Danny Wilkinson

P Clearwater Threshers

Age 26 LHP 6'0" / 206 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	APHI	34	57	4.45	2.32	41.9%	17.0%	—	K 31.0% · BB 20.1% · FIP 3.87
2024	23	A+PHI	30	32	4.83	3.01	33.6%	18.8%	—	K 25.8% · BB 21.6% · FIP 4.15
2025	24	MIX3 levels	12	15	1.76	2.58	36.9%	13.8%	—	K 24.7% · BB 18.5% · FIP 4.65
2027PROJ	26	MLBPHI	10	10	4.94	4.94	24.1%	14.8%	-0.0
2028PROJ36% MLB	27	MLBPHI	7	7	4.90	4.91	24.0%	14.3%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsHector Mercado (age 26) · Nick Hagadone (age 26) · C.J. Widger (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111119vR 127

ERA4.94

FIP4.94

K%24.1%

BB%14.8%

K-BB%9.3%

Proj IP10

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	34	0	57	253	106	43	3	0%	1.7	31.0%	20.1%	10.9%	1.5%	4.45	3.87	—
2023	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	34	0	57	253	106	43	3	0%	1.7	41.9%	17.0%	24.9%	1.2%	4.45	2.32	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	30	0	32	149	50	28	1	0%	1.1	25.8%	21.6%	4.2%	0.9%	4.83	4.15	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	30	0	32	149	50	28	1	0%	1.1	25.8%	21.6%	4.2%	0.9%	4.83	4.15	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	30	0	32	149	50	28	1	0%	1.1	33.6%	18.8%	14.8%	0.7%	4.83	3.01	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	0	15	65	24	9	1	0%	1.3	24.7%	18.5%	6.2%	2.4%	1.76	4.65	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	0	15	65	24	9	1	0%	1.3	24.7%	18.5%	6.2%	2.4%	1.76	4.65	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	12	0	15	65	24	9	1	0%	1.3	36.9%	13.8%	23.1%	1.5%	1.76	2.58	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	PHI	10	0	10	42	10	6	1	0%	1.0	24.1%	14.8%	9.3%	2.9%	4.94	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	PHI	19	0	20	84	20	12	3	0%	1.1	24.0%	14.3%	9.7%	3.0%	4.90	4.91	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	PHI	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	24.0%	14.3%	9.7%	3.0%	4.90	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.0	24.0%	14.3%	9.7%	3.0%	4.90	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	110	28	0%	1.1	24.0%	14.3%	9.7%	3.0%	4.90	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		76	0	104	467	133	95	7	0%	1.4	28.5%	20.3%	8.1%	1.5%	4.17	4.07	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		147	0	200	901	257	183	13	0%	1.4	28.5%	20.3%	8.1%	1.5%	4.17	4.07	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Danny Wilkinson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.94	24.1%	14.8%	2.9%	—	4.91	24.0%	9.7%	20	-0.03	—	—	—
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	91
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	88
C.J. Widger L 2024 · 4.21 FIP	25	SU	4.21	26.0%	16.0%	2.3%	.258	5.75	18.1%	-0.7%	57	+1.54	3.83	105	84
Kevin Chapman L 2014 · 4.63 FIP	26	SU	4.63	19.6%	11.3%	3.2%	.297	3.30	22.3%	12.4%	137	-1.33	3.01	194	82
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	81
Brendan Nail L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	22.6%	12.5%	2.7%	.311	4.36	19.3%	8.8%	53	+0.09	3.45	165	81
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	81
Wayne Franklin L 2000 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	20.4%	10.7%	1.9%	.319	5.53	13.7%	2.4%	231	+1.73	3.80	315	80
Jake Rice L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	23.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.305	4.87	19.0%	4.3%	103	+0.46	3.16	199	80
Andrew Walling L 2024 · 4.05 FIP	24	SU	4.05	23.4%	13.2%	2.3%	.281	3.73	20.8%	7.5%	52	-0.32	3.14	161	80
Matt Thornton L 2004 · 4.18 FIP	27	SU	4.18	20.3%	16.2%	1.4%	.304	4.18	21.8%	11.5%	167	-0.00	1.71	663	79
Jackson Lancaster L 2024 · 4.48 FIP	25	SU	4.48	24.0%	11.1%	3.6%	.355	5.36	18.3%	4.9%	93	+0.88	4.15	142	79
Andy Fisher L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.5%	15.4%	1.8%	.333	4.25	17.2%	6.3%	52	+0.05	3.13	167	79
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	79
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	79
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	78
Mike Gosling L 2007 · 4.67 FIP	26	SU	4.67	19.5%	12.2%	3.0%	.346	5.66	11.4%	2.6%	25	+0.99	4.44	116	78
Tristan Garnett L 2024 · 3.75 FIP	26	SU	3.75	24.4%	15.9%	1.3%	.278	4.27	21.5%	8.7%	63	+0.52	2.50	193	78
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	77
Adam McCreery L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	26	SU	4.29	20.7%	14.5%	2.0%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	207	77