Seth Stephenson

OF Erie SeaWolves

Age 26 R/R 5'8" / 165 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AADET	81	.254/.329/.352	0	7	76	—	.247/.304/.329
2025	24	A+DET	427	.286/.372/.420	8	42	80	—	.241/.313/.356
2026	25	AADET	467	.238/.308/.321	2	66	52	—	.216/.273/.288
2027PROJ2% MLB	26	MLBDET	5	.216/.275/.297	0	0	65	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	27	MLBDET	72	.216/.276/.300	1	5	66	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed95

Z-Con%88

Whiff%84

K%78

Chase%29

wRC+24

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJohneshwy Fargas (age 26) · Cam Eden (age 26) · Tyler Tolbert (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .275 / .297

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%5

BABIP277

ISO87

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	33	30	7	0	0	0	1	8	2	9	0	233	303	233	536		318	24	3	258	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	68	57	17	4	1	0	5	19	6	8	2	298	412	404	815	105	447	28	7	375	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	437	368	102	17	8	4	37	89	24	62	13	277	380	399	779	122	351	20	8	349	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	477	415	109	12	3	5	37	85	19	60	9	263	350	342	692	80	318	18	8	317	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	81	71	18	5	1	0	6	10	2	7	1	254	329	352	681	99	290	12	7	303	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	427	371	106	16	5	8	30	62	21	42	5	286	372	420	793	135	325	15	7	354	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	467	421	100	25	2	2	29	90	14	66	7	238	308	321	628	83	297	19	6	288	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	33	30	6	0	0	0	1	11	2	9	0	200	273	200	473		295	33	3	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	68	58	15	3	1	0	4	24	6	8	2	259	368	345	712	86	405	35	6	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	437	381	90	13	7	3	24	124	24	62	13	236	322	331	652	94	319	28	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	477	426	93	10	3	4	26	113	19	60	9	218	293	284	577	66	276	24	5	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	81	73	18	4	1	0	4	12	2	7	1	247	304	329	633	82	283	15	5	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	427	382	92	13	5	7	19	82	21	42	5	241	313	356	669	115	279	19	4	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	467	431	93	21	2	2	20	110	14	66	7	216	273	288	561	72	279	24	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	33	30	6	0	0	0	1	11	2	9	0	200	273	200	473		316	33	3	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	33	30	7	0	0	0	1	8	2	9	0	233	303	233	536		318	24	3	258	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	505	440	105	16	8	3	27	148	30	70	15	239	326	332	658	93	348	29	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	505	425	119	21	9	4	42	108	30	70	15	280	384	400	784	120	363	21	8	353	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	477	426	93	10	3	4	26	113	19	60	9	218	293	284	577	66	286	24	5	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	477	415	109	12	3	5	37	85	19	60	9	263	350	342	692	80	318	18	8	317	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	508	454	110	18	5	7	24	94	23	49	6	242	313	350	664	108	290	19	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	508	442	124	21	6	8	36	72	23	49	6	281	365	410	775	129	319	14	7	346	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	467	431	93	21	2	2	20	110	14	66	7	216	273	288	561	72	284	24	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	467	421	100	25	2	2	29	90	14	66	7	238	308	321	628	83	297	19	6	288	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	33	30	6	0	0	0	1	11	2	9	0	200	273	200	473		295	33	3	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	505	443	105	16	8	3	27	148	30	70	15	237	326	330	656	93	331	29	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	477	429	93	10	3	4	26	113	19	60	9	217	293	282	575	65	276	24	5	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	508	456	110	18	5	7	24	94	23	49	6	241	313	349	662	107	280	19	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	467	430	93	21	2	2	20	110	14	66	7	216	273	288	561	72	279	24	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	477	429	93	10	3	4	26	113	19	60	9	217	293	282	575	65	276	24	5	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	508	456	110	18	5	7	24	94	23	49	6	241	313	349	662	107	280	19	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	467	430	93	21	2	2	20	110	14	66	7	216	273	288	561	72	279	24	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	DET	2%	380	348	75	14	2	3	18	88	11	29	4	219	279	303	582	84	281	23	5	265	65	-16	+4	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	DET	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	216	275	297	573	81	277	20	0	261	65	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	DET	27%	269	247	55	10	2	3	13	62	7	21	3	220	280	306	585	86	281	23	5	266	66	-11	+3	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	DET	27%	72	66	14	3	0	1	4	17	2	5	1	216	276	300	576	84	277	24	6	262	66	-3	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	72	66	14	3	0	1	4	17	2	5	1	212	278	303	581	91	271	24	6	262	66	-3	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	126	27	0	9	36	153	18	45	9	211	277	302	579	91	270	24	6	262	66	-26	+5	+0	-4	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2509	2257	513	85	22	21	123	596	102	294	42	227	297	312	610	85	298	24	5	266	66	-21	+6	+0	-3	+11	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	133	22	6	5	32	154	26	76	11	227	297	311	608	84	298	24	5	266	66	-26	+8	+0	-4	+14	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Seth Stephenson (OGILVIE)	26	55	40	60	30	218/276/301	83	281	2	19	23%	5%	65	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2021 · AA	26	46→53	40	58→65	41	222/278/312	90	285	8	40	25%	5%	68	-1.0	208/263/317	109	284	11	34	30%	5%	63	-1.3	191/247/298	107	260	12	44	30%	4%	52	-0.9
✕Cam Eden 2024 · AAA	26	47→51	40	65	41	217/291/308	91	326	8	46	33%	7%	72	-0.7	200/265/292	92	292	8	36	32%	7%	59	-1.7	171/235/258	88	246	7	40	32%	7%	38	-1.4
✕Tyler Tolbert 2024 · AA	26	44→48	41→45	68→65	41	212/267/318	106	292	7	38	29%	6%	65	-1.2	222/280/314	92	303	7	46	27%	6%	69	-0.9	222/284/299	77	304	6	60	27%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Darren Ford 2012 · MLB	26	47→53	41→45	59→65	41	225/278/324	98	307	8	34	28%	6%	70	-0.8	225/271/307	82	304	6	39	26%	6%	63	-1.3	225/270/292	67	304	4	48	26%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Todd Donovan 2006 · AAA	27	51→52	41→40	65	44	242/300/346	104	300	7	42	21%	6%	84	+0.1	234/291/315	81	290	5	39	20%	6%	72	-0.7	227/296/290	63	286	3	43	20%	8%	67	-0.7
✕Rico Noel 2015 · AAA	26	51→55	34→30	61→65	44	234/296/287	53	330	2	42	28%	7%	68	-1.0	206/262/273	67	293	4	36	29%	6%	53	-2.1	176/225/229	54	256	3	46	31%	4%	26	-1.0
✕Billy Hamilton 2016 · MLB	25	49→59	39→40	69→70	46	233/278/318	85	279	6	61	19%	6%	68	-1.0	242/297/329	87	304	5	55	20%	7%	78	-0.3	242/301/327	85	311	4	55	22%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Terrance Gore 2017 · AAA	26	48→42	33→30	67→70	43	223/274/261	38	297	2	54	24%	6%	54	-2.0	207/265/262	55	287	3	42	27%	6%	51	-2.3	194/257/241	47	277	1	52	28%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Tyler Graham 2009 · A	25	49→54	37→40	60→65	41	234/280/304	70	302	4	39	23%	5%	65	-1.2	251/296/330	79	321	6	41	23%	5%	78	-0.3	265/317/333	68	336	2	52	20%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Jarrod Dyson 2011 · MLB	26	51→57	36→45	63→70	44	240/286/315	74	309	3	40	22%	6%	70	-0.8	248/304/323	75	307	3	50	19%	7%	79	-0.2	254/319/358	104	292	5	53	14%	7%	94	+0.5
✕Jeff Kobernus 2014 · MLB	26	57→63	37→40	62→65	43	271/308/341	70	333	4	43	20%	5%	84	+0.2	233/283/304	71	299	5	29	22%	6%	67	-1.1	206/257/254	49	270	3	28	24%	6%	44	-1.1
✕Nick Dalesandro 2023 · AA	26	47	36→30	62→65	41	219/272/283	64	315	4	40	30%	6%	58	-1.7	209/266/281	72	302	5	29	30%	7%	56	-1.9	176/240/217	41	263	1	38	31%	7%	30	-1.4
✕J.D. Orr 2023 · AA	26	49	36→30	61→65	50	226/301/295	69	301	2	41	24%	9%	73	-0.6	210/290/283	73	294	4	29	27%	9%	66	-1.1	161/263/185	24	243	0	34	30%	10%	34	-1.0
✕Jeremias Pineda 2016 · AAA	25	50→59	35→30	60→65	39	231/283/287	56	329	4	41	30%	5%	63	-1.3	227/284/281	54	347	2	37	32%	7%	62	-1.4	236/294/282	46	358	1	40	32%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Roemon Fields 2018 · AAA	27	50→57	35→30	61→60	43	234/276/294	60	299	2	40	22%	5%	61	-1.5	224/275/291	67	291	4	30	23%	6%	61	-1.5	215/270/271	55	281	3	30	23%	6%	52	-1.3
✕Darin Mastroianni 2013 · MLB	27	52→60	38→40	63→60	49	245/306/332	87	305	5	37	20%	8%	82	-0.0	222/278/299	77	284	5	28	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/263/277	65	270	4	25	22%	5%	51	-1.4
✕Wes Rogers 2018 · A	24	49→51	39→40	63→65	44	231/285/326	96	301	6	39	24%	6%	74	-0.6	202/256/283	81	293	6	24	31%	6%	53	-2.1	178/232/242	65	266	5	20	33%	6%	33	-2.1
✕Tony Campana 2012 · MLB	26	58→64	35→30	62→70	43	270/310/329	59	341	2	43	21%	5%	82	-0.0	249/294/306	57	330	2	46	23%	6%	71	-0.8	242/288/289	47	323	1	46	24%	6%	63	-1.0
✕Yefri Pérez 2017 · AA	26	49→58	34→30	58→60	43	231/273/274	44	294	2	38	22%	5%	56	-1.9	202/261/274	72	273	3	22	25%	7%	52	-2.2	148/220/210	61	202	0	15	24%	8%	20	-2.2
✕Boomer Whiting 2010 · A	26	46→51	37→30	60→65	45	218/284/287	70	293	5	38	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/290/277	60	307	2	36	27%	8%	64	-1.3	225/309/270	45	326	0	49	28%	9%	67	-0.8