	50	37	7	0%	1.0	19.9%	14.8%	5.1%	2.8%	5.24	5.21	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	KC	56	0	59	247	50	36	7	0%	1.0	20.1%	14.4%	5.7%	2.9%	5.18	5.18	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	KC	54	0	57	240	48	34	7	0%	1.1	20.2%	14.3%	5.9%	3.0%	5.19	5.22	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	KC	25	0	26	110	22	16	3	0%	1.0	19.9%	14.8%	5.1%	2.8%	5.24	5.21	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	KC	35	0	37	156	31	23	4	0%	1.1	20.1%	14.4%	5.7%	2.9%	5.18	5.18	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	KC	41	0	43	182	37	26	5	0%	1.0	20.2%	14.3%	5.9%	3.0%	5.19	5.22	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		100	0	105	444	89	64	13	0%	1.1	20.1%	14.5%	5.6%	2.9%	5.20	4.83	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	169	122	25	0%	1.1	20.1%	14.5%	5.6%	2.9%	5.20	4.83	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		55	28	172	757	134	112	9	51%	3.1	17.7%	14.8%	2.9%	1.2%	3.55	4.11	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	32	200	879	156	130	10	51%	3.1	17.7%	14.8%	2.9%	1.2%	3.55	4.11	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Hansell (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.39	18.6%	15.4%	2.8%	—	5.20	20.1%	5.6%	175	-0.19	—	—	—
Mike Franco R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	25	SP-	4.75	17.2%	12.9%	2.7%	.251	4.33	21.9%	12.7%	98	-0.42	3.11	322	81
Matt Ruppenthal R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	25	SP-	4.76	18.5%	13.8%	2.7%	.308	4.28	22.7%	7.9%	102	-0.48	3.74	283	80
Deylen Miley R 2023 · 5.34 FIP	25	SP-	5.34	22.3%	17.5%	3.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.07	185	79
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	79
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	79
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	79
Carlos Tavera R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	25	SW	5.12	18.3%	13.3%	3.4%	.299	5.43	21.9%	8.8%	29	+0.31	3.85	263	79
Jake Bray R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	25	SP-	5.37	15.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.294	5.65	20.5%	7.7%	61	+0.28	2.51	198	78
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	77
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	77
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	77
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	77
Jimmy Joyce R 2024 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	17.8%	14.2%	1.7%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	259	76
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	76
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	76
Brandon Morrow R 2009 · 4.89 FIP	25	SW	4.89	20.1%	13.7%	3.2%	.284	3.37	25.5%	16.4%	450	-1.52	2.67	922	76
Engert Garcia R 2024 · 4.25 FIP	24	SW	4.25	15.9%	16.8%	0.7%	.311	5.94	12.9%	-14.3%	26	+1.69	3.13	125	75
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	75
Alfredo Figaro R 2009 · 4.98 FIP	25	SP-	4.98	19.3%	12.0%	3.6%	.370	4.42	7.2%	-1.5%	15	-0.56	3.75	143	75
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	59	19.7%	14.7%	1.11	5.25
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*